• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull probability paper

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Approximated Modeling Technique of Weibull Distributed Radar Clutter (Weibull 분포 레이더 클러터의 근사적 모델링 기법)

  • Nam, Chang-Ho;Ra, Sung-Woong
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.822-830
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    • 2012
  • Clutters are all unwanted radar returns to affect on detection of targets. Radar clutter is characterized by amplitude distributions, spectrum, etc. Clutter is modelled with considering these kinds of characteristics. In this paper, a Weibull distribution function approximated by uniform distribution function is suggested. Weibull distribution function is used to model the various clutters. This paper shows that the data generated by the approximated solution of Weibull distribution function satisfy the Weibull probability density function. This paper shows that the data generation time of approximated Weibull distribution function solution is reduced by 20 % compared with the generation time of original Weibull probability density function.

Mathematical modeling of wind power estimation using multiple parameter Weibull distribution

  • Chalamcharla, Seshaiah C.V.;Doraiswamy, Indhumathy D.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.351-366
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    • 2016
  • Nowadays, wind energy is the most rapidly developing technology and energy source and it is reusable. Due to its cleanliness and reusability, there have been rapid developments made on transferring the wind energy systems to electric energy systems. Converting the wind energy to electrical energy can be done only with the wind turbines. So installing a wind turbine depends on the wind speed at that location. The expected wind power can be estimated using a perfect probability distribution. In this paper Weibull and Weibull distribution with multiple parameters has been used in deriving the mathematical expression for estimating the wind power. Statistically the parameters of Weibull and Weibull distribution are estimated using the maximum likelihood techniques. We derive a probability distribution for the power output of a wind turbine with given rated wind speeds for the regions where the wind speed histograms present a bimodal pdf and compute the first order moment of this distribution.

Empirical modelling approaches to modelling failures

  • Baik, Jaiwook;Jo, Jinnam
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2013
  • Modelling of failures is an important element of reliability modelling. Empirical modelling approach suitable for complex item is explored in this paper. First step of the empirical modelling approach is to plot hazard function, density function, Weibull probability plot as well as cumulative intensity function to see which model fits best for the given data. Next step of the empirical modelling approach is select appropriate model for the data and fit the parametric model accordingly and estimate the parameters.

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Reliability Estimation of Buried Gas Pipelines in terms of Various Types of Random Variable Distribution

  • Lee Ouk Sub;Kim Dong Hyeok
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.1280-1289
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the effects of corrosion environments of failure pressure model for buried pipelines on failure prediction by using a failure probability. The FORM (first order reliability method) is used in order to estimate the failure probability in the buried pipelines with corrosion defects. The effects of varying distribution types of random variables such as normal, lognormal and Weibull distributions on the failure probability of buried pipelines are systematically investigated. It is found that the failure probability for the MB31G model is larger than that for the B31G model. And the failure probability is estimated as the largest for the Weibull distribution and the smallest for the normal distribution. The effect of data scattering in corrosion environments on failure probability is also investigated and it is recognized that the scattering of wall thickness and yield strength of pipeline affects the failure probability significantly. The normalized margin is defined and estimated. Furthermore, the normalized margin is used to predict the failure probability using the fitting lines between failure probability and normalized margin.

Closeness of Lindley distribution to Weibull and gamma distributions

  • Raqab, Mohammad Z.;Al-Jarallah, Reem A.;Al-Mutairi, Dhaifallah K.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2017
  • In this paper we consider the problem of the model selection/discrimination among three different positively skewed lifetime distributions. Lindley, Weibull, and gamma distributions have been used to effectively analyze positively skewed lifetime data. This paper assesses how much closer the Lindley distribution gets to Weibull and gamma distributions. We consider three techniques that involve the likelihood ratio test, asymptotic likelihood ratio test, and minimum Kolmogorov distance as optimality criteria to diagnose the appropriate fitting model among the three distributions for a given data set. Monte Carlo simulation study is performed for computing the probability of correct selection based on the considered optimality criteria among these families of distributions for various choices of sample sizes and shape parameters. It is observed that overall, the Lindley distribution is closer to Weibull distribution in the sense of likelihood ratio and Kolmogorov criteria. A real data set is presented and analyzed for illustrative purposes.

Failure Probability Models of Concrete Subjected to Split Tension Repeated- Loads (쪼갬인장 반복하중을 받는 콘크리트의 파괴확률 모델)

  • 김동호;김경진;이봉학;윤경구
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.311-314
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    • 2003
  • Concrete structures such as bridge, pavement, airfield, and offshore structure are normally subjected to repeated load. This paper proposes a failure probability models of concrete subjected to split tension repeated-loads, based on experimental results. The fatigue tests were performed at the stress ratio of 0.1, the loading shape of sine, the frequency of 20Hz, and the stress levels of 90, 80 and 70%. The fatigue test specimen was 150mm in diameter and 75mm in thickness. The fatigue analysis did not include which exceeded 0.9 of statistical coefficient of determination values or did not failure at 2$\times$$10^6$ cycles. The graphical method, the moment method, and maximum likelihood estimation method were used to obtain Weibull distribution parameters. The goodness-of-fit test by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was acceptable 5% level of significance. As a result, the proposed failure probability model based on the two-parameter($\alpha and \mu$) Weibull distribution was good enough to estimate accurately the fatigue life subjected to tension mode.

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Prediction of Fatigue Design Life in Magnesium Alloy by Failure Probability (파손확률에 따른 마그네슘합금의 피로설계수명 예측)

  • Choi, Seon-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.804-811
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    • 2010
  • The fatigue crack propagation is stochastic in nature, because the variables affecting the fatigue behavior are random and have uncertainty. Therefore, the fatigue life prediction is critical for the design and the maintenance of many structural components. In this study, fatigue experiments are conducted on the specimens of magnesium alloy AZ31 under various conditions such as thickness of specimen, the load ratio and the loading condition. The probability distribution fit to the fatigue failure life are investigated through a probability plot paper by these conditions. The probabilities of failure at various conditions are also estimated. The fatigue design life is predicted by using the Weibull distribution.

Failure Rate Calculation using the Mixture Weibull Distribution (혼합 와이블 분포를 이용한 고장률 산출 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Chai, Hui-seok;Shin, Joong-woo;Lim, Tae-jin;Kim, Jae-chul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.500-506
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    • 2017
  • In 2014, ISO 55000s has been enacted and the power plant asset management is becoming a hot issue for all over the world. The asset management system is being developed as a combination of CBM(Condition Based Maintenance) and RCM(Reliability Centered Maintenance). Therefore, the research on the calculation of the failure rate which is the most basic index of RCM is actively carried out. The failure rate calculation has been going on for a long time, and the most widely used probability distribution is the Weibull distribution. In the Weibull distribution, the failure rate function is determined in three types according to the value of the shape parameter. However, the Weibull distribution has a limitation that it is difficult to apply it when the trend of failure rate changes-such as bathtub curves. In this paper, the failure rate is calculated using the mixture Weibull distribution which can appropriately express the change of the shape of the failure rate. Based on these results, we propose the necessity and validity of applying mixture Weibull distribution.

Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel (크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jaekab;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

A Method to Predict Road Traffic Noise Using the Weibull Distribution (Weibull분포를 이용한 도로교통소음의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김갑수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 1987
  • Various procedures for evaluation of traffic noise annoyance have been proposed. However, most of the studies of this type are restricted for improving traffic flow. In this paper, a method to predict the road traffic noise is proposed in terms of equivalent continuous A-Weighted sound pressure level (Leq), based on a probability model. First, distribution of the road traffic noise level are investigated. second, the weibull distribution parameters are estimated by using the quantification theory. Finally, a prediction model of the road traffic noise is proposed based on the weibull distribution model The predicted values of the Leq are closely matched the measured data.

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