• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull

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Analysis of Wind Energy Potential on the West Coast of South Korea Using Public Data from the Korea Meteorological Administration (기상청 공공데이터를 활용한 대한민국 서해안 일대의 바람자원 분석)

  • Sangkyun Kang;Sung-Ho Yu;Sina Hadadi;Dae-Won Seo;Jungkeun Oh;Jang-Ho Lee
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2023
  • The significance of renewable energy has been on the rise, as evidenced by the 3020 renewable energy plan and the 2050 carbon neutrality strategy, which seek to advance a low-carbon economy by implementing a power supply strategy centered around renewable energy sources. This study examines the wind resources on the west coast of South Korea and confirms the potential for wind power generation in the area. Wind speed data was collected from 22 automatic weather system stations and four light house automatic weather system stations provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration to evaluate potential sites for wind farms. Weibull distribution was used to analyze the wind data and calculate wind power density. Annual energy production and capacity factors were estimated for 15-20 MW-class large wind turbines through the height correction of observed wind speeds. These findings offer valuable information for selecting wind power generation sites, predicting economic feasibility, and determining optimal equipment capacity for future wind power generation sites in the region.

Mechanical Properties of Zirconia Reinforced Glass-Ceramic (지르코니아 강화형 Glass-Ceramic의 기계적 성질)

  • Park, Eun-Eui;Dong, Jin-Keun;Lee, Hae-Hyoung;Song, Ki-Chang;Oh, Sang-Chun
    • Journal of Dental Rehabilitation and Applied Science
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2001
  • This study was to investigate the reused possibility of zirconia reinforced glass-ceramic(IPS Empress Cosmo ceramic) with sprue button in the flexure strength and fracture toughness. 40 disk-shaped ceramic specimens (20 specimens: as-pressed material; 20 specimens: reused material) with approximately 1.7 mm thickness and 15 mm diameter were prepared by "lost wax" technique. The remnants(sprue buttons) were used for repressing. The surface treatments for the discs were gradually abraded with 320, 800, 1200, and 2000 grit SiC sandpaper. The specimens were evaluated their flexure strength with the biaxial flexure jig(ball-on-three balls) and their fracture toughness with Vickers Indentation-microfracture test. The Weibull moduli were calculated for biaxial flexural strength. The mean flexure strength and fracture toughness of each group were $122.2{\pm}18.3MPa$, $1.00{\pm}0.09MPa{\cdot}m^{0.5}$ (as-pressed ceramics), and $122.2{\pm}20.3MPa$, $1.01{\pm}0.10MPa{\cdot}m^{0.5}$ (reused ceramics). There were no significant differences in the strength and the fracture toughness between the as-pressed and the reused IPS Empress Cosmo ceramic (P>0.05). This implied zirconia reinforced glass-ceramic(IPS Empress Cosmo ceramic) could be used one more time by reusing of sprue button in the flexure strength and fracture toughness.

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게이트 유전체용 $HfO_2$ 박막의 증착 및 열처리 조건에 따른 Nano-Mechanical 특성 연구

  • Kim, Ju-Yeong;Kim, Su-In;Lee, Gyu-Yeong;Gwon, Gu-Eun;Kim, Min-Seok;Eom, Seung-Hyeon;Jeong, Hyeon-Jin;Jo, Yong-Seok;Park, Seung-Ho;Lee, Chang-U
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2012.08a
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    • pp.291-292
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    • 2012
  • MOSFET 구조에서 metal oxide에 기반을 둔 게이트 유전체의 연구는 실리콘(Si)을 기반으로 한 반도체 발명이래로 가장 인상적인 발전을 이뤄 왔다. 이는 metal oxide의 높은 유전상수 특성이 $SiO_2$보다 우수하고, 유전체 박막의 두께 감소로 인한 전기적 특성 저하를 보완하기 때문이다. 특히 지난 10년 동안, Hafnium에 기반을 둔 $HfO_2$는 차세대 반도체용 유전 물질로 전기적 구조적 특성에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되어왔다. 그러나 현재까지 $HfO_2$에 대한 nano-mechanical 특성 연구는 미미하여 이에 대한 연구가 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 Hf 및 $HfO_2$ 박막의 증착 및 열처리 조건을 다르게 하여 실험을 진행하였다. 시료는 rf magnetron sputter를 이용하여 Si 기판위에 Hafnium target으로 산소유량(4, 6 sccm)을 달리하여 증착하였고, 이후 furnace에서 400에서 $800^{\circ}C$까지 질소분위기에서 20분간 열처리를 실시하였다. 실험결과 산소 유량을 6 sccm으로 증착한 시료의 current density 성능이 모든 열처리 과정에서 증가하였다. Nano-indenter로 측정하고 Weibull distribution으로 정량적 계산을 한 경도 (Hardness)는 as-deposited 시료를 기준으로 $400^{\circ}C$에서는 감소했으나 온도가 높아질수록 증가하였다. 특히, $400^{\circ}C$ 열처리한 시료에서 산소농도에(4 sccm : 5.35 GPa, 6 sccm : 6.15 GPa)따른 두 시료간의 변화가 가장 두드러졌다. 반면에, 탄성계수 (Elastic modulus)는 산소농도 6 sccm을 넣고 증착된 시료들이 4 sccm을 넣고 증착한 시료보다 모두 높은 값을 나타냈다. 또한, $800^{\circ}C$ 열처리한 시료에서 산소농도에(4 sccm : 128.88 GPa, 6 sccm : 149.39 GPa)따라 표면의 탄성에 큰 차이가 있음을 확인하였다. 이는 증착된 $HfO_2$ 시료들이 비정질 상태에서 $HfO_2$로 결정화되는 과정에서 산소가 증가할수록 박막의 defect이 감소되기 때문으로 사료된다.

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Application of a Non-Mixture Cure Rate Model for Analyzing Survival of Patients with Breast Cancer

  • Baghestani, Ahmad Reza;Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi;Majd, Hamid Alavi;Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil;Nafissi, Nahid;Gohari, Kimiya
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.16
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    • pp.7359-7363
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    • 2015
  • Background: As a result of significant progress made in treatment of many types of cancers during the last few decades, there have been an increased number of patients who do not experience mortality. We refer to these observations as cure or immune and models for survival data which include cure fraction are known as cure rate models or long-term survival models. Materials and Methods: In this study we used the data collected from 438 female patients with breast cancer registered in the Cancer Research Center in Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran. The patients had been diagnosed from 1992 to 2012 and were followed up until October 2014. We had to exclude some because of incomplete information. Phone calls were made to confirm whether the patients were still alive or not. Deaths due to breast cancer were regarded as failure. To identify clinical, pathological, and biological characteristics of patients that might have had an effect on survival of the patients we used a non-mixture cure rate model; in addition, a Weibull distribution was proposed for the survival time. Analyses were performed using STATA version 14. The significance level was set at $P{\leq}0.05$. Results: A total of 75 patients (17.1%) died due to breast cancer during the study, up to the last follow-up. Numbers of metastatic lymph nodes and histologic grade were significant factors. The cure fraction was estimated to be 58%. Conclusions: When a cure fraction is not available, the analysis will be changed to standard approaches of survival analysis; however when the data indicate that the cure fraction is available, we suggest analysis of survival data via cure models.

Development of Equipment Measuring Insulation Resistance of High-Power Cables in Operation at Power Station (발전소에서 운전 중인 고전력 케이블의 절연저항의 변화를 감시하는 장치의 개발)

  • Um, Kee-Hong;Kim, Bo-Kyeong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2016
  • In or to generate high electric power in increasing demand, power station should operate facilities to meet requirement. The scale of electric power equipment is increasing in both size and complexity. With unexpected accidents at power facilities or power stations happening, substantial socioeconomic losses in an industrial society is caused. A major cause of unexpected accidents is deterioration of dielectrics, isolating two conductors electrically. In order to detect the deterioration processes of power cables, the operation status of power cables should be monitored on a regular basis. We have invented and installed equipment at Korea Western Power Co., Ltd., located in Taean, in order to predict and prevent the deterioration status of dielectrics destruction of power cables. The main line in Y-connection to the secondary coils of transformer delivers electric power to the external devices. The equipment we developed is the one measuring insulation resistance of cables operation in on/off status with respect to the main line. We present the equipment in terms of operation and configuration of hardware side.

Analysis and probabilistic modeling of wind characteristics of an arch bridge using structural health monitoring data during typhoons

  • Ye, X.W.;Xi, P.S.;Su, Y.H.;Chen, B.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.809-824
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    • 2017
  • The accurate evaluation of wind characteristics and wind-induced structural responses during a typhoon is of significant importance for bridge design and safety assessment. This paper presents an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm-based angular-linear approach for probabilistic modeling of field-measured wind characteristics. The proposed method has been applied to model the wind speed and direction data during typhoons recorded by the structural health monitoring (SHM) system instrumented on the arch Jiubao Bridge located in Hangzhou, China. In the summer of 2015, three typhoons, i.e., Typhoon Chan-hom, Typhoon Soudelor and Typhoon Goni, made landfall in the east of China and then struck the Jiubao Bridge. By analyzing the wind monitoring data such as the wind speed and direction measured by three anemometers during typhoons, the wind characteristics during typhoons are derived, including the average wind speed and direction, turbulence intensity, gust factor, turbulence integral scale, and power spectral density (PSD). An EM algorithm-based angular-linear modeling approach is proposed for modeling the joint distribution of the wind speed and direction. For the marginal distribution of the wind speed, the finite mixture of two-parameter Weibull distribution is employed, and the finite mixture of von Mises distribution is used to represent the wind direction. The parameters of each distribution model are estimated by use of the EM algorithm, and the optimal model is determined by the values of $R^2$ statistic and the Akaike's information criterion (AIC). The results indicate that the stochastic properties of the wind field around the bridge site during typhoons are effectively characterized by the proposed EM algorithm-based angular-linear modeling approach. The formulated joint distribution of the wind speed and direction can serve as a solid foundation for the purpose of accurately evaluating the typhoon-induced fatigue damage of long-span bridges.

Graphitization of PAN-based carbon fibers by CO2 laser irradiation

  • Yao, Liangbo;Yang, Weimin;Li, Sanyang;Sha, Yang;Tan, Jing;An, Ying;Li, Haoyi
    • Carbon letters
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    • v.24
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 2017
  • Graphite fibers are materials with a high specific modulus that have attracted much interest in the aerospace industry, but their high manufacturing cost and low yield are still problems that prevent their wide applications in practice. This paper presents a laser-based process for graphitization of carbon fiber (CF) and explores the effect of laser radiation on the microstructure of CF. The obtained Raman spectra indicate that the outer surface of CF evolves from turbostratic structures into a three-dimensional ordered state after being irradiated by a laser. The X-ray diffraction data revealed that the growth of crystallite was parallel to the fiber axis, and the interlayer spacing $d_{002}$ decreased from 0.353 to 0.345 nm. The results of scanning electron microscopy revealed that the surface of irradiated CFs was rougher than that of the unirradiated ones and there were scale-like small fragments that had peeled off from the fibers. The tensile modulus increased by 17.51% and the Weibull average tensile strength decreased by 30.53% after being irradiated by a laser. These results demonstrate that the laser irradiation was able to increase the graphitization degree of the CFs, which showed some properties comparable to graphite fibers.

Reliability Evaluation of Concentric Butterfly Valve Using Statistical Hypothesis Test (통계적 가설검정을 이용한 중심형 버터플라이 밸브의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Chang, Mu-Seong;Choi, Jong-Sik;Choi, Byung-Oh;Kim, Do-Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.12
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    • pp.1305-1311
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    • 2015
  • A butterfly valve is a type of flow-control device typically used to regulate a fluid flow. This paper presents an estimation of the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution, characteristic life, and $B_{10}$ life for a concentric butterfly valve based on a statistical analysis of the reliability test data taken before and after the valve improvement. The difference in the shape and scale parameters between the existing and improved valves is reviewed using a statistical hypothesis test. The test results indicate that the shape parameter of the improved valve is similar to that of the existing valve, and that the scale parameter of the improved valve is found to have increased. These analysis results are particularly useful for a reliability qualification test and the determination of the service life cycles.

The Characteristics of the Repair Cost Distribution in Apartment Housing

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The repair would require to conserve and improve the building function and performance since built. Each household is responsible for maintaining the public facilities and paying the required cost. Therefore, it needs to get the tool or method to forecast the required cost in the future. Before the repair cost is provided, it needs to catch the repair cost distribution and provide the unit cost for the repair cycle. In this study, it aimed at providing the repair cost unit and analyzing the repair cost distribution in a roof proofing work, elevator work and building painting, which are divided into a fully work and partly change. Results of this study are shown that first, the average repair cost for roof proofing work is provided with $166.59{\times}10^3won/household$ and $1.59{\times}10^3won/m^2$ of a full change, $33.22{\times}10^3won/household$ and $0.33{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a partly work. In addition, elevator work is $557.45{\times}10^3won/household$ and $5.38{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a full change, $32.92{\times}10^3won/household$ and $0.56{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a partly repair. Painting has a $304.48{\times}10^3won/household$ and $2.94{\times}10^3won/m^2$. Second, the distribution pattern of repair unit cost has a weibull-typed distribution which has a long tail to the right.

AC Insulation Breakdown Weibull Plot Characteristics of Epoxy-Nanocomposites (에폭시-나노콤포지트의 교류절연파괴 와이블 분포특성)

  • Park, Jae-Jjjun;Cho, Dae-Ryung;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Kim, Jung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.384-384
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    • 2009
  • 에폭시 수지에 유기화된 층상실리케이트 나노입자를 1wt% 충진한 경우 나노콤포지트와 마이크로 입자를 50wt% 충진한 경우 마이크로 콤포지트를 제조하였다. 초음파 분산법을 이용하여 나노 및 마이크로입자를 120분 동안 분산시킨 에폭시- 나노/마이크로 콤포지트이다. 나노콤포지트와 마이크로콤포지트의 단시간 교류절연파괴특성을 조사하기 위해 와이블 분포 plot을 통하여 나타내었다. 와이블 plot은 기울기로서 형상파라미터를 나타낸 경우로서 이는 파괴강도의 균질성을 의미하게 된다. 63.2% 누적분포함수를 나타낸 경우 척도파라미터로서 나타내어진다. 마이크로 콤포지트의 경우 형상파라미터가 2.99, 나노콤포지트는 8.96를 나타내었다. 또한 마이크로 콤포지트 및 나노콤포지트 스케일 파라미터는 164.25kV/mm, 245kV/mm를 얻었다. 또한 B10수명의 경우 마이크로콤포지트와 나노콤포지트의 경우 77.57kV/mm, 139.3 6kV/mm로서 나노콤포지트의 경우 완전하게 박리가 일어난 경우이다. 마이크로 입자를 분산시켜 입자간거리와 나노입자를 분산시켜 박리가 일어난 경우 입자간거리는 대단히 큰 차이를 나타내고 있다. 나노입자가 교번전계 하에서 주입된 전하 및 케리어 이동을 억제하는 경우로 이와같은 결과를 얻을 수 있다.

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