• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather forecast

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The Analysis of Meterological Environment over Jeju Moseulpo Region for HALE UAV (장기체공무인기를 위한 제주도 모슬포 지역의 기상환경 분석)

  • Cho, Young-Jun;Ahn, Kwang-Deuk;Lee, Hee-Choon;Ha, Jong-Chul;Choi, Reno K.Y.;Cho, Chun-Ho;Kim, Su-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.469-477
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the characteristics of main wind direction, vertical temperature and wind speed profile near the Moseulpo airfield for HALE UAV(High Altitude Long Endurance Unmaned Aerial Vehicle) is investigated. The results are summarized as follows, main wind direction is governed by air mass according to season and local wind such as land-sea breeze. The directions of landing and take-off of HALE UAV will be selected as the south-east direction in June ~ August, north-west direction in October ~ March, and south-east direction at daytime in April ~ May, September. Annual variation of temperature at 100 hPa showed that temperature in summer season is lower than winter season. On the other hands, wind speed at 250 hPa in winter season is higher than summer season. The threshold values of temperature and wind speed for HALE UAV flight are $-75^{\circ}C$ and $90ms^{-1}$, which were determined by 5 % frequency value($1.96{\sigma}$), respectively.

Enhancing Medium-Range Forecast Accuracy of Temperature and Relative Humidity over South Korea using Minimum Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) Statistical Correction Technique (연속 순위 확률 점수를 활용한 통합 앙상블 모델에 대한 기온 및 습도 후처리 모델 개발)

  • Hyejeong Bok;Junsu Kim;Yeon-Hee Kim;Eunju Cho;Seungbum Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2024
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration has improved medium-range weather forecasts by implementing post-processing methods to minimize numerical model errors. In this study, we employ a statistical correction technique known as the minimum continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) to refine medium-range forecast guidance. This technique quantifies the similarity between the predicted values and the observed cumulative distribution function of the Unified Model Ensemble Prediction System for Global (UM EPSG). We evaluated the performance of the medium-range forecast guidance for surface air temperature and relative humidity, noting significant enhancements in seasonal bias and root mean squared error compared to observations. Notably, compared to the existing the medium-range forecast guidance, temperature forecasts exhibit 17.5% improvement in summer and 21.5% improvement in winter. Humidity forecasts also show 12% improvement in summer and 23% improvement in winter. The results indicate that utilizing the minimum CRPS for medium-range forecast guidance provide more reliable and improved performance than UM EPSG.

Homogeneous Regions Classification and Regional Differentiation of Snowfall (적설의 동질지역 구분과 지역 차등화)

  • KIM, Hyun-Uk;SHIM, Jae-Kwan;CHO, Byung-Choel
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.42-51
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    • 2017
  • Snowfall is an important natural hazard in Korea. In recent years, the socioeconomic importance of impact-based forecasts of meteorological phenomena have been highlighted. To further develop forecasts, we first need to analyze the climatic characteristics of each region. In this study, homogeneous regions for snowfall analysis were classified using a self-organizing map for impact-based forecast and warning services. Homogeneous regions of snowfall were analyzed into seven clusters and the characteristics of each group were investigated using snowfall, observation days, and maximum snowfall. Daegwallyeong, Gangneung-si, and Jeongeup-si were classified as areas with high snowfall and Gyeongsangdo was classified as an area with low snowfall. Comparison with previous studies showed that representative areas were well distinguished, but snowfall characteristics were found to be different. The results of this study are of relevance to future policy decisions that use impact-based forecasting in each region.

The Socio-semiotic Analysis of Visual Images in Elementary Science Textbooks: Focused on Weather and Forecast (초등 과학 교과서 시각 이미지의 사회-기호학적 분석: '날씨'와 '일기예보'를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jeong-A;Maeng, Seung-Ho;Kim, Chan-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzed the visual images covering 'weather' and 'weather forecast' in elementary science textbooks from the Syllabus Period to the 7th national curriculum from the socio-semiotic perspective. The results showed that most of the visual images were 'realistic' which were descriptive of real world phenomena. This means that most of the visual images in elementary science text were familiar to students in every curriculum period. The power relationship in communication between images and students was very complex. The visual images in elementary science textbooks include few geometrical and alphanumeric code in every curriculum period. This study provides a new framework to interpret amount of information, functions of information, structures, and social meanings of visual images. It could be also a beginning stage to introduce the socio-semiotic perspective into choosing visual images for next science textbooks.

An Analysis of Aerosols Impacts on the Vertical Invigoration of Continental Stratiform Clouds (에어로솔의 대륙 층운형 구름 연직발달(Invigoration)에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Yoo-Jun;Han, Sang-Ok;Lee, Chulkyu;Lee, Seoung-Soo;Kim, Byung-Gon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.321-329
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    • 2013
  • This study examines the effect of aerosols on the vertical invigoration of continental stratiform clouds, using a dataset of Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Intensive Operational Period (IOP, March 2000) at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) site. To provide further support to our observation-based findings, the weather research and forecasting (WRF) sensitivity simulations with changing cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations have been carried out for the golden episode over SGP. First, cross correlation between observed aerosol scattering coefficient and cloud liquid water path (LWP) with a 160-minutes lag is the highest of r = 0.83 for the selected episode, which may be attributable to cloud vertical invigoration induced by an increase in aerosol loading. Modeled cloud fractions in a control run are well matched with the observation in the perspective of cloud morphology and lasting period. It is also found through a simple sensitivity with a change in CCN that aerosol invigoration (AIV) effect on stratiform cloud organization is attributable to a change in the cloud microphysics as well as dynamics such as the corresponding modification of cloud number concentrations, drop size, and latent heating rate, etc. This study suggests a possible cloud vertical invigoration even in the continental stratiform clouds due to aerosol enhancement in spite of a limited analysis based on a few observed continental cloud cases.

Analyzing Dissatisfaction Factors of Weather Service Users Using Twitter and News Headlines

  • Kim, In-Gyum;Lee, Seung-Wook;Kim, Hye-Min;Lee, Dae-Geun;Lim, Byunghwan
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2019
  • Social media is a massive dataset in which individuals' thoughts are freely recorded. So there have been a variety of efforts to analyze it and to understand the social phenomenon. In this study, Twitter was used to define the moments when negative perceptions of the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) were displayed and the reasons people were dissatisfied with the KMA. Machine learning methods were used for sentiment analysis to automatically train the implied awareness on Twitter which mentioned the KMA July-October 2011-2014. The trained models were used to validate sentiments on Twitter 2015-2016, and the frequency of negative sentiments was compared with the satisfaction of forecast users. It was found that the frequency of the negative sentiments increased before satisfaction decreased sharply. And the tweet keywords and the news headlines were qualitatively compared to analyze the cause of negative sentiments. As a result, it was revealed that the individual caused the increase in the monthly negative sentiments increase in 2016. This study represents the value of sentiment analysis that can complement user satisfaction surveys. Also, combining Twitter and news headlines provided the idea of analyzing the causes of dissatisfaction that are difficult to identify with only satisfaction surveys. The results contribute to improving user satisfaction with weather services by efficiently managing changes in satisfaction.

Introduction of Optimum Navigation Route Assessment System based on Weather Forecasting and Seakeeping Prediction (기상 예보 및 내항성능을 고려한 최적 항로 평가 시스템의 도입)

  • Park Geon Il;Choi Kyong Soon;Lee Jin Ho;Kim Mun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2004
  • This paper treats optimal route assessment system at seaway based on weather forecasting and wave measurement through observation. Since early times. captain & officer have been sailing to select the optimum route considering the weather ana ship status condition empirically. However. it is rare to find digitalized onboard route support system whereas weather fax or wave and swell chart are utilized for the officer. based on officer's experience. In this paper, optimal route assessment system which is composed of voyage efficiency and safety component is introduced. Optimum route minimized ETA (estimated time of arrival) ana fuel consumption is evaluated for efficient voyage considering speed loss and power increase based on wave added resistance of ship. In the view point of safety, seakeeping prediction is performed based on 3 dimensional panel method. Basically. the weather forecast is assumed to be prepared previously in order to operate this system.

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Introduction of Optimum Navigation Route Assessment System based on Weather Forecasting and Seakeeping Prediction (개상 예보 및 내항성능을 고려한 최적 항로 평가 시스템의 도입)

  • Park Gun-il;Choi Kyong-Soon;Lee Jin-Ho;Kim Mun-Sung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.10 s.96
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    • pp.833-841
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    • 2004
  • This paper treats optimal route assessment system at seaway based on weather forecasting and wave measurement through observation Since early times, captain & officer have been sailing to select the optimum route considering the weather and ship status condition empirically. However, it is rare to find digitalized onboard route support system whereas weather fax or wave and swell chart are utilized for the officer, based on officer's experience. In this paper, optimal route assessment system which is composed of voyage efficiency and safety component is introduced. Optimum route minimized ETA(estimated time of arrival) and fuel consumption is evaluated for efficient voyage considering speed loss and power increase based on wave added resistance of ship. In the view point of safety, seakeeping prediction is performed based on 3 dimensional panel method. Basically, the weather forecast is assumed to be prepared previously in order to operate this system.

A Study on the Optimum Navigation Route Safety Assessment System using Real Time Weather Forecasting (실시간 기상 정보를 이용한 최적 항로 안전 평가 시스템의 연구)

  • Choi, Kyong-Soon;Park, Myung-Kyu;Lee, Jin-Ho;Park, Gun-Il
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.203-210
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    • 2007
  • This paper treats optimal route safety assessment system at seaway based on weather forecasting data through INMARSAT. Since early times, captain have been sailing to select the optimum route considering the weather, ship loading status condition and operational scheduling empirically. However, it is rare to find digitalized onboard route support system whereas weather facsimile or wave and swell chart are utilized for the officer, based on captain's experience. In this paper, optimal route safety assessment system which is composed of voyage efficiency and safety component is introduced. Optimum route minimized ETA(estimated time of arrival) and fuel consumption that shipping company. and captain are requiring to evaluate for efficient voyage considering speed loss and power increase based on wave added resistance of ship. In the view point of safety, seakeeping prediction is performed based on 3 dimensional panel method Basically, the weather forecast is assumed to be prepared previously in order to operate this system.

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Analysis of Utilization and Perception of Special Weather Reports for Climate Change Adaptation: Focus on Dryness Advisory and Warning (기후변화적응을 위한 기상특보 인지도 및 활용도 분석: 건조특보를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Su-Jin;Kim, Eun-Byul;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Baek-Jo;Park, Jong-Kil
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1121-1130
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to find the perception and utilization of the citizen about the dryness watch warning (DWW) among special weather reports. For this we have made up a descriptive questionnaire including the perception, utilization of special weather reports. Using the SPSS 17.0 program, descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA and Scheffe test were used to analyze the collected data. The results are as follows; The perception of DWW is measured by 4 point Likert scale and the average is $15.97{\pm}3.70$ (percentile=57.0). This value shows that the awareness level is not that high and according to the occupation, college students show the lowest awareness and housewives show the highest awareness. According to the age, the teens and twenties show the lowest awareness and fifties and sixties show the highest awareness. Although the perception of the teens and college students are rather poor, there were many positive answers that it is necessary to establish the advanced disaster prevention plan according to the questionnaire about the utilization of DWW. Therefore, if we come up with an effective plan to improve the perception than we can expect a large-effect in terms of fire and forest fire prevention. The perception of DWW can be improved by providing weather information and weather related education program on TV or internet which have the high level of preference. Also, it is necessary to provide online and offline program of advertising education and disaster management education through the weather forecast bureau which is the host organization of delivering weather information.