• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water modeling

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Assessment of Future Flood According to Climate Change, Rainfall Distribution and CN (기후변화와 강우분포 및 CN에 따른 미래 홍수량 평가)

  • Kwak, Jihye;Kim, Jihye;Jun, Sang Min;Hwang, Soonho;Lee, Sunghack;Lee, Jae Nam;Kang, Moon Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.6
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2020
  • According to the standard guidelines of design flood (MLTM, 2012; MOE, 2019), the design flood is calculated based on past precipitation. However, due to climate change, the frequency of extreme rainfall events is increasing. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze future floods' volume by using climate change scenarios. Meanwhile, the standard guideline was revised by MOE (Ministry of Environment) recently. MOE proposed modified Huff distribution and new CN (Curve Number) value of forest and paddy. The objective of this study was to analyze the change of flood volume by applying the modified Huff and newly proposed CN to the probabilistic precipitation based on SSP and RCP scenarios. The probabilistic rainfall under climate change was calculated through RCP 4.5/8.5 scenarios and SSP 245/585 scenarios. HEC-HMS (Hydrologic Engineering Center - Hydrologic Modeling System) was simulated for evaluating the flood volume. When RCP 4.5/8.5 scenario was changed to SSP 245/585 scenario, the average flood volume increased by 627 ㎥/s (15%) and 523 ㎥/s (13%), respectively. By the modified Huff distribution, the flood volume increased by 139 ㎥/s (3.76%) on a 200-yr frequency and 171 ㎥/s (4.05%) on a 500-yr frequency. The newly proposed CN made the future flood value increase by 9.5 ㎥/s (0.30%) on a 200-yr frequency and 8.5 ㎥/s (0.25%) on a 500-yr frequency. The selection of climate change scenario was the biggest factor that made the flood volume to transform. Also, the impact of change in Huff was larger than that of CN about 13-16 times.

Modeling Study on Deterioration of Stone Monuments Constructed with Silicate Rock by Acid Rain (규산염질 암석으로 구성된 석조문화재의 산성비에 의한 손상 임상연구)

  • Do, Jin-Young;Cho, Hyen-Goo
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2010
  • The artificial rains having different pH and weathering simulation test were performed for Gyeongju Namsan granite and dacitic tuff to predict the role of acid rain in the deterioration of stone monuments located in Gyeongju area. The pH 4.0 rain reacted with the fresh granite showed near neutral pH at the early stage due to the hydrolysis of minerals in the rock surface. But the pH changed back to the initial pH in the later stage. On the other hand, the pH 5.6 rain showed the neutral pH for a longer time than the experiment with pH 4.0 rain, reflecting slower reaction of minerals due to the weaker acidity. When the pH 5.6 rain reacted with the weathered granite, the water showed neutral pH longer than the case of the fresh granite. The similar tendencies were observed in the experiment of dacitic tuff, except that the pH 4.0 rain reacted with dacitic tuff took a longer time to go back to the initial pH as compared with the case of granite. These results may due to the differences in mineral composition and texture of two rocks. Dacitic tuff contains more fine-grained or glassy groundmass than granite and is more reactive with weaker acid rain. It was predicted that the weight loss and strength decrease rate of dacitic tuff would be approximatetly twice relative to those of granite in the same experimental environment.

User-Centered Climate Change Scenarios Technique Development and Application of Korean Peninsula (사용자 중심의 기후변화 시나리오 상세화 기법 개발 및 한반도 적용)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Jung, Imgook;Cho, Wonil;Hwang, Syewoon
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2018
  • This study presented evaluation procedure for selecting appropriate GCMs and downscaling method by focusing on the climate extreme indices suitable for climate change adaptation. The procedure includes six stages of processes as follows: 1) exclusion of unsuitable GCM through raw GCM analysis before bias correction; 2) calculation of the climate extreme indices and selection of downscaling method by evaluating reproducibility for the past and distortion rate for the future period; 3) selection of downscaling method based on evaluation of reproducibility of spatial correlation among weather stations; and 4) MME calculation using weight factors and evaluation of uncertainty range depending on number of GCMs. The presented procedure was applied to 60 weather stations where there are observed data for the past 30 year period on Korea Peninsula. First, 22 GCMs were selected through the evaluation of the spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 GCMs. Between Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) and Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM) methods, SQM was selected based on the reproducibility of 27 climate extreme indices for the past and reproducibility evaluation of spatial correlation in precipitation and temperature. Total precipitation (prcptot) and annual 1-day maximum precipitation (rx1day), which is respectively related to water supply and floods, were selected and MME-based future projections were estimated for near-future (2010-2039), the mid-future (2040-2069), and the far-future (2070-2099) based on the weight factors by GCM. The prcptot and rx1day increased as time goes farther from the near-future to the far-future and RCP 8.5 showed a higher rate of increase in both indices compared to RCP 4.5 scenario. It was also found that use of 20 GCM out of 22 explains 80% of the overall variation in all combinations of RCP scenarios and future periods. The result of this study is an example of an application in Korea Peninsula and APCC Integrated Modeling Solution (AIMS) can be utilized in various areas and fields if users want to apply the proposed procedure directly to a target area.

Experiment and Simulation of Acoustic Detection for the Substitute for Sunken Hazardous and Noxious Substances Using the High Frequency Active Sonar (고주파 능동소나를 이용한 저층 침적 위험유해물질 대체물질 음향 탐지 실험 및 모의)

  • Han, Dong-Gyun;Seo, Him Chan;Choi, Jee Woong;Lee, Moonjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2018
  • Hazardous and Noxious Substances (HNS) are defined as substances that are likely to create a significant impact on human health and marine ecosystem when they are released into the marine environment. Recently, as the volume of HNS transported by ships increases, the rate of leakage accidents also increases. Therefore, research should be conducted to control and monitor sunken materials from the viewpoint of technology development for hazardous material leakage accident response. In this paper, acoustic detection experiments were carried out using HNS substitute materials in order to confirm the possibility of acoustic detection of sunken HNS on the sediment. The castor oil, which has a similar acoustic impedance with chloroform, is used as a substitute. 200 kHz high frequency signals were used to discriminate the reflected signals and measure reflection loss from the interface between water and castor oil. The reflection loss measured is in good agreement with the modeling results, showing a possibility of acoustic detection for sunken HNS.

Numerical Modeling for Effect on Bund Overtopping Caused by a Catastrophic Failure of Chemical Storage Tanks (저장시설의 순간 전량 방출 시 방류벽의 월파 효과에 대한 수치모델링)

  • Min, Dong Seok;Phark, Chuntak;Jung, Seungho
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.42-50
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    • 2019
  • As the industry develops in Korea, the use of hazardous chemicals is increasing rapidly and chemical accidents are increasing accordingly. Most of the chemical accidents are caused by leaks of hazardous chemicals, but there are also accidents in which all the substances are released instantaneously due to sudden high temperature/pressure or defection of the storage tanks. This is called catastrophic failure and its frequency is very low, but consequence is very huge when it occurs. In Korea, there were 15 casualties including three deaths due to catastrophic rupture of water tank in 2013, and 64 instances of failures from 1919 to 2004 worldwide. In case of catastrophic failure, it would be able to overflow outside the bund that reduces the evaporation rate and following consequence. This incident is called overtopping. Overseas, some researchers have been studying the amount of external overflow depending on bund conditions in the event of such an accident. Based on the previous research, this study identified overtopping fraction by condition of bund in accordance with Korea Chemicals Controls Act Using CFD simulation. As a result, as the height increases and the distance to the facility decreases while meeting the minimum standard of the bund capacity, the overtopping effect has decreased. In addition, by identifying the effects of overtopping according to atmospheric conditions, types of materials and shapes of bunds, this study proposes the design of the bund considering the effect of overtopping caused by catastrophic failure with different bund conditions.

Determination of Location and Depth for Groundwater Monitoring Wells Around Nuclear Facility (원자력이용시설 주변의 지하수 감시공의 위치와 심도 선정)

  • Park, Kyung-Woo;Kwon, Jang-Soon;Ji, Sung-Hoon
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.245-261
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    • 2019
  • Radioactive contaminant from a nuclear facility moves to the ecosystem by run-off or groundwater flow. Among the two mechanisms, contaminant plume through a river can be easily detected through a surface water monitoring system, but radioactive contaminant transport in groundwater is difficult to monitor because of lack of information on flow path. To understand the contaminant flow in groundwater, understanding of the geo-environment is needed. We suggest a method to decide on monitoring location and points around an imaginary nuclear facility by using the results of site characterization in the study area. To decide the location of a monitoring well, groundwater flow modeling around the study area was conducted. The results show that, taking account of groundwater flow direction, the monitoring well should be located at the downstream area. Also, monitoring sections in the monitoring well were selected, points at which groundwater moves fast through the flow path. The method suggested in the study will be widely used to detect potential groundwater contamination in the field of oil storage caverns, pollution by agricultural use, as well as nuclear use facilities including nuclear power plants.

Modeling the Resident Characteristics of Land-Based Pollutant Inflow to Suyeong Bay (수영만으로 유입되는 육상기인 오염물질의 체류특성 모델링)

  • Jung, Woo-Sung;Hong, Sok-Jin;Lee, Won-Chan;Kim, Hyung-Chul;Kim, Jin-ho;Kim, Dong-Myung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2019
  • The resident characteristics of land-based pollutants were analyzed to manage the pollution sources affecting Suyeong Bay. These characteristics were analyzed using a hydrodynamic model and particle tracking model. Pollutants were represented by particles, and the amount of particles and pollutants was represented proportional. The resident characteristics were analyzed by comparing the amount of pollutant load, resident pollutants, and the ratio of resident pollutants remaining in the bay relative to the incoming load for each the of pollution sources. The order of the pollution sources was as follows, according to the amount of resident pollutants at Suyeong Bay. the Suyeong WasteWater Treatment Plant(WWTP), Nambu WWTP, Suyeong river and so on. The amount of resident pollutants was smaller for small load farther away from the interior of bay. Nambu WWTP had the greatest load among the pollution sources, but it showed the smallest ratio of pollutants remaining in the bay relative to incoming load among the pollution points. The result indicates that pollutants affect sea areas differently according to the characteristics each area and the topographic characteristics of pollution sources.

Numerical Study on Towing Stability of LNG Bunkering Barge in Calm Water (LNG 벙커링 바지의 정수 중 예인안정성에 관한 수치연구)

  • Oh, Seung-Hoon;Jung, Dong-Ho;Jung, Jae-Hwan;Hwang, Sung-Chul;Cho, Seok-Kyu;Sung, Hong-Gun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the towing stability of the LNG bunker barge was estimated. Currently, LNG bunkering barge is being developed for the bunkering of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas), an eco-friendly energy source. Since the LNG bunkering barge assumes the form of a towed ship connected to the tow line, the towing stability of the LNG bunker barge is crucial f not only for the safety of the LNG bunker barge but also the neighboring sailing vessels. In the initial stages, a numerical code for towing simulation was developed to estimate the towing stability of the LNG bunkering barge. The MMG (Maneuvering Mathematical modeling Group) model was applied to the equations of motion while the empirical formula was applied to the maneuvering coefficients for use in the initial design stage. To validate the developed numerical code, it was compared with published calculation and model test results. Towing simulations were done based on the changing skeg area and the towing position of the LNG bunkering barge using the developed numerical codes. As a result, the suitability of the designed stern skeg area was confirmed.

Impacts of Local Meteorology caused by Tidal Change in the West Sea on Ozone Distributions in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (서해 조석현상에 따른 국지기상 변화가 수도권 오존농도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sung Min;Kim, Yoo-Keun;An, Hye Yeon;Kang, Yoon-Hee;Jeong, Ju-Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.341-356
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the impacts of local meteorology caused by tidal changes in the West Sea on ozone distributions in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) were analyzed using a meteorological model (WRF) and an air quality (CMAQ) model. This study was carried out during the day (1200-1800 LST) between August 3 and 9, 2016. The total area of tidal flats along with the tidal changes was calculated to be approximately $912km^2$, based on data provided by the Environmental Geographic Information Service (EGIS) and the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (MOF). Modeling was carried out based on three experiments, and the land cover of the tidal flats for each experiment was designed using the coastal wetlands, water bodies (i.e., high tide), and the barren or sparsely vegetated areas (i.e., low tide). The land cover parameters of the coastal wetlands used in this study were improved in the herbaceous wetland of the WRF using updated albedo, roughness length, and soil heat capacity. The results showed that the land cover variation during high tide caused a decrease in temperature (maximum $4.5^{\circ}C$) and planetary boundary layer (PBL) height (maximum 1200 m), and an increase in humidity (maximum 25%) and wind speed (maximum $1.5ms^{-1}$). These meteorological changes increased the ozone concentration (about 5.0 ppb) in the coastal areas including the tidal flats. The increase in the ozone concentration during high tide may be caused by a weak diffusion to the upper layer due to a decrease in the PBL height. The changes in the meteorological variables and ozone concentration during low tide were lesser than those occurring during high tide. This study suggests that the meteorological variations caused by tidal changes have a meaningful effect on the ozone concentration in the SMA.

A study on the estimation of wind noise level using the measured wind-speed data in the coastal area of the East Sea (동해 연안에서 관측된 풍속자료를 이용한 바람소음준위 추정 연구)

  • Park, Jisung;Kang, Donghyug;Kim, Mira;Cho, Sungho
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.378-386
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    • 2019
  • Unlike ship noise that radiates from moving ships, wind noise is caused by breaking waves as a result of the interaction between the wind and the sea surface. In this paper, WNL (Wind Noise Level) was modeled by considering the noise source of the wind as the bubble cloud generated by the breaking waves. In the modeling, SL( Source Level) of the wind noise was calculated using the wind-speed data measured from the weather buoy operated in the coastal area of the East Sea. At the same time as observing the wind speed, NL (Noise Level) was continuously measured using a self-recording hydrophone deployed near the weather buoy. The modeled WNL according to the wind speed and the measured NL removing the shipping noise from the acoustic raw data were compared in the low-frequency band. The overall trends between the modeled WNL and the measured NL were similar to each other. Therefore, it was confirmed that it is possible to model the WNL in the shallow water considering the SL and distribution depth of bubble cloud caused by the wind.