• 제목/요약/키워드: Water demand estimation

검색결과 130건 처리시간 0.028초

농업용수 수요량 산정 시스템 개발(관개배수 \circled1) (Development of the Estimation System for Agricultural Water Demand)

  • 이광야;김선주;김현영;서영제
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국농공학회 2000년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
    • /
    • pp.114-119
    • /
    • 2000
  • To estimate Agricultural water demand, many factors such as weather, type of crop, soil, cultivation method, crop coefficient and cultivation area, etc. must be considered. But it is not easy to estimate water demand in consideration of these many factors, which are variable according to a period and regional environment. So, this study provides estimation system for agricultural water demand(ESAD) in order to estimate water demand easily and accurately, calculates the present and future agricultural water demand and arranges all factors needed for water demand estimation. This study calibrates the application of estimation system for agricultural water demand with the data observed in the other Studies and analyzes agricultural water demand nationwide.

  • PDF

농업용수 수요량 산정 시스템 개발 (Development of the Estimation System for Agricultural Water Demand)

  • 이광야;김선주
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제43권1호
    • /
    • pp.53-65
    • /
    • 2001
  • To estimate agricultural water demand, many factors such as weather, crops, soil, cultivation method, crop coefficient and cultivation area, etc. must be considered. But it is not easy to estimate water demand in consideration of these factors, which are variable according to growth stage and regional environment. This study provides estimation system for agricultural water demand(ESAD) in order to estimate water demand easily and accurately, and arranges all factors needed for water demand estimation. This study identifies the application of estimation system for agricultural water demand with the data observed in the other studies, and analyzes nationwide agricultural water demand. The results are as follows. 1) The practice of different rice cultivation in the paddy field resulted in different water demands. Water depth and infiltration ratio in paddy are the most important factors to estimate water demand. The water depths in paddy simulated by ESAD is very similar to the observed ones. 2) Water demand of upland crops varies with the crops, soil, etc.. Effective rainfall estimated by daily routing of soil moisture varies according to the crops, soil, and effective soil zone(root depth). As crop root become grown, effective rainfall and an amount of irrigation water has been increased. 3) The current unit water demand of upland crops applied as 500mm or 550mm to estimate water demand does not reflect the differences caused by the crops, regional surrounding, weather condition, etc. Results from ESAD for the estimation of water demand of upland crops show that ESAD can simulate the actual field conditions reasonably because it simulates the actual irrigation practices with the daily routing of soil moisture.

  • PDF

물수요의 추세 변화의 적응을 위한 모델링 절차 제시:베이지안 매개변수 산정법 적용 (Modeling Procedure to Adapt to Change of Trend of Water Demand: Application of Bayesian Parameter Estimation)

  • 이상은;박희경
    • 상하수도학회지
    • /
    • 제23권2호
    • /
    • pp.241-249
    • /
    • 2009
  • It is well known that the trend of water demand in large-size water supply systems has been suddenly changed, and many expansions of water supply facilities become unnecessary. To be cost-effective, thus, politicians as well as many professionals lay stress on the adaptive management of water supply facilities. Failure in adapting to the new trend of demand is sure to be the most critical reason of unnecessary expansions. Hence, we try to develop the model and modeling procedure that do not depend on the old data of demand, and provide engineers with the fast learning process. To forecast water demand of Seoul, the Bayesian parameter estimation was applied, which is a representative method for statistical pattern recognition. It results that we can get a useful time-series model after observing water demand during 6 years, although trend of water demand were suddenly changed.

생활용수 수요추정방법 개선에 의한 하수발생량 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on the prediction of the generation of domestic sewage by improvement of water demand estimation)

  • 김재윤
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제11권12호
    • /
    • pp.1275-1279
    • /
    • 2002
  • This study was performed to improve water demand estimation and analize correlation between generation of domestic sewage and domestic water use. To improve the prediction of water demand estimation, new water demand equation was developed. The results is as follows. $InQ_t = {\beta}_0+{\beta}_1InP_t+{\beta}_2InY_t+{\beta}_3InH_t+{varepsilon}_t$By using the statistical analysis of the "generation of domestic sewage" and "domestic water use", the regression equation between them is formed. The result is as follows. Generation of domestic sewage : 0.8487 $\times$ Domestic water use + 684.57 ($R^2$= 0.972)>$R^2$= 0.972)

논용수 수요량 산정을 중심으로 한 농업용수 수요량 산정방법의 개선 (Improvement of agricultural water demand estimation focusing on paddy water demand)

  • 박창근;황준식;서용원
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제53권11호
    • /
    • pp.939-949
    • /
    • 2020
  • 현재 농업환경 및 식생활 변화 등으로 인하여 농지 수요는 꾸준히 감소하고 있다. 이러한 현상과 맞물려 정부에서는 2019년 6월에 물관리기본법을 제정함으로써 지속가능한 통합 물 관리시대를 본격화 하고 있다. 따라서 효율적인 통합 물 관리를 실현하기 위해서는 61%라는 가장 많은 용수를 사용하고 있는 농업용수에 대한 면밀한 검토가 이루어져야 할 시점이다. 금회 연구에서는 현재 농업용수 사용량 현황을 분석함과 동시에 농업용수 중 67% ~ 87%의 비율을 차지하고 있는 논 용수 산정법을 검토한 후 문제점을 분석하였다. 논 용수 산정방법의 가장 큰 문제점은 잠재증발산량 산정식 선정에 있다. 현재 사용하고 있는 잠재증발산량 방법은 식량농업기구(Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nationns: FAO)에서 권장하고 있는 Penman-Monteith 식이 아닌 과거부터 사용되고 있는 수정 Penman 식이다. 또한 실제 증발산량 산정의 주요 인자인 작물계수는 23년 전의 작물계수를 이용함으로써 현재 기후 및 작물품종 변화를 반영할 수 없다는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 전주기상청의 자료를 이용하여 Penman 및 Penman-Monteith 식을 비교한 결과 수정 Penman 식이 Penma-Monteith 식에 비하여 2배 이상의 큰 값을 보였다. 작물계수를 적용할 경우 증발산량이 높게 발생되는 5월 하순에서 8월 하순까지 두 산정방식에 의한 결과 차이가 크게 나타났다. 또한 전북 김제지역 4개 농업용 저수지 용수공급량 자료를 이용하여 실제 사용량과 산정된 농업용수 수요량을 비교 검토하였다. 잠재증발산량 뿐 아니라 담수심법에 따라 최적 수요량 산정방법에는 차이를 보였다.

Bhumipol Dam Operation Improvement via smart system for the Thor Tong Daeng Irrigation Project, Ping River Basin, Thailand

  • Koontanakulvong, Sucharit;Long, Tran Thanh;Van, Tuan Pham
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.164-175
    • /
    • 2019
  • The Tor Tong Daeng Irrigation Project with the irrigation area of 61,400 hectares is located in the Ping Basin of the Upper Central Plain of Thailand where farmers depended on both surface water and groundwater. In the drought year, water storage in the Bhumipol Dam is inadequate to allocate water for agriculture, and caused water deficit in many irrigation projects. Farmers need to find extra sources of water such as water from farm pond or groundwater as a supplement. The operation of Bhumipol Dam and irrigation demand estimation are vital for irrigation water allocation to help solve water shortage issue in the irrigation project. The study aims to determine the smart dam operation system to mitigate water shortage in this irrigation project via introduction of machine learning to improve dam operation and irrigation demand estimation via soil moisture estimation from satellite images. Via ANN technique application, the inflows to the dam are generated from the upstream rain gauge stations using past 10 years daily rainfall data. The input vectors for ANN model are identified base on regression and principal component analysis. The structure of ANN (length of training data, the type of activation functions, the number of hidden nodes and training methods) is determined from the statistics performance between measurements and ANN outputs. On the other hands, the irrigation demand will be estimated by using satellite images, LANDSAT. The Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Temperature Vegetation Dryness Index (TVDI) values are estimated from the plant growth stage and soil moisture. The values are calibrated and verified with the field plant growth stages and soil moisture data in the year 2017-2018. The irrigation demand in the irrigation project is then estimated from the plant growth stage and soil moisture in the area. With the estimated dam inflow and irrigation demand, the dam operation will manage the water release in the better manner compared with the past operational data. The results show how smart system concept was applied and improve dam operation by using inflow estimation from ANN technique combining with irrigation demand estimation from satellite images when compared with the past operation data which is an initial step to develop the smart dam operation system in Thailand.

  • PDF

농업용수 수요량 예측기법 고찰 (Consideration of Techniques for Agricultural Water Demands Estimation)

  • 박재홍;이용직
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
    • /
    • pp.37-40
    • /
    • 2002
  • It is to show the problems of the existing techniques to estimate agricultural water demand and to suggest the new methods considering the water demand for non-irrigated area and decrease of water loss in canal. It is to suggest the methods to improve the techniques for estimating agricultural water demand and to analyze the water demand and supply according to the facilities capacity. Until now, the concept of per the unit used to estimate agriculture water demand is useful to estimate demand, but is insufficient to cope with the variations of conditions in future. And the paddy area of government is not realistic against a trend of decrease. Water demand decrease is caused by constructions of irrigation facilities as constructing of irrigation canal, but application loss ratio is fixed. Increase of the water demand owing to the increase of the yield per the unit area is also the actual condition which is not considered. The guide-line must contain these contents for a demand estimate.

  • PDF

토지피복도를 이용한 북한 지역의 논용수 수요량 추정 (Estimation of Paddy Water Demand Using Land Cover Map in North Korea)

  • 유승환;윤성한;홍석영;최진용
    • 한국관개배수논문집
    • /
    • 제14권2호
    • /
    • pp.236-244
    • /
    • 2007
  • Agricultural water demand in North Korea must be considered for the near-future investment in agricultural consolidation projects and to prepare for the future unification. Thus, the objective of this study is to estimate the agricultural water demand of paddy fieldss in North Korea. GIS data including land cover classification map, Thiessen network and administration maps of North Korea, and meteorological data were synthesized. In order to estimate paddy water demand for a 10-year return period, the FAO Blaney-Criddle method and the fixed effective rainfall ratio method were used. The results showed that 4.77 billion $\beta$(c)/year paddy water demand is required for the 512,400 ha of paddy fieldss. Paddy water demand in the three major regions - Hwanghaedo, Pyeongando, Hamgyeongnamdo - was estimated chargong 81.7 percent of total paddy water demand in North Korea.

  • PDF

이앙시기 및 담수심 변화에 따른 논벼 수요량 변화 분석 (Analysis of Variance of Paddy Water Demand Depending on Rice Transplanting Period and Ponding Depth)

  • 조건호;최경숙
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제63권3호
    • /
    • pp.75-85
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study evaluated variations in the paddy rice water demand based on the continuous changing in rice transplanting period and ponding depth at the four study paddy fields, which represent typical rice producing regions in Korea. Total 7 scenarios on rice transplanting periods were applied while minimum ponding depth of 0 and 20 mm were applied in accordance with maximum ponding depth ranging from 40 mm to 100 mm with 20 mm interval. The weather data from 2013 to 2019 was also considered. The results indicated that the highest rice water demand occurred at high temperature and low rainfall region. Increased rice transplanting periods showed higher rice water demand. The rice water demand for 51 transplanting days closely matched with the actual irrigation water supply. In case of ponding depth, the results showed that the minimum ponding depth had a proportional relationship with rice water demand, while maximum ponding depth showed the contrary results. Minimum ponding depth had a greater impact on rice water demand than the maximum ponding depth. Therefore, these results suggest that increasing the rice transplanting period, which reflects the current practice is desirable for a reliable estimation of rice water demand.

패널자료를 이용한 생활용수 수요의 가격탄력도 분석 (Panel Estimation of Price Elasticities on Residential Water Demand in Korea)

  • 박두호;최한주
    • 상하수도학회지
    • /
    • 제20권4호
    • /
    • pp.527-534
    • /
    • 2006
  • Demand side management(DSM) is the newly raised issues in the water resources management in recent. Many of the policy tools among demand management, the most important measures might be a pricing system. Furthermore, the responses of consumers on the price for water consumption level is the key factor for policy making. Here, we estimated panel data for 167 regions and over 7 years periods in Korea. Compare to other previous studies the price elasticities were somewhat low. The estimated price elasticity was -0.05. It was because the short term estimated period may derive lower elasticities. However, it might be a recent trend after the continuous increment of water pricing and consumers not willing to decrease their residential water consumption with increasing water pricing. According to this results, water saving effect might be much smaller than we expect with pricing policy. However, It does not imply there is no price effects on water consumption and it's still meaningful as a tool of water management.