• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water Balance 모형

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A Study on the Flow and Dispersion in the Coastal Unconfined Aquifer (Development and Application of a Numerical Model) (해안지역 비피압 충적 대수층에서의 흐름 및 분산(수치모형의 개발 및 적용))

  • Kim, Sang Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2016
  • In Korea, the aquifers at the coastal areas are mostly shallow alluvial unconfined aquifers. To simulate the flow and dispersion in unconfined aquifer, a FDM model has been developed to solve the nonlinear Boussinesq equation. Related analysis and verification have been executed. The iteration method is used to solve the nonlinearity, and the model shows 3-D shape because it is a 2-D y model that consider the undulation of water table and bottom. For the verification of the model, the output of flow module is compared to the 1-D analytic solution of Lee (1989) which have the drawdown or uplift boundary condition, and the two results show almost the same value. and the mass balance of dispersion module shows about 10% error. The developed model can be used for the analysis and design of the flow and dispersion in the unconfined aquifers. The model has been applied to the estuary area of Ssangcheon watershed, and the parameters have been deduced as a result : hydraulic conductivity is 90 m/day, and longitudinal dispersivity is 15 m. And the analysis with these parameters shows that the wells are situated in the influence circle of each others except for No. 7 well. Groundwater discharge to sea is $3700m^3/day$. And the chlorine ion ($cl^-$) concentration at the pumping wells increase at least 1000 mg/L if groundwater dam is not exist, so the groundwater dam plays an important role for the prevention of sea water intrusion.

Water Balance Projection Using Climate Change Scenarios in the Korean Peninsula (기후변화 시나리오를 활용한 미래 한반도 물수급 전망)

  • Kim, Cho-Rong;Kim, Young-Oh;Seo, Seung Beom;Choi, Su-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.8
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    • pp.807-819
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    • 2013
  • This study proposes a new methodology for future water balance projection considering climate change by assigning a weight to each scenario instead of inputting future streamflows based on GCMs into a water balance model directly. K-nearest neighbor algorithm was employed to assign weights and streamflows in non-flood period (October to the following June) was selected as the criterion for assigning weights. GCM-driven precipitation was input to TANK model to simulate future streamflow scenarios and Quantile Mapping was applied to correct bias between GCM hindcast and historical data. Based on these bias-corrected streamflows, different weights were assigned to each streamflow scenarios to calculate water shortage for the projection periods; 2020s (2010~2039), 2050s (2040~2069), and 2080s (2070~2099). As a result by applying the proposed methodology to project water shortage over the Korean Peninsula, average water shortage for 2020s is projected to increase to 10~32% comparing to the basis (1967~2003). In addition, according to getting decreased in streamflows in non-flood period gradually by 2080s, average water shortage for 2080s is projected to increase up to 97% (516.5 million $m^3/yr$) as maximum comparing to the basis. While the existing research on climate change gives radical increase in future water shortage, the results projected by the weighting method shows conservative change. This study has significance in the applicability of water balance projection regarding climate change, keeping the existing framework of national water resources planning and this lessens the confusion for decision-makers in water sectors.

Development of a Data-Driven Model for Forecasting Outflow to Establish a Reasonable River Water Management System (합리적인 하천수 관리체계 구축을 위한 자료기반 방류량 예측모형 개발)

  • Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh;Choi, Seo Hye;Park, Moon Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 2020
  • In most cases of the water balance analysis, the return flow ratio for each water supply was uniformly determined and applied, so it has been contained a problem that the volume of available water would be incorrectly calculated. Therefore, sewage and wastewater among the return water were focused in this study and the data-driven model was developed to forecast the outflow from the sewage treatment plant. The forecasting results of LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), GRU (Gated Recurrent Units), and SVR (Support Vector Regression) models, which are mainly used for forecasting the time series data in most fields, were compared with the observed data to determine the optimal model parameters for forecasting outflow. As a result of applying the model, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the GRU model was smaller than those of the LSTM and SVR models, and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) was higher than those of others. Thus, it was judged that the GRU model could be the optimal model for forecasting the outflow in sewage treatment plants. However, the forecasting outflow tends to be underestimated and overestimated in extreme sections. Therefore, the additional data for extreme events and reducing the minimum time unit of input data were necessary to enhance the accuracy of forecasting. If the water use of the target site was reviewed and the additional parameters that could reflect seasonal effects were considered, more accurate outflow could be forecasted to be ready for climate variability in near future. And it is expected to use as fundamental resources for establishing a reasonable river water management system based on the forecasting results.

Estimation and Evaluation of Spatial Evapotranspiration Using satellite images and SEBAL Model in Chungju dam watershed (위성영상과 SEBAL 모형을 이용한 충주댐 유역의 공간증발산량 산정 및 평가)

  • Ha, Rim;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Min-Gi;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2009
  • 증발산량을 산정하는 것은 자연현상과 인문현상을 이해하는 것의 기초가 된다. 이에, 최근 증발산량을 추정하는 많은 연구가 진행되고 있는 가운데 원격탐사 기법을 이용하는 것이 효과적인 것으로 알려지고 있다. 본 연구에서 소개할 SEBAL (Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land) (Bastiaanssen, 1995) 모형은 Landsat이나 NOAA 또는 MODIS 같은 원격탐사 위성으로부터 획득한 디지털 이미지 데이터(위성영상)를 이용하여, 지표에서 일어나는 증발산과 기타의 에너지 교환을 계산하는 이미지-프로세싱 모델이다. 우리나라 대상 유역에 위성영상을 사용하여 증발산량을 추정하는 SEBAL 모형의 적용 가능성을 검토하여, 유역 내 증발산량 분포의 시공간적 특성을 분석하고자 하였다. 연구 대상 지역은 유역 면적 약 6661.1km2의 충주댐 유역으로, Terra MODIS 위성영상을 이용하였다. SEBAL 증발산량의 평가를 위해 Penman-Monteith 공식에 의해 계산된 증발산량을 이용하여 비교하였으며, 그 결과 오차가 허용 가능한 10% 이내로 나타났다.

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Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of the RICEWQ Model (RICEWQ 모형의 보정 및 민감도 분석)

  • Chung, Sang-Ok;Park, Ki-Jung;Son, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2008
  • The main objectives of this study are to calibrate the RICEWQ model with Korean field data and then analyse the sensitivity of the parameters to identify sensitive parameters. The RICEWQ is widely used to predict pesticide fate in a paddy plot. An experimental paddy plot of 0.2 ha($100{\times}20\;m$) at Seobyeon-dong, Daegu, Korea was selected, and field observations for water and pesticide balance were performed from 4 June to 2 September 2006. The molinate, which is a herbicide widely used for weed control in rice culture, was selected. The RICEWQ model was successfully calibrated both for the water and pesticide mass balance. The calibrated model showed a RMSE of 0.537 cm for ponded water depths and a RMSE of 0.036 mg/L for the molinate concentrations in the ponded water. The most sensitive parameters for molinate concentrations in ponded water were the metabolism degradation rate in water, volatilization coefficient, and release rate for slow release formulation. In contrast, the RICEWQ model was not sensitive to parameters such as hydrolysis degradation rate in water and degradation rate in unsaturated soil.

A Study on Simulation of Dam-break Wave Using Two-dimensional Finite Volume Model (2차원 유한체적모형을 이용한 댐 붕괴파 모의에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Woo-Chang;Park, Young-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.249-262
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    • 2011
  • In this study, in order to reduce the numerical oscillation due to the unbalance between source and flux terms as the HLLC scheme is applied to the flow analysis on the irregular bed topography, a unstructured finite volume model based on the well-balanced HLLC scheme and the shallow water equations is developed and applied to problems of dam-break waves. The well-balanced HLLC scheme considers directly the gradient of bed topography as the flux terms is calculated. This scheme provides the good numerical balance between the source and flux terms in the case of the application to the steady-state transcritical flow. To verify the numerical model developed in this study, it is applied to three cases of hydraulic model experiments and a field case study of Mapasset dam failure (France). As a result of the verification, the predicted numerical results agree relatively well with available laboratory and field measurements. The model provides slightly more accurate results compared with the existing models.

Evaluation of Future Water Deficit for Anseong River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 안성천 유역의 미래 물 부족량 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Wung;Jung, Jaewon;Hong, Seung Jin;Han, Daegun;Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2017
  • The average global temperature on Earth has increased by about $0.85^{\circ}C$ since 1880 due to the global warming. The temperature increase affects hydrologic phenomenon and so the world has been suffered from natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Therefore, especially, in the aspect of water deficit, we may require the accurate prediction of water demand considering the uncertainty of climate in order to establish water resources planning and to ensure safe water supply for the future. To do this, the study evaluated future water balance and water deficit under the climate change for Anseong river basin in Korea. The future rainfall was simulated using RCP 8.5 climate change scenario and the runoff was estimated through the SLURP model which is a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model for the basin. Scenario and network for the water balance analysis in sub-basins of Anseong river basin were established through K-WEAP model. And the water demand for the future was estimated by the linear regression equation using amounts of water uses(domestic water use, industrial water use, and agricultural water use) calculated by historical data (1965 to 2011). As the result of water balance analysis, we confirmed that the domestic and industrial water uses will be increased in the future because of population growth, rapid urbanization, and climate change due to global warming. However, the agricultural water use will be gradually decreased. Totally, we had shown that the water deficit problem will be critical in the future in Anseong river basin. Therefore, as the case study, we suggested two alternatives of pumping station construction and restriction of water use for solving the water deficit problem in the basin.

Daily Streamflow Model for the Korean Watersheds (韓國 河川의 日 流出量 模型)

  • Kim, Tae-Cheol;Park, Seong-Ki;Ahn, Byoung-Gi
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.223-233
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    • 1996
  • Daily streamflow model, DAWAST, considering the meteorologic and geographic characteristics of the Korean watersheds has been developed to simulate the daily streamflow with the input data of daily rainfall and pan evaporation. The model is the conceptual one with three sub-models which are optimization, generalization, and regionalization models. The conceptual model consists of three linear reservoirs representing the surface, unsaturated, and saturated soil zones and water balance analysis was carried out in each soil zones on a daily basis. Optimization model calibrates the parameters by optimization technique and is applicable to the watersheds where the daily streamflow data are available Generalization model predicts the parameters by regression equations considering the geographic, soil type, land use, and hydrogeologic characteristics of watershed and is appicable to ungaged medium or small watersheds. Regionalization model cites the parameters from the analysed ones considering river system, latitude and longitude, and is applicable to ungaged large watersheds.

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Improving Water Balance Analysis Method for Water Supply and Demand Assessment (물수급 평가를 위한 물수지 분석 방법 개선)

  • Jeon, Kyeong Soo;Hwang, Ju Ha;Muhammad, Azam;Maeng, Seung Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.262-262
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    • 2016
  • 최근 우리나라뿐 아니라 세계 여러 국가에서 지구온난화와 기상이변의 이유로 홍수 및 이상가뭄이 빈발하고 있다. 이러한 기상변화에 의한 물순환의 변동은 미래 가용수자원량을 변화시키고, 이에 따라 장래 용수공급역량을 예측하고 다양한 물수요에 대해 충족 가능여부를 파악하는 여러가지 방법들 중 물수급 분석은 장기수자원계획 수립의 핵심요소이자 그 중요성이 날로 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 금호강 유역을 대상으로 기존 수자원장기종합계획에서 제시하고 있는 중권역단위 물수지 분석을 행정구역단위로 세분화하여 수자원장기종합계획에서 사용했던 물수급 네트워크 모형인 K-WEAP 모형에 의한 물수지 분석을 실시하였다. 또한, 중권역 단위 물수지 결과와 행정구역단위 물수지 결과를 비교하여 분석 기본 유역 단위에 따른 물수급을 평가하였다. 본 연구 적용 결과, 생공용수의 경우 최대갈수기에도 물부족이 발생하지 않았지만 농업용수의 경우는 포항시에서 시나리오별 2016년에는 $548,000m^3$, 2020년에는 $547,000m^3$, 2525년에는 $497,000m^3$ 물부족량이 발생하는 것으로 분석되었다. 이는 기존의 선행 물수급 전망 방법론을 적용한 경우와 비교했을 때는 다른 산정결과를 보여줌으로써 미래의 수자원계획을 수립하는데 있어 새로운 기준을 제시할 수 있는 자료로 활용하고자 하였다.

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Analysis of Water Balance by Surface-Groundwater Interaction Using SWAT Model for Han River Basin, South Korea (SWAT 모형을 이용한 지표-지하수 상호작용에 의한 한강유역의 물수지 분석)

  • Ahn, So Ra;Joh, Hyung Kyung;Lee, Yong Gwan;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.516-516
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 한강유역($2,6018km^2$)을 대상으로 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하여 지표수와 지하수의 상호작용에 의한 물수지 분석을 수행하고, 수량측면의 유역 건전성을 평가하였다. 유역의 물수지 분석을 위해 한강유역을 표준유역 단위로 구분하고, 기상자료, 하천유량, 다목적댐(소양강댐, 충주댐, 횡성댐) 운영자료, 다기능보(강천보, 여주보, 이포보) 운영자료, 증발산량, 토양수분 자료를 수집하였다. SWAT 모형의 신뢰성 있는 유출량 보정을 위해 한강유역 내 위치하는 다목적댐 및 다기능보의 실측 방류량을 이용하여 댐 운영모의를 고려하였고, 실측 지하수위, 증발산, 토양수분 자료를 이용하여 모형의 보정(2005~2009)과 검증(2010~2014)을 실시하였다. 그 결과 토양수분으로부터 증발산이 발생하고 유출 및 지하수까지 영향을 미치는 물수지 현상을 잘 재현하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 이후 유역의 수량측면의 건전성 평가를 위한 수문요소로 하천 유출량, 증발산량, 침투, 침루, 기저유출, 토양수분, 지하수 함양량 등을 도출하고 유역의 물순환을 해석하여 유역의 건전성을 평가하였다.

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