• Title/Summary/Keyword: Variance estimation

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Estimation of Pollutant Load Using Genetic-algorithm and Regression Model (유전자 알고리즘과 회귀식을 이용한 오염부하량의 예측)

  • Park, Youn Shik
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2014
  • BACKGROUND: Water quality data are collected less frequently than flow data because of the cost to collect and analyze, while water quality data corresponding to flow data are required to compute pollutant loads or to calibrate other hydrology models. Regression models are applicable to interpolate water quality data corresponding to flow data. METHODS AND RESULTS: A regression model was suggested which is capable to consider flow and time variance, and the regression model coefficients were calibrated using various measured water quality data with genetic-algorithm. Both LOADEST and the regression using genetic-algorithm were evaluated by 19 water quality data sets through calibration and validation. The regression model using genetic-algorithm displayed the similar model behaviors to LOADEST. The load estimates by both LOADEST and the regression model using genetic-algorithm indicated that use of a large proportion of water quality data does not necessarily lead to the load estimates with smaller error to measured load. CONCLUSION: Regression models need to be calibrated and validated before they are used to interpolate pollutant loads, as separating water quality data into two data sets for calibration and validation.

Performance Improvement of an Extended Kalman Filter Using Simplified Indirect Inference Method Fuzzy Logic (간편 간접추론 방식의 퍼지논리에 의한 확장 칼만필터의 성능 향상)

  • Chai, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 2016
  • In order to improve the performance of an extended Kalman filter, a simplified indirect inference method (SIIM) fuzzy logic system (FLS) is proposed. The proposed FLS is composed of two fuzzy input variables, four fuzzy rules and one fuzzy output. Two normalized fuzzy input variables are the variance between the trace of a prior and a posterior covariance matrix, and the residual error of a Kalman algorithm. One fuzzy output variable is the weighting factor to adjust for the Kalman gain. There is no need to decide the number and the membership function of input variables, because we employ the normalized monotone increasing/decreasing function. The single parameter to be determined is the magnitude of a universe of discourse in the output variable. The structure of the proposed FLS is simple and easy to apply to various nonlinear state estimation problems. The simulation results show that the proposed FLS has strong adaptability to estimate the states of the incoming/outgoing moving objects, and outperforms the conventional extended Kalman filter algorithm by providing solutions that are more accurate.

An Estimation Procedure Using Updated Stratification Sample in Panel Survery (패널표본조사에서 층간변동을 고려한 추정방법)

  • 김영원;오명신
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.461-475
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    • 1998
  • In panel survey in which the sample is selected by stratified random sampling, if the sampling units shift from a stratum to others in time, then the movement should be incorporated in the estimation procedures. Dealing with the problem caused by the movement of units across stratum in the updated stratification sample, the bias of the conventional estimator neglecting the movement is investigated, arid the bias-adjusted estimators are proposed. The variance estimator of the suggested estimators is also derived. It is illustrated via a simulation study that the proposed estimators beat the conventional estimator in the sense of bias and mean squared error In particular, when the Neyman allocation is applied in stratified sampling, the proposed estimator is shown much more effective to this end.

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Future Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Low Flow on Climate Change in Dam Basins (기후변화에 따른 저유량 전망 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Moon Hwan;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.407-419
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    • 2016
  • The low flow is the necessary and important index to establish national water planning, however there are lots of uncertainty in the low flow estimation. Therefore, the objectives of this study are to assess the climate change uncertainty and the effects of hydrological models on low flow estimation. The 5 RCMs (HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4, MM5, WRF, and RSM), 5 statistical post-processing methods and 2 hydrological models were applied for evaluation. The study area were selected as Chungju dam and Soyang river dam basin, and the 30 days minimum flow is used for the low flow evaluation. The results of the uncertainty analysis showed that the hydrological model was the largest source of uncertainty about 41.5% in the low flow projection. The uncertainty of hydrological model is higher than the other steps (RCM, statistical post-processing). Also, VIC model is more sensitive for climate change compared to SWAT model. Therefore, the hydrological model should be thoroughly reviewed for the climate change impact assessment on low flow.

Analysis of quantitative high throughput screening data using a robust method for nonlinear mixed effects models

  • Park, Chorong;Lee, Jongga;Lim, Changwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.701-714
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    • 2020
  • Quantitative high throughput screening (qHTS) assays are used to assess toxicity for many chemicals in a short period by collectively analyzing them at several concentrations. Data are routinely analyzed using nonlinear regression models; however, we propose a new method to analyze qHTS data using a nonlinear mixed effects model. qHTS data are generated by repeating the same experiment several times for each chemical; therefor, they can be viewed as if they are repeated measures data and hence analyzed using a nonlinear mixed effects model which accounts for both intra- and inter-individual variabilities. Furthermore, we apply a one-step approach incorporating robust estimation methods to estimate fixed effect parameters and the variance-covariance structure since outliers or influential observations are not uncommon in qHTS data. The toxicity of chemicals from a qHTS assay is classified based on the significance of a parameter related to the efficacy of the chemicals using the proposed method. We evaluate the performance of the proposed method in terms of power and false discovery rate using simulation studies comparing with one existing method. The proposed method is illustrated using a dataset obtained from the National Toxicology Program.

Wireless sensor network design for large-scale infrastructures health monitoring with optimal information-lifespan tradeoff

  • Xiao-Han, Hao;Sin-Chi, Kuok;Ka-Veng, Yuen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.583-599
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a multi-objective wireless sensor network configuration optimization method is proposed. The proposed method aims to determine the optimal information and lifespan wireless sensor network for structural health monitoring of large-scale infrastructures. In particular, cluster-based wireless sensor networks with multi-type of sensors are considered. To optimize the lifetime of the wireless sensor network, a cluster-based network optimization algorithm that optimizes the arrangement of cluster heads and base station is developed. On the other hand, based on the Bayesian inference, the uncertainty of the estimated parameters can be quantified. The coefficient of variance of the estimated parameters can be obtained, which is utilized as a holistic measure to evaluate the estimation accuracy of sensor configurations with multi-type of sensors. The proposed method provides the optimal wireless sensor network configuration that satisfies the required estimation accuracy with the longest lifetime. The proposed method is illustrated by designing the optimal wireless sensor network configuration of a cable-stayed bridge and a space truss.

On-line Fundamental Frequency Tracking Method for Harmonic Signal and Application to ANC (조화신호의 실시간 기본 주파수 추종 방법과 능동소음제어에의 응용)

  • Kim, Sun-Min;Park, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.263-268
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a new indirect feedback active noise control (ANC) scheme based on the fundamental frequency estimation is proposed for systems with a harmonic noise. When reference signals necessary for feedforward ANC configuration is difficult to obtain, the conventional ANC algorithms for multi-tonal noise do not measure the reference signals but generate them with the estimated frequencies. However, the beating phenomena, in which certain frequency components of the noise vanish intermittently, may make the adaptive frequency estimation difficult. The confusion in the estimated frequencies due to the beating phenomena makes the generated reference signals worthless. The proposed algorithm consists of two parts. The first part is a reference generator using the fundamental frequency estimation and the second one is the conventional feedforward control. We propose the fundamental frequency estimation algorithm using decision rules, which is insensitive to the beating phenomena. In addition, the proposed fundamental frequency estimation algorithm has good tracking capability and lower variance of frequency estimation error than that of the conventional cascade ANF method. We are also able to control all interested modes of the noise, even which cannot be estimated by the conventional frequency estimation method because of the poor SIN ratio. We verify the performance of the proposed ANC method through simulations for the measured cabin noise of a passenger ship and the measured time-varying engine booming noise of a passenger vehicle.

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Active Control of Harmonic Signal Based on On-line Fundamental Frequency Tracking Method (실시간 기본주파수 추종방법에 근간한 조화 신호의 능동제어)

  • 김선민;박영진
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.1059-1066
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    • 2000
  • In this paper. a new indirect feedback active noise control (ANC) scheme barred on the fundamental frequency estimation is proposed for systems with a harmonic noise. When reference signals necessary for feedforward ANC configuration are difficult to obtain, the conventional ANC algorithms for multi-tonal noise do not measure the reference signals but generate them with the estimated frequencies.$^{(4)}$ However, the beating phenomena, in which certain frequency components of the noise vanish intermittently, may make the adaptive frequency estimation difficult. The confusion in the estimated frequencies due to the beating phenomena makes the generated reference signals worthless. The proposed algorithm consists of two parts. The first part is a reference generator using the fundamental frequency estimation and the second one is the conventional feedforward control. We propose the fundamental frequency estimation algorithm using decision rules. which is insensitive to the beating phenomena. In addition, the proposed fundamental frequency estimation algorithm has good tracking capability and lower variance of frequency estimation error than that of the conventional cascade ANF method.$^{(4)}$ We are also able to control all interested modes of the noise, even which cannot be estimated by the conventional frequency estimation method because of the poor S/N ratio. We verify the performance of the proposed ANC method through simulations for the measured cabin noise of a passenger ship and the measured time-varying engine booming noise of a passenger vehicle.

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Effective MCTF based on Correlation Improvement of Motion Vector Field (움직임 벡터 필드의 상관도 향상을 통한 효과적인 MCTF 방법)

  • Kim, Jongho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.1187-1193
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents an effective motion estimation to improve the performance of the motion compensated temporal filtering (MCTF) which is a core part of the wavelet-based scalable video coding. The proposed scheme makes the motion vector field uniform by the modified median operation and the search strategies using adjacent motion vectors, in order to enhance the pixel connectivity which is significantly relevant to the performance of the MCTF. Moreover, the motion estimation with variable block sizes that reflects the features of frames is introduced for further correlation improvement of the motion vector field. Experimental results illustrate that the proposed method reduces the decomposed energy on the temporal high frequency subband frame up to 30.33% in terms of variance compared to the case of the full search with fixed block sizes.

A Distance Estimation Scheme Based on WLAN RF Properties for Localization of Mobile Terminals (WLAN 전파특성 기반 실내 위치설정을 위한 이동단말의 거리추정 기법)

  • Yang, Jeong-Woo;An, Gae-Il;Kim, Shin-Hyo;Chung, Byung-Ho;Kim, Tae-Yeon;Pyun, Ki-Hyun;Cho, Gi-Hwan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39B no.7
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    • pp.449-458
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    • 2014
  • In the context-aware services, localization is an important technical element. Due to the easy to use and low cost, it was widely enabled with RF properties such as RSSI. However, RSSI is known to be not appropriated for indoor localization, because it tends to show big variance in time and is greatly effected with the multipath. This paper proposes a distance estimation process and its constituted methods for indoor localization, by making use of the other WLAN's RF property, CSI(Channel State Information). Firstly we define a comprehensive localization process, and suggest a calibration algorithm of environment factors in the path loss propagation model. Then, by implementing them with a commercial WLAN module, an the proposed process and methods are evaluated in terms of usefulness.