• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unconditional likelihood function

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A Unit Root Test for Multivariate Autoregressive Model with Multiple Unit Roots

  • Shin, Key-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 1997
  • Recently maximum likelihood estimators using unconditional likelihood function are used for testing unit roots. When one wants to use this method the determinant term of initial values in the multivariate unconditional likelihood function produces a complicated function of the elements in the coefficient matrix and variance matrix. In this paper an approximation of the determinant term is calculated and based on this aproximation an approximated unconditional likelihood function is calculated. The approximated unconditional maximum likelihood estimators can be used to test for unit roots. When multivariate process has one unit root the limiting distribution obtained by this method and the limiting distribution using exact unconditional likelihood function are the same.

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An Asymptotic Property of Multivariate Autoregressive Model with Multiple Unit Roots

  • Shin, Key-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.167-178
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    • 1994
  • To estimate coefficient matrix in autoregressive model, usually ordinary least squares estimator or unconditional maximum likelihood estimator is used. It is unknown that for univariate AR(p) model, unconditional maximum likelihood estimator gives better power property that ordinary least squares estimator in testing for unit root with mean estimated. When autoregressive model contains multiple unit roots and unconditional likelihood function is used to estimate coefficient matrix, the seperation of nonstationary part and stationary part of the eigen-values in the estimated coefficient matrix in the limit is developed. This asymptotic property may give an idea to test for multiple unit roots.

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