• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty measurement

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Estimating Irrigation Requirement for Rice Cropping under Flooding Condition using BUDGET Model

  • Seo, Mi-jin;Han, Kyung-Hwa;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Jung, Kang-Ho;Cho, Hee-Rae
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.246-254
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    • 2015
  • This study explored the effect of rainfall pattern and soil characteristics on water management in rice paddy fields, using a soil water balance model, BUDGET. In two sites with different soil textural group, coarse loamy soil (Gangseo series) and fine soil (Hwadong series), respectively, we have monitored daily decrease of water depth, percolation rate, and groundwater table. The observed evapotranspiration (ET) was obtained from differences between water depth decrease and percolation rate. The root mean square difference values between observed and BUDGET-estimated ET ranged between 10% and 20% of the average observed ET. This is comparable to the measurement uncertainty, suggesting that the BUDGET model can provide reliable ET estimation for rice fields. In BUDGET model of this study, irrigation requirement was determined as minimum water need for maintaining water-saturated soil surface, assuming 100 mm of bund height and no lateral loss of water. The model results showed different water balance and irrigation requirement with the different soil profile and indicated that minimum percolation rate by plow pan could determine the irrigation requirement of rice paddy field. For the condition of different rainfall distribution, the results presented different irrigation period and amounts, representing the importance of securing water for irrigation against different rainfall pattern.

Priority for Developing Emission Factors and Quantitative Assessment in the Forestry Sector (산림부문의 국가온실가스 배출·흡수계수 개발 필요 우선순위 및 정량평가 방법론)

  • Han, Seung Hyun;Lee, Sun Jeoung;Chang, Hanna;Kim, Seongjun;Kim, Raehyun;Jeon, Eui-Chan;Son, Yowhan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.239-245
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to suggest priority for developing emission factor (EF) and to develop the methodology of quantitative assessment of EF in the forestry sector. Based on the stock-difference method, 17 kinds of EFs (27 EFs based on forest types) were required to calculate the carbon emission in the forestry sector. Priority for developing EFs followed the standards, which is a development plan by the government agency, importance of carbon stock for greenhouse gas, and EFs by the species. Currently, the most urgent development of EFs was carbon fraction in biomass and carbon stock in dead wood. Meanwhile, the quantitative assessment of EF consisted of 7 categories (5 categories of compulsory and 2 categories of quality evaluation) and 12 verification factors. Category in compulsory verification consisted of administrative document, determination methodology of emission factors, emission characteristic, accuracy of measurement and analysis, and data representative. Category in quality evaluation consisted of data management and uncertainty estimates. Based on the importance of factors in the verification process, each factor was scored separately, however, the score needs to be coordinated by the government agency. These results would help build a reliable and accurate greenhouse gas inventory report of Korea.

A Study on the Quantitative and Evaluation Weights of National Greenhouse Gas Emission Factors in the Mineral Industry (광물산업의 국가온실가스배출계수 정량·평가항목 가중치에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Yoongjoong;Cho, Changsang;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2018
  • "The Framework Act on Low-Carbon Green Growth" specifies the requirements for the development and verification of emission factors for establishing reliable national greenhouse gas statistics. The scope of the regulations covers the development and validation of energy, industrial processes, solvents and other product use, agriculture, land use, land use change and emission and absorption coefficients of the forestry and waste sector as defined in the 1996 IPCC Guideline and GPG 2000, The minerals sector to be covered in this study belongs to industrial processes. As a representative method for quantifying and evaluating GHG emission factors, there are emission grade quality grading and DARS (Data Rating Rating System) in the 'Procedures for Preparing Emission Factor Documents (1997)' reported by US-EPA. However, the above two methods are not specific and comprehensive, and lack the details for accurate emission factor verification. Therefore, there is a need for a method for verifying and quantifying certified greenhouse gas emission factors that reflects characteristics of each industry sector in Korea and accord with IPCC G/L and GHG target management. In this study, we conducted a weighted study on quantitative and evaluation lists of emission factor using questionnaires to develop a more accurate methodology for quantifying national greenhouse gas emission factors in the mineral sector. Quantification and evaluation of emission factor are classified into essential verification and quality evaluation. The essential verifications are : administrative compatibility, method of determining emission factors, emission characteristics, sampling methods and analysis methods, representativeness of data. The quality evaluations consisted of the quality control of the data, the accuracy of the measurement and analysis, the level of uncertainty, not directly affect the emission factor, but consisted of factors that determine data quality.

Verification of Harmonization of Dose Assessment Results According to Internal Exposure Scenarios

  • Kim, Bong-Gi;Ha, Wi-Ho;Kwon, Tae-Eun;Lee, Jun-Ho;Jung, Kyu-Hwan
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2018
  • Background: The determination of the amount of radionuclides and internal dose for the worker who may have intake of radionuclides results in a variation due to uncertainty of measurement data and ingestion information. As a result of this, it is possible that for the same internal exposure scenario assessors could make considerably different estimation of internal dose. In order to reduce this difference, internal exposure scenarios for nuclear facilities were developed, and intercomparison were made to determine the harmonization of dose assessment results among the assessors. Materials and Methods: Seven cases on internal exposures incidents that have occurred or may occur were prepared by referring to the intercomparison excercise scenario that NRC and IAEA have carried out. Based on this, 16 nuclear facilities concerned with internal exposure in Korea were asked to evaluate the scenarios. Each result was statistically determined according to the harmonization discrimination criteria developed by IDEAS/IAEA. Results and Discussion: The results were evaluated as having no outliers in all 7 cases. However, the distribution of the results was spread by various causes. They can be divided into two wide categories. The first one is the distribution of the results according to the assumption of the intake factors and the evaluation factors. The second one is distribution due to misapplication of calculation method and factors related to internal exposure. Conclusion: In order to satisfy the harmonization criteria and accuracy of the internal exposure dose evaluation, it is necessary that exact guidelines should be set on low dose, and various intercomparison cases also be needed including high dose exposure as well as the specialized education. The aim of the blind test is to make harmonization evaluation, but it will also contribute to securing the expertise and high quality of dose evaluation data through the discussion among the participants.

Skin Dose Comparison of CyberKnife and Helical Tomotherapy for Head-and-Neck Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy

  • Yoon, Jeongmin;Park, Kwangwoo;Kim, Jin Sung;Kim, Yong Bae;Lee, Ho
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study conducts a comparative evaluation of the skin dose in CyberKnife (CK) and Helical Tomotherapy (HT) to predict the accurate dose of radiation and minimize skin burns in head-and-neck stereotactic body radiotherapy. Materials and Methods: Arbitrarily-defined planning target volume (PTV) close to the skin was drawn on the planning computed tomography acquired from a head-and-neck phantom with 19 optically stimulated luminescent dosimeters (OSLDs) attached to the surface (3 OSLDs were positioned at the skin close to PTV and 16 OSLDs were near sideburns and forehead, away from PTV). The calculation doses were obtained from the MultiPlan 5.1.2 treatment planning system using raytracing (RT), finite size pencil beam (FSPB), and Monte Carlo (MC) algorithms for CK. For HT, the skin dose was estimated via convolution superposition (CS) algorithm from the Tomotherapy planning station 5.0.2.5. The prescribed dose was 8 Gy for 95% coverage of the PTV. Results and Conclusions: The mean differences between calculation and measurement values were $-1.2{\pm}3.1%$, $2.5{\pm}7.9%$, $-2.8{\pm}3.8%$, $-6.6{\pm}8.8%$, and $-1.4{\pm}1.8%$ in CS, RT, RT with contour correction (CC), FSPB, and MC, respectively. FSPB showed a dose error comparable to RT. CS and RT with CC led to a small error as compared to FSPB and RT. Considering OSLDs close to PTV, MC minimized the uncertainty of skin dose as compared to other algorithms.

Evaluation of Estimation and Variability of Fines Content in Pohang for CPT-based Liquefaction Assessment (CPT 기반 액상화 평가를 위한 포항지역 세립분 함량 예측 및 변동성 평가)

  • Bong, Tae-Ho;Kim, Sung-Ryul;Yoo, Byeong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the use of CPT-based liquefaction assessment method has increased by providing more accurate results than other field tests. In CPT-based liquefaction evaluation, various soil properties are predicted and they are used for liquefaction potential assessment. In particular, fines content is one of the important input parameters in CPT-based liquefaction assessment, so it is very important to use correct prediction model and to make quantitative evaluation of estimating variability of fines content. In this study, the error evaluation of existing models for prediction of fines content through CPT was performed, and the most suitable model was selected for Pohang area, where the liquefaction phenomenon was observed in the 2017. In addition, the inherent variability of soil was analyzed, and the estimating variability of fines content was evaluated quantitatively considering the inherent variability of soil, measurement error of CPT and transformation uncertainty of selected model.

Study on Performance Variation of Machine Vision according to Velocity of an Object and Precision Improvement by Linear Compensation (측정물의 속도에 따른 머신비젼의 성능변화와 선형보상에 의한 정밀도 향상)

  • Choi, Hee-Nam;Kang, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.903-909
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, performance analysis of machine vision techniques is presented to improve the convenience and speed of automatic inspection in the industrial field when machine vision is applied to the image not taken in the stationary state, but in the moving state on a conveyer. When the length of cylindrical rods used for automobiles was measured using the edge detection method, the conveying speed increased, and the uncertainty of the boundary between the background and the part image increased, which resulted in a shorter image of the object taken. This paper proposes a linear compensation method to predict the biased errors of the length measurements after examining the pattern of biased and random errors, respectively, with 6 different types of specimens and 7 velocity stages. The length measurement corrected by the linear compensation method had the same accuracy as the stationary state within the speed range of 30 cm/s and could enhance the application capability in automatic inspections.

Assessment of Uncertainty for Discharge Measurement using Velocity-Area method (유속-면적법으로 측정된 유량에 대한 측정 불확도 평가)

  • Kim, Jongmin;Kim, Dongsu;Kim, Seojun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.104-104
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    • 2016
  • 소규모 하천에서의 평수기 유량 측정은 일반적으로 지점식 초음파 유속계, 프로펠러 유속계 등을 활용해 도섭법으로 측정된 유속 측정성과를 기반하여 유속-면적법으로 산정된다. 유속-면적법으로 측정된 유량 측정 성과는 횡방향 측선의 수, 수심방향 측점의 수, 측정 시간, 수심 등 제반 측정 인자에 의해 영향을 받고 유량 불확도는 각 인자 별 오차에 영향을 받는다. ISO 748 (2007)과 ISO 1088 (2007)은 유속-면적법 적용방법, 현장 측정 가이드라인, 불확도 인자 별 적용 요건에 따른 오차, 최종 유량 불확도 산정 기법을 제시하였다. 따라서, 국내외 유량조사 기관에서는 유속면적법을 적용할 경우, ISO에서 제시된 인자 별 오차 및 유량 불확도 산정 기법을 기반으로 유량 불확도를 산정해왔다. ISO 748과 1088은 다양한 규모의 실제 하천에서 관측된 자료를 기반으로 횡방향 측선 수, 수심방향 측점 수 (2점법, 3점법 등), 측정 시간 등과 관련된 인자 별 오차를 표로 상세하게 제시하였고 실무에서는 별도 추가 검증없이 사용해 왔다. 그러나, ISO에서 유속-면적법 유량 측정 불확도를 평가하기 위해 사용된 측정자료는 유량을 제어하기 힘들고 유속 측정 상황이 유출 조건 별로 상이한 현장 자료를 기반으로 하였고, 상대적으로 정확도가 낮은 프로펠러유속계를 기반으로 1960년대에 관측된 자료들을 주로 활용하여 도출되었다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 기존 ISO에서 제시한 유속-면적법에 필요한 인자들의 오차를 정밀 실규모 실험을 통해 재산정하여 기존 ISO 748과 1088에서 제시한 인자별 오차의 적정성을 검증하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 흐름을 안정적으로 통제할 수 있는 건설기술연구원 안동 하천실험센터의 완경사수로(A2)에서 정상상태의 폭 7m, 수심 1m, 유속 약 1m/s의 흐름을 유지한 후, 유속 측정 정확도가 우수한 micro-ADV를 활용하여 공간적으로 매우 정밀하게 유속을 측정하고, 수심은 Total Station을 기반으로 흐름 발생 전에 정밀 측정하였다. 오차 분석 결과, ISO 규정에서 제시한 오차와 본 실험의 결과로 도출된 인자들의 오차는 상당한 차이를 보였다. 따라서, 본 연구 결과로 도출된 유속-면적법의 인자 별 오차는 실험이 수행된 소하천 규모의 하천에서 도섭법으로 산정된 유량의 불확도를 평가할 경우에 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

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A Finite Memory Structure Smoothing Filter and Its Equivalent Relationship with Existing Filters (유한기억구조 스무딩 필터와 기존 필터와의 등가 관계)

  • Kim, Min Hui;Kim, Pyung Soo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, an alternative finite memory structure(FMS) smoothing filter is developed for discrete-time state-space model with a control input. To obtain the FMS smoothing filter, unbiasedness will be required beforehand in addition to a performance criteria of minimum variance. The FMS smoothing filter is obtained by directly solving an optimization problem with the unbiasedness constraint using only finite measurements and inputs on the most recent window. The proposed FMS smoothing filter is shown to have intrinsic good properties such as deadbeat and time-invariance. In addition, the proposed FMS smoothing filter is shown to be equivalent to existing FMS filters according to the delay length between the measurement and the availability of its estimate. Finally, to verify intrinsic robustness of the proposed FMS smoothing filter, computer simulations are performed for a temporary model uncertainty. Simulation results show that the proposed FMS smoothing filter can be better than the standard FMS filter and Kalman filter.

Suggestion for the improvement of the field measurements on the shotcrete lining (터널 숏크리트 계측의 개선방안)

  • Kim, Hak-Joon;Park, Si-Hyun;Bae, Gyu-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.177-192
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    • 2010
  • The field measurements on the shotcrete lining are usually performed during the tunnel construction. However, the credibility of the measurements is not certain because of the non-stress related strains occurring in the shotcrete, the uncertainty of the deformation modulus of the shotcrete, and the intrinsic difficulties involved in the strain measurements in the shotcrete. The problem related to the field measurements on the shotcrete is investigated using the review of the previous studies and the field measurement performed for this study. A method for the correction of stress measurements at the shotcrete lining, considering the non-stress related strains, is suggested using the literature review and the actual measurements obtained from the non-stress shotcretes. The deformation modulus used for the calculation of the stress acting on the shotcrete is also suggested.