• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainly

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Uncertainty of Measurements in the Analysis of Vehicle Accidents (차량 사고 분석에서 측정의 불확실성)

  • Han, In-Hwan;Park, Seung-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2010
  • Reconstruction analysis of traffic accident is done by analyzing diverse data such as the road, accident traces and damage on the automobile. Most data can be a variable in the process of analysis, and measurement error of the data occurs from the investigator, tool and the given environment. Therefore, accident analysis always has some risks of measurement uncertainty. This research quantify the uncertainty in traffic accident analysis by conducting repetitive measurement experiments for variables with high probability of uncertainly such as length (i.e. geometric structure of the road, tire marks) and coefficient of friction. This paper also suggests an analysis result for the uncertainly of photographic observation of automobile crush measurement. These statistical distributions can help determine appropriate ranges for the input data in order to estimate the accident reconstruction uncertainty.

Improvement of size measurement polystyrene spheres of diameters 3$\mu$m and 10$\mu$m by optical microscope with CCD camera (CCD 카메라가 장착된 광학현미경을 사용한 폴리스티렌구 (3 $\mu$m와 10 $\mu$m)의 평균지름측정)

  • 정기영;박병천;깅주식;송원영;오범환
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.362-367
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    • 1998
  • Center Distance Finding (CDF) is a technique to find the sphere diameter by measuring the distance between two contacting spheres. The focal spots of the sphere clusters are formed in the back-focal plane by the transmission-mode optical microscope with the pseudothermal illumination source. Digital images taken by the CCD camera were processed by the software called Global Lab Image. The centers of the focal spots are found and the spot positions are expressed in terms of the CCD pixel elements, whose coordinate are calibrated by a heterodyne interferometer. The new CDF measurement system has been developed, which are more advantageous in time and convenience than the existing system, while the measurement uncertainly remains sufficient for its use as a magnification standard for optical microscopy. Two kinds of polystyrene spheres whose nominal diameters 3 and 10 $\mu\textrm{m}$ (NIST SRM 1962 and 1960) are measured with the uncertainly less than 1% at the confidence level of 99%, and the results are compared with the results of National Institute of Standards and Technology.

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A Comparative Study between the Deterministic and Probabilistic Approach Analysis on Buckling Stability of CWR Tracks (CWR 궤도의 좌굴 안정성에 대한 결정론적 해석과 확률론적 해석 비교)

  • Bae, Hyun-Ung;Choi, Jin-Yu;Shin, Jeong-Sang;Kim, Jong-Jung;Lim, Nam-Hyoung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.988-992
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    • 2011
  • The buckling characteristics of the continuous welded rail track(CWR) is uncertainly varied by many influence factors, such as rail temperature, operating conditions of a train and maintenance of the track etc. Therefore, applying the probabilistic approach method is essential to rationally consider uncertainty and randomness of the various parameters that affect the track buckling. In this study, the probabilistic approach analysis was carried out and the results were compared with the deterministic approach using the buckling probability evaluation system of CWR tracks developed by our research team. From the comparison, it was identified that a probabilistic approach can quantitatively assess the reliability of the CWR tracks based on failure probability and can be used as a tool for decision making in track design, maintenance and operating etc.

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The Generation of a TM Mask Using the AM Technique and the Edge Detection Algorithm for a SAR Image (AM 기법을 이용한 TM 마스크의 형성 및 SAR 영상의 경계검출 알고리듬)

  • 한수용;최성진;라극환
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.29B no.4
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    • pp.36-47
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, a set of TM(template matching) mask using the AM(associative mapping) technique was generated and the edge detection algorithm for a SAR image was proposed. And also, the performance of the proposed edge detection algorithm was tested with the conventional edge detection techniques. The proposed edge detection algorithm created an edge image which was more accurate and clear than the conventional edge detection techniques and the performance of the proposed detection technique was not deteriorated for low intensity area in the image because the uncertainly thresholded value genetated by the conventional detection methods was requested. Also, the number of masks and the detection time were reduced by adjusting resolution of edge detection and the consideration for the threshold value extracting the edge was very intuitive.

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First Record and Morphological Features of the Dinoflagellate Peridinium aciculiferum Lemm. (Dinophyceae) in Korean Freshwater

  • Ki Jang-Seu;Han Myung-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.323-327
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    • 2005
  • Two morphologically different species of Peridinium were frequently observed in natural samples collected monthly from Togyo Reservoir. One was previously identified as P. bipes Stein f. occultatum (Lindem.) Lef. (Ki and Han 2005), the other was remained uncertainly so far. We resolved their identity, based on the morphological observations with scanning electron microscopy. The formula of epithecal plate was recorded with 7 precingular, 3 intercalary and 4 apical plates (4', 3a, 7'). An apical pore was apparently present. The conspicuous morphology of the Peridinium was three spines on the hypothecal plates. The average body length and width were $33.6\;{\mu}m$ with a range of $26\~45{\mu}m$, and 25.7 with a range of $19\~31{\mu}m$, respectively; the cell was, therefore, shown slightly elongated. Based on their morphological characteristics, the causative organism was identified as P. aciculiferum (Lemm.), which was reported for the first time in Korean freshwater.

Optimal Investment Decision Timing Model Using Real Options Approach (실물 옵션을 이용한 최적 투자 의사결정 시기 선택 모형)

  • 이재한;이동주;안재현
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2001
  • Net Present Value (NPV) criterion has been the most widely used criterion to evaluate investment opportunities. However, the analysis based on the NPV criterion falls to consider the managerial flexibility of deferring decisions until major uncertainty is resolved. Recently, real options method attracted a lot of attention as a Powerful approach to address the problem. If investment decision is deferred, the value of the investment opportunity increases but opportunity cost increases at the same time. Therefore, it is important to decide the optimal timing how long the decision can be deferred. In this paper, we developed a model deciding the optimal decision timing. Using the real options approach, the model derived the optimal deferring time until a decision is made. Then, the model was applied to a Korean mobile telecommunications company who wants to invest on the wireless resale business. We believe that this model would be very useful to overcome the problem of NPV decision criterion. With this approach, we can make contingent decisions based on the observation of uncertainly resolutions.

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A Sequencing Problem in Mixed-Model Assembly Line Including a Painting Line

  • Yoo, J.K.;Moriyama, T.;Shimizu, Y.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1118-1122
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    • 2005
  • In order to keep production balance at a mixed-model assembly line and a painting line, large WIP(Work- In-Process) inventories are required between two lines. To increase the efficiency of line handling through reducing the inventories under this circumstance, this paper concerns with a sequencing problem for a mixed-model assembly line that includes a painting line where the uncertain elements regarding the defective products exist. Then, we formulate a new type of the sequencing problem minimizing the line stoppage time and the idle time with forecasting the supply time of the products from the painting line. Finally, we examine the effectiveness of the proposed sequencing through computer simulations.

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Correlation Analysis of MODIS Vegetation Indices and Meteorological Drought Indices for Spring Drought Monitoring

  • Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.80-83
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    • 2008
  • Diverse researches using vegetation index have been carried out to monitor spring droughts that have frequently occurred since 2000. The strength of the drought monitoring using vegetation index lies in that it can reflect characteristics of satellite images: large area coverage, cyclicity, and promptness. However, vegetation index involve uncertainly caused by diverse factors that affect vegetation stress. In this study, multi-temporal vegetation index is compared with the most representative meteorological drought indices like PSDI, SPI. Based on the results from analyses, usability of vegetation index as a tool of drought analysis is proposed.

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Automatic reentry of deepsea riser by adaptive control (적응제어에 의한 대수심 라이저의 리엔트리)

  • 남동호
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.108-118
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents automatic reentry of a deepsea reser by adaptive control. Reentry is one of the major pro blems regarding a deepsea riser. In the reentry operation, the lower end of riser must be accurately positioned over the tarket point on the seabed. But the deepsea riser shows complex elastic response due to flexibility and nonlinearity of the riser dynamics and the required positioning accuracy is high. Moreover, elastic deformation must by controlled for securing structural integrity. In adaptive control, uncertainly known parameters like added mass and drag coefficient in the riser dynamics are identified and control forces at the floating body and the riser are calculated simultaneously. An Adaptive algorithm for MIMO linear discrete time system without requiring a persistent excitation is adopted in this study. The effectiveness of adaptive control logic is tested by numerical simulation and model experiment. The designed control system shows good overall performances, so that the present study can be applied to the control of the deepsea riser.

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