• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertain Process

Search Result 335, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

A Study on the Uncertainty of the Classification of Rook Mass Rating (RMR 암반분류법의 불확정성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Sang-Eun;Jun Sung-Kwon;Kang Sang-Jin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.15 no.6 s.59
    • /
    • pp.441-451
    • /
    • 2005
  • It is the unavoidable problem that the RMR rock classification method has the uncertainty resulted from uncertain definition of measured value in RMR grade table, hence in this paper, the estimation of probability density function$(p{\cdot}d{\cdot}f)$ graph with the evaluation of continuos RMR and the Monte Carlo Simulation and statistic reasoning were carried out to evaluate the uncertainty quantitatively. Also, the modified RMR rock classification table was presented in order to apply the uncertainty of RMR to the practice, and then the design process of standard support pattern and the tunnel support material was proposed.

Dynamic Analysis of Suspension for Small Form Factor MO Drive (초소형 광자기 드라이브용 서스펜션의 동특성 해석)

  • 홍어진;오우석;박노철;양현석;박영필
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.406-411
    • /
    • 2003
  • One of the trends on information storage device is focused on the development of micro-optical devices with OFH (Optical Flying Head). Many different types of sliders for OFH and optical component systems have been introduced in the literature. However, the important issue on the mechanical system, which consists of suspension, swing arm and VCM (Voice Coil Motor) part has not been discussed up to date. In this research, we analyses the suspension, which is used for the small form factor MO drive. The analysis is in process two ways. One is probabilistic analysis, another is dynamic shock analysis. Probabilistic analysis is a technique you can use to assess the effect of uncertain input parameters and assumptions on your analysis model. Using a probabilistic analysis you can and out how much the results of a finite elements analysis are affected by uncertainties in the model. Dynamic shock analysis is used for the mobile applications. The mechanical robustness of the suspension simulating the shock responses of a disk-suspension is proposed in this paper.

  • PDF

A study on developing information and communications technology roadmap through statistical meta analysis (통계적 메타분석을 통한 미래기술개발로드맵 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Yu, Yeong-Sang;Park, Jeong-Seok;Jeong, Nae-Yang;Park, Chan-Geun;Heo, Tae-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
    • /
    • 2008.10b
    • /
    • pp.104-112
    • /
    • 2008
  • As the information and communications market goes more uncertain, foresight activities becomes more important. A number of foresight activities, such as trend analysis, have been used to predict customer needs. However previous studies tend to lack objectivity and systematization. In this study, we suggest a meta analysis methodology which combines both top-down and bottom-up approach in order to systematize the analysis process. Secondly, we applied this approach to ICT market to identify essential future technologies. Based on the result from the meta analysis, we have constructed the future technology roadmap.

  • PDF

The Explicit Treatment of Model Uncertainties in the Presence of Aleatory and Epistemic Parameter Uncertainties in Risk and Reliability Analysis

  • Ahn, Kwang-ll;Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.64-79
    • /
    • 2003
  • In the risk and reliability analysis of complex technological systems, the primary concern of formal uncertainty analysis is to understand why uncertainties arise, and to evaluate how they impact the results of the analysis. In recent times, many of the uncertainty analyses have focused on parameters of the risk and reliability analysis models, whose values are uncertain in an aleatory or an epistemic way. As the field of parametric uncertainty analysis matures, however, more attention is being paid to the explicit treatment of uncertainties that are addressed in the predictive model itself as well as the accuracy of the predictive model. The essential steps for evaluating impacts of these model uncertainties in the presence of parameter uncertainties are to determine rigorously various sources of uncertainties to be addressed in an underlying model itself and in turn model parameters, based on our state-of-knowledge and relevant evidence. Answering clearly the question of how to characterize and treat explicitly the forgoing different sources of uncertainty is particularly important for practical aspects such as risk and reliability optimization of systems as well as more transparent risk information and decision-making under various uncertainties. The main purpose of this paper is to provide practical guidance for quantitatively treating various model uncertainties that would often be encountered in the risk and reliability modeling process of complex technological systems.

The Effect of Outsourcing of Metro on Organizational Performance: Focused on the Role of Balanced Scorecard for Employees Perception (도시철도의 아웃소싱이 조직성과에 미치는 영향: BSC도입.미도입 집단간의 지각반응 비교를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Yun-Geun;Park, Ki-Chan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.10 no.4
    • /
    • pp.451-456
    • /
    • 2007
  • Organizational abilities which assure human resource of excellent quality in enterprise and organization, manages human resource effectively and systematically will be depended on the performance and successful or not of enterprise. The organization which readies to accept changes will survive, the organization makes full use of changes to opportunity and strategy will be a winner. Now when the environment of enterprise is uncertain and environment of management changes, organization should manage HRM in strategic point of view to maintain persistent competition superiority. We investigated how outsourcing affected on organizational performance perception according to inducting BSC from the employees of metro. As a result of the investigation, outsourcing is perceived importantly in study, growth, internal process point of view, but didn't perceived in finance and customer. We guessed that outsourcing would be perceived importantly in financial point of view as a cost reduction. In 5 years from the beginning of metro, it seemed to be perceived importantly, as organizations grow older, perceptions of outsourcing are perceived low because of stabilization of organization and labor's resistance. It is why that the more outsourcing is performed, the more reduction of organization and decrease of employees is expected as much as cost reduction.

Prioritization for Water Storage Increase of Agricultural Reservoir using FAHP Method (FAHP 기법에 의한 농업용저수지의 추가저수량 확보사업 우선순위 결정)

  • Choi, Eun Hyuk;Bae, Sang Soo;Jee, Hong Kee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.46 no.2
    • /
    • pp.171-182
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper presents the application of fuzzy set theory in multi criteria decision making (MCDM). FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process) method was used to rank alternatives to find the most reasonable and efficient way of agricultural reservoir water resources assessment. 6 criteria and 10 subcriteria had been identified and compared to secure agricultural water resources. Fuzzy numbers and linguistic variables were presented to address inherently uncertain or imprecise data. Comparison analysis of decision making method was also carried out to find a way of suitable decision making and validity of FAHP was discussed.

A direction of warfighting experiments for a scientific combat Development (과학적 전투발전을 위한 전투실험 발전 방향)

  • Chung, Choon-Il;Lee, Myeong-Woo
    • Journal of National Security and Military Science
    • /
    • s.5
    • /
    • pp.351-392
    • /
    • 2007
  • Combat Development is process of studying and developing concept, doctrine, weapon systems, organization and training for the improvement of combat capability to be ready present and future warfare. The combat development domain consists of 6 fields Doctrine, Organization, Material, Training, Personnel, and Facilities. The cornerstones of combat development are "How to prepare" and "How to fight" in the future warfare. ROK- TRADOC(Republic of Korea Army Training and Doctrine Command) has implemented combat development that applies CBRS (Concept-Based Requirements System) and "Vision - Capstone concept - operating and functional concept - FOC(Future Operational Capabilities) Requirements". To prepare for the possibility or new types or wars in the future, the creation of new concept and system is essential. Though verification with various instruments, combat power can be secured and exhibited. Combat development by empirical mind estimation means that is no longer relevant.To prepare combat development based on scientific analysis, there is a need for powerful engineering analysis and verification, in order to prepare for uncertain and diverse future battlefield environments. In this thesis, warfighting experiment is essential ways and means to pursue the scientific combat development ; investigated tendency of combat development environment, and analyzed diversification aspects of possible future warfare. In conclusion, concept of campaign experiment and role is the conerstone of scientific combat development; and lays out the roadmap of all affecting components to its development.

  • PDF

Design of Intelligent Controller with Time Delay for Internet-Based Remote Control (인터넷 기반 원격제어를 위한 임의의 시간지연을 갖는 지능형 제어기의 설계)

  • Joo, Young-Hoon;Kim, Jung-Chan;Lee, Oh-Jae;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.293-299
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper discusses a design of intelligent controller with time delay for Internet-based remote control. The finite Markovian process is adopted to model the input delay of the overall control system. It is assumed that the zero and hold devices are used for control input. The Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy system with uncertain input delay is utilized to represent nonlinear plant. The continuous-time T-S fuzzy system with the Markovian input delay is discretized for easy handling delay, accordingly, the discretized T-S fuzzy system is represented by a discrete-time T-S fuzzy system with jumping parameters. The robust stochastic stabilizibility of the jump T-S fuzzy system is derived and formulated in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). An experimental results is provided to visualize the feasibility of the proposed method.

Adaptive Compensation Control of Vehicle Automatic Transmissions for Smooth Shift Transients Based on Intelligent Supervisor

  • Kim, Deok-Ho;Han, Jin-O;Sin, Byeong-Gwan;Lee, Gyu-Il
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.15 no.11
    • /
    • pp.1472-1481
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, an advanced shift controller that supervises the shift transients with adaptive compensation is presented. Modern shift control systems for vehicle automatic transmission are designe d to provide smooth transients for passengers' comfort and better component durability. In the conventional methods, lots of testing and calibration works have been done to tune gains of the controller, but it does not assure optimum shift quality at all times owing to system variations often caused by uncertainties in shifting hydraulic systems and external disturbances. In the proposed control scheme, an adaptive compensation controller with intelligent supervisor is implemented to achieve improved shift quality over the system variations. The control input pattern which generates clutch pressure commands in hydraulic actuating systems, is updated through a learning process to adjust for each subsequent shift based on continuous monitoring of shifting performance and environmental changes. The proposed algorithm is implemented and evaluated on the experimental test setup. Results from the experimental studies for several operation modes show both improved performance and adaptability of the proposed shift controller to uncertain changes of the shifting environment in vehicle power transmission systems.

  • PDF

An Efficient Decision Maki ng Method for the Selectionof a Layered Manufacturing (3차원 조형장비 선정을 위한 효율적인 의사결정 방법)

  • Byun, Hong-Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.59-67
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to provide a decision support to select an appropriate layered manufacturing(LM) machine that suits the application of a part. Selection factors include concept model, form/fit/functional model, pattern model far molding, material property, build time and part cost that greatly affect the performance of LM machines. However, the selection of a LM is not an easy decision because they are uncertain and vague. For this reason, the aim of this research is to propose hybrid multiple attribute decision making approaches to effectively evaluate LM machines. In addition, because subjective considerations are relevant to selection decision, a fuzzy logic approach is adopted. The proposed selection procedure consists of several steps. First, we identify LM machines that the users consider After constructing the evaluation criteria, we calculate the weights of the criteria by applying the fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method. Finally, we construct the fuzzy Technique of Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS) method to achieve the ranking order of all machines providing the decision information for the selection of LM machines.