• 제목/요약/키워드: URBANIZATION

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양국의 도시화가 무역에 미치는 영향: 중력 모형의 활용 (Does Urbanization Affect Bilateral Trade?)

  • 임은정;전성희
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.119-132
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    • 2020
  • In this paper we explore the two analyses to know the urbanization effect on trade. First, the granger causality test to examine the relationship between trade and urbanization. The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test for determining whether one time series is useful for forecasting another. The results indicated that the existence of a bidirectional causality running from trade to urbanization when six lags were applied. When eight lags were applied, we found unidirectional causality running from urbanization to trade. Second, gravity models were used to investigate the urbanization effect on trade. The production cost and specification are affected by the economies of scale, and the economies of scale increased as the greater geographically agglomeration. However, the gravity model to explain the bilateral trade flows ignores the urbanization variables. Therefore we added the urbanization variable represented as the geographically agglomeration into gravity model. The results show that the degree of urbanization of both countries has statistically positive effect on trade (export and import) and the bigger coefficients of trade partner's urbanization. The reason is that the trade share of industrial supplies, intermediate goods and capital goods is much higher than finished consumer goods. The urbanization is more important the improved the efficiency of production than demand market.

도시화에 따른 농촌토지이용구조변화 분석 (An Analysis on the Structural Changes of Rural Land Use According to Urbanization)

  • 황한철;고영배
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2007
  • This study aims to show how the urbanization of Korea has progressed for the last three decades, what its characteristics are, and how rural land use has changed by the national and district(cities and counties) level. The land use changes accompanying to the urbanization is analyzed through 3 indicators such as urbanization rate, the rate of cultivated and forest land and the rate of urbanized area. The statistical data are 30 years from 1976 to 2005 for time series analysis by the national level, and are for the two years of 1995 and 2005 by the district level. The relationship between urbanization and land use changes in the national level is analyzed using statistical analysis(Correlation Analysis). In order to analyze the dynamic and spatial urbanization and land use changes effectively in the district level, Z-score, Paired T-test, Correlation Analysis, Analysis of Variance and Chi-squire Test are used. The results show negative correlation between urbanization rate and the rate of cultivated and forest land, and positive correlation between urbanization rate and the rate of urbanized area respectively. In the aspect of the change of urbanization rate, four categories are examined. In addition, four types are characterized on the basis of the rate of cultivated and forest land and the rate of urbanized area between 1995 from 2005.

도시화에 따른 부산과 대구의 일교차 변화 특성에 관한 연구 (Analysis on Variation of Diurnal Temperature Range of Busan and Daegu according to Urbanization)

  • 박명희;이준수;안지숙;이혜현;한인성;엄기혁;서영상;김해동;배헌균
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.295-310
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    • 2016
  • In this study, changes in daily temperature range were investigated using daily maximum and minimum temperatures of Busan and Daegu for last 81 years (1934-2014), and also characteristics of daily temperature range and seasonal fluctuations by urbanization were examined. First, elapsing changes showed a lower decreasing trend in Busan ($0.32^{\circ}C$) than Daegu ($1.28^{\circ}C$) for last 81 years. Daily temperature range showed the highest rise in winter in both Busan and Daegu. Second, daily temperature range due to urbanization showed that Busan had a pronounced decreasing trend before urbanization meanwhile Daegu showed the same trend after urbanization. On seasonal changes, the results of Busan showed a decreasing trend in summer before urbanization, and in autumn after urbanization. For Daegu, the results showed a decreasing trend in spring before urbanization, and in winter after urbanization. Seasonal fluctuations of Busan showed little difference in the pre and post-urbanization, except in winter and summer. There was large difference in daily temperature range in winter after urbanization, and in summer before the urbanization. The results in Daegu showed that there was decreasing trend of daily temperature range in all seasons after urbanization.

일최저기온을 이용한 부산의 도시화효과와 도시화 원인과의 상관성 분석 (Analysis of Correlation between the Cause of Urbanization and Urbanization Effect of Busan by Using Daily Minimum Temperatures)

  • 박명희;이준수;안지숙;서영상;한인성;김해동
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제21권12호
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    • pp.1477-1485
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    • 2012
  • This study examined urbanization effects and the causes of urbanization, urban population growth, increase of the city scale, land cover change, and human cultures and economic activities, using the daily minimum temperatures of the past 50 years (1961-2010) with the subject of Busan and analyzed correlations between urbanization effects and the causes of urbanization. Thereby, this paper drew a conclusion as below: 1) Due to the urbanization effects, the average annual daily minimum temperature increased as about $1.2^{\circ}C$; however, except for the factor of urbanization, the increase was shown as about $0.2^{\circ}C$. The occupancy of urbanization effects in the total temperature increase was quite high as about 83%. 2) Just like other cities experiencing urbanization, Busan, too, sees population growth and the expansion of city area as well as increased urbanization effects. First of all, correlation between population growth and urbanization effect was high as 0.96 before 1985 while it was lowered as 0.19 after 1985. Also, correlation between the increase of city area and urbanization effect was high as 0.64 and 0.79 before and after 1985. 3) Regarding the correlation between long-term land use change and urbanization effect, urbanization effect was affected greatly by the increase of city area (0.97) and reduction of green area (0.92). 4) Concerning human activities possible to affect the climatic factors of a city, this paper found the following factors: road length, car increase, power use, and the consumer price index, etc. And regarding the correlation between the three factors and urbanization effect, the correlation was higher in the consumer price index (0.97), the number of registered cars (0.89), power use (0.75), and road length (0.58) in order.

The Effect of Economic Growth and Urbanization on Poverty Reduction in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Huyen Thi Thanh;NGUYEN, Chau Van;NGUYEN, Cong Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2020
  • This article aims to measure the impact of economic growth and urbanization on poverty reduction in Vietnam, and verify whether economic growth and urbanization will help reduce poverty rates. Data for this study are tabular data related to growth, urbanization and poverty at the provincial level for the period of nine years, from 2006 to 2014 provided by the Vietnam General Statistics Office and the Vietnam General Department of Customs. The level of economic growth and urbanization mentioned in the study is reflected in such indicators as GDP value, exports value, imports value, urbanization rate and employment rate. The authors used logistic regression models with fixed-effects and logistic regression models with random effects. With 5% confidence level tested by the Chi-Square test of Hausman trial with the fixed-effect model, research results show that: (1) factors with significant negative impact on the poverty rate include imports value, urbanization rate and, employment rate; (2) factors that do not affect the poverty rate include exports value and GDP value. Based on the research results, this study proposes a number of policy recommendations to help promote economic growth, to sustain the urbanization process, and to contribute directly and positively to poverty reduction in Vietnam.

Relationships between Urbanization, Economic Growth, Energy Consumption, and CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • BASHIR, Abdul;SUSETYO, Didik;SUHEL, Suhel;AZWARDI, Azwardi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between urbanization, economic growth, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions in Indonesia. The data used in the study are time-series data for the period 1985-2017; the data utilized are sourced from World Development Indicators obtained on the World Bank database. The method uses a quantitative approach that applies the vector error correction model based on the Granger causality test. The empirical results reveal that, in the short run, there is evidence that urbanization and energy consumption can causes CO2 emissions, and they also prove that urbanization can cause energy consumption. Also, other findings prove the existence of long-run relationships flowing from energy consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emissions toward urbanization, as well as the existence of the relationship flowing from urbanization, economic growth, and CO2 emissions towards energy consumption. The results of testing the relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions reveal that the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is proven in Indonesia. Thus, policies are needed to limit the impact of urbanization through high awareness-raising to maintain environmental quality and greater use of energy. Also, energy conservation policies are needed in all sectors, especially the electricity, industry, and transportation sectors.

중국 31개 성 및 직할시의 도시화 효율성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Urbanization Efficiency analysis of China's 31 provinces and cities)

  • 주이희;전준우;김형호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권12호
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구의 목적은 도시화 과정에서 생산되는 바람직한 산출과 기대 하지 않는 산출 모두를 포함하여 중국 31개 성과 직할시에 대해 도시화 효율성을 분석하는 것이다. 중국 31개 성 및 직할시의 2017년 도시화 관련 산출 데이터를 활용하여 SBM-DEA모델을 적용해 효율성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 동부지역의 도시화 효율이 가장 높고 중부와 동북지역의 도시화 효율이 그 다음으로 낮으며 서부지역은 도시화 효율이 상대적으로 가장 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 중국 31개 성 및 직할시의 도시화 추진의 효율성을 분석하고 지속적인 도시화 정책 추진의 방향을 제시하였다는데 의의가 있다. 이번 연구는 2017년 1년간의 횡단면적 분석만 시행하여 과거의 추이를 반영하지 못한 한계가 있으며, 향후 종단면적 분석을 추가적으로 실시하여 도시화 효율성을 종합적으로 평가할 필요가 있다.

도시유역의 내수배제시스템 설계를 위한 유출특성분석 -SWMM의 적용- (Runoff Characteristics Analysis for Interior Drainage Systems in Urban Basin -Application of SWMM-)

  • 최윤영;이영화
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2000
  • This study is carried out the analysis of the runoff characteristics for the design of the interior drainage systems by SWMM in urbanization basin. The basin analyzed in this study is Bumuh-chun basin which is located in Susung-gu of Taegu city. Huff method is used for rainfall distribution analysis. The optimal rainfall duration in Bumuh-chun basin is analyzed as about 90 minutes decided from comparison of arrival time and critical duration. Flood flow variation pattern is proposed through the comparison of the results of peak flow and peak time analyzed by SWMM about pre-urbanization and post-urbanization of Bumuh-chun basin. It is known that the variation of arrival time caused by the rapid increase of pavement rate in the upper area shows about 20∼25 minutes faster than pre- urbanization. Therefore, the management of surface water for design of water supply and drainage, and channel alteration has to considered the variation of geological factors according to urbanization.

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Fractal 차원을 이용한 워게임에서의 도시화조정계수 추정 (Estimation of Urbanization Factor in Wargame Model using Fractal Dimension)

  • 권오정;김재오;김동철;조남석
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2023
  • With rapid urbanization, the importance of urban warfare is increasing, and it is also required to reflect the characteristics of cities in wargame models. However, in the military's wargame models, the urbanization factor was calculated and used without theoretical basis. In this study, we investigate techniques for estimating the urbanization factor using Fractal dimension theory. The urbanization factor we propose can suggest a logical and valid representative value when used in conjunction with Agent Based Model and other methodologies.

한국 대도시의 도시화 특성 : 이동, 통근자 자료 분석을 통한 도시화 단계의 실증적 검토 (Urbanization of Large Cities in Korea : Assessing Development Stages using Migration and Commuting data)

  • 권상철
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.536-553
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    • 2011
  • 최근 산업도시 성장 이후 탈산업화 시대에 전개되는 새로운 도시화에 대한 논의가 포스트모던 도시, 소비도시 등으로 다양하게 전개된다. 도시화의 단계적 접근에서는 인구 변화와 이동에 기초하여 거대도시는 도시화의 후기 단계인 재도시화를 경험하고 있으며, 이러한 도시화 단계는 시차를 두고 점진적으로 하위 규모 도시에서 나타날 것으로 추정된다. 그러나 산업 재구조화는 인구 규모만으로는 포착되지 않는 새로운 도시화 특성을 유발할 것으로, 본 연구는 한국 대도시의 도시화 특성을 이동, 통근 인구 그리고 이들의 지리적, 사회적 특성에 기초하여 검토하였다. 대도시별 도시화 경험은 다르게 나타나는데, 서울은 단계적 도시화 과정을 거치지만, 다른 대도시들은 산업도시와 탈산업도시로의 전이에서 다양한 모습을 드러낸다. 특히, 지방 대도시의 경우 산업 기반의 교외화가 이루어졌으나 중심 도시의 편리한 주거, 생활 환경으로 중심 도시에 거주하며 주변으로 역통근하는 인구가 늘고 중장년층의 경제활동 가구가 대도시로 유입되며 주거 기능이 새로운 도시의 역할로 확대되는데, 이는 한국 대도시의 새로운 도시화 특성이라 하겠다.

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