• Title/Summary/Keyword: Typhoons

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A Study on the Development of Typhoon Track Forecast Model Based on the Past Track Data

  • Jin, Guo-Zhu;Song, Chae-Uk
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.311-315
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    • 2004
  • This paper is aimed to develop a mathematical model for making the forecast information of typhoon's movement such as the estimated movement direction and positions after 24 and 48 hours. The proposed model calculates such kind of information of a typhoon by similar past typhoon's track data which are selected with three similarity criteria among the database of typhoons' tracks for past fifty years. We carried out a simulation forecast with No.14 typhoon formed in 1997, and found that the results of the proposed model were reasonable and it would be suitable for a simulation system for training mariners so that they can take suitable actions to evade the typhoons.

Sea Level Response in the Korea Strait to Typhoons

  • Hong, Chul-Hoon
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 1996
  • A shallow water numerical model is established to investigate the response of coastal water in the Korea Strait to typhoons that pass nearby the Korea Strait. Atmospheric pressure and wind by Fujita's formula (1952) and Miyazaki et al. (1961), respectively are used in the model. The model results show an agreement fair with the observation partially, but poor with the amplitude of the sea level variation. In particular, the discrepancy is larger in a typhoon passing through right side than that through left side of the Korea Strait. The model showes that the disagreement between the model and the observation can be caused by numerically unrealistic distributions of armospheric pressure and wind around the strait. In the Korea Strait the isostatic effects in the model were underestimated, whereas the wind fields were overestimated.

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Occurrence Characteristics of Marine Accidents Caused by Typhoons around Korean Peninsula

  • Yang Han Su;Kim Yeon Gyu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2005
  • During the period of every summer to early autumn seasons, ships have been wrecked or grounded from effect of a typhoon in the water areas around Korean Peninsula Typhoon Rusa killed more than 100 people in September 2002. Super Typhoon Maemi passed southeast of South Korea in September 12-13, 2003, with a strong gale blowing at a record 60 m/s and caused much ship groundings, collisions and sinkings over 3000 in dockyards, harbors and places of refuge. These are things that could have been prevented had there merely been prior warning. This study outlines the occurrence characteristics of maritime accidents caused by a typhoon in South Korea for the period from 1962 to 2002. The distribution of the accident records is also compared with the trajectories, winds, central pressures of typhoons, passed during the 1990-2003. It is shown that attack frequency of typhoon and number of marine accidents is the highest in August and the marine accidents due to typhoon have a close relation to the distribution of accumulated wind and pressure fields.

A Scheme for Reducing Load Forecast Error During Weekends Near Typhoon Hit (태풍 발생 인접 주말의 수요예측 오차 감소 방안)

  • Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.9
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    • pp.1700-1705
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    • 2009
  • In general, short term load forecasting is based on the periodical load pattern during a day or a week. Therefore, the conventional methods do not expose stable performance to every day during a year. Especially for anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons, the methods have a tendency to show the conspicuous accuracy deterioration. Furthermore, the tendency raises the reliability and stability problems of the conventional load forecast. In this study, a new load forecasting method is proposed in order to increase the accuracy of the forecast result in case of anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons. For irregular weather conditions, the sensitivity between temperature and daily load is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecast. The proposed method was tested with the actual load profiles during 14 years, which shows that the suggested scheme considerably improves the accuracy of the load forecast results.

An analysis on the characteristics of landslides induced by heavy rainfall associated with Typhoons Herb (1996) and Troaji (2001) in Nantou on Taiwan

  • Cheng, Hsin-Hsing;Chang, Tzu-Yin;Liou, Yuei-An;Hsu, Mei-Ling
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1252-1254
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    • 2003
  • Debris flows associated with landslides occur as one of the most devastating natural disasters that threat Taiwan. Typically, three essential factors are needed simultaneously to trigger debris flow, namely sufficient soils and rocks, favorable slope, and abundant water. Among the three essentials, the slope is natural and static without external forcing, while the landslide is generally induced by earthquake or rainfall events, and the water is produced by heavy rainfall events. In this study, we analyzed the landslides triggered by the typhoons Herb (1996) and typhoon Troaji (2001). It is concluded that the statistical data are useful to quantify the threshold of the potential landslide area. Then, the possibility to prevent the debris flow occurrence may be increased.

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Variability in Environmental Flow Metrics to Hydroclimatic Extremes

  • Kim, Jong-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.195-195
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    • 2017
  • The patterns of occurrence of typhoons in North Pacific region are constantly changing with the increase of temperature in sea surface and the occurrence of El Nino and La Nina and changes of their development caused by global warming. In addition, alterations of flow regimes caused by large-scale hydraulic construction projects in the past few years and changes in precipitation patterns caused by climate change have imposed increased stress on hydroecology while the indiscreet utilization of water resources has a negative environmental impact on the water flows in the natural rivers and streams and hydroecological structures. The purpose of this study is to explore the impact of altered hydrologic regime on stream and riparian ecosystems that are most vulnerable to climate variability and extremes such as typhoons.

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Seasonal Variation and Preservation Potential of Tidal-Flat Sediments on the Tidal Flat of Gomso Bay, West Coast of Korea

  • Chang, Jin-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.18 no.2 s.23
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2004
  • Seasonal changes of topograpy, sediment grain size and accumulation rate on the Gomso-Bay tidal flat(Fig. 1), west coast of Korea, have studied in order to understand the seasonal accumulation pattern and preservation potential of tidal-flat sediments. Seasonal levelings across the tidal flat show that the landward movement of both intertidal sand shoals and cheiers accelerates during the winter and typhoon period, but it almost stops in summer when mud deposition is instead predominant on the middle to upper tidal flat. Seasonal variations of mean grain size were largest on the upper part of middle tidal flat where summer mud layers were eroded during the winter and typhoon periods(Fig. 2). Measurements of accululation depths from sea floor to basal plate reveal that accumulation rates were seasonally controlled according to the elevation of tidal-flat surface(Table 1) : the upper flat, where the accumulation rate of summer was generally higher than that of winter, was characterized by a continuous deposition throughout the entire year, whereas on the middle flat, sediment accumulations were concentrated in winter realtive to summer, and were intermittently eroded by typhoons. The lower tidal flat were deposited mostly in winter and eroded during summer typhoons. Cancores taken across the tidal flat reveal that sand-mud interlaers resulting from such seasonal changes of energy regime are preserved only in the upper part of the deposits and generally replaced by storm layers downcore(Fig. 3). Based on above results, it is suggested that the storm deposits formed by winter stors and typhoons would consist of the major part of the Gomso-Bay deposits(Fig. 4).

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Wet Deposition Fluxes of Ions Contributed by Cyclone-, Stationary Front- and Typhoon-associated Rains at the Southwestern Japan Coast

  • Toyonaga, Satoshi;Zhang, Daizhou
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2016
  • Wet deposition fluxes of ions at a coastal site in southwestern Japan in the period 1996-2003 were investigated to quantify the respective contributions of cyclone-, stationary front- and typhoon-associated rains. On average, the deposition fluxes of terrigenous-origin ions, nss-$SO_4{^{2-}}$, $NO_3{^-}$, $NH_4{^+}$ and nss-$Ca^{2+}$ were $37.6{\pm}7.3$, $16.3{\pm}4.2$, $19.0{\pm}3.4$ and $9.6{\pm}4.8meq\;m^{-2}yr^{-1}$, and those of $Na^+$ and $Cl^-$, the major ions in sea water, were $97.0{\pm}38.2$ and $115.2{\pm}48.2meq\;m^{-2}yr^{-1}$, respectively. Cyclone-associated rain constituted more than 50% of the fluxes of the terrigenous ions in almost all years. Stationary front-associated rain also contributed significantly, although the contribution was lower than the contribution by Cyclone-associated rain in almost all years. In particular, the wet deposition flux of nitrogen compounds of $NO_3{^-}$ and $NH_4{^+}$, which are important nutrients for micro-bioactivities in sea surface water, was dominated by cyclone-associated rain. Due to the extreme abundance of $Na^+$ and $Cl^-$ in the rainwater of typhoons, the fluxes of $Na^+$ and $Cl^-$ were contributed substantially by typhoons in years with typhoons' passage although cyclones were still the largest contributor to the fluxes. These results indicate the dominance of cyclones in the wet deposition to the East China Sea areas and the necessity to take rain types into account for a more accurate elucidation of the temporal and spatial variation of the wet deposition.

Typhoon-surge Characteristics in Relation with the Tide-surge Interaction (조석-해일 비선형성과 관련된 태풍-해일 특성)

  • Kang, Ju Whan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2015
  • Tide-surge interaction during typhoon periods has been analyzed. The quantitative analysis of the Chi-square test shows that the interaction is most prominent at the Southwestern coast whereas the Western and the Southeastern regions are not. Patterns of surge type were divided into two groups, that is, steep type and mild type. Then, the interaction was turned out to be more prominent for mild type data. The weak interaction at the Western region is considered due to negative surges when the south-track typhoons attack. However, the interaction is remarkable when the west-track typhoons attack. The weak interaction at the Southeastern coast is, on the other hand, considered due to abundance of the steep type typhoons. Thus, inundation risk would be so apprehensive at that region because large-scale surge might be caused even at high tide.