• 제목/요약/키워드: Tropical weather

검색결과 95건 처리시간 0.031초

북태평양의 악기상조건과 선박의 안전운항에 관한 연구(I) (A Study on the Safe Operations of Ships under Heavy Weather Conditions in the North Pacific(I))

  • 민병언
    • 한국항해학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.107-144
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    • 1987
  • In cold season, ice accretion on ship, drift ice, NW winter monsoon, developed extratropical cyclones and associated cold fronts, in warm season, tropical cyclones and dense sea fogs, are encountered very frequently in the North Pacific, especially in the northwest part of it. The two areas, namely, the northwest part of the North Pacific and Burmuda Triangle in the North Atlantic are generally known as most dangerous areas in the world because its high incidence of sea cascualities. In recent years, the small fisherboats operating in the northern seas were frequently sunk in a group as they encountered ice accretion or drift ice. And ocean going vessels were also sunk frequently due to strong winds and very high seas in winter monsoon or developed cyclones and cold fronts. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the real state of heavy weather conditions such as ice accretion on ship drift, ice, typhoons and sea fogs, and also to analyse the effect of these heavy weather phenomena on the vessels at sea, thus helping mariners operate in such heavy weather conditions.

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북서태평양 태풍 강도 가이던스 모델 성능평가 (Validations of Typhoon Intensity Guidance Models in the Western North Pacific)

  • 오유정;문일주;김성훈;이우정;강기룡
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2016
  • Eleven Tropical Cyclone (TC) intensity guidance models in the western North Pacific have been validated over 2008~2014 based on various analysis methods according to the lead time of forecast, year, month, intensity, rapid intensity change, track, and geographical area with an additional focus on TCs that influenced the Korean peninsula. From the evaluation using mean absolute error and correlation coefficients for maximum wind speed forecasts up to 72 h, we found that the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting model (HWRF) outperforms all others overall although the Global Forecast System (GFS), the Typhoon Ensemble Prediction System of Japan Meteorological Agency (TEPS), and the Korean version of Weather and Weather Research and Forecasting model (KWRF) also shows a good performance in some lead times of forecast. In particular, HWRF shows the highest performance in predicting the intensity of strong TCs above Category 3, which may be attributed to its highest spatial resolution (~3 km). The Navy Operational Global Prediction Model (NOGAPS) and GFS were the most improved model during 2008~2014. For initial intensity error, two Japanese models, Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model (JGSM) and TEPS, had the smallest error. In track forecast, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and recent GFS model outperformed others. The present results has significant implications for providing basic information for operational forecasters as well as developing ensemble or consensus prediction systems.

김해지역의 산성강우와 기압유형 (Weather Patterns and Acid Rain at Kimhae Area)

  • 박종길;황용식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to investigate the characteristics of acidity in the precipitation and weather patterns that were influenced it at Kimhae area from March, 1992 to June, 1994. The range of pH value in the precipitation at Kimhae is 3.45 to 6.80 and the average is pH 4.62, and the major anion components associated with acidity in the precipitation are $Cl^-, SO_4^{-2}, NO_3^-$. These distributions are to be expected the influence of industrialization such as, urbanization and construction of industrial complex at Kimhae area and the long range trasporting of air pollutants from China. The weather patterns governing the acid rain at Kimhae were classified broadly into four types(Cyclone(type I-a, type I-b), Migratory Anticyclone(type II), Tropical Cyclone(type III), Siberia High(type IV) and weather pattern which had the most occurrence frequency of acid rain was type I-a and the average pH value of precipitation in this pattern was 4.45, and we are found that the source area of air mass which was accompanied with high acidic precipitation in Kimhae was the central China include with Peking through the analysis of surface weather maps, 850 hPa wind fields, and the streamline analyses.

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차세대 정지궤도 기상위성관측의 편익과 활용 확대 방안: GOES-16에서 얻은 교훈 (Benefits of the Next Generation Geostationary Meteorological Satellite Observation and Policy Plans for Expanding Satellite Data Application: Lessons from GOES-16)

  • 김지영;장근일
    • 대기
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2018
  • Benefits of the next generation geostationary meteorological satellite observation (e.g., GEO-KOMPSAT-2A) are qualitatively and comprehensively described and discussed. Main beneficial phenomena for application can be listed as tropical cyclones (typhoon), high impact weather (heavy rainfall, lightning, and hail), ocean, air pollution (particulate matter), forest fire, fog, aircraft icing, volcanic eruption, and space weather. The next generation satellites with highly enhanced spatial and temporal resolution images, expanding channels, and basic and additional products are expected to create the new valuable benefits, including the contribution to the reduction of socioeconomic losses due to weather-related disasters. In particular, the new satellite observations are readily applicable to early warning and very-short time forecast application of hazardous weather phenomena, global climate change monitoring and adaptation, improvement of numerical weather forecast skill, and technical improvement of space weather monitoring and forecast. Several policy plans for expanding the application of the next generation satellite data are suggested.

FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING USING REMOTELY SENSED INFORMATION AND NEURAL NETWORKS PART II : MODEL APPLICATION

  • Kim, Gwang-seob;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2002
  • A developed Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model was applied to the mid-Atlantic region of the United States. The model incorporated the evolving structure and frequency of intense weather systems of the study area for improved flood forecasting. Besides using radiosonde and rainfall data, the model also used the satellite-derived characteristics of storm systems such as tropical cyclones, mesoscale convective complex systems and convective cloud clusters associated with synoptic atmospheric conditions as Input. Here, we present results from the application of the Quantitative Flood Forecasting (QFF) model in 2 small watersheds along the leeward side of the Appalachian Mountains in the mid-Atlantic region. Threat scores consistently above 0.6 and close to 0.8 ∼ 0.9 were obtained fur 18 hour lead-time forecasts, and skill scores of at least 40% and up to 55 % were obtained.

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Z-R Relationships for a Weather Radar in the Eastern Coast of Northeastern Brazil

  • Tenorio Ricardo Sarmento;Kwon Byung-Hyuk;Silva Moraes Marcia Cristina da
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2006
  • A disdrometer has been used to determine Z-R relationships for the weather radar, which is unique coastal radar operating regularly in western tropical south Atlantic. Rainfall rates were divided into the stratiform rain and the convective rain on the basis of $10\;mm\;h^{-1}$. The Z-R relationship for the stratiform class was similar to the general one since the convective clouds did not developed and two classes of the rain rate were mixed.

Solar Influence on Tropical Cyclone in Western North Pacific Ocean

  • Kim, Jung-Hee;Kim, Ki-Beom;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.257-270
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    • 2017
  • Solar activity is known to be linked to changes in the Earth's weather and climate. Nonetheless, for other types of extreme weather, such as tropical cyclones (TCs), the available evidence is less conclusive. In this study the modulation of TC genesis over the western North Pacific by the solar activity is investigated, in comparison with a large-scale environmental parameter, i.e., El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). For this purpose, we have obtained the best track data for TCs in the western North Pacific from 1977 to 2016, spanning from the solar cycle 21 to the solar cycle 24. We have confirmed that in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods TCs tend to form in the southeast, reach its maximum strength in the southeast, and end its life as TSs in the northeast, compared with the La-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods. TCs occurring in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods are found to last longer compared with the La-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods. Furthermore, TCs occurring in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods have a lower central pressure at their maximum strength than those occurring in the La-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods. We have found that TCs occurring in the solar maximum periods resemble those in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods in their properties. We have also found that TCs occurring in the solar descending periods somehow resemble those in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods in their properties. To make sure that it is not due to the ENSO effect, we have excluded TCs both in the El-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods and in the La-$Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ periods from the data set and repeated the analysis. In addition to this test, we have also reiterated our analysis twice with TCs whose maximum sustained winds speed exceeds 17 m/s, instead of 33 m/s, as well as TCs designated as a typhoon, which ends up with the same conclusions.

TRMM/PR 관측에 의한 한반도에서의 여름철 호우의 특성 : 사례연구 (The Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall in Summer over the Korean Peninsula from Precipitation Radar of TRMM Satellite : Case Study)

  • 박혜숙;정효상;노유정
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2000
  • 열대 강우 관측 위성(TRMM: Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission)에서 관측된 자료가 한반도에서 발생한 호우 특성을 얼마나 잘 나타내 주는지를 알아보기 위하여 1998년과 1999년 여름철 호우 사례에 대해 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 먼저 집중 호우를 동반한 비 구름대의 높이, 강수형태, 비 구름의 수직 분포 및 수평 단면도 상의 강우 분포를 조사하였으며, TRMM/PR 관측 강우 강도와 지상에서 관측된 자동기상관측 장비(AWS: Automatic Weather System)에서 관측된 값을 비교하였다. GMS-5 IR1과 AWS 지상관측 자료와 비교해 볼 때, TRMM/PR 관측자료는 기존의 자료로는 알 수 없는 강수 형태, 비 구름대의 높이 등에 대한 정보를 쉽게 제공해 주었으며 특히 비 구름대 내부에서의 강우강도 분포와 연직 발달 정도를 잘 묘사했다. 또한 위도-경도별 강우강도의 단면분포에서는 지형 효과에 의한 강우 특성도 알 수 있었다. TRMM/PR 관측 강우강도 값은 AWS 관측치에 비해 6 mm/hr 이하에서 더 많이 관측되었으며, 전체적으로는 지상 관측에 비해 적게 관측되는 경향을 보였다.

Long-range Transport Mechanisms of Asian Dust associated with the Synoptic Weather System

  • Kim, Yoo-Keun;Lee, Hwa-Woon;Moon, Yun-Seob;Song, Sang-Keun
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • 제10권S_4호
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2001
  • The long-range transport mechanisms of Asian dust were analyzed based on the synoptic weather system and numerical simulation by using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and TOMS data during the periods of 1996-2001. We classified the whole weather types of eastern Asia during spring and created the representative weather types during the yellow sand events using cluster analysis and weather charts for the last 6 years(1996~2001). These long-range transport mechanisms were related to various pressure patterns including high and low, trough and ridge, and upper-level fronts. Case studies of the yellow sand events have performed by the simulation of MM5 with meteorological elements such as the horizontal wind of u and v component, potential temperature, potential vorticity, and vertical circulation during the episodic days(2~8 March 2001). In addition, the origin of the long-range transport was examined with the estimation of backward trajectory using HYSPLIT4 Model. In this paper, we concluded that three weather types at 1000 hPa, 850 hPa, 500 hPa, and 300 hPa levels were classified respectively. The dominant features were the extending continental outflow from China to Korea at 1000 hPa and 850 hPa levels, the deep trough passage and cold advection at 500 hPa and 300 hPa levels during the yellow sand events. And also, we confirmed the existence of pola $r_tropical jets in the upper-level, the behavior of potential vorticity over Korea, the estimation of potential vorticity through vertical cross section, and the transport of yellow sand through backward trajectories.es.

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대류가 유도하는 중력파 항력의 모수화가 GDAPS에 미치는 영향 (Impact of a Convectively Forced Gravity Wave Drag Parameterization in Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS))

  • 김소영;전혜영;박병권;이해진
    • 대기
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.303-318
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    • 2006
  • A parameterization of gravity wave drag induced by cumulus convection (GWDC) proposed by Chun and Baik is implemented in the KMA operational global NWP model (GDAPS), and effects of the GWDC on the forecast for July 2005 by GDAPS are investigated. The forecast result is compared with NCEP final analyses data (FNL) and model's own analysis data. Cloud-top gravity wave stresses are concentrated in the tropical region, and the resultant forcing by the GWDC is strong in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Nevertheless, the effect of the GWDC is strong in the mid- to high latitudes of Southern Hemisphere and high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere. By examining the effect of the GWDC on the amplitude of the geopotential height perturbation with zonal wavenumbers 1-3, it is found that impact of the GWDC is extended to the high latitudes through the change of planetary wave activity, which is maximum in the winter hemisphere. The GWDC reduces the amplitude of zonal wavenumber 1 but increases wavenumber 2 in the winter hemisphere. This change alleviates model biases in the zonal wind not only in the lower stratosphere where the GWDC is imposed, but also in the whole troposphere, especially in the mid- to high latitudes of Southern Hemisphere. By examining root mean square error, it is found that the GWDC parameterization improves GDAPS forecast skill in the Southern Hemisphere before 7 days and partially in the Northern Hemisphere after about 5 days.