• Title/Summary/Keyword: Transportation demand

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Development and Application of an Energy Input-Output Table for an Energy Demand and Supply Activities Analysis

  • Pruitichaiwiboon, Phirada;Lee, Cheul-Kyu;Baek, Chun-Youl;Lee, Kun-Mo
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2011
  • This paper introduces an approach to identify the total energy consumption with subsequent $CO_2$ emissions, for both industrial and non-industrial sectors. Statistical data for 2005 were compiled in a national account system to construct an energy input-output table for investigating the influence between energy demand and supply activities. The methodological approach was applied to South Korea. Twelve types of energy and fifteen industrial and non-industrial sectors are formed as the compartments of the input-output table. The results provided quantitative details of the energy consumption and identified the significant contributions from each sector. An impact analysis on the $CO_2$ emissions for the demand side was also conducted for comparison with the supply side.

A Variable Demand Traffic Assignment Model Based on Stable Dynamics (안정동력학에 의한 가변수요 통행배정모형)

  • Park, Koo-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.61-83
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    • 2009
  • This study developed a variable demand traffic assignment model by stable dynamics. Stable dynamics, suggested by Nesterov and do Palma[19], is a new model which describes and provides a stable state of congestion in urban transportation networks. In comparison with the user equilibrium model, which is based on the arc travel time function in analyzing transportation networks, stable dynamics requires few parameters and is coincident with intuitions and observations on congestion. It is therefore expected to be a useful analysis tool for transportation planners. In this study, we generalize the stable dynamics into the model with variable demands. We suggest a three stage optimization model. In the first stage, we introduce critical travel times and dummy links and determine variable demands and link flows by applying an optimization problem to an extended network with the dummy links. Then we determine link travel times and path flows in the following stages. We present a numerical example of the application of the model to a given network.

Design of Intelligent Transportation Control System Based on Blockchain Technology

  • Xia, Wei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.763-769
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    • 2022
  • Transportation allocation requires information such as storage location and order information. In order to guarantee the safe transmission and real-time sharing of information in all links, an intelligent transportation control system based on blockchain technology is designed. Firstly, the technical architecture of intelligent transportation information traceability blockchain and the overall architecture of intelligent transportation control system were designed. Secondly, the transportation management demand module and storage demand management module were designed, and the control process of each module was given. Then, the type of intelligent transportation vehicle was defined, the objective function of intelligent transportation control was designed, and the objective function of intelligent transportation control was constructed. Finally, the intelligent transportation control was realized by genetic algorithm. It was found that when the transportation order volume was 50×103, and the CPU occupancy of the designed system was only 11.8%. The reliability attenuation of the code deletion scheme was lower, indicating better performance of the designed system.

The Development of Econometric Model for Air Transportation Demand Based on Stationarity in Time-series (시계열 자료의 안정성을 고려한 항공수요 계량경제모형 개발)

  • PARK, Jeasung;KIM, Byung Jong;KIM, Wonkyu;JANG, Eunhyuk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2016
  • Air transportation demand is consistently increasing in Korea due to economic growth and low cost carriers. For this reason, airport expansion plans are being discussed in Korea. Therefore, it is essential to forecast reliable air transportation demand with adequate methods. However, most of the air transportation demand models in Korea has been developed by simple regression analysis with several dummy variables. Simple regression analysis without considering stationarity of time-series data can bring spurious outputs when a direct causal relationship between explanatory variables and dependent variable does not exist. In this paper, econometric model were developed for air transportation demand based on stationarity in time-series data. Unit root test and co-integration test are used for testing hypothesis of stationarity.

Outbound Air Travel Demand Forecasting Model with Unobserved Regional Characteristics (미관찰 지역 특성을 고려한 내국인 국제선 항공수요 추정 모형)

  • YU, Jeong Whon;CHOI, Jung Yoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2018
  • In order to meet the ever-increasing demand for international air travel, several plans are underway to open new airports and expand existing provincial airports. However, existing air demand forecasts have been based on the total air demand in Korea or the air demand among major cities. There is not much forecast of regional air demand considering local characteristics. In this study, the outbound air travel demand in the southeastern region of Korea was analyzed and the fixed-effects model using panel data was proposed as an optimal model that can reflect the inherent characteristics of metropolitan areas which are difficult to observe in reality. The results of model validation show that panel data analysis effectively addresses the spurious regression and unobserved heterogeneity that are difficult to handle in a model using only a few macroeconomic indicators with time series characteristics. Various statistical validation and conformance tests suggest that the fixed-effects model proposed in this study is superior to other econometric models in predicting demand for international demand in the southeastern region.

Simple Algorithm for Large-scale Unbalanced Transportation Problem (대규모 불균형 수송문제의 간단한 해법)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.223-230
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    • 2015
  • As the Transportation Simplex Method of the general transportation problem are inapplicable to the large-scale unbalanced transportation problem, a commercialized linear programming package remains as the only viable means. There is, however, no method made available to verify the optimality of solutions attained by the package. This paper therefore proposes a simple heuristic algorithm to the large-scale unbalanced transportation problem. From a given problem of $31{\times}15$supply and demand areas, the proposed algorithm determines the number of demands areas for each supply area and executes on the latter in the ascending order of each of their corresponding demand areas. Next, given a single corresponding demand area, it supplies the full demand volume and else, it supplies first to an area of minimum associated costs and subsequently to the rest so as to meet the demand to the fullest extent. This initial optimal value is then optimized through an adjustment process whereby costs are minimized as much as possible. When tested on the $31{\times}15$cost matrix, the proposed algorithm has obtained an optimal result improved from the commercial linear programming package by 8.9%.

A Model Design on the Korean AGT System (한국형 경량 전철 모델 연구)

  • 최출헌;한석윤;신학수
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.114-122
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    • 2001
  • As of these, the exterior design of the public transportation systems, especially electric multiple, tends to mimic advanced country's design rather than design of car shape reflecting cultural and spiritual background. However, in the new transportation system, the design which satisfies the transportation demand must be changed into the design which creates transportation demand. In this respect, this research focuses on the factor's embodiment which is perceived by Korean passenger sympathetic to cultural and spiritual needs. The results of this research are Korean AGT design on rubber tire AGT, steel wheel AGT, LM AGT system and environmental design related to AGT systems.

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A Study on Predicting the demand for Public Shared Bikes using linear Regression

  • HAN, Dong Hun;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2022
  • As the need for eco-friendly transportation increases due to the deepening climate crisis, many local governments in Korea are introducing shared bicycles. Due to anxiety about public transportation after COVID-19, bicycles have firmly established themselves as the axis of daily transportation. The use of shared bicycles is spread, and the demand for bicycles is increasing by rental offices, but there are operational and management difficulties because the demand is managed under a limited budget. And unfortunately, user behavior results in a spatial imbalance of the bike inventory over time. So, in order to easily operate the maintenance of shared bicycles in Seoul, bicycles should be prepared in large quantities at a time of high demand and withdrawn at a low time. Therefore, in this study, by using machine learning, the linear regression algorithm and MS Azure ML are used to predict and analyze when demand is high. As a result of the analysis, the demand for bicycles in 2018 is on the rise compared to 2017, and the demand is lower in winter than in spring, summer, and fall. It can be judged that this linear regression-based prediction can reduce maintenance and management costs in a shared society and increase user convenience. In a further study, we will focus on shared bike routes by using GPS tracking systems. Through the data found, the route used by most people will be analyzed to derive the optimal route when installing a bicycle-only road.

A Study of Origin and Destination Decision for a Direct Bus Line in a City with Transit Mobility and Potential Demand (대중교통 이동성과 잠재수요를 이용한 도시 내 지역 간 직결노선버스 기종점 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Kyung Uk;Kim, Hwang Bae;Park, Hong Sik;Park, Seon Bok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.4D
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    • pp.547-553
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    • 2011
  • This study has redefined the concepts of mobility indexes and potential demand, standards to evaluate areas with the worst public transportation system and applied the relevant indexes to select the areas with the worst public transportation mobility and present a method to set direct public transportation lines between these regions. The mobility indexes and indexes to evaluate potential demand were applied to select the regions with the worst public transportation systems in four metropolitan cities and case studies were carried out on direct lines provided between these regions. The analysis results showed that in public transportation mobility blind spots, public transportation takes much longer than driving an automobile or public transportation services are not provided. In addition, the analysis showed that a direct lines system to solve such worst off regions should be built to have public transportation take as much time as driving an automobile by establishing lines for automobiles only, minimize time lost from hopping up and down a bus and maximize connections.

Exploring Relationships between Transportation and Communications Using Consumer Expenditure Patterns (소비자 지출 행태를 통한 교통과 통신의 상호연관성 연구)

  • Choo, Sang-Ho;Mokhtarian Patricia L.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.8 s.86
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzed the relationships between expenditures on transportation and those on communications, using consumer expenditure data from the U.S. for the 19 years 1984-2002. We first identified 12 categories of goods for transportation and communications, and then applied the linear approximate Almost Ideal Demand System(LA/AIDS) method for estimating consumer demand functions based on aggregating the categories to five (public transportation, personal vehicle capital, personal vehicle operation, electronic communications media, and print communications media) due to the small sample size. Expenditure and price elasticities were also calculated at mean values of expenditure shares. The results indicate that transportation and communications categories have both substitutive(e.g. public transportation and electronic communications media) and complementary(e.g. private vehicle capital and electronic communications media) relationships. Additionally, expenditures in the transportation categories are generally more income-elastic than those in communications.