• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic information and prediction System

Search Result 121, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Comparative Study of PSO-ANN in Estimating Traffic Accident Severity

  • Md. Ashikuzzaman;Wasim Akram;Md. Mydul Islam Anik;Taskeed Jabid;Mahamudul Hasan;Md. Sawkat Ali
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.23 no.8
    • /
    • pp.95-100
    • /
    • 2023
  • Due to Traffic accidents people faces health and economical casualties around the world. As the population increases vehicles on road increase which leads to congestion in cities. Congestion can lead to increasing accident risks due to the expansion in transportation systems. Modern cities are adopting various technologies to minimize traffic accidents by predicting mathematically. Traffic accidents cause economical casualties and potential death. Therefore, to ensure people's safety, the concept of the smart city makes sense. In a smart city, traffic accident factors like road condition, light condition, weather condition etcetera are important to consider to predict traffic accident severity. Several machine learning models can significantly be employed to determine and predict traffic accident severity. This research paper illustrated the performance of a hybridized neural network and compared it with other machine learning models in order to measure the accuracy of predicting traffic accident severity. Dataset of city Leeds, UK is being used to train and test the model. Then the results are being compared with each other. Particle Swarm optimization with artificial neural network (PSO-ANN) gave promising results compared to other machine learning models like Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Nearest Centroid, K Nearest Neighbor Classification. PSO- ANN model can be adopted in the transportation system to counter traffic accident issues. The nearest centroid model gave the lowest accuracy score whereas PSO-ANN gave the highest accuracy score. All the test results and findings obtained in our study can provide valuable information on reducing traffic accidents.

Study on the Prioritization of Improvement Plan for Road Traffic Safety Projects for Business Vehicles by the Introduction of Autonomous Vehicles (자율주행자동차 도입에 따른 사업용 차량 도로교통 안전사업 개선방안 우선순위 선정 연구)

  • Park, Sangmin;Jeong, Harim;Lee, Seungjun;Park, Sujung;Nam, Doohee;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently, the automobile industry is rapidly changing due to autonomous vehicles based on advanced ICT technology. As a result, studies related to autonomous vehicles have also been actively conducted. However, most studies are focusing on the autonomous driving technology so that the prediction of changes in road traffic safety and associated legal system due to the introduction of autonomous vehicles are lacking. The purpose of this study is to suggest improvement methods and priorities of road traffic safety projects according to the introduction of autonomous vehicles. As a result of the AHP analysis using the results of the questionnaire surveyed for autonomous driving car experts, it was analyzed that revision of the traffic safety inspection law and development of education system for autonomous driving motor drivers and operators should be given top priority.

Short-Term Prediction of Vehicle Speed on Main City Roads using the k-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm (k-Nearest Neighbor 알고리즘을 이용한 도심 내 주요 도로 구간의 교통속도 단기 예측 방법)

  • Rasyidi, Mohammad Arif;Kim, Jeongmin;Ryu, Kwang Ryel
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.121-131
    • /
    • 2014
  • Traffic speed is an important measure in transportation. It can be employed for various purposes, including traffic congestion detection, travel time estimation, and road design. Consequently, accurate speed prediction is essential in the development of intelligent transportation systems. In this paper, we present an analysis and speed prediction of a certain road section in Busan, South Korea. In previous works, only historical data of the target link are used for prediction. Here, we extract features from real traffic data by considering the neighboring links. After obtaining the candidate features, linear regression, model tree, and k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) are employed for both feature selection and speed prediction. The experiment results show that k-NN outperforms model tree and linear regression for the given dataset. Compared to the other predictors, k-NN significantly reduces the error measures that we use, including mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE).

GPS Based Sensor Network Research for Prediction of Incident (GPS 기반 돌발 상황 예측을 위한 센서네트워크 연구)

  • Jung, Hui-Sok;Won, Dae-Ho;Yang, Yeon-Mo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.454-456
    • /
    • 2010
  • The demands for (a) individual vehicle has been gradually increasing recently due to increase of personal income and spare time. In 2009, the quantities of registered vehicles exceeds over 17,325,210 millions pieces, and the risks of traffic accidents and traffic jam are increasing days by days. It has some limitations to solve the problem of traffic jam by transportation facilities and causes lots of time and costs. For a possible solution, ITS(Intelligent Transport System) has been introduced, but it is an insufficient way for abrupt incidents or risks on roads. The riskiest matter on driving a vehicle is unforeseen situation. In this paper, the most efficient and economical system that communicates with a driver about unexpected accident by sensor network and GPS information, is introduced rather than a traditional method associated with lots of time and costs.

  • PDF

Comparison of Association Rule Learning and Subgroup Discovery for Mining Traffic Accident Data (교통사고 데이터의 마이닝을 위한 연관규칙 학습기법과 서브그룹 발견기법의 비교)

  • Kim, Jeongmin;Ryu, Kwang Ryel
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1-16
    • /
    • 2015
  • Traffic accident is one of the major cause of death worldwide for the last several decades. According to the statistics of world health organization, approximately 1.24 million deaths occurred on the world's roads in 2010. In order to reduce future traffic accident, multipronged approaches have been adopted including traffic regulations, injury-reducing technologies, driving training program and so on. Records on traffic accidents are generated and maintained for this purpose. To make these records meaningful and effective, it is necessary to analyze relationship between traffic accident and related factors including vehicle design, road design, weather, driver behavior etc. Insight derived from these analysis can be used for accident prevention approaches. Traffic accident data mining is an activity to find useful knowledges about such relationship that is not well-known and user may interested in it. Many studies about mining accident data have been reported over the past two decades. Most of studies mainly focused on predict risk of accident using accident related factors. Supervised learning methods like decision tree, logistic regression, k-nearest neighbor, neural network are used for these prediction. However, derived prediction model from these algorithms are too complex to understand for human itself because the main purpose of these algorithms are prediction, not explanation of the data. Some of studies use unsupervised clustering algorithm to dividing the data into several groups, but derived group itself is still not easy to understand for human, so it is necessary to do some additional analytic works. Rule based learning methods are adequate when we want to derive comprehensive form of knowledge about the target domain. It derives a set of if-then rules that represent relationship between the target feature with other features. Rules are fairly easy for human to understand its meaning therefore it can help provide insight and comprehensible results for human. Association rule learning methods and subgroup discovery methods are representing rule based learning methods for descriptive task. These two algorithms have been used in a wide range of area from transaction analysis, accident data analysis, detection of statistically significant patient risk groups, discovering key person in social communities and so on. We use both the association rule learning method and the subgroup discovery method to discover useful patterns from a traffic accident dataset consisting of many features including profile of driver, location of accident, types of accident, information of vehicle, violation of regulation and so on. The association rule learning method, which is one of the unsupervised learning methods, searches for frequent item sets from the data and translates them into rules. In contrast, the subgroup discovery method is a kind of supervised learning method that discovers rules of user specified concepts satisfying certain degree of generality and unusualness. Depending on what aspect of the data we are focusing our attention to, we may combine different multiple relevant features of interest to make a synthetic target feature, and give it to the rule learning algorithms. After a set of rules is derived, some postprocessing steps are taken to make the ruleset more compact and easier to understand by removing some uninteresting or redundant rules. We conducted a set of experiments of mining our traffic accident data in both unsupervised mode and supervised mode for comparison of these rule based learning algorithms. Experiments with the traffic accident data reveals that the association rule learning, in its pure unsupervised mode, can discover some hidden relationship among the features. Under supervised learning setting with combinatorial target feature, however, the subgroup discovery method finds good rules much more easily than the association rule learning method that requires a lot of efforts to tune the parameters.

Long-Term Arrival Time Estimation Model Based on Service Time (버스의 정차시간을 고려한 장기 도착시간 예측 모델)

  • Park, Chul Young;Kim, Hong Geun;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
    • /
    • v.6 no.7
    • /
    • pp.297-306
    • /
    • 2017
  • Citizens want more accurate forecast information using Bus Information System. However, most bus information systems that use an average based short-term prediction algorithm include many errors because they do not consider the effects of the traffic flow, signal period, and halting time. In this paper, we try to improve the precision of forecast information by analyzing the influencing factors of the error, thereby making the convenience of the citizens. We analyzed the influence factors of the error using BIS data. It is shown in the analyzed data that the effects of the time characteristics and geographical conditions are mixed, and that effects on halting time and passes speed is different. Therefore, the halt time is constructed using Generalized Additive Model with explanatory variable such as hour, GPS coordinate and number of routes, and we used Hidden Markov Model to construct a pattern considering the influence of traffic flow on the unit section. As a result of the pattern construction, accurate real-time forecasting and long-term prediction of route travel time were possible. Finally, it is shown that this model is suitable for travel time prediction through statistical test between observed data and predicted data. As a result of this paper, we can provide more precise forecast information to the citizens, and we think that long-term forecasting can play an important role in decision making such as route scheduling.

New Prediction of the Number of Charging Electric Vehicles Using Transformation Matrix and Monte-Carlo Method

  • Go, Hyo-Sang;Ryu, Joon-Hyoung;Kim, Jae-won;Kim, Gil-Dong;Kim, Chul-Hwan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.451-458
    • /
    • 2017
  • An Electric Vehicle (EV) is operated with the electric energy of a battery in place of conventional fossil fuels. Thus, a suitable charging infrastructure must be provided to expand the use of electric vehicles. Because the battery of an EV must be charged to operate the EV, expanding the number of EVs will have a significant influence on the power supply and demand. Therefore, to maintain the balance of power supply and demand, it is important to be able to predict the numbers of charging EVs and monitor the events that occur in the distribution system. In this paper, we predict the hourly charging rate of electric vehicles using transformation matrix, which can describe all behaviors such as resting, charging, and driving of the EVs. Simulation with transformation matrix in a specific region provides statistical results using the Monte-Carlo Method.

A Study on the Construction of 3D Noisemap for Busan's Road Traffic Noise (부산시 도로교통소음의 3차원 소음지도제작에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hwa-Il;Han, Kyoung-Min
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.111-132
    • /
    • 2007
  • The traffic noise of Busan, the second largest city in Korea, is polluting the area. Noise map is a map that shows data on an existing or predicted noise condition in terms of a noise indicator, breaches of a limit value, the number of dwellings exposed to certain values of a noise indicator in a certain area, or on cost-benefit ratios or other economic data on mitigation methods or scenarios with Geographic Information System. With noise map, the effect of traffic noise and the efficiency of city development plan are exactly estimated. So making systematic counteroffer is possible with it. This study is aimed to the construction of basis for noise map construction method for domestic use and the area focus is Busan.

  • PDF

Deep Learning Research on Vessel Trajectory Prediction Based on AIS Data with Interpolation Techniques

  • Won-Hee Lee;Seung-Won Yoon;Da-Hyun Jang;Kyu-Chul Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2024
  • The research on predicting the routes of ships, which constitute the majority of maritime transportation, can detect potential hazards at sea in advance and prevent accidents. Unlike roads, there is no distinct signal system at sea, and traffic management is challenging, making ship route prediction essential for maritime safety. However, the time intervals of the ship route datasets are irregular due to communication disruptions. This study presents a method to adjust the time intervals of data using appropriate interpolation techniques for ship route prediction. Additionally, a deep learning model for predicting ship routes has been developed. This model is an LSTM model that predicts the future GPS coordinates of ships by understanding their movement patterns through real-time route information contained in AIS data. This paper presents a data preprocessing method using linear interpolation and a suitable deep learning model for ship route prediction. The experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method with an MSE of 0.0131 and an Accuracy of 0.9467.

IMPROVING RELIABILITY OF BRIDGE DETERIORATION MODEL USING GENERATED MISSING CONDITION RATINGS

  • Jung Baeg Son;Jaeho Lee;Michael Blumenstein;Yew-Chaye Loo;Hong Guan;Kriengsak Panuwatwanich
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.700-706
    • /
    • 2009
  • Bridges are vital components of any road network which demand crucial and timely decision-making for Maintenance, Repair and Rehabilitation (MR&R) activities. Bridge Management Systems (BMSs) as a decision support system (DSS), have been developed since the early 1990's to assist in the management of a large bridge network. Historical condition ratings obtained from biennial bridge inspections are major resources for predicting future bridge deteriorations via BMSs. Available historical condition ratings in most bridge agencies, however, are very limited, and thus posing a major barrier for obtaining reliable future structural performances. To alleviate this problem, the verified Backward Prediction Model (BPM) technique has been developed to help generate missing historical condition ratings. This is achieved through establishing the correlation between known condition ratings and such non-bridge factors as climate and environmental conditions, traffic volumes and population growth. Such correlations can then be used to obtain the bridge condition ratings of the missing years. With the help of these generated datasets, the currently available bridge deterioration model can be utilized to more reliably forecast future bridge conditions. In this paper, the prediction accuracy based on 4 and 9 BPM-generated historical condition ratings as input data are compared, using deterministic and stochastic bridge deterioration models. The comparison outcomes indicate that the prediction error decreases as more historical condition ratings obtained. This implies that the BPM can be utilised to generate unavailable historical data, which is crucial for bridge deterioration models to achieve more accurate prediction results. Nevertheless, there are considerable limitations in the existing bridge deterioration models. Thus, further research is essential to improve the prediction accuracy of bridge deterioration models.

  • PDF