• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Planing모형

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Development of Model for Optimal Concession Period in PPPs Considering Traffic Risk (교통량 위험을 고려한 도로 민간투자사업 적정 관리운영기간 산정 모형 개발)

  • KU, Sukmo;LEE, Seungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.421-436
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    • 2016
  • Public-Private-Partnerships tend to be committed high project development cost and recover the cost through future revenue during the operation period. In general, long-term concession can bring on more revenue to private investors, but short-term concession less revenue due to the short recovering opportunities. The concession period is usually determined by government in advance or by the private sectors's proposal although it is a very crucial factor for the PPPs. Accurate traffic forecasting should be most important in planing and evaluating the operation period in that the forecasted traffic determines the project revenue with user fees in PPPs. In this regards, governments and the private investors are required to consider the traffic forecast risk when determining concession period. This study proposed a model for the optimal concession period in the PPPs transportation projects. Monte Carlo simulation was performed to find out the optimal concession period while traffic forecast uncertainty is considered as a project risk under the expected return of the private sector. The simulation results showed that the optimal concession periods are 17 years and 21 years at 5.5% and 7% discount level, respectively. This study result can be applied for the private investors and/or any other concerned decision makers for PPPs projects to set up a more resonable concession period.

Optimization of TIME-OF-DAY and Estimation on the Field Application for Arterial Road (간선도로 교차로의 TOD 시간계획 최적화 및 현장적용 평가)

  • Lee, In-Gyu;Lee, Ho-Sang;Kim, Yeong-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2011
  • Traffic signal control is one of the most cost-effective means of improving urban mobility. With the recent progress of ITS (Intelligent Transportation System) and the installation of the real time traffic control systems, traffic signal control is conducted in online and real time. Normally, time-of-day (TOD) signal control is used with the system, but no definite methodology has yet been available for efficient TOD signal planing designing. Such method and process are in need to optimize the traffic signal timing plan. This paper proposes the optimization of TOD signal timings on arterials. The effects of the signal timings from the proposed method were assessed in the field. The proposed includes the methods determining the separation of the TOD break points and the TOD intervals. Those were tested on an arterial consisting of ten coordinated signalized intersections. It was found from the test results that the proposed TOD signal timing plans outperformed the previous signal timings.