• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Flow Prediction

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A Study on Assessment of Vessel Traffic Safety Management by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation (해상교통류 시뮬레이션에 의한 해상교통안전관리평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park Young- Soo;Jong Jae-Yong;Inoue Kinzo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.43-55
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    • 2002
  • Vessel traffic safety management means the managerial technical measures for improving the marine traffic safety in general terms. The main flow of vessel traffic safety management is that: 1) Traffic Survey, 2) Replay by Marine Traffic Flow Simulation, 3) Quantitative Assessment, 4) Policy Alternatives, 5) Prediction·Verification. In the management of vessel traffic safety, it is most important to establish assessment models that can numerically estimate the current safety level and quantitatively predict the correlation between the measures to be taken and the improvement of safety and the reduction of ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners. In this paper, the replay model for traffic flow simulation was made using marine traffic survey data, and the present traffic situation became replay in the computer. An attempt was made to rate the current safety of ports and waterways by applying the Environmental Stress model. And, as a countermeasure for traffic management, by taking of, the promotion of total traffic congestion in early morning rush hour, the correlation between traffic control rate and the reduction in ship handling difficulties imposed on mariners was predicted quantitatively.

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Prediction of Road Traffic Noise by Box Model (BOX Model에 의한 도로교통소음 예측)

  • Yeo, Woon-Ho;Yu, Myong-Jin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 1994
  • In order to establish a prediction method for road traffic noise generated from actual traffic flow, a new approach is proposed for practical use. One block in urban road is regarded as one box in this study. This prediction method is able to treat any kind of road traffic noise generated from one block. The validity of the proposed prediction method has been experimentally confirmed by applying it to actually observed road traffic noise data. The correlation between observed and predicted noise level is good.

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Effects of Vehicle Classification Methods on Noise Prediction Results of Road Traffic Noise Map (소음지도 제작 시 차량 분류방법이 소음도 예측 결과에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Yoon;Park, In-Sun;Jung, Woo-Hong;Park, Sang-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.872-876
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    • 2007
  • Road traffic noise map is effective method to save cost and time for environmental noise assessment. Generally, noise is calculated by using theoretical equation of noise prediction, and the calculated result can be influenced by various input factors. Especially, domestic vehicle classification method for traffic flow and heavy vehicle percentage is different from that of foreign countries. Thus, this can cause effect on the noise prediction results. In this study, noise prediction results by using domestic vehicle classification method are compared with those by foreign methods.

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Effects of Vehicle Classification Methods on Noise Prediction Results of Road Traffic Noise Map (소음지도 제작시 차량 분류방법이 소음도 예측 결과에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Yoon;Park, In-Sun;Jung, Woo-Hong;Kang, Dae-Joon;Park, Sang-Kyu
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.193-197
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    • 2012
  • Road traffic noise map is effective method to save cost and time for environmental noise assessment. Generally, noise is calculated by using theoretical equation of noise prediction, and the calculated result can be influenced by various input factors. Especially, domestic vehicle classification method for traffic flow and heavy vehicle percentage is different from that of foreign countries. Thus, this can cause effect on the noise prediction results. In this study, noise prediction results by using domestic vehicle classification method are compared with those by foreign methods.

Speed Prediction of Urban Freeway Using LSTM and CNN-LSTM Neural Network (LSTM 및 CNN-LSTM 신경망을 활용한 도시부 간선도로 속도 예측)

  • Park, Boogi;Bae, Sang hoon;Jung, Bokyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2021
  • One of the methods to alleviate traffic congestion is to increase the efficiency of the roads by providing traffic condition information on road user and distributing the traffic. For this, reliability must be guaranteed, and quantitative real-time traffic speed prediction is essential. In this study, and based on analysis of traffic speed related to traffic conditions, historical data correlated with traffic flow were used as input. We developed an LSTM model that predicts speed in response to normal traffic conditions, along with a CNN-LSTM model that predicts speed in response to incidents. Through these models, we try to predict traffic speeds during the hour in five-minute intervals. As a result, predictions had an average error rate of 7.43km/h for normal traffic flows, and an error rate of 7.66km/h for traffic incident flows when there was an incident.

Analysis System for Traffic Accident based on WEB (WEB 기반 교통사고 분석)

  • Hong, You-Sik;Han, Chang-Pyoung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2022
  • Road conditions and weather conditions are very important factors in the case of traffic accident fatalities in fog and ice sections that occur on roads in winter. In this paper, a simulation was performed to estimate the traffic accident risk rate assuming traffic accident prediction data. In addition, in this paper, in order to reduce traffic accidents and prevent traffic accidents, factor analysis and traffic accident fatality rates were predicted using the WEKA data mining technique and TENSOR FLOW open source data on traffic accident fatalities provided by the Korea Transportation Corporation.

Forecasting of Motorway Traffic Flow based on Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 활용한 고속도로 교통류 예측)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to find the factors that reduce prediction error in traffic volume using highway traffic volume data. The ARIMA model was used to predict the day, and it was confirmed that weekday and weekly characteristics were distinguished by prediction error. The forecasting results showed that weekday characteristics were prominent on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays, and forecast errors including MAPE and MAE on Sunday were about 15% points and about 10 points higher than weekday characteristics. Also, on Friday, the forecast error was high on weekdays, similar to Sunday's forecast error, unlike Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, which had weekday characteristics. Therefore, when forecasting the time series belonging to Friday, it should be regarded as a weekly characteristic having characteristics similar to weekend rather than considering as weekday.

Flow Prediction-Based Dynamic Clustering Method for Traffic Distribution in Edge Computing (엣지 컴퓨팅에서 트래픽 분산을 위한 흐름 예측 기반 동적 클러스터링 기법)

  • Lee, Chang Woo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.1136-1140
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    • 2022
  • This paper is a method for efficient traffic prediction in mobile edge computing, where many studies have recently been conducted. For distributed processing in mobile edge computing, tasks offloading from each mobile edge must be processed within the limited computing power of the edge. As a result, in the mobile nodes, it is necessary to efficiently select the surrounding edge server in consideration of performance dynamically. This paper aims to suggest the efficient clustering method by selecting edges in a cloud environment and predicting mobile traffic. Then, our dynamic clustering method is to reduce offloading overload to the edge server when offloading required by mobile terminals affects the performance of the edge server compared with the existing offloading schemes.

Road Speed Prediction Scheme Considering Traffic Incidents (교통 돌발 상황을 고려한 도로 속도 예측 기법)

  • Park, Songhee;Choi, Dojin;Bok, Kyoungsoo;Yoo, Jaesoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2020
  • As social costs of traffic congestion increase, various studies are underway to predict road speed. In order to improve the accuracy of road speed prediction, unexpected traffic situations need to be considered. In this paper, we propose a road speed prediction scheme considering traffic incidents affecting road speed. We use not only the speed data of the target road but also the speed data of the connected roads to reflect the impact of the connected roads. We also analyze the amount of speed change to predict the traffic congestion caused by traffic incidents. We use the speed data of connected roads and target road with input data to predict road speed in the first place. To reduce the prediction error caused by breaking the regular road flow due to traffic incidents, we predict the final road speed by applying event weights. It is shown through various performance evaluations that the proposed method outperforms the existing methods.

A Study on the traffic flow prediction through Catboost algorithm (Catboost 알고리즘을 통한 교통흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cheon, Min Jong;Choi, Hye Jin;Park, Ji Woong;Choi, HaYoung;Lee, Dong Hee;Lee, Ook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2021
  • As the number of registered vehicles increases, traffic congestion will worsen worse, which may act as an inhibitory factor for urban social and economic development. Through accurate traffic flow prediction, various AI techniques have been used to prevent traffic congestion. This paper uses the data from a VDS (Vehicle Detection System) as input variables. This study predicted traffic flow in five levels (free flow, somewhat delayed, delayed, somewhat congested, and congested), rather than predicting traffic flow in two levels (free flow and congested). The Catboost model, which is a machine-learning algorithm, was used in this study. This model predicts traffic flow in five levels and compares and analyzes the accuracy of the prediction with other algorithms. In addition, the preprocessed model that went through RandomizedSerachCv and One-Hot Encoding was compared with the naive one. As a result, the Catboost model without any hyper-parameter showed the highest accuracy of 93%. Overall, the Catboost model analyzes and predicts a large number of categorical traffic data better than any other machine learning and deep learning models, and the initial set parameters are optimized for Catboost.