• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Flow Model

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A Study on Link Travel Time Prediction by Short Term Simulation Based on CA (CA모형을 이용한 단기 구간통행시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이승재;장현호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2003
  • There are two goals in this paper. The one is development of existing CA(Cellular Automata) model to explain more realistic deceleration process to stop. The other is the application of the updated CA model to forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time that takes a key rule in finding the shortest path of route guidance system of ITS. Car following theory of CA models don't makes not response to leading vehicle's velocity but gap or distance between leading vehicles and following vehicles. So a following vehicle running at free flow speed must meet steeply sudden deceleration to avoid back collision within unrealistic braking distance. To tackle above unrealistic deceleration rule, “Slow-to-stop” rule is integrated into NaSch model. For application to interrupted traffic flow, this paper applies “Slow-to-stop” rule to both normal traffic light and random traffic light. And vehicle packet method is used to simulate a large-scale network on the desktop. Generally, time series data analysis methods such as neural network, ARIMA, and Kalman filtering are used for short term link travel time prediction that is crucial to find an optimal dynamic shortest path. But those methods have time-lag problems and are hard to capture traffic flow mechanism such as spill over and spill back etc. To address above problems. the CA model built in this study is used for forecasting simulation to predict short term link travel time in Kangnam district network And it's turned out that short term prediction simulation method generates novel results, taking a crack of time lag problems and considering interrupted traffic flow mechanism.

Incident Detection for Urban Arterial Road by Adopting Car Navigation Data (차량 궤적 데이터를 활용한 도심부 간선도로의 돌발상황 검지)

  • Kim, Tae-Uk;Bae, Sang-Hoon;Jung, Heejin
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2014
  • Traffic congestion cost is more likely to occur in the inner city than interregional road, and it accounts for about 63.39% of the whole. Therefore, it is important to mitigate traffic congestion of the inner city. Traffic congestion in the urban could be divided into Recurrent congestion and Non-recurrent congestion. Quick and accurate detection of Non-recurrent congestion is also important in order to relieve traffic congestion. The existing studies about incident detection have been variously conducted, however it was limited to Uninterrupted Traffic Flow Facilities such as freeway. Moreover study of incident detection on the interrupted Traffic Flow Facilities is still inadequate due to complex geometric structure such as traffic signals and intersections. Therefore, in this study, incident detection model was constructed using by Artificial Neural Network to aim at urban arterial road that is interrupted traffic flow facility. In the result of the reliability assessment, the detection rate were 46.15% and false alarm rate were 25.00%. These results have a meaning as a result of the initial study aimed at interrupted traffic flow. Furthermore, it demonstrates the possibility that Non-recurrent congestion can be detected by using car navigation data such as car navigator system device.

A Study on the Validity of Proper Maximum Navigation Speed in a Straight Waterway (직선항로에서의 적정 최대속력에 대한 타당성 검토에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Young-Soo;Jong, Jae-Yong;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2006
  • Recently, vessel's average speed in the sea becomes fast because of the increasing of high-speeds vessel like a container ship and ferry. So, it is considered that speed control in the korean narrow waterway isn't the proper vessel traffic management, now. And, there is a rare paper studied about speed control quantitatively and numerically, especially speed control is discussing continuously, as abrogation of Incheon Port's speed control and alleviation of Kwangyang Port's speed control a according to navigating mariner's request. After this paper replayed the navigation traffic flow in the straight waterway using marine traffic flow simulation, the Environmental Stress Model is introduced to evaluate difficulty of each vessel's traffic.

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An Algorithm for Real-Traffic Signal Control at An Isolated-Intersection (실시간 신호제어알고리즘 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Eon-Kyo;Kim, Young-Chan;Lee, Jong-Man
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.7 s.78
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2004
  • While most or fixed-time control systems such as UTCS produce the signal timing plans that either maximizing bandwidth or minimizing a disutility index of delay and stops, cannot consider the fluctuation of traffic flow. One category of the traffic-response control systems, which make small changes on a predefined signal plan such as SCOOT, cannot be easily modified for feedback real-time control schemes based on observation of variables other than traffic flow. The other category, which decide to whether switch the traffic lights or not at each step of time as in PRODYN, does not adequately consider the relations between traffic flows and traffic lights at each step of time. In this paper we present a complete formulation that adequately consider the relations between traffic flows and traffic lights at each step of time. The formulation is a binary mixed integer linear programing (BMILP) that obtain traffic lights at each step for minimizing delay. Since numarical examples for application of the proposed model illustrated that the model adequately produced dynamic traffic signal plans minimizing delay at each step, the model may be expected to contribute to advanced transportation management systems (ATMS) for dynamic traffic signal control.

Multiple Period Forecasting of Motorway Traffic Volumes by Using Big Historical Data (대용량 이력자료를 활용한 다중시간대 고속도로 교통량 예측)

  • Chang, Hyun-ho;Yoon, Byoung-jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2018
  • In motorway traffic flow control, the conventional way based on real-time response has been changed into advanced way based on proactive response. Future traffic conditions over multiple time intervals are crucial input data for advanced motorway traffic flow control. It is necessary to overcome the uncertainty of the future state in order for forecasting multiple-period traffic volumes, as the number of uncertainty concurrently increase when the forecasting horizon expands. In this vein, multi-interval forecasting of traffic volumes requires a viable approach to conquer future uncertainties successfully. In this paper, a forecasting model is proposed which effectively addresses the uncertainties of future state based on the behaviors of temporal evolution of traffic volume states that intrinsically exits in the big past data. The model selects the past states from the big past data based on the state evolution of current traffic volumes, and then the selected past states are employed for estimating future states. The model was also designed to be suitable for data management systems in practice. Test results demonstrated that the model can effectively overcome the uncertainties over multiple time periods and can generate very reliable predictions in term of prediction accuracy. Hence, it is indicated that the model can be mounted and utilized on advanced data management systems.

High Performance QoS Traffic Transmission Scheme for Real-Time Multimedia Services in Wireless Networks

  • Kang, Moonsik
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.182-191
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a high performance QoS (Quality of Service) traffic transmission scheme to provide real-time multimedia services in wireless networks. This scheme is based on both a traffic estimation of the mean rate and a header compression method by dividing this network model into two parts, core RTP/UDP/IP network and wireless access parts, using the IEEE 802.11 WLAN. The improvement achieved by the scheme means that it can be designed to include a means of provisioning the high performance QoS strategy according to the requirements of each particular traffic flow by adapting the header compression for real-time multimedia data. A performance evaluation was carried out to show the effectiveness of the proposed traffic transmission scheme.

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A Study on the Relationship between the Traffic Signal System and the Air Pollutants emitted by the Motor Vehicles at Intersection

  • Hong, Min-Sun;Woo, Wan-Gi;Park, Jong-In
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.9 no.E
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    • pp.364-372
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze traffic patterns by use of TRANSYT-7F Model, and to choose the optimum traffic-light cycle length and cycle splite to improve traffic flow and air quality at Samsung Intersection in Seoul. Emission rates of air pollutants are calculated for three time segments 0700-0900, 0900-1800 and 1800-2000. The traffic volume correlated reasonably well with air pollutants emitted ; however, the phasing and timing of traffic signals was found to equally be important. The results of performance with optimal setting indicate that the best cycle length were 80sec(0700-0900), 95sec(0900-1800) and 90sec(1800-2000), res-pectively. As expected the highest emissions of air pollutants were observed during the evening rush hours (1800-2000). A properly designed signalized intersection can help reduce traffic delay, driver discomfort, fuel consumption, and air pollution by efficiently the capacity of existing intersection.

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Vertical vibrations of a bridge based on the traffic-pavement-bridge coupled system

  • Yin, Xinfeng;Liu, Yang;Kong, Bo
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 2017
  • When studying the vibration of a suspension bridge based on the traffic-bridge coupled system, most researchers ignored the contribution of the pavement response. For example, the pavement was simplified as a rigid base and the deformation of pavement was ignored. However, the action of deck pavement on the vibration of vehicles or bridges should not be neglected. This study is mainly focused on establishing a new methodology fully considering the effects of bridge deck pavement, probabilistic traffic flows, and varied road roughness conditions. The bridge deck pavement was modeled as a boundless Euler-Bernoulli beam supported on the Kelvin model; the typical traffic flows were simulated by the improved Cellular Automaton (CA) traffic flow model; and the traffic-pavement-bridge coupled equations were established by combining the equations of motion of the vehicles, pavement, and bridge using the displacement and interaction force relationship at the contact locations. The numerical studies show that the proposed method can more rationally simulate the effect of the pavement on the vibrations of bridge and vehicles.

Consideration of the Possibility of Excursion Ship Passage in Busan North Port using Marine Traffic Assessment Index

  • Park, Young-Soo;Lee, Myoung-ki;Kim, Jin-kwon;Lee, Yun-Sok;Park, Min-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.298-305
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    • 2019
  • The demand for the revitalization of marine tourism in Busan North Port is increasing due to changes in functions such as an increase in harbor traffic volume and the expansion of marine leisure space in Busan. As a result, Busan City plans to set a phased alleviation target for prohibition of cruise ship operations, and to lift the prohibition of excursion ship operations in North Port following the cancellation of the prohibition of excursion ship operations in South Port in 2017. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port by applying the marine traffic assessment index and to examine the possibility of excursion ship operations. For this purpose, port status, marine accidents, and traffic flow of Busan North Port were investigated. In addition, marine traffic assessment indexes, such as traffic congestion, risk based on an ES Model, and IWRAP MkII, a maritime risk assessment tool, were used to assess the risk and possibility of excursion ship operations in Busan North Port. This study can be used as basic data for analyzing the risk factors that may occur when excursion ships are operated in Busan North Port and to define how excursion ships should operate, with related safety measures.

ATM Traffic Modeling with Markov Renewal Process and Performance Analysis (마코프 재생과정을 이용한 ATM 트랙픽 모델링 및 성능분석)

  • Jeong, Seok-Yun;Hur, Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 1999
  • In order to build and manage an ATM network effectively under several types of control methods, it is necessary to estimate the performance of the equipments in various viewpoints, especially of ATM multiplexer. As for the method to model the input stream into the ATM multiplexer, many researches have been done to characterize it by, such as, fluid flow, MMPP(Markov Modulated Poisson Process), or MMDP (Markov Modulated Deterministic Process). We introduce an MRP(Markov Renewal Process) to model the input stream which has proper structure to represent the burst traffic with high correlation. In this paper, we build a model for aggregated heterogeneous ON-OFF sources of ATM traffic by MRP. We make discrete time MR/D/1/B queueing system, whose input process is the superposed MRP and present a performance analysis by finding CLP(Cell Loss Probability). A simulation is done to validate our algorithm.

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