• 제목/요약/키워드: Trade balance

검색결과 194건 처리시간 0.025초

비선형 자귀회귀모형을 이용한 한국과 일본의 환율괴리와 경제적성과 비교영향 분석 (A Study on the Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Performance of Korea and Japan Using Nonlinear ARDL)

  • 박은엽;김영재
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.113-130
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the effect of misalignment exchange rate on economic performance asymmetrically. The results show that the over valuation of the real effective exchange rate of won has a significant positive relationship with economic performance. The under valuation of the real effective exchange rate of won has a positive effect on economic performance, but it is not significant. This is due to the high ratio of re-exports of intermediate goods despite Korea being an export-oriented country. In Japan, the undervaluation of the exchange rate has a negative impact on economic performance.

The Dynamics of Indonesia's Current Account Deficit : Analysis of the Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility

  • Purwono, Rudi;Mucha, Karima;Mubin, M. Khoerul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2018
  • In the globalization and free trade era, the current account deficit problem is a common phenomenon experienced by most countries, both developing and developed countries. Also with managed floating regime of exchange rate, it becomes very important to analyze the dynamics of current account balance which determine the trade. The deficit condition has lasted for four years in Indonesia, as well the deficit value above the value of the surplus that has been experienced during the period 2005-2011. This study is firstly aim to examine the condition of the deficit which happens in the export and import, manufactured goods and oil and gas, whether related to the transaction of goods and services. We try to build a predicted model which near the actual. Then, the focuses examines an exchange rate volatility impact on current account deficit. The model used in this research is a simultaneous model of Indonesia current account deficit from 2005 to 2014. The simulation result indicated that depreciation increase surplus to current account deficit. The decrease of export manufactured goods (non oil and gas) higher than the increase of import. For the oil and gas sector, depreciation of the rupiah against the US dollar results in an increased burden of higher oil and gas imports due to import transactions.

중전기기산업 수출시장 매력도 분석 (Export Market Attractiveness Analyses of the Heavy Electric Equipment Industry)

  • 문창권
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.277-298
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    • 2008
  • This study develops the market attractiveness assessment model and draws the strategic target markets and their corresponding exporting strategies through identifying the market positions in the dimensions of market attractiveness scores and market positional strength to achieve the innovative export promotion of Korean heavy electric industry and the resulting improvement and reversal of comparative-disadvantage position. In chapter 2, we analyze the stages of selecting target markets, the constructs and their measure variables of market attractiveness models, and the components and strategic policy implications of directional policy matrix. And in chapter 3, we identify the comparative advantage positions of Korean heavy electric industry in the global market through analyzing its trade structure, trends, balance, ratio-balance, and specialization index by the item and the region respectively. We find that the Asia/Pacific region is the most attractive export market of the Korean heavy electric equipment industry, the following important strategic target markets are the America, MENA, CIS/East Europe Regions in the order of their attractiveness and competitive position dimensions. In the mean time, the sub-Sahara Africa and West Europe region is shown to be the long-run-viewpoint target market requiring the innovation or divest strategies owing to their low attractiveness and the low market share of Korean exports.

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Software Pipeline-Based Partitioning Method with Trade-Off between Workload Balance and Communication Optimization

  • Huang, Kai;Xiu, Siwen;Yu, Min;Zhang, Xiaomeng;Yan, Rongjie;Yan, Xiaolang;Liu, Zhili
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.562-572
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    • 2015
  • For a multiprocessor System-on-Chip (MPSoC) to achieve high performance via parallelism, we must consider how to partition a given application into different components and map the components onto multiple processors. In this paper, we propose a software pipeline-based partitioning method with cyclic dependent task management and communication optimization. During task partitioning, simultaneously considering computation load balance and communication optimization can cause interference, which leads to performance loss. To address this issue, we formulate their constraints and apply an integer linear programming approach to find an optimal partitioning result - one that requires a trade-off between these two factors. Experimental results on a reconfigurable MPSoC platform demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, with 20% to 40% performance improvements compared to a traditional software pipeline-based partitioning method.

한.일 FTA체결에 따른 수산부문 영향 분석 (The Effect Analysis of Korea-Japan FTA on Fisheries Sector)

  • 이광남;박명섭
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제22권
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    • pp.227-254
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    • 2004
  • This paper focuses on the analysis of effects on fisheries sector following Korea-Japan Free Trade Agreement and the results are found as follows. In terms of national competitiveness, the RCA(Revealed comparative advantage) index shows that Korea is higher than Japan in most species items. And the calculation of TSI(Trade Specialization Index) finds that Korea is export specialized while Japan import specialized, showing that Korean fisheries sector is internationally more competitive than Japan. The tariffs on the marine products should be completely scrapped between Korea and Japan, export of marine products to Japan increases a mere 2%, while import from Japan 13.5%. In terms of value, annual export to Japan stands at 20,135thousand USD, while import from Japan at 12,137thousands USD, resulting in trade balance improvement of 8,000thousand USD in total. The tariff measures above is expected to have a positive effect on the related industry of marine products such as Oyster, Conger eel, Ark shells and Laver, but those involved in fisheries of Alaska pollack, Hair tail, Sea-bream(live fish), Red horsehead(frozen), Saury are expected to be negatively affected. Given the results of analysis above, the effects of FTA on the fisheries would be advantageous to Korea as a whole, but at the same time, the advantage and disadvantage sustained differs by fishery type and marine products. To that effect, negotiation strategies and countermeasures should be made, taking the results into account.

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양면게임 이론으로 분석한 한국GM 경영정상화 협상연구 (A Study on the Negotiation on Management Normalization of GM Korea through the Two-Level Games)

  • 이지석
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the normalization of Korean GM management between the Korean government and GM in terms of external negotiation game and internal negotiation game using Putnam's Two-Level Games. In addition, GM's Win-set change and negotiation strategy were analyzed. This analysis suggested implications for the optimal negotiation strategy for mutual cooperation between multinational corporations and local governments in the global business environment. First, the negotiation strategy for Korea's normalization of GM management in Korea can be shifted to both the concession theory and the opposition theory depending on the situation change and the government policy centered on the cautious theory. Second, GM will maximize its bargaining power through 'brink-end tactics' by utilizing the fact that the labor market is stabilized, which is the biggest weakness of the Korean government, while maintaining a typical Win-set reduction strategy. GM will be able to restructure at any time in terms of global management strategy, and if the financial support of the Korean government is provided, it will maintain the local factory but withdraw the local plant at the moment of stopping the support. In negotiations on the normalization of GM management in Korea, it is necessary to prepare a problem and countermeasures for various scenarios and to maintain a balance so that the policy does not deviate to any one side.

한중 열차페리 수송수요 예측을 위한 품목별 수출입 변화분석 (Trade Change Analysis by Commodities for Korea-China Rail Ferry System Demand Prediction)

  • 신승진;노홍승;허성호
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.41-56
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    • 2016
  • 중국은 중국 내 중서부 지역의 풍부한 천연자원과 동부 연안지역의 자본을 연계하여 대륙을 균형적으로 발전시키기 위한 서부대개발 정책을 추진 중이다. 대중국 무역의존도가 높은 우리나라는 국제운송 및 물류체계의 변화에 긴밀하게 대응하기 위해 중국의 교역 규모나 교역패턴 변화를 항상 주시할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 중국의 글로벌 무역노선 재편 및 서부대개발에 따른 우리나라와 중국 성시별 품목별 수출입 규모 변화 추이를 분석하고, 그에 따른 대응방향을 제시하고자 하는 목적에서 중국 성시별 주요 운송경로별, 품목별 한중 간 수출입 규모 변화를 분석하였다. 그 결과 중국 서부대개발 움직임에 따라 교역축이 동부 연해지역에서 서부 내륙으로 이전하는 추세를 정량적으로 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 분석과정을 통해 향후 한중 수출입 규모 확대를 위해서 Sea&Air 및 Sea&Rail 등 복합운송체계 마련과 항만-공항 간 연계체계, 신선물류 클러스터 구축의 필요성을 발견할 수 있었다. 또한 한중간 중량화물 및 벌크화물의 수출입 물동량을 확보하기 위해 열차페리나 벌크화물 하역 터미널 시설 구축의 필요성도 확인할 수 있었다.

공간정보를 활용한 한-미 교역액의 기종점 분석 (The Origin-Destination analysis of KORUS trade volume using spatial information)

  • 강효원
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.47-72
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    • 2016
  • 그 동안 우리나라 정부의 통상분야에 대한 관심은 한 해 동안 교역활동의 흐름을 통해 최종적으로 산출된 숫자의 적(赤)과 흑(黑)이 의미하는 부호(+, -)에만 관심을 가졌다. 이제는 교역활동의 결과를 대리하는 그 숫자가 의미하는 숨어있는 공간정보에 주목할 때이다. 본 연구는 한미 양국이 제공하는 교역액 데이터의 공간정보를 활용하였다. 2003년부터 2015년까지 12년간의 교역데이터의 분석결과 분해가 가능한 공간정보를 교역물품 발생지, 경유지 그리고 최종목적지로 구분하였으며, 연구결과는 첫째, 일반적으로 대미 수출을 뜻하는 한국발 미국향 화물에 대한 공간정보의 특성을 2003년과 비교했을 때 2015년에는 발생지 측면에서 탈수도권화 현상이 나타났다. 국내 경유지 측면에서는 해상 및 항공화물의 비중이 각각 약76%, 23%로 분석되었다. 미국 경유지의 경우 미서부 항만의 경유비율이 줄어들고 있었으며, 상대적으로 미남부 항만의 경유는 증가하고 있었다. 화물의 최종목적지는 캘리포니아 주로의 수출비중이 가장 높았으나, 텍사스와 조지아 주의 화물성장세가 증대되고 있음을 확인하였다. 둘째, 일반적으로 대미 수입을 뜻하는 미국발 한국향 화물의 공간정보특성을 살펴보면 발생지 측면에서는 캘리포니아와 텍사스 주의 비중이 절대적으로 높은 편이다. 미국 내 경유지인 항만과 공항의 경유비율은 약60%, 40%의 비율로 항공화물의 비중이 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 국내의 경유지 중 공항은 인천공항이 절대적이었으며, 항만의 경우는 부산항의 점유율은 68.2%를 기록하여 12년 전과 큰 변화는 없어 영향력이 지속되고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 반면 평택당진항과 인천항과 같이 수도권에 인접한 항만의 성장세가 확인되었다. 본 연구는 12년간 한국과 미국의 교역액 데이터의 공간정보를 분해하여 양국의 교역구조를 발생지, 경유지, 목적지로 구조화하는데 목적이 있다.

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정보통신 산업의 국제 경쟁력 분석 (A Study on the International Competitiveness of Korea′s Information and Telecommunication Industry)

  • 지경용;강신원
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제1권3호
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    • pp.364-373
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    • 1998
  • This study examines the international competitiveness of the Korean information and telecommunication industry by using competitiveness index such as the RCA index, the Trade Specialization index, and the Total Factor Productivity. The results of this study show that the industry's competitiveness slightly decreases since 1995, but not its the total factor productivity. In conclusion, the industry has kept the competitiveness over all. Therefore, to keep or improve the competitiveness continuously, the industry is required the government's intensive investment and administrative support. And the industry should bring up by venture and small-medium-size-enterprises to have great economic impacts on other industries. Also, the increasing production and export promoting policy will be enhance the industry and improve nation's balance of trade.

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Legal Systems and Practice of Intellectual Property Protection in Japan and China: A Comparative Analysis

  • Cai, Wanli
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.190-206
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    • 2018
  • This article focuses on the legal systems and practice of intellectual property protection in Japan and China, including the relating civil litigation and administrative litigation procedures. The challenge of balancing the relationship between an invalidation trial and an invalid defense during the process of civil patent infringement litigation is a common issue to be solved in both Japan and China. In addition, it is quite usual that the IP products are being imported and exported across the borders due to the expansion of international trade. Accordingly, one of the most symbolic and difficult issues is how to balance the development of international trade and IP protection in each country. In other words, there is a practical issue regarding whether a parallel import of patented products is acceptable to a country or not. The key to determining this issue depends on the judgment of international exhaustion.