• Title/Summary/Keyword: Toxic Estimation

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A Comparative Study on the Method of Consequence Estimation for Release of Toxicant Substances (독성물질 누출의 강도 산정 방법에 관한 비교 연구)

  • 김윤화;백종배;고재욱
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 1994
  • Two methods, the numerical method of CPQRA and the manual method of IAEA, were used to estimate the effect distance from release and dispersion of toxic materials. The Gaussian plume model which has a weather stability class D with wind velocity of 5m/s was applied to calculate dispersion of toxic materials. Also, probit function were employed to evaluate the human fatality as a result of exposure to toxic gases. Furthermore, concentration of toxic materials corresponding to LC$_{50}$ for 30 min could be determined by setting Pr as 5.0 and solving the probit function. Calculations were conducted by employing chlorine and ammonia as toxic materials because they are not only most commonly used In chemical plants but also very harmful to humans. Calculated results by employing toxic materials indicated that the effect distance from the CPQRA method was between the minimum and maximum distance from the method proposed by IAEA.A.

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A Study on Applicability of API-581 and Methodology for Consequence Analysis in High-Pressure Toxic Gas Facilities (고압 독성가스시설에서 API-581 적용성 및 사고결과 분석방법에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Seo-Il;Kim, Youngran;Park, Kyoshik;Shin, Dongil;Kim, Tae-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 2014
  • To establish the necessary safety technology in high-pressure toxic gas facilities, especially for the corrosion, which is the main causes of toxic gas accident, this study adopts and investigates the API-581 procedures developed by the American Petroleum Institute (API). And the applicability of the 8-step analytical procedures of consequence analysis in API-581 is discussed, and a method for consequence analysis in high-pressure toxic gas facilities is suggested. Based on the discussion and results, the analytical procedure is simplified as the 6 steps in total for the effective application to high-pressure toxic gas facilities: Step 1 (determination of representative material), Step 5 (determination of release type), Step 6 (determination of phase of fluid), and Step 8 (estimation of damage range) are not applied: Step 3 (estimation of total amount of release) is applied only for the inventory group concept; Step 4 (estimation of release rate) only for the gas release rate; and all of Step 2 (selection of release hole size) and Step 7 (evaluation of post-release response) are applied. In the proposed method, the generally applicable method of CCPS is adopted as alternative method for Steps 5 and 8.

Estimation of Biological Action of Dioxins by Some Geometric Descriptors (기하학적 변수에 의한 다이옥신의 독성 예측)

  • Hwang, Inchul
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 1999
  • To effectively predict the lipophilicity, the aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) affinity, and TEF (Toxic equivalency factor) of dioxins by geometrical descriptors, the multiple linear regression methods with the forward selection and backward elimination were employed with statistical validity. The lipophilicity, the Ah receptor binding affinity, and the toxic equivalency factor of dioxins could be predicted using some geometrical descriptors.

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Risk Assessment for Noncarcinogenic Chemical Effects

  • Kodell Ralph L.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02a
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    • pp.412-415
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    • 1994
  • The fundamental assumption that thresholds exist for noncarcinogenic toxic effects of chemicals is reviewed; this assumption forms the basis for the no-observed-effect level/ safety-factor (NOEL/SF) approach to risk assessment for such effects. The origin and evolution of the NOEL/SF approach are traced, and its limitations are discussed. The recently proposed use of dose-response modeling to estimate a benchmark dose as a replacement for the NOEL is explained. The possibility of expanding dose-response modeling of non carcinogenic effects to include the estimation of assumed thresholds is discussed. A new method for conversion of quantitative toxic responses to a probability scale for risk assessment via dose-response modeling is outlined.

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A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials (독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, S.B.;Kim, Y.H.;Lee, C.;Um, S.I.;Ko, J.W.;Baek, J.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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Implementation of Fire Risk Estimation System for various Fire Situations using Multiple Sensors (다중 센서들을 이용한 다양한 화재 상황의 위험도 추정 시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Kwangjae;Lee, Youn-Sung
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.394-398
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a fire detection system based on quantitative risk estimation is presented. Multiple sensors are used to build a comprehensive indicator that represents the risk of fire quantitatively. The proposed fire risk estimation method consists of two stages which determines the occurrence of fire and estimates the toxicity of the surveillance area. In the first stage, fire is reliably detected under diverse fire scenarios. The risk of fire is estimated in the second stage. Applying Purser's Fractional Effective Dose (FED) model which quantitates harmfulness of toxic gases, the risk of the surveillance area and evacuation time are calculated. A fire experiment conducted using four different types of combustion materials for the verification of the system resulted in a maximum error rate of 12.5%. By using FED calculation and risk estimation methods, the proposed system can detect various signs of fire faster than conventional systems.

Volatilization and Toxicity Control of Heavy Metal Chlorides under Combustion Conditions (연소조건에서 중금속 염화물의 휘발 및 유독성 제어)

  • 서용칠
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 1993
  • Volatilization of toxic heavy metals, especially, metal chlorides at elevated temperatures in oxidation conditions was observed using a thermogravimetric furnace since such metal chlorides used to be a cause for the disease of industrial workers by their toxicity and high volatile extent. Most of tested metal chloride compounds were evaporated or decomposed into gas phase at elevated temperatures ranged from 200~90$0^{\circ}C$, while CrCl$_3$ and NiC1$_2$became stable with converting into oxide forms. A kinetic model for evaporation/condensation could predict maximum evaporation flux and the calculated values were compared with real evaporation flux. The ratio of two fluxes could be explained as the fraction of impinging gas molecules to the condensing surface( $\alpha$ ) and obtained in the range of 10$^{-3}$ ~10$^{-9}$ for the experimented toxic heavy metal chlorides. This ratio might be used to define the volatile extent or toxicity of such toxic metal compounds. The schemes to avoid volatilization of toxic heavy metals Into the atmosphere were suggested as follows ; 1 ) controlling the compositions of metals and Chlorine produced substances( such as PVC ) in the treated materials using a reverse estimation from regulatory limit and characteristics of a processing facility, 2) Installation of wet type devices such as a scrubber for condensing the metal compounds.

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Case Study of Cost Effect Analysis for Toxic Compounds to Developing Effluent Limitation Standards : Focus on 1,4-Dichlorobenzene (수질유해물질 배출허용기준 설정에 따른 배출시설 비용영향 분석사례 연구: 1,4-Dichlorobenzene을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kyeongjin;Kim, Wongi;Heo, Jin;Kim, Kwangin;Kim, Jaehoon;Kim, Sanghun;Yeom, Icktae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.557-565
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    • 2010
  • Recently, regulations on toxic compounds in aquatic environment have been strengthened in korea due to the increasing public awareness of the water quality. Typically, these regulations include introduction of emerging toxic compounds and stricter effluent limitations for the already regulated compounds. However, too strict regulations may cause excessive burden on the industry. Therefore it is also important to assess the economic impacts when the new effluent limitation guidelines are introduced. The estimation of the additional cost for the wastewater dischargers to meet the new guidelines are based on the selected treatment technology to handle the hazardous substances and the regulatory levels for effluent limitations. To explore the procedures for cost estimation in enforcing new effluent limitations, a case study was performed specially for 1,4-dichlorobenzene. The pollutants of concern are surveyed for different industrial categories and various treatment technologies. For a given pollutant, the general performances of the treatment technologies are surveyed and a representative technology is selected. For a given technology, the capital cost and annual Operation and Maintenance (O&M) cost was calculated. The calculation of baseline costs to operate ordinary treatment technologies is also important. The ratio between the cost for introducing new treatment process and the baseline cost required for conventional technology was used to evaluate the economic impact on the industry. For 1,4-dichlorobenzene, steam stripping and activated carbon processes were selected as the specific treatment technologies. The cost effects to the regulation of the compound were found to be 6.4% and 14.5% increase in capital cost and O&M cost, respectively, at the flow rate over $2,000m^3/d$ for the categories of synthetic resin and other plastics manufacturing industry. For the case of petrochemical basic compounds manufacturing industry, the cost increases were 5.8% and 12.4%, respectively. It was suggested that cost effect analysis to evaluate the economic impacts of new effluent limitations on the industry is crucial to establish more balanced and reasonable effluent limitations to manage the industrial wastewater containing emerging toxic compounds in the wastewater.

A Study on the Toxic Gases and Smoke Hazard of PASCON Trough (파스콘 트로프의 연기유독성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Woo;Hyun, Seong-Ho;Choi, Don-Mook
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2 s.62
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2006
  • The aim of the research is to estimate the effect of smoke and combustion gases on humane body indirectly through measuring the toxicity of those. For this purpose, the toxic index of smoke and combustion gases was investigated by smoke hazard test and analysis of smoke which were conducted by KS F 2271 and NES 713 method respectively. It i s proved by KS F 2271 method that PASCON trough is suitable to the testing standard of interior material and construction of building. In addition, it is identified by NES 713 method that combustion gases occurring in PASCON product were only carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide, and the smoke index of those was 0.944. This value means that the hazard effect of smoke gases on humane ! body can possibly happens when exposed to the smoke gases for more than 30 min. In aspect of the domestic situation that have not regulated the hazard estimation and the emissions of smoke when the flame retarding ability of the products have been requested, the toxic indexes of PASCON products are comparatively low.