• Title/Summary/Keyword: Total uncertainty

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장기 안정성을 고려한 경질유 유량표준장치 불확도 평가 (Long Term Stability of Uncertainty Analysis of Light Oil Elow Standard System)

  • 임기원;최종오
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제29권10호
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    • pp.1130-1138
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    • 2005
  • A national standard system for the petroleum field has been developed to calibrate and test the oil flow meters in Korea. The operating system and the uncertainty of the system were evaluated by the peer reviewers of foreign national metrology institutes in 2002. Since the characteristics of the system might be changed by time, the uncertainty of the system is reevaluated with the consideration of the long term stability of the system. It is found that the system has a relative expanded uncertainty of 0.048 $\%$ in the range of $15\~120\;m^3/h$. According to the uncertainty budget, the uncertainties of the fluid density and the final mass measurement, which are temperature dependent, contribute about $94\%$ of the total uncertainty in the oil flow standard system

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

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자궁내막증 여성의 불확실성, 우울 및 대처방식 (Uncertainty, Depression, and Ways of Coping in Women with Endometriosis)

  • 서영승;안숙희
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: The purposes of this study were to identify the level of total symptom distress, uncertainty, depression and ways of coping in women with endometriosis based on Mishel's model of Uncertainty in Chronic illness, and to exam the relationships among symptom distress, depression and ways of coping and the mediating effect of ways of coping between uncertainty and depression. Method: The research was used for correlational research design and data were collected with 123 women with endometriosis who live in a local area by convenience sampling. Results: The finding showed that the levels of symptom distress and uncertainty were moderate and the depression was above the middle level. There were positive relationships among symptom distress, uncertainty and depression but a negative relationship between problem focused coping and depression. The significant predictors for depression were symptom distress, uncertainty, and problem focused coping with 40% of explained variance. Problem focused coping showed mediating effect between uncertainty and depression. Conclusion: Therefore, nursing intervention for the strategy of increasing problem focused coping as well as lowering uncertainty and depression is recommended. Further study is needed to conduct a repetitive study with randomized nationwide population and to evaluate the theory with different outcomes for adaptation versus maladaptation.

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SWMM 모형 매개변수의 불확실성 정량화 지수 산정 (Uncertainty Quantification Index of SWMM Model Parameters)

  • 정건희;심규범;김응석
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2015
  • 급격히 발전하는 도시지역 및 산업단지의 경우 불투수지역이 대부분이며, 이로 인해 유출이 증가함에 따라 내수침수가 발생할 확률이 높아지고 있다. 도시지역의 유출해석은 대부분 SWMM 모형을 이용하여 강우-유출해석을 수행하고 있으나 이러한 모형은 실제 자연 현상을 해석하는데 한계가 있으며, 모형 자체도 불확실성을 가지고 있어 정확한 유출해석을 하는데 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 모형의 매개변수를 조사하고 불확실성을 가지는 매개변수를 선정한 후 매개변수의 불확실성 정도를 불확실성 정량화 지수를 이용하여 정량화하였다. 수행 결과 관조도계수의 불확실성이 가장 크며, 유출량에 미치는 영향도 가장 컸다. 그러므로 우수관거 설계 시 관조도계수 추정을 보다 정확히 산정하여야 하며, 불확실성 정도를 예측하여 유출해석에 반영하고, 각 매개변수가 가지는 특성을 파악한다면 내수 침수를 예방하는데 큰 기여를 할 것으로 판단된다.

노인의 불확실성과 삶의 질과의 관계 (Correlation between Uncertainty and Quality of Life of the Elderly People)

  • 김현승;조성현
    • 대한통합의학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2022
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the differences between uncertainty of chronic diseases and quality of life with regard to elderly people. Methods : The participants of this study were 350 elderly people, aged over 65 years. The collected data were analyzed using the SPSS Window program and the general characteristics of the participants and sub-domains of quality of life were analyzed by several frequency analyses and descriptive statistics such as mean, standard deviation, skewness, and kurtosis. Further, the differences between the sub-domains of uncertainty and sub-domains of quality of life were analyzed through independent t-test and one-way ANOVA. In order to reach conclusive results, post-test was analyzed by the Scheffe test. In addition, Pearson's correlation analysis was performed to determine the correlation between the target categories. A significance level of 𝛼=.05 was used to verify statistical significance. Results : As a result of examining "uncertainty" with respect to general characteristics, such as older age, low educational background, and chronic diseases, it was observed that the more intense these factors became, the more the level of uncertainty increased. In addition, it was also noted that except "accompanying diseases" in social domain, the participants enjoyed a high level of quality of life. The correlation was noted between domains of complexity and sociality (p<.01), domains of inconsistency and sociality (p<.01), domains of complexity and living environment (p<.01), domains of inconsistency and living environment (p<.01), and total score of uncertainty and total quality of life (p<.01). Conclusion : In this study, differences were found between "uncertainty" and "quality of life" of elderly people; the correlation between the sub-domains based on general traits was found to be negative (-). This suggests that objective evidence can be presented for the prevention of diseases by using mental health programs for the elderly in future.

어지럼 환자의 삶의 질 관련요인 (Quality of Life and the Related Factors in Patients with Dizziness)

  • 이현정;최스미
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.751-758
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the Quality of Life (QOL) and related factors in the patients with dizziness. Methods: The data were collected between March and June 2008 for 200 individuals who agreed to participate in the study. Uncertainty (Uncertainty in illness scale), anxiety, depression (Hospital anxiety & depression scale) and Vestibular disability activities of daily living (Vestibular disability-activities of daily living [ADL] scale) as well as QOL (Dizziness Handicap Inventory) were measured. Results: The mean QOL score was 37.5 (${\pm}23.0$). Monthly income, etiology of, frequency of, and total duration of dizziness were the significant factors related to QOL in these patients. Having had a fall, anxiety, depression, uncertainty and vestibular disability in daily living were also significant factors influencing QOL. In multiple regression analysis, anxiety, vestibular disability-ADL, falls, total duration of symptoms, uncertainty, and etiology of dizziness explained 41% of variance of QOL. Conclusion: The level of QOL in our patients was moderate as compared to those in previous studies. Anxiety and vestibular disability were the most important factors predicting low QOL. Use of nursing intervention programs designed to relieve these factors should also result in improving the QOL in the patients with dizziness.

류마티스 관절염 환자가 지각하는 불확실성 개념의 요인분석 (Factor Analysis of Uncertainty Experienced by Patients having Rheumatoid Arthritis)

  • 유경희;이은옥
    • 근관절건강학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.238-248
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    • 1997
  • This study was conducted to identify the characteristics of uncertainty in patients having rheumatoid arthritis. Subjects of the study constituted 528 patients who visited outpatient clinics of two university hospitals and one general hospital in Seoul. A self report questionnaire was used to measure the uncertainty. Reliability coefficients of this instrument was found Cronbach's ${\alpha}=.84$. In data analysis, SPSS PC 6.0 computer program was utilized for descriptive statistics and factor analysis. Three factors were appointed on the basis of literature review for the principal component factor analysis method and Varimax Orthogonal Rotation. The results of factor analysis were as follows ; 1) Three factors for uncertainty were identified through the principal component analysis and varimax rotation, and these contributed 37.4% of the valiance in the total score. Twenty six items among the whole items in the scale loaded above .39 on one of 3 factors. 2) The naming of each factor was as follows : Factor 1 was 'ambiguity' and has 12 items, factor 2 was 'lack of information' and has 8 items, factor 3 was 'unpredictability' and has 7 items. 3) Cronbach's alpha for internal consistency was .84 for the total items and .81, .80, .50 for each of three subscales in that order.

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Uncertainty in the dempster-shafer Theory - A Critical Re-examination

  • Klir, George J.;Ramer, Arthur
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.4-45
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    • 1991
  • Measures of two types of uncertainty that coexist in the Dempster-Shafer theory are overivewed. A measure of one type of uncertainty, which expresses nonspecificity of evidential claims, is well justified on both intuitive and mathermatical grounds. Proposed measures of the other types of uncertainty, which attempt to capture conflicts among evidential claims, are shown to have some deficiencies. To alleviate these deficiencies, a new measure is proposed. This measure, which is called a measure of discord, is not only satisfactory on intuitive grounds, but has alos desirable mathematical properties. A measure of total uncertainty, which is defined as the sum of nonspecificity and discord, is also discussed. The paper focuses on conceptual issues. Mathematical properties of the measure of idscord are only stated ; their proofs are given in a companion paper.

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입원 환아 어머니의 부모 역할 효능감 영향 요인: 질병에 대한 불확실성, 간호 교육 요구도 (The Contribution of Competence in Parenting: Uncertainty related Children's Diseases, and Nursing Educational Need)

  • 남현아;이화진;김미옥
    • 부모자녀건강학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: Competence in parenting helps the parent to recognize the ability to resolve problems arising to children, allowing positive interactions with children through desirable child-rasing behavior and smooth communication with children. This study aims to identify the contribution of uncertainty and educational needs to the competence in parenting. Methods: Total 159 mothers responded a questionnaire developed to measure uncertainty, educational needs, and competence in parenting. t-test, ANOVA, and stepwise multiple regression with the SPSS program were used to analyze the data. Results: We found that uncertainty, nursing educational need, and mothers' age had influence to the competence in parenting. Conclusion: Nursing interventions provided to the mothers of hospitalized children for better parental competence need to include programs for alleviating uncertainty and satisfying the need for nursing education.

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Improvement and application of DeCART/MUSAD for uncertainty analysis of HTGR neutronic parameters

  • Han, Tae Young;Lee, Hyun Chul;Cho, Jin Young;Jo, Chang Keun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권3호
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    • pp.461-468
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    • 2020
  • The improvements of the DeCART/MUSAD code system for uncertainty analysis of HTGR neutronic parameters are presented in this paper. The function for quantifying an uncertainty of critical-spectrumweighted few group cross section was implemented using the generalized adjoint B1 equation solver. Though the changes between the infinite and critical spectra cause a considerable difference in the contribution by the graphite scattering cross section, it does not significantly affect the total uncertainty. To reduce the number of iterations of the generalized adjoint transport equation solver, the generalized adjoint B1 solution was used as the initial value for it and the number of iterations decreased to 50%. To reflect the implicit uncertainty, the correction factor was derived with the resonance integral. Moreover, an additional correction factor for the double heterogeneity was derived with the effective cross section of the DH region and it reduces the difference from the complete uncertainty. The code system was examined with the MHTGR-350 Ex.II-2 3D core benchmark. The keff uncertainty for Ex.II-2a with only the fresh fuel block was similar to that of the block and the uncertainty for Ex.II-2b with the fresh fuel and the burnt fuel blocks was smaller than that of the fresh fuel block.