• Title/Summary/Keyword: Total demand

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Dynamic Modeling of the Korean Nuclear Euel Cycle

  • Jeong, Chang-Joon;Park, Joo-Hwan;Park, Hangbok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.386-395
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    • 2004
  • The Korean fuel cycle scenario has been modeled by using the dynamic analysis method. For once-through fuel cycle model, the nuclear power plant construction plan was considered, and the nuclear demand growth rate from the year 2016 was assumed to be 1%. After setup the once-thorough fuel cycle model, the DUPIC and fast reactor scenarios were modeled to investigate the environmental effect of each fuel cycle. Through the calculation of the amount of spent fuel, and the amounts of plutonium and minor actinides were estimated and compared to those of the once-through fuel cycle. The results of the once-through fuel cycle shows that the demand grows to 64 GWe and the total amount of the spent fuel would be 100 kt in the year 2100, while the total spent fuel can be reduced by 50% when the DUPIC scenario is implemented

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An application of the Computer Simulation Model for Stochastic Inventory System (최적재고정책(最適在庫政策)을 위한 컴퓨터 시물레이숀 모델)

  • Sin, Hyeon-Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.79-83
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    • 1976
  • This paper deals with a computer simulation for the stochastic inventory system in which the decision rules are associated with the problem of forecasting uncertain demand, lead time, and amount of shortages. The model consists of mainly three parts; part I$\cdots$the model calculates the expected demand during lead time through the built-in subrou tine program for random number generator and the probability distribution of the demand, part II$\cdots$the model calculates all the possible expected shortages per lead time period, part III$\cdots$finally the model calculates all the possible total inventory cost over the simulation period. These total inventory costs are compared for searching the optimal inventory cost with the best ordering quantity and reorder point. An application example of the simulation program is given.

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Estimation of Demand on Bulk-Type Dryer for Agricultural Products in Korea (농산물(農産物) 건조기(乾燥機)(벌크형)의 수요추정(需要推定)에 관(關)한 조사(調査) 연구(硏究) -고추 및 엽연초(葉煙草)를 대상(對象)으로)

  • Koh, H.K.;Noh, S.H.;Cho, Y.J.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 1988
  • Bulk-type dryers which are widely used for drying special agricultural products such as tobaco leaf, red pepper, mushroom, ginseng, medicinal herb, etc, began to be distributed on a full scale since 1980 and the total number of dryers introduced to farms reached to about 36,600 units as of the end of 1986. In this study a survery was carried on the farmers cultivating special crops, dryer manufacturers and related administrative institutes and associations by means of on-the-spot investigation, mail or interview to collect data on scales and patterns of farming, utilization of bulk-type dryers, production and price streams of the special crops etc. Based on the analysis of the data surveyed predictions were made for the total demand on the bulk-type dryers and for annual demand over five-year span.

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A Study of the Optimal Management Contract (최적위탁계약에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Namyll;Yoo, Seung Jick
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.259-279
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    • 2001
  • This paper investigates the optimal ratio of the ex post cost settled in the total cost paid to the facility-operating agent and the size of compensation for demand promotion efforts made by the trustee. We have extended McAfee and McMillan(1986)'s principal-agent model by incorporating incentives for the demand promotion efforts. We show that cost reducing effort is negatively related with the ratio of the ex post cost settled in the total cost. In addition, the optimal level of demand promotion effort is determined by the size of the compensation and the ratio of the ex post cost settled. A simulation study confirms our findings from a theoretical model.

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A Study on the Optimization of Power Transformer in Apartment Housing (아파트의 동력변압기 용량 최적화 연구)

  • 이기홍;성세진
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2001
  • To establish the optimized capacity of power transformer, this paper proposed the total demand factor of power supply facility. For this purpose, it was measured and analysed the operating pattern of power supply acility Installed in the apartment. As a result, it is found that the demand factor of each facility is following that : i) In case of [Xlwer water suwly facility ; 47[%], ii) In case of waste water facility ; 44[%]. Also, it was analysed that the optimized total demand factor of power load is proper 42[%1 than 52[%] to lead the efficiency operation.ration.

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A Model of Four Seasons Mixed Heat Demand Prediction Neural Network for Improving Forecast Rate (예측율 제고를 위한 사계절 혼합형 열수요 예측 신경망 모델)

  • Choi, Seungho;Lee, Jaebok;Kim, Wonho;Hong, Junhee
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.82-93
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    • 2019
  • In this study, a new model is proposed to improve the problem of the decline of predict rate of heat demand on a particular date, such as a public holiday for the conventional heat demand forecasting system. The proposed model was the Four Season Mixed Heat Demand Prediction Neural Network Model, which showed an increase in the forecast rate of heat demand, especially for each type of forecast date (weekday/weekend/holiday). The proposed model was selected through the following process. A model with an even error for each type of forecast date in a particular season is selected to form the entire forecast model. To avoid shortening learning time and excessive learning, after each of the four different models that were structurally simplified were learning and a model that showed optimal prediction error was selected through various combinations. The output of the model is the hourly 24-hour heat demand at the forecast date and the total is the daily total heat demand. These forecasts enable efficient heat supply planning and allow the selection and utilization of output values according to their purpose. For daily heat demand forecasts for the proposed model, the overall MAPE improved from 5.3~6.1% for individual models to 5.2% and the forecast for holiday heat demand greatly improved from 4.9~7.9% to 2.9%. The data in this study utilized 34 months of heat demand data from a specific apartment complex provided by the Korea District Heating Corp. (January 2015 to October 2017).

A Centralized System Model for a Long-term Replenishment Contract With ARIMA Demand Process (ARIMA수요과정을 갖는 장기보충계약의 중앙통제모형)

  • 최병두;김종수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.334-337
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we presents a centralized model for a long-term replenishment contract model in the supply chain system. We assume ARIMA demand process for reflecting more realistic demand data and present a solution which minimizes total system cost of the contract model between single supplier and buyer under centralized system. From the result of experiments we can observe that the proposed model generate better result than the decentralized model.

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An Estimation of the Pyiee Elasticities of Tobacco and Health Demand of Korean Urban Households using Macro and Micro Level Data (한국 도시가구의 담배소비와 보건의료지출: 가구 특성을 감안한 수요체계적 분석에 의한 가격탄력성 추정시도)

  • 김원년;이충열
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.257-289
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    • 2002
  • In this study we analyse how the tobacco prices have an effect on the national health. The level of tobacco price will fluctuate its consumers demand and eventually affect the national health status. We estimate tobacco consumption function as well as households'demand system in which tobacco and health expenditure functions are included. Demand elasticities are estimated and evaluated in order to find future policies to improve the national health by controlling the national tobacco consumption There are two econometric approaches app1ied in this study. The lent tobacco demand analysis method is mm tobacco consumption function model. Using national indices of tobacco price, tobacco consumption and other related variables, tobacco consumption function is estimated. The other is micro demand system analysis by using Korean urban households expenditure data during the period of 1991 to 1999. The own price elasticity which is estimated from national tobacco demand per capita is -0.19 for all people and -0.176 for the adults over 18, which means 100% price increase will cause decease of tobacco demand at 19% and 17.6% per each The cross vice elasticity which is estimated between tobacco and health expenditure of urban households demand system is -0.2328, which implies 100% of tobacco price increase will decrease 23.28% of health expenditure. The low price elasticities imply that tobacco price increase will increase total tobacco sales volume. 100% of tobacco price increase will bring about 79% increase of total tobacco sales volume according to our scenario. Korea's tobacco demand is negatively responsive to fluctuations in its price. The health expenditure is also negatively relatedto the tobacco price fluctuation. These empirical outputs could be utilized as the basis of government's tax policy to control national tobacco consumption in the future.

The Influence of Child-Mother's Goodness of Fit on Children's Child Care Center Adjustment (유아-어머니의 조화적합성이 어린이집 적응에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Mina;Hwan, Hae Shin
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.43-63
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    • 2017
  • Objective: The goal of this study was to clarify the differences in children's child care center adjustment depending on child-mother's goodness of fit. Methods: A total of 478 subjects, 239 dyads of 3 and 4 year old children and their mothers and 16 teachers participated in this study. The instruments used in this study were the DOTS-R, EAS Scale and PAQ. The collected data were analyzed using a t-test, Anova, and regression with the SPSS. Results: First, mother's demand was significantly different only with regard to the income level. Second, mother's temperament and mother's demand were positively correlated and the mother's demand was influenced by the mother's temperament. Third, mother's demand according to children's gender was indicated to differ significantly. Fourth, children's temperament and mother's demand were positively correlated and mother's demand was influenced by children's temperament. Finally, ego strength according to active and adoptive temperaments in child-mother's goodness of fit had significant differences. In addition, prosocial behavior according to regular temperament of child-mother's goodness of fit was indicated to have a significant difference. Conclusion/Implications: This study suggests that it is important for mothers to understand and appropriately demand the temperament of the children in the adaptation of the child care center.

Estimation of Potential Demand for Dairy Processing Experience Tourism in Mongolia (몽골 유가공 체험관광 잠재수요 추정)

  • Sodnomragchaa, Lkhagvajav;Kim, Se-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Choi, Se-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.343-355
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    • 2023
  • Dairy processing experience tourism, that combines production, processing, and services, can be a good alternative to increase added value in Mongolian livestock industry. In addition, in order to successfully pursue this, it is necessary to first identify consumers' potential demand for the experience tourism and the factors affecting demand. Accordingly, this study estimated consumers' potential demand for dairy processing experience tourism using data from 758 people obtained through an online survey targeting Ulaanbaatar residents. As a result of the estimation, it was found that the variables that affect potential demand are the experience fees, average monthly household income, gender, age, arol consumption, and education level. The potential demand for dairy processing experience tourism was measured by multiplying the population of Ulaanbaatar by the estimated probability of accepting the experience tourism, and the total revenue was maximum at 32.303 million Tuk when the experience fee was 50,000 Tuk. The implications based on the analysis results are that, in order to promote participation in the experience tourism, it is necessary to promote it primarily to people with high average monthly household income, high level of education, younger age groups, and male. It can be said that preference is high and sufficient potential demand exists, but it is suggested that appropriate setting of experience fees is important.