• Title/Summary/Keyword: Timing analysis

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LSTM-based Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: The Case of Corporate Credit Score Prediction (시계열 예측을 위한 LSTM 기반 딥러닝: 기업 신용평점 예측 사례)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sang;Oh, Sehwan
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.241-265
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Various machine learning techniques are used to implement for predicting corporate credit. However, previous research doesn't utilize time series input features and has a limited prediction timing. Furthermore, in the case of corporate bond credit rating forecast, corporate sample is limited because only large companies are selected for corporate bond credit rating. To address limitations of prior research, this study attempts to implement a predictive model with more sample companies, which can adjust the forecasting point at the present time by using the credit score information and corporate information in time series. Design/methodology/approach To implement this forecasting model, this study uses the sample of 2,191 companies with KIS credit scores for 18 years from 2000 to 2017. For improving the performance of the predictive model, various financial and non-financial features are applied as input variables in a time series through a sliding window technique. In addition, this research also tests various machine learning techniques that were traditionally used to increase the validity of analysis results, and the deep learning technique that is being actively researched of late. Findings RNN-based stateful LSTM model shows good performance in credit rating prediction. By extending the forecasting time point, we find how the performance of the predictive model changes over time and evaluate the feature groups in the short and long terms. In comparison with other studies, the results of 5 classification prediction through label reclassification show good performance relatively. In addition, about 90% accuracy is found in the bad credit forecasts.

Development Status of eLoran System and Its Performance Analysis (eLoran 기술개발 현황과 성능분석)

  • Seo, Ki-Yeol;Kim, Young-Ki;Park, Sang-Hyun;Fang, Tae-Hyun;Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.11a
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    • pp.95-96
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    • 2018
  • This paper deals with the development status of eLoran system which is the best backup position, navigation, and timing (P NT) system of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and its performance result. I t especially explains the status of eLoran testbed implementation for the eLoran test service, development of eLoran transmitting system, differential Loran (dLoran) system, integrated operation and control system (IOCS), and integrated eLoran/GNSS receiver. The paper discusses about the future plan for the build up test transmitting station and backup P NT service to succeed to the trial operation of eLoran testbed system.

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Design and Implementation of an SNMP-Based Traffic Flooding Attack Detection System (SNMP 기반의 실시간 트래픽 폭주 공격 탐지 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Park, Jun-Sang;Kim, Sung-Yun;Park, Dai-Hee;Choi, Mi-Jung;Kim, Myung-Sup
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.16C no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2009
  • Recently, as traffic flooding attacks such as DoS/DDoS and Internet Worm have posed devastating threats to network services, rapid detection and proper response mechanisms are the major concern for secure and reliable network services. However, most of the current Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs) focus on detail analysis of packet data, which results in late detection and a high system burden to cope with high-speed network traffic. In this paper we propose an SNMP-based lightweight and fast detection algorithm for traffic flooding attacks, which minimizes the processing and network overhead of the detection system, minimizes the detection time, and provides high detection rate. The attack detection algorithm consists of three consecutive stages. The first stage determines the detection timing using the update interval of SNMP MIB. The second stage analyzes attack symptoms based on correlations of MIB data. The third stage determines whether an attack occurs or not and figure out the attack type in case of attack.

POSTOPERATIVE RECURRENCES OF ODONTOGENIC KERATOCYST : THE BEHAVIOR AND PROPOSAL OF CRITICAL FOLLOW-UP PERIOD (치성 각화 낭종의 술후 재발양상과 추적관찰 기간의 제안)

  • Park, Se-Hyun;Kim, Nam-Kyun;Kim, Ki-Ho;Kang, Sang-Hoon;Park, Hyung-Sik;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Cha, In-Ho;Nam, Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.456-459
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    • 2008
  • Post-operative recurrence of cystic lesion is a great concern for clinician, patients, and their family, especially in case of odontogenic keratocyst, which has aggressive behavior and high recurrence rate. The purpose of this study was to evaluation clinical characters of OKC, focusing of the recurrence rate and proposed critical follow-up period. 58 cases (aged 9 to 66, 33 males and 25 females) of OKC were reviewed for sex of patients, location, size, operative procedure type, radiographic findings, histopathologic findings, post-operative recurrence time, from 2000 to 2005 at Yonsei Medical Center, were selected. The computerized statistical analysis was carried out with SAS system. 18 of 58 cases (31.03%) were recurred and this study revealed no statistically significant difference in recurrence rate for sex, location, size, radiographic findings, histopatologic findings, operative procedure type, recurrence timing. 3 out of 18 cases (16.7%) showed one or more recurrence. This was statistically significant difference (P=.0264). In this study, 15 of 18 cases (83.3%) were observed recurrence during 4 years after removal of the OKCs, we suggest critical follow-up period during 4 years after operation.

Design of Carrier Recovery Circuit for High-Order QAM - Part II : Performance Analysis and Design of the Gear-shift PLL with ATC(Automatic Transfer-mode Controller) and Average-mode-change Circuit (High-Order QAM에 적합한 반송파 동기회로 설계 - II부. 자동모드전환시점 검출기 및 평균모드전환회로를 적용한 Gear-Shift PLL 설계 및 성능평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Yun;Kim, Sin-Jae;Choi, Hyung-Jin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.18-26
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose an ATC(Automatic Transfer mode Controller) algorithm and an average-mode-change method for use in Gear shift PLL which can automatically change loop gain. The proposed ATC algorithm accurately detects proper timing or the mode change and has a very simpler structure - than the conventional lock detector algorithm often used in QPSK. And the proposed average mode change method can obtain low errors of estimated frequency offset by averaging the loop filter output of frequency component in shift register. These algorithms are also useful in designing ASIC, since these algorithms occupy small circuit area and are adaptable for high speed digital processing. We also present phase tracking performance of proposed Gear-shift PLL, which is composed of polarity decision PD, ATC and average mode change circuit, and analyze the results by examining constellation at each mode.

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A Study on the FSK Synchronization and MODEM Techniques for Mobile Communication Part II : Performance Analysis and Design of The FSK MODEM (이동통신을 위한 FSK 동기 및 변복조기술에 관한 연구 II부. FSK 모뎀 설계 및 성능평가)

  • Kim, Gi-Yun;Choe, Hyeong-Jin;Jo, Byeong-Hak
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we implement computer simulation system of 4FSK signal MODEM using Quadrature detector and analyze overall tranceiver system. We follow the FLEX wireless paging system standards and construct premodulation filter and data frame. We propose an efficient open loop symbol timing recovery algorithm which takes advantage of 128 bit length preamble pattern and also propose a 32 bit UW pattern which Is based on the optimal UW detection method, and excellent aperiodic autocorrelation characteristic. The BER simulation in the fading channel as well as AWGN is performed with BCH coding and Interleaving to the Quadrature detector system and it is shown that a high coding fain occurs in the fading channel rather than AWGN channel.

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THE ORBITAL EPHEMERIS OF THE PARTIAL ECLIPSING X-ray BINARY X1822-371

  • HSIEH, HUNG-EN;CHOU, YI;HU, CHIN-PING;YANG, TING-CHANG;SU, YI-HAO;LIN, CHING-PING;CHUANG, PO-SHENG;LIAO, NAI-HUI
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.591-592
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    • 2015
  • X1822-371 is a low mass X-ray binary with an accretion disk corona exhibiting partial eclipses and pulsations in the X-ray band. We update its orbital ephemeris by combining new RXTE observations and historical records, with a total time span of 34 years. There were 11 RXTE observations in 2011 but the eclipsing profile can be seen in only 4 of them. The eclipsing center times were obtained by fitting the profile with the same model as previous studies. Combined with the eclipsing center times reported by Iaria et al. (2011), the O-C analysis was processed. A quadratic model was applied to fit the O-C results and produced a mean orbital period derivative of $\dot{P}_{orb}=1.339(25){\times}10^{-10}s/s$, which is slightly smaller than previous records. In addition to the orbital modulation from the orbital profile, we also present our preliminary results for measuring the orbital parameters using the orbital Doppler effect from the pulsation of the neutron star in X1822-371. The updated orbital parameters from eclipsing profiles will be further compared with the ones from pulsar timing.

A Study on the Determinants of Impulse Purchase of Clothing Products in the Internet Shopping Mall (인터넷 쇼핑몰에서의 의류의 충동 구매에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Su-Mi;Lee, Hyun-Jeong
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.917-931
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to understand impulse buying typology for apparel products in the internet shopping. Also, analysis of influences is conducted to ascertain if a influence exists between factors which are consumer's interior factor & exterior condition, marketing stimulus of internet shopping, and consumer's general behavior in internet shopping and impulse buying typology, after offer fundamental information for internet marketing. As a result of analyzing the relationship between consumers' interior factors and impulse buying, the author found out that consumers' pure impulse buying was much influenced by the timing to buy new clothing, willingness to risk trying new designs and preference for up-to-date designs, and enjoyment derived from the buying itself. As a result of analyzing the relationship between consumers' exterior conditions and impulse buying, the author learned that impulse buying was also influenced by shopping time length, shoppers' mood and sentiments, and budgeting. As a result of analyzing the relationship between marketing stimulus and impulse buying, the author found out that impulse buying was the most influenced by facilitative marketing stimuli. Lastly, as a result of analyzing the relationship between shopping behaviors & socio-demographical variables and impulse buying propensities in Internet shopping malls, the author learned that pure impulse buying, reminder & suggestion impulse buying, and planned impulse buying are influenced by the period and frequency of using Internet shopping malls for clothes, purchase amount, and the time length of the shopping.

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Development of the High Reliable Safety PLC for the Nuclear Power Plants (고신뢰도 안전등급 제어기기 개발)

  • Son, Kwang-Seop;Kim, Dong-Hoon;Son, Choul-Woong
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the design of the Safety Programmable Logic Controller (SPLC) used in the Nuclear Power Plants, an analysis of a reliability for the SPLC using a markov model. The architecture of the SPLC is designed to have the multiple modular redundancy composed of the Dual Modular Redundancy(DMR) and the Triple Modular Redundancy(TMR). The operating system of the SPLC is designed to have the non-preemptive state based scheduler and the supervisory task managing the sequential scheduling, timing of tasks, diagnostic and security. The data communication of the SPLC is designed to have the deterministic state based protocol, and is designed to satisfy the effective transmission capacity of 20Mbps. Using Markov model, the reliability of SPLC is analyzed, and assessed. To have the reasonable reliability such as the mean time to failure (MTTF) more than 10,000 hours, the failure rate of each SPLC module should be less than $2{\times}10^{-5}$/hour. When the fault coverage factor (FCF) is increased by 0.1, the MTTF is improved by about 4 months, thus to enhance the MTTF effectively, it is needed that the diagnostic ability of each SPLC module should be strengthened. Also as the result of comparison the SPLC and the existing safety grade PLCs, the reliability and MTTF of SPLC is up to 1.6-times and up to 22,000 hours better than the existing PLCs.

A SES Alarmed Link Encryption Synchronization Method for High-speed Video Data Encryption (고속 영상데이터 암호화에 적합한 SES Alarmed 링크 암호동기 방식)

  • Kim, HyeongRag;Lee, HoonJae;Kwon, DaeHoon;Pak, UiYoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.2891-2898
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    • 2013
  • CCSDS Standard is widely used in international space telecommunication area. In this standard, Encryption is realized using a unique hierarchical encryption protocol and satisfied security requirements of communication channels. For synchronization, encryption sync is attached in the beginning of encrypted data. But exceptional case(timing jittering, abnormal system shutdown, etc.) is occurred, receiving equipment cannot decrypt received data. In this paper, we propose a SES Alarmed link encryption synchronization method for sending warning signal to the transmitter when some problems have been occurred during the transmission and we also suggest optimum conditions for SES Alarm signal through performance analysis.