• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time trend analysis

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The trend of prevalence of pain in Korea from 2005 to 2016

  • Cho, Sang-Hyeon;Kim, Yong-Min;Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Song, Jae-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2020
  • Background: Korean society is afflicted with rapid aging. Aging is a risk factor for pain, and pain can reduce patients' quality of life. Thus, adequate management and monitoring of changing trends accompanying the demographic shift are highly valuable. However, this study was conducted because no studies have investigated the recent changes in the prevalence of pain. Methods: The extent of the prevalence of pain was determined by questions related to quality of life based on the data derived from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Survey (KNHNS) from 2005 to 2016. The annual frequencies of the pain group and severe pain group were calculated using the survey questionnaire. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to determine possible differences in prevalence by year. Results: The prevalence of pain in all populations was 30.6% in 2005 and 18.9% in 2016. The average prevalence from 2005 to 2016 was 21.9%. A declining trend occurred over time with an odds ratio of 0.929 per year (95% CI: 0.921-0.938). The prevalence of severe pain was 2.35% in 2005 and 1.88% in 2016. Likewise, a decrease was observed over time, with an odds ratio of 0.920 per year at 95% CI 0.901-0.939. The decline in age-/sex-stratified analysis also showed a statistically significant trend in all groups. Conclusions: The prevalence of pain in Korean society, based on the KNHNS, has declined since 2005. Such a trend was observed in all ages and sexs, and was most significant in the elderly.

Analysis on Dynamic Trend of Online Gamers -based on the White Paper (게임 이용자의 추세 경향 분석 - 게임백서 자료를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Seong-Rak;Kwon, O-Young
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2010
  • Investigating the trend of online gamers plays an important role in forecasting, marketing and making policy decision in gaming industry. In this regards, various studies on gamers' trend and characteristics have been conducted. However, these precedent studies show limitation that they're static analysis since they are usually based on the surveys at a certain point. Therefore, this paper aims to identify some implications on forthcoming directions of gaming industry by analyzing dynamic trend of gamers based on the 8 years(from 2002 to 2009) of data from White Paper on Korean Games. Major implications found in this paper are as follows. Negative perception of games increases as the number of gamers increases. Among juveniles, games became a substitute for TV and the amount of time they play games depends on the existence and type of popular games of that time. Also, most item trading is intensively done by a small number of gamers.

Analyzing Research Trends of Food Tourism Using Text Mining Techniques (텍스트마이닝 기법을 활용한 국내 음식관광 연구 동향 분석)

  • Shin, Seo-Young;Lee, Bum-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this study was to review and evaluate the growing subject of food tourism research, and thus identify the trend of food tourism research. Using a Text mining technique, this paper discovered the trends of the literature on food tourism that was published from 2004 to 2018. The study reviewed 201 articles that include the words 'food' and 'tourism' in their abstracts in the KCI database. The Wordscloud analysis results presented that the research subjects were predominantly 'Festival', 'Region', 'Culture', 'Tourist', but there was a slight difference in frequency according to the time period. Based on the main path analysis, we extracted the meaningful paths between the cited references published domestically, resulting in a total of 12 networks from 2004 to 2018. The Text network analysis indicated that the words with high centrality showed similarities and differences in the food tourism literature according to the time period, displaying them in a sociogram, a visualization tool. This study has implications that it offers a new perspective of comprehending the overall flow of relevant research.

Analysis of the Characteristic of Railroad(level-crossing) Accident Frequency (철도 건널목 사고의 발생빈도 특성분석 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Kang, Pal-Moon;Park, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 2014
  • Railroad traffic accident consists of train accident, level-crossing accident, traffic death and injury accident caused by train or vehicle, and it is showing a continuous downward trend over a long period of time. As a result of the frequency comparison of train accidents and level-crossing accidents using the railway accident statistics data of Railway Industry Information Center, the share of train accident is over 90% in the 1990s and 80% in the 2000s more than the one of level-crossing accidents. In this study, we investigated time series characteristic and short-term prediction of railroad crossing, as well as seasonal characteristic. The analysis data has been accumulated over the past 20 years by using the frequency data of level-crossing accident, and was used as a frequency data per month and year. As a result of the analysis, the frequency of accident has the characteristics of the seasonal occurrence, and it doesn't show the significant decreasing trend in a short-term.

Text Mining-Based Emerging Trend Analysis for the Aviation Industry (항공산업 미래유망분야 선정을 위한 텍스트 마이닝 기반의 트렌드 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Jung;Jo, Nam-Ok;Shin, Kyung-Shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.65-82
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    • 2015
  • Recently, there has been a surge of interest in finding core issues and analyzing emerging trends for the future. This represents efforts to devise national strategies and policies based on the selection of promising areas that can create economic and social added value. The existing studies, including those dedicated to the discovery of future promising fields, have mostly been dependent on qualitative research methods such as literature review and expert judgement. Deriving results from large amounts of information under this approach is both costly and time consuming. Efforts have been made to make up for the weaknesses of the conventional qualitative analysis approach designed to select key promising areas through discovery of future core issues and emerging trend analysis in various areas of academic research. There needs to be a paradigm shift in toward implementing qualitative research methods along with quantitative research methods like text mining in a mutually complementary manner. The change is to ensure objective and practical emerging trend analysis results based on large amounts of data. However, even such studies have had shortcoming related to their dependence on simple keywords for analysis, which makes it difficult to derive meaning from data. Besides, no study has been carried out so far to develop core issues and analyze emerging trends in special domains like the aviation industry. The change used to implement recent studies is being witnessed in various areas such as the steel industry, the information and communications technology industry, the construction industry in architectural engineering and so on. This study focused on retrieving aviation-related core issues and emerging trends from overall research papers pertaining to aviation through text mining, which is one of the big data analysis techniques. In this manner, the promising future areas for the air transport industry are selected based on objective data from aviation-related research papers. In order to compensate for the difficulties in grasping the meaning of single words in emerging trend analysis at keyword levels, this study will adopt topic analysis, which is a technique used to find out general themes latent in text document sets. The analysis will lead to the extraction of topics, which represent keyword sets, thereby discovering core issues and conducting emerging trend analysis. Based on the issues, it identified aviation-related research trends and selected the promising areas for the future. Research on core issue retrieval and emerging trend analysis for the aviation industry based on big data analysis is still in its incipient stages. So, the analysis targets for this study are restricted to data from aviation-related research papers. However, it has significance in that it prepared a quantitative analysis model for continuously monitoring the derived core issues and presenting directions regarding the areas with good prospects for the future. In the future, the scope is slated to expand to cover relevant domestic or international news articles and bidding information as well, thus increasing the reliability of analysis results. On the basis of the topic analysis results, core issues for the aviation industry will be determined. Then, emerging trend analysis for the issues will be implemented by year in order to identify the changes they undergo in time series. Through these procedures, this study aims to prepare a system for developing key promising areas for the future aviation industry as well as for ensuring rapid response. Additionally, the promising areas selected based on the aforementioned results and the analysis of pertinent policy research reports will be compared with the areas in which the actual government investments are made. The results from this comparative analysis are expected to make useful reference materials for future policy development and budget establishment.

Electric Vehicle Technology Trends Forecast Research Using the Paper and Patent Data (논문 및 특허 데이터를 활용한 전기자동차 기술 동향 예측 연구)

  • Gu, Ja-Wook;Lee, Jong-Ho;Chung, Myoung-Sug;Lee, Joo-yeoun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we analyze the research / technology trends of electric vehicles from 2001 to 2014, through keyword analysis using paper data published in SCIE or SSCI Journal on electric vehicles, time series analysis using patent data by IPC, and network analysis using nodeXL. also we predicted promising technologies of electric vehicles using one of the prediction methods, weighted moving average method. As a result of this study, battery technology among the electric vehicle component technologies appeared as a promising technology.

Traffic Gathering and Analysis Algorithm for Attack Detection (공격 탐지를 위한 트래픽 수집 및 분석 알고리즘)

  • Yoo Dae-Sung;Oh Chang-Suk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a traffic trend analysis based SNMP algorithm is proposed for improving the problem of existing traffic analysis using SNMP. The existing traffic analysis method has a vulnerability that is taken much time In analyzing by using a threshold and not detected a harmful traffic at the point of transition. The method that is proposed in this paper can solve the problems that the existing method had, simultaneously using traffic trend analysis of the day, traffic trend analysis happening in each protocol and MIB object analysis responding to attacks instead of using the threshold. The algorithm proposed in this paper will analyze harmful traffic more quickly and more precisely; hence it can reduce the damage made by traffic flooding attacks. When traffic happens, it can detect the abnormality through the three analysis methods previously mentioned. After that, if abnormal traffic overlaps in at least two of the three methods, we can consider it as harmful traffic. The proposed algorithm will analyze harmful traffic more quickly and more precisely; hence it can reduce the damage made by traffic flooding attacks.

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The Impact of Time-to-Treatment for Outcome in Cancer Patients, and Its Differences by Region and Time Trend (암환자의 진단-치료 소요기간에 따른 생존분석과 지역사회별 격차 및 시계열적 추이)

  • Kim, Woorim;Han, Kyu-Tae
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2021
  • Background: The Korean government introduced National Cancer Control Program and strengthening national health insurance coverage for cancer patients. Although many positive effects have been observed, there are also many concerns about cancer management such as patient concentration or time-to-treatment. Thus, we investigated the association between the time-to-treatment and survival of cancer patients, and compared regional differences by time trend. Methods: The data used in this study were national health insurance claims data that included patients diagnosed with lung cancer and received surgical treatment between 2005 and 2015. We conducted survival analysis with Cox proportional hazard model for the association between time-to-treatment and survival in lung cancer. Additionally, we compared the regional differences for time-to-treatment by time trend. Results: A total of 842 lung cancer patients were included, and 52.3% of lung cancer patients received surgical treatment within 30 days. Patients who received surgical treatment after 31 days had higher 5-year or 1-year mortality compared to treatment within 30 days (5-year: hazard ratio [HR], 1.566; 1-year: HR, 1.555; p<0.05). There were some regional differences for time-to-treatment, but it was generally reduced after 2010. Conclusion: Delayed surgical treatment after diagnosis can negatively affect patient outcomes in cancer treatment. To improve cancer control strategies, there are needed to analyze the healthcare delivery system for cancer care considering the severity and types of cancer.