• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time trend analysis

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A Study on Trend of the Research Papers Published in the Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea

  • Lee, Dhong-Ha
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.701-707
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    • 2010
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to investigate the attributing factors influencing major research areas of the papers published in the journal of Ergonomics Society of Korea (JESK). Background: Ergonomics has a wide range of research areas. Diversity of research topic is one of the major strong points of this discipline especially in the era of fusion. Dominant areas among the diversity changed from time to time. It is interesting to know the attributing factors of the dominant areas. Method: During the past three decades JESK has published 649 articles. As an editor of the JESK, I reviewed these papers and sorted them into the detailed research fields of ergonomics; (1) technical group (TG) s of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society (HFES), (2) editing groups of the journal of Ergonomics Abstracts and (3) TGs of the Ergonomics Society of Korea (ESK). I also listed major events which might affect the publication trend. Results: Anthropometry was the most dominant area all the time. Health and safety area has been steadily increasing publication amount. Conclusion: Government research funding was the main attributing factor determining the publication trend of the JESK. Application: The results of the publishing trend analysis might help to determine the editing policy of the JESK.

Analysis of the Statistical and Time-Series Characteristics for Pan Evaporation (증발계 증발량의 시계예 및 통계적 특성 분석)

  • 구자웅
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.4472-4482
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    • 1977
  • In order to estimate furture consumtive use, some statistical characteristics of 22-year pan evaporation data at four selected stations were calculated in this study. Districal distribution, trend analysis and time-series, statistical and periodic analysis for annual, monethly and ten-day values were performed in the statistical analysis. The stations are Seoul, Taeku, Jeonju and Mokpo for monthly data, and Suweon data are compared to the reported Penman values. The results are as followed: 1. Annual evaporation ranged to 990-1,375mm varying with the locations of the stations. The Districal distribution of evaporation in the Republic is shown in Fig. 1. 2. The trend analysis for annual evaporation resulted in detail in Table 2 and Fig. 2, through simple moving average methods. The results show relatively short-period data of about 10 years would be acceptable for field use. 3. The means and dispersions of monthly evaporation at four stations are detailed in Table 3. 4. The monthly evaporation approached to the trend of normal distribution Fig. 3 showed the examples of normal distribution for each typical monthly data. 5. The correlograms detailed in Fig. 4, shows the time-series characteristics of monthly evaporation, whose periodic term should be twelve months. 6. The periodic analysis for monthly evapolation results in Table 4. Fig. 5 shows the comparison of estimated values to actual and the trend approaches Shuster's periodic trend. 7. A periodic description of days after March 1 for irrigation periods was developed to predict ten-day evaporation in Fig. 6. The ten-day etraporation is different in the distribution form and occurence period of maximum values from the reported Penman's man's evapotranspiration.

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Time Trend Analysis of Oral Cancer in Iran from 2005 to 2010

  • Iranfar, Khosro;Mokhayeri, Yaser;Mohammadi, Gohar
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.1421-1426
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    • 2016
  • Background: There is a considerable lack of understanding of oral cancer incidence, especially its time trend in Iran. In this study, the authors aimed to analyze time trend of oral cancer incidence with a focus on differences by gender in a period of six years - from 2005 to 2010. Materials and Methods: Both population-based cancer registry and national cancer registry (NCR) data based on pathologic reports from 2005 to 2010 were obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME). Population data were also received from Statistical Centre of Iran. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) based on the World Standard Population were then calculated. Finally, Negative Binomial regression was run for time trend analysis. Results: The maximum ASR for males was calculated as 2.5 per 100,000 person-years in 2008 and the minimum was observed as 1.9 per 100,000 person-years in 2005 and 2006. Meanwhile, the maximum ASR for females was estimated as 1.8 per 100,000 person-years in 2009 and the minimum was calculated as 1.6 per 100,000 person-years in 2005 and 2006. Additionally, in females, incidence risk ratio (IRR) did not show a clear decreasing or increasing trend during the six years. Nevertheless, in males an increasing trend was observed. The maximum IRR adjusted for age group and province, for females was reported in 2009 (IRR=1.05 95% CI: 0.90-1.23), and for males was estimated in 2010 (IRR=1/2 95% CI: 1.04 - 1.38). Conclusions: Our findings highlight disparities between oral cancer incidence trends in males and females over the six years from 2005 to 2010.

A Study on the Characteristics of Change by Observation Area which changes as the observation time passes in Interior Space (실내공간에서 주시시간의 경과에 따른 구역별 주시특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Ha;Ban, Young-Sun
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.84-91
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    • 2012
  • The total data of observing interior space was divided into a few time frames for analysis. If we can understand the changing process of observation degree as the observation time passes, we will be able to analyse the characteristic and process of information obtainment in the case of space observation. For this purpose, the observation time was parted into 30 second units and the changing characteristic by time frame and observation area was analysed. The conclusion derived from this study is as the following: First, analysis of observation frequency and time on the basis of the average data of each subject showed that the observation time increased compared with the subject's frequency and the overall trend but that it was difficult for me to think there was a certain trend in the observation time of each subject. However, when I examined the time change by using the trend line which is a dynamic average line representing the observation time from the subjects as the trend element of time series, I could see the trend that the subject's observation time increased at a fixed rate as the frequency increased. Second, when I compared and analysed the average observation area at Area I set up by the time of 30 second unit and the observation area of Area I from the all data, I could see that the former had more degree of concentration at Area I. This analysis enabled me to get the degree of concentration on the observed area every time, and accordingly I could also see that when the data of intensive observation by time frame is analysed, the degree of concentration is dispersed for the subjects to observe very intensively or the area with overlapping observations each time frame can be seen as Area I out of the entire observation data. Third, when I analysed the observation characteristics by time frame at the 6 areas divided at 30 second unit at the rate of the number to the time of observation areas, I could see that as the observation time passed while the number of the observation areas defined as decreased the observation time increased, which means that when the area numbers decreases the area intensively observed by the subjects decreases as the time passes. In spit of that, the increase of time can be interpreted as more intensive observation of a specific area.

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Analysis of Laughter Therapy Trend Using Text Network Analysis and Topic Modeling

  • LEE, Do-Young
    • Journal of Wellbeing Management and Applied Psychology
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to understand the trend and central concept of domestic researches on laughter therapy. For the analysis, this study used total 72 theses verified by inputting the keyword 'laughter therapy' from 2007 to 2021. Research design, data and methodology: This study performed the development and analysis of keyword co-occurrence network, analyzed the types of researches through topic modeling, and verified the visualized word cloud and sociogram. The keyword data that was cleaned through preprocessing, was analyzed in the method of centrality analysis and topic modeling through the 1-mode matrix conversion process by using the NetMiner (version 4.4) Program. Results: The keywords that most appeared for last 14 years were laughter therapy, depression, the elderly, and stress. The five topics analyzed in thesis data from 2007 to 2021 were therapy, cognitive behavior, quality of life, stress, and the elderly. Conclusions: This study understood the flow and trend of research topics of domestic laughter therapy for last 14 years, and there should be continuous researches on laughter therapy, which reflects the flow of time in the future.

Analysis of the Effect of Cigarette Price Hike (담배가격인상 효과분석)

  • Kim Do-Hoon;Han Kwang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2005
  • The government continuously increases cigarette price to reduce the smoking rates. Opinions of cigarette makers and Ministry of Health and Welfare on the effect of cigarette price hike are sharply opposed. This dispute is important because there is possibility of additional increase of cigarette price by 500 won. Therefore, as an inquiry into existing studies for the effect of cigarette price hike on tobacco product, namely analysis of the effect of cigarette price hike consumption, we empirically analyzed the effect of cigarette excise tax hike through establishing improved analytic models considering time trend. As a result, it is substantiated that time trend in the effect of cigarette excise tax hike is certainly exist and early impact is heavy. However, the amount of cigarette consumption is recovered to the level of the average in 5 months. Since it is proved that the long term effect of cigarette price hike is immaterial, health authority should reconsider the plan of additional raising cigarette price by 500 won.

Trend Detection of Serially Correlated Hydrologic Series (상관성을 가진 시계열 자료의 경향성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Je Seung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2004
  • The non-parametric Mann-Kendall(MK) statistical test has been widely used to assess the significance of trend in hydrologic time series. The test requires sample data should be serially independent. If sample data is serially correlated, the presence of serial correlation in a time series will affect the test ability for trend analysis. So, we would like to use the modified MK test which uses the effective sample size(ESS) to eliminate the effect of serial correlation in a series. This study investigates the ability of ESS to eliminate the influence of serial correlation of MK test by Monte Carlo simulation and by real series. As the results, MK test shows the increase of trend rate as the serial correlation is increased but the modified MK test shows ESS can eliminate the serial correlation for trend analysis. Therefore we confirmed the modified MK test is a very useful tool for trend analysis.

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An Analysis of New Textile Material Developmental Trend (섬유 신소재 개발 Trend에 대한 고찰)

  • 이유경;김순심
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 1995
  • The new textile materials may be defined as textile materials different from already existing ones in the physical and chemical structure, manufacturing process, or end-use property. The present time what is called the post-industrial society is characterized by rapid change and new technology. Also, textile materials have been changed rapidly and diversely in the post-industrial society than in any other periods. The study aimed to analyze the trend of new tektite materials development in Korea and to forecast the development trend in the future. To investigate the trend of new textile materials, various written materials and informations were collected from the manufacturers, textile related periodicals, and research journals, and they were analyzed. The period of analysis was from January 1992 to May 1995. The results of this research are as followings : (1) Mixed textile materiasl such as bicomponent fiber, blended yam and blended fabric were increased. (2) High technology has an important effect upon new textile material development. (3) functional textile materials were increased (4) The high value-added products were increased. (5) The naturalized textile materials were increased.

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A trend analysis of seasonal average temperatures over 40 years in South Korea using Mann-Kendall test and sen's slope (Mann-Kendall 비모수 검정과 Sen's slope를 이용한 최근 40년 남한지역 계절별 평균기온의 경향성 분석)

  • Jin, Dae-Hyun;Jang, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Hee-Kyung;Lee, Yung-Seop
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.439-447
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    • 2021
  • Due to the frequent emergence of global abnormal climates, related studies on meteorological change is being actively proceed. However, the research on trend analysis using weather data accumulated over a long period of time was insufficient. In this study, the trend of temperature time series data accumulated from automated surface observing system (ASOS) for 40 years was analyzed by using a non-parametric analysis method. As a result of the Mann-Kendall test on the annual average temperature and seasonal average temperature time series data in South Korea, it has shown that an upward trend exists. In addition, the result of calculating the Sen's slope, which can determine the degree of tendency before and after the searched change point by applying the Pettitt test, recent data after the fluctuation point confirmed that the tendency of temperature rise was even greater.

The Serial Change Analysis of Heart Rate According to Expiration-to-inspiration Time Ratio in Adults (호흡패턴에 따른 성인의 심박수 동태 해석)

  • Park, Young-Bae;Han, Kyung-Sook;Nam, Tong-Hyun
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.105-120
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : This study aims to evaluate the effects of expiration-to-inspiration time ratio (E/I-ratio) on heart rate, which represents cardiac autonomic function, and cold-heat in the healthy people. Methods : 49 healthy young volunteers(male : female = 32 : 17) were recruited in the study. The participants completed the questionnaire for yin-yang pattern identification and then we measured the chest plethysmogram for respiration signal and the electrocardiogram for NN intervals during different E/I-ratio from 1 to 2. We compared heart rate variability including RMS-SD, VLF, LF and HF, and the trend-cycle factors decomposed from NN interval data by time series analysis among the respective E/I-ratio. We also confirmed the difference on the trend-cycle factors according to the score of the questionnaire for cold and heat pattern identification. Results : There were differences on the trend-cycle factors from NN interval data, but no significant difference on heart rate variability, among the respective E/I-ratio. We also found significant relationship between the trend-cycle factors and the heat pattern identification scores. Conclusions : The results indicate that cardiac autonomic function can be modulated by the E/I-ratio and the modulation will be slower and more tendencious than respiratory sinus arrhythmia.