• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time trend analysis

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Spatial Pattern and Trend Analysis of Parking-related Electronic Civil Complaints in Jinju-Si (진주시 주차관련 전자민원의 공간패턴분석 및 추이분석)

  • Won, Tae-Hong;Seo, Min-Song;Yoo, Hwan-Hee
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2017
  • Korea, which has undergone a rapid urbanization, faces various problems such as the management of facilities, safety, environment and transportation. To solve civil complaints, local governments receive electronic complaints, but complaints are increasing. Therefore, this study conducted the spatial distribution pattern analysis and the trend analysis by presenting location data on spatial information through Geo-coding by collecting electronic civil petition data over the last 10 years targeting Jinju city. Using the ARIMA model, this study predicted the occurrence of complaints over the next two years (2016~2017) through a time series forecast analysis. As a result, the complaints related to illegal parking were the highest, the complaint related to noise was the second highest, and the complaints related to illegal garbage dumping was the third highest. In addition, the analysis of the spatial distribution pattern shows that the largest hot spot was formed in the central commercial district every year. As a result of the time series forecasting analysis for the crackdown of the illegal parking, complaints increased slightly. To compare the predicted value and the actual data showed a similar pattern. It is judged that this study will be utilized to establish effective countermeasures against civil complaints.

Comparison of Hydrogeological Time Series Analysis Results Before and After Detrending (변동경향성 제거 전후의 수리지질학적 시계열분석 결과 비교)

  • Lim, Hong-Gyun;Choi, Hyun-Mi;Lee, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we compared the analysis results before and after the detrending for the data. According to the comparison results, correlation functions were not much changed while autocorrelation and spectral density functions were largely varied. Especially, time series data with a long-term variation trend showed a distinctive difference. This study demonstrated a usefulness of the detrending for a further analysis.

Analyzing Global Startup Trends Using Google Trends Keyword Big Data Analysis: 2017~2022 (Google Trends 의 키워드 빅데이터 분석을 활용한 글로벌 스타트업 트렌드 분석: 2017~2022 )

  • Jaeeog Kim;Byunghoon Jeon
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2023
  • In order to identify the trends and insights of 'startups' in the global era, we conducted an in-depth trend analysis of the global startup ecosystem using Google Trends, a big data analysis platform. For the validity of the analysis, we verified the correlation between the keywords 'startup' and 'global' through BIGKinds. We also conducted a network analysis based on the data extracted using Google Trends to determine the frequency of searches for the keyword or term 'startup'. The results showed a strong positive linear relationship between the keywords, indicating a statistically significant correlation (correlation coefficient: +0.8906). When exploring global startup trends using Google Trends, we found a terribly similar linear pattern of increasing and decreasing interest in each country over time, as shown in Figure 4. In particular, startup interest was low in the range of 35 to 76 from mid-2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but there was a noticeable upward trend in startup interest after March 2022. In addition, we found that the interest in startups in each country except South Korea is very similar, and the related topics are startup company, technology, investment, funding, and keyword search terms such as best startup, tech, business, invest, health, and fintech are highly correlated.

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Trend Analysis and Prediction of the Number of Births and the Number of Outpatients using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 통한 출생아 수와 소아치과 내원 환자 수 추세 분석 및 예측)

  • Hwayeon, An;Seonmi, Kim;Namki, Choi
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.274-284
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the trend of the number of births in Gwangju and the number of outpatients in Pediatric Dentistry at Chonnam National University Dental Hospital over the past 10 years (2010 - 2019) and predict the next year using time series analysis. The number of births showed an unstable downward trend with monthly variations, with the highest in January and the lowest in December. The average number of births in 2020 was predicted to be 682 (595 to 782, 95% CI), and the actual number of births was an average of 610. The number of outpatients was relatively stable, showing a month-to-month variation, with highest in August and the lowest in June. The average number of patients in 2020 was predicted to be 603 (505 to 701, 95% CI), and the average number of actual visits was 587. Despite the decrease in the number of births, the number of outpatients was expected to increase somewhat. Due to the special situation of COVID-19, the actual number of births and patients was to be slightly lower than the predicted values, but it was that they were within the predicted confidence interval. Time series analysis can be used as a basic tool to prepare for the low fertility era in the field of pediatric dentistry.

Trend Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Using Quantile Regression (Quantile 회귀분석을 이용한 극대강수량 자료의 경향성 분석)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;An, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.8
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    • pp.815-826
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    • 2012
  • The underestimating trend using existing ordinary regression (OR) based trend analysis has been a well-known problem. The existing OR method based on least squares approximate the conditional mean of the response variable given certain values of the time t, and the usual assumption of the OR method is normality, that is the distribution of data are not dissimilar form a normal distribution. In this regard, this study proposed a quantile regression that aims at estimating either the conditional median or other quantiles of the response variable. This study assess trend in annual daily maximum rainfall series over 64 weather stations through both in OR and QR approach. The QR method indicates that 47 stations out of 67 weather stations are a strong upward trend at 5% significance level while OR method identifies a significant trend only at 13 stations. This is mainly because the OR method is estimating the condition mean of the response variable. Unlike the OR method, the QR method allows us flexibly to detect the trends since the OR is designed to estimate conditional quantiles of the response variable. The proposed QR method can be effectively applied to estimate hydrologic trend for either non-normal data or skewed data.

Development of a Real-time Fault Diagnosis System for Electric Motors using radiated sound signals (방사음을 이용한 모터 결함 판정용 실시간 전문가 시스템 개발)

  • 경용수;김상명;왕세명
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.603-608
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    • 2001
  • In order to distinguish fault electric motors automatically in real time. an intelligent diagnosis technique may be required. This paper presents an automatic fault detection system for electric motors by using their acoustic noises. Time signals of each candidate motor were measured in an anechoic chamber for further analysis. Spectral analysis was first carried out and they showed that two typical types of fault motors could be successfully distinguished in the frequency domain; bearing faults and scratches. Unlike the trend of normal motors that shows only a single dominant peak at around 2000 ㎐, several peaks are bunched together in bearing fault motors. On the other hand, large frequency noises at around 6500 ㎐ are newly arisen in scratchy fault motors. However, the processing time for spectral analysis was rather long for a real time application in production lines. Thus, a number of band-pass filters were used in the time domain instead for a real time application. Before applying filters, the bands of filters were set from the information of spectral analysis. By applying a set of band-pass filters, the RMS values of each filtered signal were calculated, and thus the normal and damaged motors could be successfully distinguished.

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Liver Cancer Mortality Characteristics and Trends in China from 1991 to 2012

  • Fang, Jia-Ying;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Zeng, Yang;Tang, Wen-Rui;Du, Pei-Ling;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Xu, Xiao-Ling;Luo, Jia-Yi;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1959-1964
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To investigate the distribution of liver cancer mortality as well as its developing trend from 1991 to 2012, forecast the future five-year trend, and provide a basis for the comprehensive prevention and management. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for liver cancer in China from 1991 to 2012 were used to describe characteristics and distribution of liver cancer mortality. Trend surface analysis was used to study the geographical distribution of liver cancer mortality. Curve estimation, time series modeling, gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression were used to predict and forecast future trends. Results: The mortality rate of liver cancer has constantly increased in China since 1991. Rates in rural areas are higher than in urban areas, and in males are higher than in females. In addition, our data predicted that the trend will continue to increase in the next 5 years. The age-specific mortality of liver cancer increases with age and peaks in the group of 80-84 years old. Geographical analysis showed the liver mortality rate was higher in the southeast provinces, such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong, and southwest regions like Guangxi Province. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of liver cancer in China has consistently increased from 1991 to 2012, and the upward trend is predicted to continue in the future. Much better prevention and management of liver cancer is needed in high mortality areas (the southwestern and southeastern parts of China) and high mortality age groups (80- to 84-year-olds), especially in rural areas.

Trend analysis of rainfall characteristics and its impact on stormwater runoff quality from urban and agricultural catchment

  • Salim, Imran;Paule-Mercado, Ma. Cristina;Sajjad, Raja Umer;Memon, Sheeraz Ahmed;Lee, Bum-Yeon;Sukhbaatar, Chinzorig;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2019
  • Climate change has significantly affected the rainfall characteristics which can influence the pollutant build-up and wash-off patterns from the catchment. Therefore, this study explored the influence of varying rainfall characteristics on urban and agricultural runoff pollutant export using statistical approaches. For this purpose, Mann-Kendall and Pettitt's test were applied to detect the trend and breakpoint in rainfall characteristics time series. In addition, double mass curve and correlation analysis were used to drive the relationship between rainfall-runoff and pollutant exports from both catchments. The results indicate a significant decreased in total rainfall and average rainfall intensity, while a significant increased trend for antecedents dry days and total storm duration over the study periods. The breakpoint was determined to be 2013 which shows remarkable trend shifts for total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and antecedents dry days except total duration. Double mass curve exhibited a straight line with significant rainfall-runoff relationship indicates a climate change effect on both sites. Overall, higher pollutant exports were observed at both sites during the baseline period as compared to change periods. In agricultural site, most of the pollutants exhibited significant (p< 0.05) association with total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and total storm duration. In contrast, pollutants from urban site significantly correlated with antecedent dry days and average rainfall intensity. Thus, total rainfall, average rainfall intensity and total duration were the significant factors for the agricultural catchment while, antecedents dry days and average rainfall intensity were key factors in build-up and wash-off from the urban catchment.

A Study on Electronic Component Failure Rate Trend Based on Technology Changes (전자기술의 발전과 전자부품 기본 고장률의 추이)

  • Jang, Ju-Su;Yun, Cha-Jung;Lee, Eun-Kyu;Lee, Eul-Jae;Jang, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Yong
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.2527-2538
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    • 2011
  • The Reliability started for MILitary purposes during World War II in 1942, getting more important for maintenance, safety, etc in modern society. As technologies develop, also international standards for measuring the reliability is advancing. RAMS activities for maintenance, safety verification is material to national railroad. And for this, it needs quick response for the changes of standards. Even now standards are upgrading for developing electronic technologies. Therefore analysis of failure rate's trend about such standards is judged necessary. So We submit a this paper for comparative analysis of changing process standards according to development of electronic technologies and reliability. At first, we compared actual usage ratio of standards for understanding the current state of usage. Based of these state of usage, discuss the major standard. And then, introduced reliability standards's trend, calculation method of failure rate and difference of failure rate calculation standard according to march of time. In this paper, used standards are MIL-HDBK-217F, Telcodia, etc.

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