• 제목/요약/키워드: Time trend analysis

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Contact Tracking Development Trend Using Bibliometric Analysis

  • Li, Chaoqun;Chen, Zhigang;Yu, Tongrui;Song, Xinxia
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.359-373
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    • 2022
  • The new crown pneumonia (COVID-19) has become a global epidemic. The disease has spread to most countries and poses a challenge to the healthcare system. Contact tracing technology is an effective way for public health to deal with diseases. Many experts have studied traditional contact tracing and developed digital contact tracking. In order to better understand the field of contact tracking, it is necessary to analyze the development of contact tracking in the field of computer science by bibliometrics. The purpose of this research is to use literature statistics and topic analysis to characterize the research literature of contact tracking in the field of computer science, to gain an in-depth understanding of the literature development status of contact tracking and the trend of hot topics over the past decade. In order to achieve the aforementioned goals, we conducted a bibliometric study in this paper. The study uses data collected from the Scopus database. Which contains more than 10,000 articles, including more than 2,000 in the field of computer science. For popular trends, we use VOSviewer for visual analysis. The number of contact tracking documents published annually in the computer field is increasing. At present, there are 200 to 300 papers published in the field of computer science each year, and the number of uncited papers is relatively small. Through the visual analysis of the paper, we found that the hot topic of contact tracking has changed from the past "mathematical model," "biological model," and "algorithm" to the current "digital contact tracking," "privacy," and "mobile application" and other topics. Contact tracking is currently a hot research topic. By selecting the most cited papers, we can display high-quality literature in contact tracking and characterize the development trend of the entire field through topic analysis. This is useful for students and researchers new to field of contact tracking ai well as for presenting our results to other subjects. Especially when comprehensive research cannot be conducted due to time constraints or lack of precise research questions, our research analysis can provide value for it.

Impact of Trend Estimates on Predictive Performance in Model Evaluation for Spatial Downscaling of Satellite-based Precipitation Data

  • Kim, Yeseul;Park, No-Wook
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2017
  • Spatial downscaling with fine resolution auxiliary variables has been widely applied to predict precipitation at fine resolution from coarse resolution satellite-based precipitation products. The spatial downscaling framework is usually based on the decomposition of precipitation values into trend and residual components. The fine resolution auxiliary variables contribute to the estimation of the trend components. The main focus of this study is on quantitative analysis of impacts of trend component estimates on predictive performance in spatial downscaling. Two regression models were considered to estimate the trend components: multiple linear regression (MLR) and geographically weighted regression (GWR). After estimating the trend components using the two models,residual components were predicted at fine resolution grids using area-to-point kriging. Finally, the sum of the trend and residual components were considered as downscaling results. From the downscaling experiments with time-series Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) 3B43 precipitation data, MLR-based downscaling showed the similar or even better predictive performance, compared with GWR-based downscaling with very high explanatory power. Despite very high explanatory power of GWR, the relationships quantified from TRMM precipitation data with errors and the auxiliary variables at coarse resolution may exaggerate the errors in the trend components at fine resolution. As a result, the errors attached to the trend estimates greatly affected the predictive performance. These results indicate that any regression model with high explanatory power does not always improve predictive performance due to intrinsic errors of the input coarse resolution data. Thus, it is suggested that the explanatory power of trend estimation models alone cannot be always used for the selection of an optimal model in spatial downscaling with fine resolution auxiliary variables.

학위논문 주제어 중심 연구동향 분석 -국어국문학, 국어교육학, 한국어교육학 분야를 중심으로- (esearch Trend Analysis Focused on Thesis Key Words: in the Fields of Korean Language and Literature, Korean Language Education, and Korean Language Education as a Foreign Language)

  • 김은실;강승혜
    • 한국어교육
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.25-48
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    • 2018
  • The aim of this study was to analyze research trends in the fields of Korean Language and Literature, Korean Language Education, and Korean Language Education as a Foreign Language. To this end, key words were extracted from 29,470 academic theses published between 2000 and 2017. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, in the field of Korean Language and Literature, there is greater quantity in studies about Korean language than about literature, and starting from 2010, there was an increase in studies similar to those from the field of Korean Language Education as a Foreign Language. Next, in comparison to the other fields, the field of Korean Language Education has greater variance in its research theme-in particular, numerous studies related to the site of education. Finally, the field of Korean Language Education has the following trends: a) there are copious studies focused on Korean language learners in comparison to other fields, b) there are a greater number of studies focused on culture, and c) the key words change by time period which suggest that research demands transformed over time. Overall, a total of 64 highest frequency key words from the three academic fields were investigated. Of these, 22 were common key words and 42 were differential key words. In this way, it was possible to illuminate the identity of each field.

GPS/INS/기압고도계의 웨이블릿 센서융합 기법 (Sensor Fusion of GPS/INS/Baroaltimeter Using Wavelet Analysis)

  • 김성필;김응태;성기정
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제14권12호
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    • pp.1232-1237
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    • 2008
  • This paper introduces an application of wavelet analysis to the sensor fusion of GPS/INS/baroaltimeter. Using wavelet analysis the baro-inertial altitude is decomposed into the low frequency content and the high frequency content. The high frequency components, 'details', represent the perturbed altitude change from the long time trend. GPS altitude is also broken down by a wavelet decomposition. The low frequency components, 'approximations', of the decomposed signal address the long-term trend of altitude. It is proposed that the final altitude be determined as the sum of both the details of the baro-inertial altitude and the approximations of GPS altitude. Then the final altitude exclude long-term baro-inertial errors and short-term GPS errors. Finally, it is shown from the test results that the proposed method produces continuous and sensitive altitude successfully.

무선 센서 네트워크에서의 이상 징후 감지를 위한 공동 지수 평활법 및 추세 기반 주성분 분석 (Joint Exponential Smoothing and Trend-based Principal Component Analysis for Anomaly Detection in Wireless Sensor Networks)

  • ;양희규;;;김문성;추현승
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2019년도 추계학술발표대회
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    • pp.145-148
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    • 2019
  • Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a powerful technique in data analysis and widely used to detect anomalies in Wireless Sensor Networks. However, the performance of conventional PCA is not high on time-series data collected by sensors. In this paper, we propose a Joint Exponential Smoothing and Trend-based Principal Component Analysis (JES-TBPCA) for Anomaly Detection which is based on conventional PCA. Experimental results on a real dataset show a remarkably higher performance of JES-TBPCA comparing to conventional PCA model in detection of stuck-at and offset anomalies.

시계열 분석을 통한 공유수면 매립 수요 예측 (Estimation for Reclamation of Public Waters Demand Using Time-series Analysis)

  • 신철오;최은철;윤성순
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제27권7호
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    • pp.918-923
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    • 2021
  • 정부는 공유수면 매립사업의 계획적인 관리를 위해, 10년 주기의 공유수면 매립기본계획을 수립하고 있다. 그러나 수시변경을 통한 매립사업을 추진하는 경우가 상당한 비중을 차지하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이에 기본계획의 실효성에 대한 의문이 제기되고 있으며, 이를 보완하기 위한 장기 매립 수요 추세 분석에 대한 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 그간의 연간 매립 실적 자료를 활용하여 매립 수요 추세 분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과, 국내 공유수면 매립 수요는 지속적으로 하락하는 추세인 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 매립기본계획 체제로 전환된 1990년대 이후에는 그 추세가 뚜렷하게 나타나고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 2021-2030년까지 총 매립 수요는 최대 13.8 km2에서 최소 1.7 km2 수준으로 산정되었다.

Mortality Characteristics and Prediction of Female Breast Cancer in China from 1991 to 2011

  • Shi, Xiao-Jun;Au, William W.;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Chen, Lin-Xiang;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.2785-2791
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    • 2014
  • Aims: To analyze time-dependent changes in female breast cancer (BC) mortality in China, forecast the trend in the ensuing 5 years, and provide recommendations for prevention and management. Materials and Methods: Mortality data of breast cancer in China from 1991 to 2011 was used to describe characteristics and distribution, such as the changes of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences and age differences. Trend-surface analysis was used to study the geographical distribution of mortality. In addition, curve estimation, time series modeling, Gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression were performed to estimate and predict future trends. Results: In China, the mortality rate of breast cancer has increased yearly since 1991. In addition, our data predicted that the trend will continue to increase in the ensuing 5 years. Rates in urban areas are higher than those in rural areas. Over the past decade, all peak ages for death by breast cancer have been delayed, with the first death peak occurring at 55 to 65 years of age in urban and rural areas. Geographical analysis indicated that mortality rates increased from Southwest to Northeast and from West to East. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of breast cancer in China is rising and the upward trend is predicted to continue for the next 5 years. Since this can cause an enormous health impact in China, much better prevention and management of breast cancer is needed. Consequently, disease control centers in China should place more focus on the northeastern, eastern and southeastern parts of China for breast cancer prevention and management, and the key population should be among women between ages 55 to 65, especially those in urban communities.

현대 스트리트 패션 분석 및 선호도 연구 -강남권과.강북권의 비교 분석- (The Analysis and Preference of Contemporary Street Fashion -Comparative Analysis of Kangnam and Kangbuk-)

  • 이영재
    • 복식
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    • 제53권2호
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2003
  • In this study, the modern street fashion of Kangnam and Kangbuk was qualitatively examined and comparatively analyzed through the field case study, and it is expected that the results of this study be importantly used in planning commodity of fashion brand. The photographs taken in the Kangnam and Kangbuk streets were classified as looks. which were comparatively analyzed each other. Also, a questionnaire was carried out in return for women in those streets, and data related with an age group, occupation, school, academic major, etc. for participant personality and with time purchasing clothing. average expenses for clothing per month. market and reasons for buying clothing, current fashion style, etc. for fashion preference trend were obtained. The streets around Kangnam subway station and KOEX mall for the Kangnam fashion style were selected for the sampling, and Sinchon and entrance of Ewha University for the Kangbuk, where college students and middle/high school students mostly gather. Results showed that an easy casual style was most popular in the Kangbuk area, and a romantic feminine style including a bobos style most popular in the Kangnam area. This case studied on the street fashion gaves the qualitative results about the fashion trend and fashion prediction information, and they could be compared with quantitative those known previously. Also, it could be a basis research on strengthening the competitive power in fashion commodity. However, this study was subjected to restriction in the sampling due to the short time and a few streets. This study will be extended into longer time and various streets including Apgujungdong in Kangnam and many colleges in Kangbuk.

ARIMA 모형을 이용한 보이스피싱 발생 추이 예측 (Forecasting the Occurrence of Voice Phishing using the ARIMA Model)

  • 추정호;주용휘;엄정호
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2022
  • 보이스피싱은 가짜 금융기관, 검찰청, 경찰청 등을 사칭하여 개인의 인증번호와 신용카드 정보를 알아내거나 예금을 인출하게 하여 탈취하는 사이버 범죄이다. 최근에는 교묘하고도 은밀한 방법으로 보이스피싱이 이루어지고 있다. '18~'21년 발생한 보이스피싱의 추세를 분석하면, 보이스피싱이 발생되는 시기에 예금 인출이 급격하게 증가하여 시계열 분석에 모호함을 주는 계절성이 존재함을 발견하였다. 이에 본 연구에서는 보이스피싱 발생 추이의 정확한 예측을 위해서 계절성을 X-12 계절성 조정 방법론으로 조정하고, ARIMA 모형을 이용하여 2022년 보이스피싱 발생을 예측하였다.

Analysis of Esophageal Cancer Time Trends in China, 1989-2008

  • Zhao, Jun;He, Yu-Tong;Zheng, Rong-Shou;Zhang, Si-Wei;Chen, Wan-Qing
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.4613-4617
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    • 2012
  • National cancer incidence data were utilized to analyze trends in esophageal cancer incidence in China in order to provide basic information for making cancer control strategy. We retrieved and re-sorted valid esophageal cancer incidence data from National Central Cancer Registry Database over 20 years period from 1989 to 2008. Crude incidence and age-standardized incidence rates were calculated for analysis, with annual percent change estimated by Joinpoint software for long term trend analysis. The crude incidence rate of esophageal cancer was found to have remained relatively stable in both urban and rural areas over the 20 year period. Age standardized incidence rate (ASR) in cancer registration areas decreased from 39.5/100,000 in 1989 to 23.0/100,000 in 2008 in all areas (AAPC=-3.3%, 95% CI:-2.8~-3.7). The trend was no change in urban areas and 2.1% average annual decrease observed in rural aras. Before the year of 2000, esophageal cancer incidence rates significant decreased with 2.8% annually and then the rates kept stable. Over 20 years from 1989 to 2008, esophageal cancer age standardized incidence rate in cancer registration areas decreased with time. However, esophageal cancer is still a big issue and efforts for control should be continuously enhanced. Cancer registration is playing an important role in cancer control with the number of registries increasing and data quality improving in China.