• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.511-520
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• 2009

In this study, the Ocean Tide Loading (OTL) constituents were detected by the Precise Point Positioning (PPP) technique using GPS. Then, the GPS estimates of OTL constituents were compared with the predictions of the ocean tide models. We picked three permanent GPS stations as test sites and they are ICNW, SEOS, and CJUN. To detect the OTL constituents using GPS, we created vertical coordinate time series at 10-minute intervals using the PPP approach implemented in the GIPSY software. Through the tidal harmonic analysis of this height time series, the four major constituents ($M_2$, $S_2$, $K_1$, $O_1$) were determined. The amplitude obtained from the GPS height time series of the OTL constituents showed best match with the model predictions at CJUN, while the phase showed closest match at ICNW. The amplitude accuracy of the $M_2$, which is the dominant factor out of the 11 major constituents, was 24.8% on average.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.31-38
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• 2022

This paper applies an expert independent unsupervised neural network learning-based multivariate time series data analysis model, MSCRED(Multi-Scale Convolutional Recurrent Encoder-Decoder), and to overcome the limitation, because the MCRED is based on Auto-encoder model, that train data must not to be contaminated, by using learning data sampling technique, called Subset Sampling Validation. By using the vibration data of power plant equipment that has been labeled, the classification performance of MSCRED is evaluated with the Anomaly Score in many cases, 1) the abnormal data is mixed with the training data 2) when the abnormal data is removed from the training data in case 1. Through this, this paper presents an expert-independent anomaly diagnosis framework that is strong against error data, and presents a concise and accurate solution in various fields of multivariate time series data.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.38 no.6_1
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• pp.1081-1089
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• 2022

This study aims to investigate and monitor the ground subsidence in Ulsan city, South Korea using time-series Small Baseline Subset (SBAS)-InSAR analysis. We used 79 Sentinel-1 SAR scenes and 385 interferograms to estimate the ground displacements at Ulsan city from May 2015 and December 2021. Two subsiding regions Buk-gu and Nam-gu Samsan-dong were found with the subsidence rate of 3.44 cm/year and 1.68 cm/year. In addition, we evaluated the possibility of removing the effect of atmospheric (tropospheric delay) phase in unwrapped phase using the Zenith Total Delay (ZTD) maps from Generic Atmospheric Correction Online Service (GACOS).We found that the difference between the SBAS-InSAR ground displacements before and after GACOS ZTD correction is less than 1 mm/year in this study.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.3 no.9
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• pp.355-360
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• 2014

Forecasting of emerging technology plays important roles in business strategy and R&D investment. There are various ways for technology forecasting including patent analysis. Qualitative analysis methods through experts' evaluations and opinions have been mainly used for technology forecasting using patents. However qualitative methods do not assure objectivity of analysis results and requires high cost and long time. To make up for the weaknesses, we are able to analyze patent data quantitatively and statistically by using text mining technique. In this paper, we suggest a new method of technology forecasting using text mining and ARIMA analysis.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.83-90
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to develop a series of trend analysis models for industrial water consumption and to propose a blueprint for the integration of the developed models with GIS. For the consumption data acquisition, a real-time sensing technique was adopted. Data were transformed from the field equipments to the management server in every 5 minutes. The data acquired were substituted to a polynomial formula selected. As a result, a series of models were developed for the consumption of each day. A series of validation processes were applied to the developed models and the models were finalized. Then the finalized models were transformed to the average models representing a day's average consumption or an average daily consumption of each month. Demand pattern analyses were fulfilled through the visualization of the finally derived models. It has founded out that the demand patterns show great consistency and, therefore, it is concluded that high probability of demand forecasting for a day or for a season is available. Also proposed is the integration with GIS as an IT tool by which the developed forecasting models are utilized.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.31-40
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• 1995

This study was conducted to get best fitting frequency distribution for the annual run- off and to simulate long series of annual flows by single-season first order Markov Model with comparison of statistical parameters which were derived from observed and synthetic flows at four watersheds in Seom Jin and Yeong San river systems. The results summarized through this study are as follows. 1. Hydrologic persistence of observed flows was acknowledged by the correlogram analysis. 2. A normal distribution of the annual runoff for the applied watersheds was confirmed as the best one among others by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. 3. Statistical parameters were calculated from synthetic flows simulated by normal dis- tribution. In was confirmed that mean and standard deviation of simulated flows are much closer to those of observed data than except coefficient of skewness. 4. Hydrologic persistence between observed flows and synthetic flows simulated was also confirmed by the correlogram analysis. 5. It is to be desired that generation technique of synthetic flow in this study would be compared with other simulation techniques for the objective time series.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• v.7 no.5
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• pp.873-887
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• 2015

The springing response of a large blunt ship was considered to be influenced by a second order interaction between the incoming irregular wave and the blunt geometry of the forebody of the ship. Little efforts have been made to simulate this complicated fluid-structure interaction phenomenon under irregular waves considering the second order effect; hence, the above mentioned premise still remains unproven. In this paper, efforts were made to quantify the second order effect between the wave and vibrating flexible ship structure by analyzing the experimental data obtained through the model basin test of the scaled-segmented model of a large blunt ship. To achieve this goal, the measured vertical bending moment and the wave elevation time history were analyzed using a higher order spectral analysis technique, where the quadratic interaction between the excitation and response was captured by the cross bispectrum of two randomly oscillating variables. The nonlinear response of the vibrating hull was expressed in terms of a quadratic Volterra series assuming that the wave excitation is Gaussian. The Volterra series was then orthogonalized using Barrett's procedure to remove the interference between the kernels of different orders. Both the linear and quadratic transfer functions of the given system were then derived based on a Fourier transform of the orthogonalized Volterra series. Finally, the response was decomposed into a linear and quadratic part to determine the contribution of the second order effect using the obtained linear and quadratic transfer functions of the system, combined with the given wave spectrum used in the experiment. The contribution of the second order effect on the springing response of the analyzed ship was almost comparable to the linear one in terms of its peak power near the resonance frequency.

• Korean Business Review
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• v.4
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• pp.281-295
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• 1991

Nothing is more incorrect than forecasting. Nevertheless, forecasting is one of the most important business activities for the effective management. There has been rapid changes of the growth rate in every respect of the Korean hospitaity industry, especially the hotel industry, before and after the 88 Olympic Games. Therefore, the hoteliers shall be in need of more-than-ever accourate demand forecasting for the more systematic management and control. Under the above circumstances, this study suggested the best forecasting technique and method for the better sales and operations of the hotel rooms. The number of rooms sold is selected as a dependent variable of this study which is regarded as the best representative factor of measuring the growth rate of the rooms division performance of the hotels. The first step was to select the most verifiable independent variable diferently from the other countries or other areas of Korea. As a result, the number of foreign visitors was chosen. Empirical research, i.e. correlation and multiple regression analysis, shows that this independent variable has a strong relationship with the dependent variable told above. The second procedure was to estimate the number of rooms will be sold in 1991 on the basis of the formula calculated through the multiple regression analysis. Time series technique was conducted using the data of the number of foreign visitors by purpose of travel from 1987 to 1990. For the more correct forecasting, however, it would be desirable to adopt the data from 1989 considering the product or the industry life cycle. In addition, deeper analysis for the monthly or seasonal forecasting method is needed as a future research.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.58 no.1
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• pp.1-6
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• 2009

The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2000.07c
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• pp.1850-1852
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• 2000

In this paper, new Partial Discharge (PD) detection technique using Pockels cell was proposed and considerable apparent chaotic characteristics were discussed. For this purpose, PD was generated from needle-plane electrode in air and detected by optical measuring system using Pockels cell, based on Mach-Zehnder interferometer, consisting of He-Ne laser, single mode optical fiber, 50/50 beam splitter and photo detector. A qualitative analysis was carried out by drawing Return map for the normalized time series of the detected PD signals. The results are as follows:(a) Fixed points, between 0.7 and 1.0, are appeared clearly in the right upper area of the return map as the increase in the number of obtained data.(b) Considerable periodicity have been remarked even though exact period and length can not be determined.(c) The self-similarity can be also observed inasmuch as the late paths do not follow the previous ones. Accordingly, exact quantitative analysis such as embedding dimension, fractal dimension, and Lyapunov exponents should be carried out for deducing the quantitative properties regarding PD phenomena.