• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time censoring

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Statistical analysis of estimating incubation period distribution and case fatality rate of COVID-19 (COVID-19 바이러스 잠복 시간 분포 추정과 치사율 추정을 위한 생존 분석의 적용)

  • Ki, Han Jeong;Kim, Jieun;Kim, Sohee;Park, Juwon;Lee, Joohaeng;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.777-789
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    • 2020
  • COVID-19 has been rapidly spread world wide since late December 2019. In this paper, our interest is to estimate distribution of incubation time defined as period between infection of virus and the onset. Due to the limit of accessibility and asymptomatic feature of COVID-19 virus, the exact infection and onset time are not always observable. For estimation of incubation time, interval censoring technique is implemented. Furthermore, a competing risk model is applied to estimate the case fatality and cure fraction. Based on the result, the mean incubation time is about 5.4 days and the fatality rate is higher for older and male patient and the cure rate is higher at younger,female and asymptomatic patient.

CUSUM charts for monitoring type I right-censored lognormal lifetime data (제1형 우측중도절단된 로그정규 수명 자료를 모니터링하는 누적합 관리도)

  • Choi, Minjae;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.735-744
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    • 2021
  • Maintaining the lifetime of a product is one of the objectives of quality control. In real processes, most samples are constructed with censored data because, in many situations, we cannot measure the lifetime of all samples due to time or cost problems. In this paper, we propose two cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charting procedures to monitor the mean of type I right-censored lognormal lifetime data. One of them is based on the likelihood ratio, and the other is based on the binomial distribution. Through simulations, we evaluate the performance of the two proposed procedures by comparing the average run length (ARL). The overall performance of the likelihood ratio CUSUM chart is better, especially this chart performs better when the censoring rate is low and the shape parameter value is small. Conversely, the binomial CUSUM chart is shown to perform better when the censoring rate is high, the shape parameter value is large, and the change in the mean is small.

Optimum time-censored ramp soak-stress ALT plan for the Burr type XII distribution

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Gupta, T.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.125-150
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    • 2014
  • Accelerated life tests (ALTs) are extensively used to determine the reliability of a product in a short period of time. Test units are subject to elevated stresses which yield quick failures. ALT can be carried out using constant-stress, step-stress, progressive-stress, cyclic-stress or random-stress loading and their various combinations. An ALT with linearly increasing stress is ramp-stress test. Much of the previous work on planning ALTs has focused on constant-stress, step-stress, ramp-stress schemes and their various combinations where the stress is generally increased. This paper presents an optimal design of ramp soak-stress ALT model which is based on the principle of Thermal cycling. Thermal cycling involves applying high and low temperatures repeatedly over time. The optimal plan consists in finding out relevant experimental variables, namely, stress rates and stress rate change points, by minimizing variance of reliability function with pre-specified mission time under normal operating conditions. The Burr type XII life distribution and time-censored data have been used for the purpose. Burr type XII life distribution has been found appropriate for accelerated life testing experiments. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example and sensitivity analysis carried out.

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An extension of multifactor dimensionality reduction method for detecting gene-gene interactions with the survival time (생존시간과 연관된 유전자 간의 교호작용에 관한 다중차원축소방법의 확장)

  • Oh, Jin Seok;Lee, Seung Yeoun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1057-1067
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    • 2014
  • Many genetic variants have been identified to be associated with complex diseases such as hypertension, diabetes and cancers throughout genome-wide association studies (GWAS). However, there still exist a serious missing heritability problem since the proportion explained by genetic variants from GWAS is very weak less than 10~15%. Gene-gene interaction study may be helpful to explain the missing heritability because most of complex disease mechanisms are involved with more than one single SNP, which include multiple SNPs or gene-gene interactions. This paper focuses on gene-gene interactions with the survival phenotype by extending the multifactor dimensionality reduction (MDR) method to the accelerated failure time (AFT) model. The standardized residual from AFT model is used as a residual score for classifying multiple geno-types into high and low risk groups and algorithm of MDR is implemented. We call this method AFT-MDR and compares the power of AFT-MDR with those of Surv-MDR and Cox-MDR in simulation studies. Also a real data for leukemia Korean patients is analyzed. It was found that the power of AFT-MDR is greater than that of Surv-MDR and is comparable with that of Cox-MDR, but is very sensitive to the censoring fraction.

A GEE approach for the semiparametric accelerated lifetime model with multivariate interval-censored data

  • Maru Kim;Sangbum Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.389-402
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    • 2023
  • Multivariate or clustered failure time data often occur in many medical, epidemiological, and socio-economic studies when survival data are collected from several research centers. If the data are periodically observed as in a longitudinal study, survival times are often subject to various types of interval-censoring, creating multivariate interval-censored data. Then, the event times of interest may be correlated among individuals who come from the same cluster. In this article, we propose a unified linear regression method for analyzing multivariate interval-censored data. We consider a semiparametric multivariate accelerated failure time model as a statistical analysis tool and develop a generalized Buckley-James method to make inferences by imputing interval-censored observations with their conditional mean values. Since the study population consists of several heterogeneous clusters, where the subjects in the same cluster may be related, we propose a generalized estimating equations approach to accommodate potential dependence in clusters. Our simulation results confirm that the proposed estimator is robust to misspecification of working covariance matrix and statistical efficiency can increase when the working covariance structure is close to the truth. The proposed method is applied to the dataset from a diabetic retinopathy study.

Bayesian Estimations for the Two-parameter Exponential Model under the Type-II Censoring (제2종(第2種) 중단(中斷) 자료(資料)에서 두 모수지수분포(母數指數分布)의 베이지안 추정(推定))

  • Kim, Heon-Joo;Youn, Young-Hwa;Ko, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.4
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 1993
  • Suppose that we have two populations(or systems), say ${\Pi}_{1}\;and\;{\Pi}_{2}$, to be tested. A random sample of size n from each population is taken and the test for each system will be terminated when the first r failures among n random samples are observed. This kind of test is caned the type-II censored (or item-censored) testing without replacement. Under this scheme we consider the problem of estimating the unknown parameters of interests and the reliability for a given time t for each population.

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Conditional Confidence Interval for Parameters in Accelerated Life Testing

  • Park, Byung-Gu;Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, estimation and prediction procedures are discussed for grneral situation in which the failure time follows the independent density $f_{i}({\varepsilon}_{i})$ for the accelerated life testing under Type II censoring. In the context of accelerated life test experiment, procedures are given for estimating the parameters in the Eyring model, and for estimating mean life at a given future stress level. The procedures given are conditional confidence interval procedures, obtained by conditioning on ancillary statistics. A comparison is made of these procedures and procedures based on asymptotic properties of the maximum, likelihood estimates.

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Optimal Design of Partially Accelerated Life Testing for Multi-Component Mixed Systems

  • Park, Hee-Chang;Jeng, Kwang-Man;Kim, Min-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we consider optimal designs of partially accelerated life testing which is devised for multi-component mixed systems with the considerably long lifetime. Test items are run at both use condition and accelerated condition until a specified censoring time. The optimal criterion for the sample-proportion allocated to accelerated condition is to minimize asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimators of the acceleration factor and hazard rates.

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INDEPENDENCE TEST FOR BIVARIATE CENSORED DATA UNDER UNIVARIATE CENSORSHIP

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Cai, Jian-Wen
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2003
  • We propose a test for independence of bivariate censored data under univariate censorship. To do this, we first introduce a process defined by the difference between bivariate survival function estimator proposed by Lin and Ying (1993) and the product of the product-limit estimators (Kaplan and Meier, 1958) for the marginal survival functions, and derive its asymptotic properties under the null hypothesis of independence. We propose a Cramer-von Mises-type test procedure based on the process . We conduct simulation studies to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed test and illustrate the proposed test with a real example.

Additive Regression Models for Censored Data (중도절단된 자료에 대한 가법회귀모형)

  • Kim, Chul-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we develop nonparametric methods for regression analysis when the response variable is subject to censoring that arises naturally in quality engineering. This development is based on a general missing information principle that enables us to apply, via an iterative scheme, nonparametric regression techniques for complete data to iteratively reconstructed data from a given sample with censored observations. In particular, additive regression models are extended to right-censored data. This nonparametric regression method is applied to a simulated data set and the estimated smooth functions provide insights into the relationship between failure time and explanatory variables in the data.

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