• Title/Summary/Keyword: Threshold regression

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Spatial Distribution and Sampling Plan for Pink Citrus Rust Mite, Aculops pelekassi (Acari: Eriophyidae) in Citrus Orchard (감귤원에서 귤녹응애 공간분포 분석과 표본조사법 개발)

  • Song, Jeong-Heub;Hong, Soon-Yeong;Lee, Shin-Chan
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2012
  • The dispersion indices, spatial pattern and sampling plan for pink citrus rust mite (PCRM), Aculops pelekassi, monitoring was investigated. Dispersion indices of PCRM indicated the aggregated spatial pattern. Taylor's power law provided better description of variance-mean relationship than Iwao's patchiness regression. Fixed-precision levels (D) of a sequential sampling plan were developed using by Taylor's power law parameters generated from PCRM on fruit sample (cumulated number of PCRM in $cm^2$ of fruit). Based on Kono-Sugino's empirical binomial the mean density per $cm^2$ could be estimated from fruit ratio with more than 12 rust mites per $cm^2$: $ln(m)=4.61+1.23ln[-ln(1-p_{12})]$. To determine the optimal tally threshold, the variance (var(lnm)) for mean (lnm) in Kono-Sugino equation was estimated. The lower and narrow ranged change of variance for esimated mean showed at a tally threshold of 12. To estimate PCRM mean density per $cm^2$ at fixed precision level 0.25, the required sample number was 13 trees, 5 fruits per tree and 2 points per fruit (total 130 samples).

Yield Loss Assessment and Determination of Economic Thresholds Limits against Soybean Anthracnose (콩탄저병의 피해 해석 및 요방제 수준 설정)

  • Moon, Youn-Gi;Lee, Jae-Hong;Choi, Jun-Keun;Kang, An-Seok;Han, Seong-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.133-137
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    • 2010
  • A field investigation was carried out for two years to analyze yield loss due to soybean anthracnose caused by Colletotrichum truncatum and to determine its economic threshold limit. Anthracnose severity in terms of % diseased pods was negatively correlated with yield, number of normal seeds per plant and number of pods per plant, and positively correlated with % abnormal seeds with correlation coefficients of -0.85, -0.78, -0.64, and 0.80, respectively. A simple linear regression model was obtained as Y=-1.7781X+164.22 with $R^2$=0.8092, when the soybean yields (Y) were predicted using anthracnose severity (X) as an independent variable. The yield levels could be predicted as high as 80.92%. Based on this equation, spray threshold without economic considerations was estimated as 6.9 in % pods infected with anthracnose. Economic threshold limit and economic spray threshold able to compensate the costs of fungicide sprays were determined as 11.9% and 9.5%, respectively.

Yield Loss Assessment and Economic Thresholds of Squash Powdery Mildew Caused by Sphaerotheca fuliginea (호박 흰가루병의 피해 해석 및 경제적 방제수준 설정)

  • Moon, Youn-Gi;Choi, Jun-Keun;Kang, An-Seok
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.285-289
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    • 2010
  • The experiments were carried out in fields for two years from 2008 to assess yield losses of squash due to powdery mildew caused by Sphaerotheca fuliginea and to determine its economic thresholds. Powdery mildew disease was first observed in late June, about 50 days after field-transplanting, progressed rapidly during late July to early August, and began to reduce from late August. Powdery mildew severity was negatively correlated with squash yields. A positive correlation was observed between fruit weight and % marketable fruits. A simple linear regression model was obtained as Y=-10.399 X + 6607.5 with $R^2$ = 0.9700 when squash yields (Y) was predicted using powdery mildew severity as an independent variable(X). Spray threshold for maximizing squash yields without economic considerations was estimated as 6.5% in terms of leaf lesion area with powdery mildew. Economic threshold and economic spray threshold able to compensate the costs of fungicide sprays were determined as 21.6% and 17.3% in leaf lesion area, respectively.

The Automated Threshold Decision Algorithm for Node Split of Phonetic Decision Tree (음소 결정트리의 노드 분할을 위한 임계치 자동 결정 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Beom-Seung;Kim, Soon-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2012
  • In the paper, phonetic decision tree of the triphone unit was built for the phoneme-based speech recognition of 640 stations which run by the Korail. The clustering rate was determined by Pearson and Regression analysis to decide threshold used in node splitting. Using the determined the clustering rate, thresholds are automatically decided by the threshold value according to the average clustering rate. In the recognition experiments for verifying the proposed method, the performance improved 1.4~2.3 % absolutely than that of the baseline system.

Risk Relationship of Cataract and Epilation on Radiation Dose and Smoking Habit

  • Tomita, Makoto;Otake, Masanori;Moon, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1349-1364
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    • 2006
  • An analytic approach that provides explicit estimates of risk on cataract and epilation data is evaluated by reasonableness of conceivable relative risk models regarding a simple, odds, logistic or Gompertz regression method, assuming a binomial distribution. In these analyses, we apply relative risk models with two thresholds between epilators and nonepilators from a highly characteristic lesion of which radiation cataract does not occur around 2 gray for a single acute exposure. The risk models are fitted to the data assuming 10 as a constant relative biological effectiveness of neutron. The likelihood of observing the entire data set in these models fitted is evaluated by an individual binary-response array. Estimation of a threshold with or without severe epilation and the 100 ($1-\alpha$)% confidence limits are derived from the maximum likelihood approach. The relative risk model with two thresholds can be expressed as a formula with structure of Background $\times$ RR, where RR includes threshold models with or without epilation. The radiosensitivity of ionizing radiation to cataracts has been examined for the relationship between epilators and nonepilators.

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Changes in the Attributable Burden of High Temperatures on Deaths (하절기 기온상승으로 인한 사망의 기여부담 변화)

  • Ha, Jongsik
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.460-471
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: Due to global warming resulting from climate change, there has been increasing interest in the relationship between temperature and mortality. These temperature-related deaths depend on diverse conditions related to a given place and person, as well as on time. This study examined changes in the impact of high temperatures on death in summer, using the effect and burden of elevated temperatures on deaths in Seoul and Daegu. Methods: A Poisson regression model was used to estimate short-term temperature effects on mortality. Temperature-related risks were divided into three time periods of equal length (1996-2000, 2001-2005, and 2006-2010). In addition, in order to compare the impact of high temperatures on deaths, this study calculated the proportion of attributable deaths to population, which simultaneously considers the threshold and the slope above the threshold. Results: The effect and burden of high temperatures on deaths is high in Daegu. However, the impact (i.e. the effect and burden) of elevated summer temperatures on deaths has declined over the past 15 years. Sensitivity analyses using alternative thresholds show the robustness of these findings. Conclusion: This study suggests that the attributable burden of high temperatures on deaths to be more plausible than relative risk or threshold for comparing the health impact of high temperatures across populations. Moreover, these results contain important implications for the development or the adjustment of present and future strategies and policies for controlling the temperature-related health burden on populations.

Robust Feature Selection and Shot Change Detection Method Using the Neural Networks (강인한 특징 변수 선별과 신경망을 이용한 장면 전환점 검출 기법)

  • Hong, Seung-Bum;Hong, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.877-885
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose an enhancement shot change detection method using the neural net and the robust feature selection out of multiple features. The previous shot change detection methods usually used single feature and fixed threshold between consecutive frames. However, contents such as color, shape, background, and texture change simultaneously at shot change points in a video sequence. Therefore, in this paper, we detect the shot changes effectively using robust features, which are supplementary each other, rather than using single feature. In this paper, we use the typical CART (classification and regression tree) of data mining method to select the robust features, and the backpropagation neural net to determine the threshold of the each selected features. And to evaluation the performance of the robust feature selection, we compare the proposed method to the PCA(principal component analysis) method of the typical feature selection. According to the experimental result. it was revealed that the performance of our method had better that than the PCA method.

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Evaluation on Performance of Accuracy for Analysis and Classification of Data Related to Industrial Accidents (산업재해 데이터의 분석 및 분류를 위한 정확도 성능 평가)

  • Leem Young-Moon;Ryu Chang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2006
  • Recently data mining techniques have been used for analysis and classification of data related to industrial accidents. The main objective of this study is to compare performance of algorithms for data analysis of industrial accidents and this paper provides a comparative analysis of 5 kinds of algorithms including CHAID, CART, C4.5, LR (Logistic Regression) and NN (Neural Network) with ROC chart, lift chart and response threshold. In this study, data on 67,278 accidents were analyzed to create risk groups for a number of complications, including the risk of disease and accident. The sample for this work chosen from data related to manufacturing industries during three years $(2002\sim2004)$ in korea. According to the result analysis, NN has excellent performance for data analysis and classification of industrial accidents.

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Nonlinear approach to modeling heteroscedasticity in transfer function analysis (시계열 전이함수분석 이분산성의 비선형 모형화)

  • 황선영;김순영;이성덕
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.311-321
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    • 2002
  • Transfer function model(TFM) capturings conditional heteroscedastic pattern is introduced to analyze stochastic regression relationship between the two time series. Nonlinear ARCH concept is incorporated into the TFM via threshold ARCH and beta- ARCH models. Steps for statistical analysis of the proposed model are explained along the lines of the Box & Jenkins(1976, ch. 10). For illustration, dynamic analysis between KOSPI and NASDAQ is conducted from which it is seen that threshold ARCH performs the best.

Energy Detector based Time of Arrival Estimation using a Neural Network with Millimeter Wave Signals

  • Liang, Xiaolin;Zhang, Hao;Gulliver, T. Aaron
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.3050-3065
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    • 2016
  • Neural networks (NNs) are extensively used in applications requiring signal classification and regression analysis. In this paper, a NN based threshold selection algorithm for 60 GHz millimeter wave (MMW) time of arrival (TOA) estimation using an energy detector (ED) is proposed which is based on the skewness, kurtosis, and curl of the received energy block values. The best normalized threshold for a given signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is determined, and the influence of the integration period and channel on the performance is investigated. Results are presented which show that the proposed NN based algorithm provides superior precision and better robustness than other ED based algorithms over a wide range of SNR values. Further, it is independent of the integration period and channel model.