• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.504-512
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• 1994

A simple proof for the random central limit theorem is given for a family of stationary linear lattice processes, which belogn to a class of 2 dimensional random fields, applying the Beveridge and Nelson decomposition in time series context. The result is an extension of Fakhre-Zakeri and Fershidi (1993) dealing with the linear process in time series to the case of the linear lattice process with 2 dimensional indices.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.503-503
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• 1994

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.107-131
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• 2013

In this paper, we test and estimate the stochastic non-fundamental trend in Korean stock market. For this, following Kim (2011), we exploit that the long-run equilibrium stock price may be decomposed into fundamental and stochastic non-fundamental trends (i.e., the sum of dividend innovations and a part that are orthogonal with the dividend innovations) by using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition and projections. In this VAR construction, there is an error correction mechanism through which stock prices converge to their long-run equilibrium, which also contain the stated stochastic non-fundamental trend as well as fundamental trend. The estimation and test results using yearly data from the Korea (1976-2012) indicated that fluctuations in stock prices during that period can be explained mainly not by the stochastic non-fundamental trend but by the dividend trend. However, during some periods like after Seoul Olympic Games, we may observe the non-fundamental trend affected to the stock price variation.

• Honam Mathematical Journal
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.591-602
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• 2011

In this paper we establish the central limit theorem and the strong law of large numbers for linear random fields generated by identically distributed linear negative quadrant dependent random variables on $\mathbb{Z}^2$.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.17 no.9
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• pp.300-309
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• 2017

This paper examines the cyclical fluctuation of 'construction orders' and 'construction investment' using HP filter, Bandpass filter and Beveridge-Nelson decomposition methods. The main results are as follows. As a result of the analysis of the cyclical fluctuation of construction orders, it was analyzed that there were about 7 cyclical fluctuations from 1976 to the first quarter of 2017. Construction orders for cyclical fluctuations peaked in the second quarter of 2015 and turned to a downward trend. On the other hand, construction investment has experienced about 6 cycles of fluctuations during the same period, and it has been rising continuously since the bottom of 3Q12. This is consistent with the general theory that construction orders precede construction investments. In addition, the comparison of the construction orders, construction investment, and GDP amplitude shows that the GDP amplitude is the smallest and stable, and the construction orders have the greatest variation in amplitude. Therefore, construction orders should be adjusted by government policy depending on economic fluctuations.