• 제목/요약/키워드: Temporal trends

검색결과 268건 처리시간 0.022초

한국의 극한 기온 및 강수 사상의 변화 경향에 관한 연구 (Trends on Temperature and Precipitation Extreme Events in Korea)

  • 최영은
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.711-721
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    • 2004
  • 기상과 관련된 재해의 직접 원인이 되는 극한 기후 사상의 발생 빈도 및 강도의 변화 경향을 파악하는 것이 된 연구의 목적이다. 일최저기온, 일최고기온, 일강수량 자료를 이용하여, 10개 기후 변화 지시자를 산출하였다. 그 변화 경향의 공간 분포를 파악하였다. 일최저기온을 이용하여 산출된 온난야의 발생 빈도는 한반도에서 증가하는 추세를 나타냈고. 최저기온의 증가로 인하여 서리일수는 감소하고 생장기간은 증가하였다. 매해의 일최저기온과 일최고기온의 차로 산출되는 연극한기온교차는 최고기온은 변화하지 않았지만. 최저기온의 증가로 인하여 감소하고 있다. 강수와 관련된 지시자들은 기온 관련 지시자에 비하여 변화 경향이 뚜렷하지 않지만, 무강수일수의 한반도 시계열은 감소하는 경향이 나타났고, 호우지수로 분류될 수 있는 강수강도는 증가하고 있다.

Vivienne Westwood 작품에 나타난 미적 특성과 다원적 절충주의 분석 연구 (The Analytical Study on the Plural Eclecticism and the Aesthetic Characteristics through the Artwork of Vivienne Westwood)

  • 김영삼;배정민
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.657-669
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    • 2006
  • This study is to investigate the previous cases of plural eclecticism through the works of Vivienne Westwood, who contributed to the spread of innovative and eclectic English fashion out to the world as well as to review plurality and its phenomena since the 20th century more systematically. In terms of research methodology, the phenomena of plural eclecticism were examined from social and cultural perspectives, whereas bibliographic research and case study were performed for the phenomena of eclecticism in fashion. From the perspective of plural eclecticism, the results from analyzing the works of Vivienne Westwood by the divisions of temporal eclecticism, spatial eclecticism, and contingent eclecticism are described in the following. First, Vivienne Westwood emphasized historicism tendency of temporal eclecticism. Her efforts to try to modernize history went beyond ages and social classes including men's clothing, prostitutes' costumes, craft items, and dresses for royal family. Second, her spatial eclecticism was reflected on the first collection themes inspired by the American Indians or borrowed from the names of Voodoo in the Tropics. Finally, infra-fashion as an expression of contingent eclecticism of Vivienne Westwood's works can be interpreted as plural eclecticism which shows contingent eclecticism and historic eclecticism at the same time. This study aimed at proving preceding implications concerning recent plural eclecticism through the analysis of the works of Vivienne Westwood who tried a radical design of plural eclecticism in an effort to modernize the tradition of England in the circumstances where a number of trends and styles exist together, with their own uniqueness and values.

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포장지역 강우유출수에서의 입자성물질의 입도 분포 및 중금속 특성에 관한 연구 (Characteristics of Particle Size Distribution and Heavy Metal Concentration in Pavement Road Runoff)

  • 박해미;김영준;고석오
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 고속도로 강우 유출수에서 입도 크기 분포 특성(PSD)을 이해하기 위하여 수행하였다. 경기도내 4곳의 포장도로 지역에서 2번의 강우사상동안 강우유출수 샘플 모니터링을 수행하였고, 시료내 입자의 크기분포를 분석하였다. 또한, 강우량, 유량 및 각 오염물질들을 분석하였다. 시료내 입자의 시간별 변화농도는 강우유출수의 시작 시 높은 값을 보였다가 급속히 감소하였으며 탁도, 총부유물질, BOD, 총질소 및 총인과 같은 오염물질과 유사한 유출경향을 보여주었다. 특히 총부유물질과 탁도와의 높은 상관성을 보여주었다. 강우유출수와 퇴적물내에 포함된 중금속에 있어서 구리, 납, 아연은 높은 농도를 보였으며 대부분의 중금속은 넓이에 대한 부피의 비율이 큰 세립입자에 강하게 결합된 형태로 존재한다.

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시공간 클러스터링 분석을 이용한 2010~2011 국내 발생 구제역 전파양상 (Temporospatial clustering analysis of foot-and-mouth disease transmission in South Korea, 2010~2011)

  • 배선학;신연경;김병한;박선일
    • 대한수의학회지
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.49-54
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    • 2013
  • To investigate the transmission pattern of geographical area and temporal trends of the 2010~2011 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks in Korea, and to explore temporal intervals at which spatial clustering of FMD cases space-time analysis based on georeferenced database of 3,575 burial sites, from 30 November 2010 to 23 February 2011, was performed. The cases represent approximately 98.1% of all infected farms (n = 3,644) during the same period. Descriptive maps of spatial patterns of the outbreaks were generated by ArcGIS. Spatial Scan Statistics, using SaTScan software, was applied to investigate geographical clusters of FMD cases across the country. Overall, spatial heterogeneity was identified, and the transmission pattern was different by province. Cattle have more clusters in number but smaller in size, as compared to the swine population. In addition, spatiotemporal analysis and the comparison of clustering patterns between the first 7 days and days 8 to 14 of the outbreak revealed that the strongest spatial clustering was identified at the 7-day interval, although clustering over longer intervals (8~14 days) was also observed. We further discussed the importance of time period elapsed between FMD-suspected notice and the date of confirmation, and emphasized the necessity of region-specific and species-specific control measures.

대청호에서 Geosmin, 2-MIB의 시간적·공간적 분포 특성 (Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Geosmin and 2-MIB in the Daecheong Reservoir)

  • 김교영;간종범;최인찬;홍선화;이준배;이수형;이재정
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND: Contamination of source water by odorous compounds are one of the problems related to the water quality management, especially in Korea where surface water is used as drinking water. Geosmin (1, 10-trans-dimethyl-trans-9-decalol) and 2-MIB (2-methyl isoborneol : 1,2,7,7-tetramethyl-exo-bicycloheptan-2-ol) are commonly recognized earthy-musty odor compounds produced by algae causing serious problems to the drinking water purification facilities. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, spatial and temporal distribution of the odor compounds, geosmin and 2-MIB were investigated along with the development of phytoplankton in the Daechung reservoir from July 2012 to October 2013. CONCLUSION: Concentrations and frequencys of detection of both compounds increased from April to October which were related to cyanobacterial bloom periods. However, concentrations of odor compounds were not related to the number of cyanobacteria. Concentrations of both cyanobacteria and geosmin showed similar trends with depth. Pearson correlation analyses showed that geosmin concentration exhibited significant correlation with the count of Anabaena macrospora and Aphanizomenon flos-aquae. On the other hand, 2-MIB concentration showed a significant correlation with the count of Anabaena smithii.

부산지역 오존농도의 시·공간 분포 변화 (Spatial-temporal variations in surface ozone concentrations in Busan metropolitan area)

  • 강윤희;김유근;황미경;정주희;김현수;강민성
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.169-182
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    • 2019
  • Temporal and spatial variations in surface ozone concentrations in Busan were investigated by using observation data from urban air quality sites during 2001-2016. The annual ozone concentrations showed a significant increasing trend of $+0.40ppb\;yr^{-1}$ in this period, with a more rapid increase of $+0.81ppb\;yr-1$ since 2010. For the monthly analysis, the increase in ozone concentration was the greatest in August ($+0.68ppb\;yr-1$). These ozone trends were due mainly to rising temperature ($+0.05^{\circ}C\;yr^{-1}$) and weak decreasing precipitation ($-6.42mm\;yr^{-1}$). However, the extreme weather events (heat wave, localized heavy rain, etc.) lead to an increase in short-term variability of ozone since 2010. The relatively low ozone concentrations in the downtown area were caused by high NOx emissions from mobile sources. The increases in ozone concentrations were observed at most of the air quality monitoring sites due to the reductions in anthropogenic emissions of NOx during 2001-2015. However, in the southern coastal area, lower rates of increase in ozone concentrations were observed by $-0.10{\sim}0.25ppb\;yr^{-1}$ due to the significant NOx emitted by ships in the Busan port and Busan new port.

지능형 가상인간의 공간적 행동을 모사하기 위한 지식구조 (Knowledge Structures to Simulate the Spatial Behavior of Intelligent Virtual Humans)

  • 홍승완;박종희
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제20권12호
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    • pp.230-240
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    • 2020
  • 가상세계 기반 몰입형 가정교사 시스템을 개발하기 위해 상황의 다양성과 사실성을 최대화하기 위한 공간적 측면에서의 시뮬레이션을 개발하고자 한다. 이를 위해서는 가상공간의 모델링과 함께 가상인간들의 지식 및 지능적 사유기능이 필요하다. 먼저 공간의 계층적이고 다면적인 구성과 그에 상응하는 가상인간들의 지식을 모사하기 위한 정보구조가 필요하다. 구체적으로 2.5차원 공간분포표현, 복잡한 공간관계표현, 객체표현, 사건들의 시공간적 표현을 위한 네 개의 구조를 각각 개발한다. 그리고 이와 같이 표현된 지식을 사용하여 공간적인 이동을 하는데 필요한 가상인간의 공간적 사유 기능을 개발한다. 일반적으로 사건은 힘을 매개로 인접하거나 연결된 다른 객체들에게도 연쇄적으로 영향을 미쳐서 다양한 상황들이 펼쳐지며 관련된 가상인간들이 다음 행동을 계획하는 데에 반영된다. 이를 위해 시공간 표현구조 상에 역사적 흐름에 따라 사건들의 전개를 기록한다. 전형적 사건을 구현하여 가상인간의 복잡한 공간속에서의 자주적 행동의 실현가능성을 보여준다.

강수지표를 이용한 남·북한 강수특성 비교 (Comparison of Precipitation Characteristics using Rainfall Indicators Between North and South Korea)

  • 이보람;정은성;김태웅;권현한
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.2223-2235
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 남 북한에서 시 공간적 강수특성 변화를 이해하고자, 남한 65개 기상청 관측소에서 1963년부터 2010년까지, 북한 27개 관측소에서 1973년부터 2010년까지 측정된 일 강수량 자료를 분석했다. 총량(Amount), 극치(Extremes)와 빈도(Frequency)를 나타내는 지표들을 선정하였고, 각각의 지표를 RIA (Rainfall Index for Amount), RIE (Rainfall Index for Extremes), RIF (Rainfall Index for Frequency)로 정의하였다. 남 북한 행정구역별로 2000년까지 평균 지표 값과 2001년부터 2010년까지 최근 10년 평균 지표 값을 비교하였다. 과거에 비해 최근 10년간 남한은 연중 강우일수를 나타내는 NWD (Number of Wet Days)와, 200년 빈도 강수량을 나타내는 Freq200 (200-yr Frequency Rainfall)을 제외한 SDW (Annual mean daily rainfall over wet-days), TotalDR (Annual Total Rainfall Amount), Prcp50 (Annual number of wet days over 50 mm/day), Prcp80 (Annual number of wet days over 80 mm/day), CWD (Annual maximum number of consecutive wet-days), AMDR (Annual maximum daily rainfall), 그리고 R3day (Annual maximum 3-days rainfall total) 값들이 모두 증가한 양상을 보였지만 북한은 SDW와, 연총강우량 TotalDR을 제외하곤 모두 감소하였다. 또한 연평균 지표 값의 경향성을 확인하기 위해 통계적 방법인 Mann-Kendall 검정을 실시하였다. 과거 감소의 경향을 나타내던 각 관측지점이 최근에 이르러서는 경향성의 역전 되는 현상을 보인 곳이 나타났으며, 이는 평균값만을 바탕으로 강수사상 특성변화를 분석하는 방법의 한계점으로 볼 수 있다. 본 연구의 결과는 한반도 물 관리 기후변화에 대한 영향 분석과 대응 대책 마련에 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

Non-stationary statistical modeling of extreme wind speed series with exposure correction

  • Huang, Mingfeng;Li, Qiang;Xu, Haiwei;Lou, Wenjuan;Lin, Ning
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.129-146
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    • 2018
  • Extreme wind speed analysis has been carried out conventionally by assuming the extreme series data is stationary. However, time-varying trends of the extreme wind speed series could be detected at many surface meteorological stations in China. Two main reasons, exposure change and climate change, were provided to explain the temporal trends of daily maximum wind speed and annual maximum wind speed series data, recorded at Hangzhou (China) meteorological station. After making a correction on wind speed series for time varying exposure, it is necessary to perform non-stationary statistical modeling on the corrected extreme wind speed data series in addition to the classical extreme value analysis. The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution with time-dependent location and scale parameters was selected as a non-stationary model to describe the corrected extreme wind speed series. The obtained non-stationary extreme value models were then used to estimate the non-stationary extreme wind speed quantiles with various mean recurrence intervals (MRIs) considering changing climate, and compared to the corresponding stationary ones with various MRIs for the Hangzhou area in China. The results indicate that the non-stationary property or dependence of extreme wind speed data should be carefully evaluated and reflected in the determination of design wind speeds.

Temporal Epidemiological Assessment of Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality in East Kazakhstan, 2004-2013

  • Zhabagin, Kuantkan;Igissinov, Nurbek;Manambayeva, Zukhra;Adylkhanov, Tasbolat;Sandybayev, Marat;Nurgazin, Murat;Massadykov, Adilzhan;Tanatarov, Sayat;Aldyngurov, Daniyar;Urazalina, Nailya;Abiltayeva, Aizhan;Baissalbayeva, Ainoor;Zhabagina, Almagul;Sabitova, Dinara;Zhumykbayeva, Nurgul;Kenbayeva, Dinara;Rakhimbekov, Alexander
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6413-6416
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    • 2015
  • Colorectal cancer incidence and mortality in Kazakhstan are relatively high but exact statistics have hitherto been lacking and trends over time are unclear. The present study was therefore undertaken to retrospectively assess data for East Kazakhstan, accessed from the central registration office, for the period 2004-2013. Approximate age standardized data for incidence and mortality were generated and compared across age groups, gender and year. It was determined that during the studied period 3,417 new cases of colorectal cancer were registered and 2,259 died of this pathology. Average cancer cancer incidence and mortality over the ten years were $24.1/10^5$ and $15.9/10^5$ respectively, and the overall ratio of mortality/incidence (M/I) was 0.69:1 (range 0.58-0.73). Both incidence and mortality tended to remain constant in both males and females. The male to female ratios also did not significantly vary over time but a trend for improvement of the mortality to incidence ratio was observed, especially for rectum. Whether this might be related to screening remains unclear. These preliminary data indicate that whereas colorectal cancer continues to be important, change in environmental factors are not having a great impact on incidence in East Kazakhstan.