• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제32권5호
• /
• pp.703-720
• /
• 2019

최근 빈번하게 발생하는 이상기온과 기후변화로 인하여 전력수요의 변동성이 커지고 있으며 기온 영향의 증가와 함께 기온변화에 대한 전력수요의 반응은 비선형성과 비대칭성으로 나타나고 있다. 정부 에너지 정책의 변화와 4차 산업혁명의 전개에 따라 기온 효과를 보다 정확하게 추정하고 예측하는 것은 안정적 전력수급 관리를 위하여 중요한 과제이다. 본 연구는 기온변화에 대한 전력수요의 비선형적 반응에 대하여 부분선형모형을 이용하여 분석하고자 한다. 기온변화와 전력수요의 비선형·비대칭적 관계를 측정하기 위하여 Robinson의 double residual 준모수적 추정과 스플라인 추정을 적용하였다. 기상변수와 전력 소비에 대한 시간 단위 고주기 자료를 사용하여 부분선형모형으로 추정한 기온변화와 전력 소비의 관계는 기존 모수적 모형과는 다른 비선형성과 비대칭성을 갖고 있음을 확인하였다. 부분선형모형을 이용하여 얻은 전력수요에 대한 표본내·표본외 예측은 이차함수 모형과 냉난방도일 모형과 비교하여 우수한 예측력을 보였다. Diebold-Mariano 검정결과, 부분선형모형에서 얻은 예측력 향상은 통계적으로 유의하였다.

• 환경위생공학
• /
• 제16권1호
• /
• pp.91-101
• /
• 2001

In order to propose a optimum method increasing accuracy and reproducibility in analysis of urine lead levels, we compared matrix modifier addition method and microwave digestion method. The results were as follows ; 1. Where the concentration of $Pd(NO_3)_2$(matrix modifier) was $50mg/{\ell}$, and ashing temperature was $900^{\circ}C$, the results were optimum. In case of matrix modifier addition method, the average coefficient of variation (CV) of normal man was 24.1%, and lead worker was 7.9%. The average urine lead levels of standard were $10.42\mu{g}/{\ell}$ and $19.89\mu{g}/{\ell}$ , the accuracies compared to reference values were 97.0% and 92.6%, respectively. 2. Microwave digestion temperature($160~180^{\circ}C$), time(15~25min) and the ratio of urine/ashing acid(1:1~4:1) did not significantly affect lead absorbance and background absorbance. Therefore we set up a optimum analytical conditions as follows: temperature, $160^{\circ}C$; time, 15min; the ratio of urine/ashing acid, 4:1. after samples were digested by the above analytical conditions, lead absorbance and background absorbance was measured at $450^{\circ}C$ as ashing temperature. The average coefficient of variation (CV) of normal man was 12.4%, and lead worker was 6.2%. The average urine lead levels of standard urine were $10.66\mu{g}/{\ell}$ and $23.31\mu{g}/{\ell}$, the accuracies compared to reference values were 99.3% and 103.9%, respectively. From the results, we suggest that microwave digestion method is a more favorable method than matrix modifier addition method because of easiness to reduce organic matter, possibility to analysis at low temperature and accuracy.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
• /
• 제17권12호
• /
• pp.41-47
• /
• 2012

모든 물체는 절대온도 0도 이상에서 복사에너지를 방출한다. 비냉각 열상시스템은 입사된 복사에너지를 검출하여 신호처리를 통해 영상으로 출력하는 장비이다. 최근에는 비냉각 열상장비를 활용하여 의료, 산업, 및 군수 등의 다양한 분야에 응용 되고 있으며, 다양한 응용분야에 대한 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 비냉각 열상시스템 검출기 내부에 열전소자가 없는 검출기를 보다 효과적으로 제어하여 영상의 화질을 향상시키고 이를 기반으로 온도 측정 정밀도를 극대화 할 수있는 효율적인 제어기법에 대해 설명한다. 제안하는 기법은 비냉각 열상시스템에 TEC-less 및 온도 검출 알고리듬을 적용하는 것이다. 실제 챔버를 활용하여 시험을 수행한 결과 알고리듬 적용 전 시스템보다 우수한 화질의 영상을 획득하고 온도 측정 정밀도가 $1^{\circ}C$이하로 향상됨을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국과학교육학회지
• /
• 제21권1호
• /
• pp.76-88
• /
• 2001

본 연구는 길이, 질량, 시간, 온도와 같은 일부 기본 물리량에 대한 사람들의 어림의 정확성과 방법에 대해 탐색하였다. 대학 물리교육과의 구성원(학부 1학년부터 교수까지) 중 임의로 선정된 총 40명이 2종류의 대상물 세트에 대해 직관적 어림과 조작적 어림 활동을 수행하였다. 직관적 어림에서는 참여자들이 각 대상물을 직면하자마자 해당 물리량의 값을 어림하였으며, 조작적 어림에서는 별도의 대상물에 대해서 충분한 시간을 두고 다양한 가용한 방법들을 (예컨대, 길이를 어림하기 위해 연필을 활용하거나 시간을 어림하기 위해 맥박을 세거나) 동원하여 어림하였다. 연구의 결과는 다음과 같이 요약될 수 있겠다: (1) 길이, 질량, 온도에 대해서는 직관적 어림이 더 정확하였으나 시간에 대해서는 조작적 어림이 더 정확하였다. (2) 물리학에 대한 경험의 정도와 어림의 정확성 사이에는 정적인 상관관계가 존재하지 않았다. (3)일반적으로 길이에 대한 어림이 가장 정확하였으며 질량에 대한 어림은 가장 부정확하였다. (4) 사람들은 조작적 어림을 위해서 스스로의 다양한 방법을 사용하였는데, 예컨대 대상물 주변의 각종 사물들을 활용하거나 특정한 값을 갖는 마음 속의 측정 단위(즉, 30cm, 50cm, 1kg, 1근, 1초 등)들을 적용하였다.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.91-99
• /
• 2017

In order to meet the thermal performance analysis accuracy requirements of high density permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM), a method of multi physical domain coupling thermal analysis based on control circuit, electromagnetic and thermal is presented. The circuit, electromagnetic, fluid, temperature and other physical domain are integrated and the temperature rise calculation method that considers the harmonic loss on the frequency conversion control as well as the loss non-uniformly distributed and directly mapped to the temperature field is closer to the actual situation. The key is to obtain the motor parameters, the realization of the vector control circuit and the accurate calculation and mapping of the loss. Taking a 48 slots 8 poles high density PMSM as an example, the temperature rise distribution of the key components is simulated, and the experimental platform is built. The temperature of the key components of the prototype machine is tested, which is in agreement with the simulation results. The validity and accuracy of the multi physical domain coupling thermal analysis method are verified.

• Journal of Power Electronics
• /
• 제17권3호
• /
• pp.695-703
• /
• 2017

In order to satisfy the urgent requirements for the overheating protection of induction motors, an approach that can be used to identify motor temperature has been proposed based on the rotor slots harmonic (RSH) in this paper. One method to accomplish this is to improve the calculation efficiency of the RSH by predicting the stator winding distribution harmonic order by analyzing the harmonics spectrum. Another approach is to increase the identification accuracy of the RSH by suppressing the influence of voltage flashes or current surges during temperature estimation based on model predictive control (MPC). First, an analytical expression of the stator inductance is extracted from a steady-state positive sequence motor equivalent circuit model developed from the rotor flux field orientation. Then a procedure that applies MPC for reducing the identification error of the rotor temperature caused by voltage sag or swell of the power system is given. Due to this work, the efficiency and accuracy of the RSH have been significantly improved and validated our experiments. This work can serves as a reference for the on-line temperature monitoring and overheating protection of an induction motor.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국정밀공학회 1996년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.783-786
• /
• 1996

In the temperature analysis, the heat transfer between the workpiece and the die has an important influence upon the temperature distribution. The accuracy of thermal analysis depends on the proper description of boundafy conditions. A t the contact surface of two materials with different temperature, this requires the knowledge of overall heat transfer coefficients. In order to evaluate the overall heat transfer coefficients, a technique is developed. This technique involves temperature measurement at the contact surface during hot upsetting operations and finite element computation to calcualte the overall heat transfer coefficient.

• Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제6권1호
• /
• pp.49-54
• /
• 1982

In the equipments of industrial plant and marine engine, an exact temperature measurement is indispensable. Temperature measurement errors are induced by electrical and heat errors, and the insufficient immersion length of thermowell exerts an important effect to the haet error. In this paper, the author analyses the relation between temperature errors and the rate of immersion length to outside diameter (L/D) in order to reduce the heat errors.

• Journal of Electrochemical Science and Technology
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.299-313
• /
• 2024

Electrochemical machining (ECM) is an effective manufacturing method for difficult-to-machine materials and is widely used in the precision manufacturing of aerospace components. In recent years, the requirements for the machining accuracy and surface integrity of ECM have become increasingly stringent. To further improve the machining quality, this work investigated the intricate laws between electrolyte filtration accuracy and machining quality. Electrolytes with different filtration accuracies were compared, and a numerical simulation was used to evaluate the change in temperature and bubble rate of the flow field in the machining area. Experiments were conducted on ECM of Ti-6Al-4V (TC4) alloy workpieces using electrolytes with different filtration accuracy. The workpiece machining accuracy and surface quality were analyzed, and the repetition accuracy of the workpiece was evaluated. The intricate laws between electrolyte filtration accuracy and machining quality were explored. It was found that when the electrolyte filtration accuracy is improved, so too is the machining quality of the ECM. However, once the filtration accuracy has reached a certain value, the machining quality has extremely limited improvement. By evaluating the repetition accuracy of processed workpieces in electrolytes with different filtration accuracies, it was found that when the filtration accuracy reaches a certain value, there is no positive correlation between the repetition accuracy and filtration accuracy. The result shows that, for the workpiece material and conditions considered in this paper, an electrolyte with 0.5㎛ filtration accuracy is suitable for the wide application of precision ECM.

• 한국환경과학회지
• /
• 제26권12호
• /
• pp.1307-1319
• /
• 2017

In this study, we investigated the impact of different initial data on atmospheric modeling results using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. Four WRF simulations were conducted with different initialization in March 2015, which showed the highest monthly mean $PM_{10}$ concentration in the recent ten years (2006-2015). The results of WRF simulations using NCEP-FNL and ERA-Interim were compared with observed surface temperature and wind speed data, and the difference of grid nudging effect on WRF simulation between the two data were also analyzed. The FNL simulation showed better accuracy in the simulated temperature and wind speed than the Interim simulation, and the difference was clear in the coastal area. The grid nudging effect on the Interim simulation was larger than that of the FNL simulation. Despite of the higher spatial resolution of ERA-Interim data compared to NCEP-FNL data, the Interim simulation showed slightly worse accuracy than those of the FNL simulation. It was due to uncertainties associated with the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) field in the ERA-Interim data. The results from the Interim simulation with different SST data showed significantly improved accuracy than the standard Interim simulation. It means that the SST field in the ERA-Interim data need to be optimized for the better WRF simulation. In conclusion, although the WRF simulation with ERA-Interim data does not show reasonable accuracy compared to those with NCEP-FNL data, it would be able to be Improved by optimizing the SST variable.