• Title/Summary/Keyword: Technology Growth Curve

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Elimination of Outlier from Technology Growth Curve using M-estimator for Defense Science and Technology Survey (M-추정을 사용한 국방과학기술 수준조사 기술성장모형의 이상치 제거)

  • Kim, Jangheon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2020
  • Technology growth curve methodology is commonly used in technology forecasting. A technology growth curve represents the paths of product performance in relation to time or investment in R&D. It is a useful tool to compare the technological performances between Korea and advanced nations and to describe the inflection points, the limit of improvement of a technology and their technology innovation strategies, etc. However, the curve fitting to a set of survey data often leads to model mis-specification, biased parameter estimation and incorrect result since data through survey with experts frequently contain outlier in process of curve fitting due to the subjective response characteristics. This paper propose a method to eliminate of outlier from a technology growth curve using M-estimator. The experimental results prove the overall improvement in technology growth curves by several pilot tests using real-data in Defense Science and Technology Survey reports.

Estimation of Growth Curves and Suitable Slaughter Weight of the Liangshan Pig

  • Luo, Jia;Lei, Huaigang;Shen, Linyuan;Yang, Runlin;Pu, Qiang;Zhu, Kangping;Li, Mingzhou;Tang, Guoqing;Li, Xuewei;Zhang, Shunhua;Zhu, Li
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.1252-1258
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    • 2015
  • The Liangshan pig is a traditional Chinese small-sized breed; it has a relatively long feeding period and low meat production ability but superior meat quality. This study utilized three non-linear growth models (Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and logistic) to fit the growth curve of Liangshan pigs from an unselected, random-bred pig population and estimate the pigs most suitable slaughter weight. The growth development data at 20 time points of 275 Liangshan pigs (from birth to 250 d) were collected. To analyze the relative gene expression related to development, seven slaughter weight phases (50, 58, 66, 74, 82, 90, and 98 kg) (20 pigs per phase) were examined. We found that the Liangshan pig growth curve fit the typical S-curve well and that their growth turning point was 193.4 days at a weight of 62.5 kg, according to the best fit Von Bertalanffy model based on the goodness of fit criteria. Furthermore, we estimated that the most suitable slaughter weight was 62.5 to 74.9 kg based on the growth curve and the relative expression levels of growth-related genes.

Estimation of genetic relationships between growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep

  • Hossein-Zadeh, Navid Ghavi
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.19.1-19.6
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to estimate variance components and genetic parameters for growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep. Studied traits were parameters of Brody growth model which included A (asymptotic mature weight), B (initial animal weight) and K (maturation rate). The data set and pedigree information used in this study were obtained from the Agricultural Organization of Guilan province (Rasht, Iran) and comprised 8647 growth curve records of lambs from birth to 240 days of age during 1994 to 2014. Marginal posterior distributions of parameters and variance components were estimated using TM program. The Gibbs sampler was run 300000 rounds and the first 60000 rounds were discarded as a burn-in period. Posterior mean estimates of direct heritabilities for A, B and K were 0.39, 0.23 and 0.039, respectively. Estimates of direct genetic correlation between growth curve parameters were 0.57, 0.03 and -0.01 between A-B, A-K and B-K, respectively. Estimates of direct genetic trends for A, B and K were positive and their corresponding values were $0.014{\pm}0.003$ (P < 0.001), $0.0012{\pm}0.0009$ (P > 0.05) and $0.000002{\pm}0.0001$ (P > 0.05), respectively. Residual correlations between growth curve parameters varied form -0.52 (between A-K) to 0.48 (between A-B). Also, phenotypic correlations between growth curve parameters varied form -0.49 (between A-K) to 0.47 (between A-B). The results of this study indicated that improvement of growth curve parameters of Guilan sheep seems feasible in selection programs. It is worthwhile to develop a selection strategy to obtain an appropriate shape of growth curve through changing genetically the parameters of growth model.

Profiling of skeletal muscle tissue for long non-coding RNAs related to muscle metabolism in the QingYu pig at the growth inflection point

  • Luo, Jia;Shen, Linyuan;Gan, Mailin;Jiang, Anan;Chen, Lei;Ma, Jideng;Jin, Long;Liu, Yihui;Tang, Guoqing;Jiang, Yanzhi;Li, Mingzhou;Li, Xuewei;Zhang, Shunhua;Zhu, Li
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.1309-1320
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Investigation of muscle growth at different developmental stages is an appropriate strategy for studying the mechanisms underlying muscle development and differences in phenotypes. In particular, the muscle development mechanisms and the difference between the fastest and slowest growth rates. Methods: In this study, we used a growth curve model to fit the growth inflection point (IP) of QingYu pigs and compared differences in the long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) transcriptome of muscle both at the growth IP and plateau phase (PP). Results: The growth curve of the QingYu pig had a good fit (R2 = 0.974) relative to a typical S-curve and reached the IP at day 177.96. At the PP, marbling, intramuscular fat, and monounsaturated fatty acids had increased significantly and the percentage of lean muscle and polyunsaturated fatty acids had decreased. A total of 1,199 mRNAs and 62 lncRNAs were differentially expressed at the IP compared with the PP. Additional to gene ontology and Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes pathway analyses, these differentially expressed protein coding genes were principally related to muscle growth and lipid metabolism. Conclusion: Our results suggest that the identified differentially expressed lncRNAs, could play roles in muscle growth, fat deposition and regulation of fatty acid composition at the IP and PP.

An Empirical Study on the Correlation of IT Investment and Management Performance in the Financial Industry (금융산업에서 IT투자와 경영성과의 상관관계에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Kook;Kim, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.89-101
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    • 2012
  • The study investigated if IT investment in Korean financial markets for the past 18 years has grown following the s-curve pattern based on Nolan's growth model in order to find the correlation between IT investment and management performance in the financial industry. According to the research finding it can be said that the overall financial markets maintain s-curve pattern, and IT investment is related to management performance, particularly increase in total assets and net profit. However, each sector has defining features of growth patterns. The banking industry has grown similarly to the s-curve, and the insurance industry also shows the s-curve but it looks more like linear pattern. In terms of securities industry, its growth patterns can hardly be considered s-curve due to the irregular changes. his research outcome illustrates the analysis of IT growth patterns in the financial industry and thus, it is expected to be a useful reference when deciding the appropriate time for IT investment in the financial industry.

A Software Cost Estimation Using Growth Curve Model (성장곡선을 이용한 소프트웨어 비용 추정 모델)

  • Park, Seok-Gyu;Lee, Sang-Un;Park, Jae-Heung
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.11D no.3
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2004
  • Accurate software cost estimation is essential to both developers and customers. Most of the cost estimating models based on the size measure methods, such as LOC and FP, are obtained through size estimation. The accuracy of size estimation directly influences the accuracy of cost estimation. As a result, the overall structure of regression-based cost models applies the power function based on software size. Many growth phenomenon in nature such as the growth in living organism, performance of technology, and learning capability of human show an S-shaped curve. This paper proposes a model which estimates the developing effort by using the growth curve. The presented model assumes that the relation cost and size follows the growth curve. The appropriateness of the growth curve model based on Function Point, Full-Function Point and Use-Case Point, which are the general methods in estimating the software size have been confirmed. The proposed growth curve model shows similar performance with power function model. In conclusion, the growth curve model can be applied in the estimation of the software cost.

An Evaluation of Fracture Toughness for SS400 Steel by R-curve and DCPD (R-곡선과 직류전위차(DCPD)에 의한 SS400강의 파괴인성 평가)

  • Jang Seok-Ki;Han Min-Su
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.855-861
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    • 2005
  • Fracture toughness defined near the initiation of stable crack growth is investigated by R-curve and Direct Current electric Potential Determination(DCPD) under mode I plane strain conditions for CT specimen with 25.4mm thickness of SS400 steel. Fracture toughness. $J_{IC}$lit near crack tip of CT specimen by R-curve is 17.14 $kg_{f}/mm$ and however. its value by DCPD is 22.82 $Rg_{f} mm$ The value of fracture toughness by DCPD is larger than that by R-curve. Therefore, it is suggested that the evaluation of fracture toughness by R-curve is optimum than by DCPD, when considering amount of crack growth about each of fracture toughness.

Estimation of Growth Traits Using Growth Curve in Gyungnam-heugdon (Berkshire) (경남흑돈(버크셔)에서 성장곡선을 이용한 성장형질의 추정)

  • Do, C.H.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 2007
  • The growth traits in swine are economically important, which are measured by gain in weight during test period or by age of days to certain weight. However, the difference in growth rate due to individual performance and also other factors occurs. The more reasonable estimation of the measurements of these traits provides the less error in genetic evaluation of pigs. The data from 1,576 heads being weighed periodically of Gyungnam-heugdon(Berkshire) were analyzed to estimate the growth curve which is used to decide average daily gain and days to 90kg. It may not be possible to directly compare accuracy between the conventional methods and the alternative methods. However, the alternative methods by growth curve would be superior to the conventional methods not only in theoretical background, but also in acceptability for diverse factors such as breed, sex and age. The theoretical superiority of the alternative methods comes from estimation at same age in daily gain and calculation of additional days from measuring date to days to 90kg by growth curve of individual. Also this can be easily adopted in a computer system according to breed and sex.

Growth and defects of ZnSe crystal (ZnSe 단결정 성장과 결정결함)

  • 이성국;박성수;김준홍;한재용;이상학
    • Journal of the Korean Crystal Growth and Crystal Technology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.76-80
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    • 1997
  • ZnSe single crystals were grown by seeded chemical vapor transport in $H_2$ atmosphere. The influence of the growth parameters on the crystal defect was investigated. The grown ZnSe single crystal was characterized by chemical etching, X-ray rocking curve and photoluminescenc e measurements.

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An Analysis for the Characteristics of Digital TVs in CES in the View of Technology Growth and Substitution Curves (기술 성장 및 대체 곡선 관점에서의 CES 출품 Digital TV의 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Do-Goan;Shin, Seong-Yoon;Jin, Chan-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.1336-1341
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    • 2013
  • Through reviewing the characteristics of digital TVs, which have emerged in CES since 2005, in the view of technology growth and substitution curves, this paper is to provide a prediction on the next generation's multi-media on smart environment. As a result, digital TV has been developed on the flow of its technology growth curve from the early version in 2005 to smart digital TV in 2013, which emphasizes the key word "connected", and it has already come to the market puberty.