• Title/Summary/Keyword: System Risk Analysis

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Water Supply Risk Assessment of Agricultural Reservoirs using Irrigation Vulnerability Model and Cluster Analysis (관개취약성 평가모형 및 군집분석을 활용한 용수공급 위험도 평가)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Taegon;Hong, Eun-Mi;Hayes, Michael J.;Svoboda, Mark D.
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2015
  • Because reservoirs that supply irrigation water play an important role in water resource management, it is necessary to evaluate the vulnerability of this particular water supply resource. The purpose of this study is to provide water supply risk maps of agricultural reservoirs in South Korea using irrigation vulnerability model and cluster analysis. To quantify water supply risk, irrigation vulnerability indices are estimated to evaluate the performance of the water supply on the agricultural reservoir system using a probability theory and reliability analysis. First, the irrigation vulnerability probabilities of 1,346 reservoirs managed by Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC) were analyzed using meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations over the past 30 years (1981-2010). Second, using the K-mean method of non-hierarchical cluster analysis and pre-simulation approach, cluster analysis was applied to classify into three groups for characterizing irrigation vulnerability in reservoirs. The morphology index, watershed area, irrigated area, and ratio between watershed and irrigated area are selected as the clustering analysis parameters. It is suggested that the water supply risk map be utilized as a basis for the establishment of risk management measures, and could provide effective information for a reasonable decision making on drought risk mitigation.

Impact of Supply Chain Innovation and Risk Management Capabilities on Competitive Advantage at Steel Trading Companies in Vietnam

  • It Van NGUYEN
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The current research investigates the beneficial impacts of supply chain innovation and risk management on the competitive advantage of organizations, based on the resource-based theory (RBT) framework. Research Design, Data, and Methodology: 14 survey items were included in the study's questionnaire, utilizing a random sampling technique to gather data from 239 leaders and managers employed by various steel trading firms in Vietnam. In order to validate the data and examine relationships, the collected data is analyzed using structural equation modeling, confirmatory factor analysis, and reliability analysis via SPSS 22.0 and AMOS 22.0 software. A fictitious system has been suggested. Results: According to the findings, the most positive influence on competitive advantage is supply chain innovation, followed by risk management capability, having the second greatest positive influence. Conclusions: Some conclusions are drawn based on the research's findings in order to assist managers in realizing the significance and necessity of giving attention to supply chain innovation and improving risk management capabilities, both of which are essential components for achieving the competitive advantage of an organization.

What are the Risks of using Smart Technology in the Construction Phase?

  • Lee, Baul;Park, Seung-Kook
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2022
  • In the era of the 4th Industrial Revolution, smart technology being considered to improve productivity breakthroughs is in the spotlight as a means to replace traditional construction technology in the construction industry. However, various problems are occurring in construction sites using smart technology and causing negative impacts on construction projects. Therefore, the objective of this study is to identify risk factors that occur when smart technologies are used in construction projects. To achieve this purpose, this study investigated the difficulties at construction projects using smart technology, and risk factors were derived based on site surveys and literature. The risk factors were measured by experts, and then a total of 19 risk factors was derived by exploratory factor analysis. As a result, risks were classified as 5 factors, the institutional factor is the most difficult response, and the government needs anticipative system improvement and a long-term plan. The research findings provide practical implications for construction experts trying to apply smart technology in construction sites and construction policy-makers to revitalize smart technology.

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Estimating Geotechnical System Response Probability of Internal Erosion Risk in Fill Dam using Event Tree Analysis (사건수 분석 기법을 이용한 필댐의 내부 침식 위험도에 대한 지반공학적 시스템 응답 확률 산정)

  • Noh, Kyung-Lyun;Lim, Jeong-Yeul;Mok, Young-Jin;Jung, Young-Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1815-1829
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    • 2014
  • Recently frequent collapse of old fill dams has taken place, which increases social awareness in the safety of the infrastructure. Fill dams in Korea has been incautiously regarded as safe once the fill dam is considered to have a full capacity to retain a conservative design flood determined by government authorities. However, developed foreign countries has been managing their fill dams by introducing systematic risk assessment techniques over a long period of time. In this study, the system response probabilities of the deteriorated old fill dams in Korea were systematically evaluated and analyzed by using the internal erosion toolbox based on the event tree analysis technique. The probability of the existence of flaw and the magnitude of the hydraulic gradient through a potential crack can significantly influence the geotechnical system response probability. The results of this study show that the probability of the existence of flaw and the magnitude of the hydraulic gradient through a potential crack can significantly influence the geotechnical system response probability and the risk of the deteriorated fill dam can be quantitatively assessed.

Dynamic risk assessment of water inrush in tunnelling and software development

  • Li, L.P.;Lei, T.;Li, S.C.;Xu, Z.H.;Xue, Y.G.;Shi, S.S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.57-81
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    • 2015
  • Water inrush and mud outburst always restricts the tunnel constructions in mountain area, which becomes a major geological barrier against the development of underground engineering. In view of the complex disaster-causing mechanism and difficult quantitative predictions of water inrush and mud outburst, several theoretical methods are adopted to realize dynamic assessment of water inrush in the progressive process of tunnel construction. Concerning both the geological condition and construction situation, eleven risk factors are quantitatively described and an assessment system is developed to evaluate the water inrush risk. In the static assessment, the weights of eight risk factors about the geological condition are determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Each factor is scored by experts and the synthesis scores are weighted. The risk level is ultimately determined based on the scoring outcome which is derived from the sum of products of weights and comprehensive scores. In the secondary assessment, the eight risk factors in static assessment and three factors about construction situation are quantitatively analyzed using fuzzy evaluation method. Subordinate levels and weight of factors are prepared and then used to calculate the comprehensive subordinate degree and risk level. In the dynamic assessment, the classical field of the eleven risk factors is normalized by using the extension evaluation method. From the input of the matter-element, weights of risk factors are determined and correlation analysis is carried out to determine the risk level. This system has been applied to the dynamic assessment of water inrush during construction of the Yuanliangshan tunnel of Yuhuai Railway. The assessment results are consistent with the actual excavation, which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the software. The developed system is believed capable to be back-up and applied for risk assessment of water inrush in the underground engineering construction.

Study on Theoretical Models of Regional Humanity Lung Cancer Hazards Assessment

  • Zhang, Chuan;Gao, Xing
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1759-1764
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To establish the concept of lung cancer hazard assessment theoretical models, evaluating the degree of lung cancer risk of Beijing for regional population lung cancer hazard assessment to provide a basis for technical support. Materials and Methods: ISO standards were used to classify stratified analysis for the entire population, life cycle, processes and socioeconomic management. Associated risk factors were evaluated as lung cancer hazard risk assessment first class indicators. Study design: Using the above materials, indicators were given the weight coefficients, building lung cancer risk assessment theoretical models. Regional data for Beijing were entered into the theoretical model to calculate the parameters of each indicator and evaluate the degree of local lung cancer risk. Results: Adopting the concept of lung cancer hazard assessment and theoretical models for regional populations, we established a lung cancer hazard risk assessment system, including 2 first indicators, 8 secondary indicators and 18 third indicators. All indicators were given weight coefficients and used as information sources. Score of hazard for lung cancer was 84.4 in Beijing. Conclusions: Comprehensively and systematically building a lung cancer risk assessment theoretical model for regional populations in conceivable, evaluating the degree of lung cancer risk of Beijing, providing technical support and scientific basis for interventions for prevention.

Strategies for Establishing of the Systemic Collecting and Sharing of Food Risk Information (체계적인 식품 위해 정보 수집.공유 체계 구축 방안)

  • Choi, Sung-Rak
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.456-462
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    • 2007
  • Food safety has been a growing consumer concern over the last few decades, and remains a priority for consumers, the food industry, and regulatory agencies alike. Although consumer concern for food safety has increased, consumer confidence has decreased. The emphasis on food safety is related to that of preliminary risk management. The ability to collect and provide food risk information is a key element in enhancing the way food safety authorities protect consumers from risk. This review aims to investigate the current situations of international organizations, as well as several countries' systems for collecting and providing food risk information. Through the comparison and analysis of each system, this review proposes strategies to establish a systematic collecting of information and provision of infrastructure in Korea. To develop an information collection system suited to Korea's situation, it is necessary for Korea to strengthen interactions and cooperation with other trade partners through the enlargement of international networks. Such efforts on food risk communication should be made by providing high quality and clear information.

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Analysis of the Impact of Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) on the Project Success through PRM Process: Focused on the Overseas Construction Projects (전사적 리스크 관리(ERM)가 프로젝트 리스크 관리(PRM) 향상을 통해 프로젝트 성과에 미치는 영향 분석: 해외 건설사업을 중심으로)

  • Sullim Jung;Seung-Chul Kim;Dae-Cheol Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2024
  • As the complexity and uncertainty of international construction projects increase, the importance of risk management capabilities in the construction industry has become more pronounced. Accordingly, Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) has become a widely adopted approach among organizations as a new way for more effective risk management. Despite its growing application, research related to ERM is still in its infancy, and most of the existing studies have been limited to financial industries. Therefore, this study aims to empirically examine the influence of ERM's core elements on project risk management (PRM) and project performance within construction firms. Our findings indicate that the key ERM components-organization, policy, and culture-significantly enhance PRM processes, underscoring their critical role and importance. Additionally, effective PRM positively affects project outcomes, highlighting its significance for construction companies engaged in international projects. While ERM does not directly impact project performance, it indirectly improves outcomes through enhanced PRM capabilities. It suggests that ERM will contribute to the firm's performance by improving the firm's PRM capability through policies and a risk-focused culture corresponding to the adopted ERM organization and system..

Risk Assessments for Ports and Waterways

  • Jeong, Duke H.;Harrald, John R.
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this research is to ensure that the ports and waterways management system can establish and maintain a reasonable level of safety level during high density passenger operations. The research model was developed included computer based model that could be used that can be used to measure and monitor risk and evolved overtime. The research methodology provides model for assessing relative risk and evaluating risk reduction measures. The risk analysis based on expert judgement was refined overtime. They provide a basis for risk reduction and risk management policies and strategies. The evaluation and validation of risk model and development of data, methods, tools required to measure, monitor and evaluate ports and waterway risk was implemented.

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The Application Method of System Safety Analysis Technique (시스템 안전 분석기법 활용방안에 대한 연구)

  • 김병석;임재동
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2000
  • Avoiding the industrial accidents is one of the goals in manufacturing industries from the top manager to the foremen. Therefore all the companies try to prevent occupational accidents using system safety programs in order to increase the productivity. Korean industries have been tended to depend upon historical information to control risks. The other hand, foreign industries have identified risk factors using system safety techniques to predict future risks. This study presents the method to apply the foreign industries risk control technique to the Korean industries.

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