• 제목/요약/키워드: System Performance Prediction

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Toward global optimization of case-based reasoning for the prediction of stock price index

  • Kim, Kyoung-jae;Ingoo Han
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2001년도 춘계정기학술대회
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a simultaneous optimization approach of case-based reasoning (CBR) using a genetic algorithm(GA) for the prediction of stock price index. Prior research suggested many hybrid models of CBR and the GA for selecting a relevant feature subset or optimizing feature weights. Most studies, however, used the GA for improving only a part of architectural factors for the CBR system. However, the performance of CBR may be enhanced when these factors are simultaneously considered. In this study, the GA simultaneously optimizes multiple factors of the CBR system. Experimental results show that a GA approach to simultaneous optimization of CBR outperforms other conventional approaches for the prediction of stock price index.

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터보펌프용 연료펌프의 평균유선 성능해석 (Meanline Performance Analysis of a Fuel Pump for a Turbopump System)

  • 윤의수;최범석;박무룡;이석호
    • 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2002
  • Low NPSH and high pressure pumps we widely used for turbopump systems, which have an inducer and operate at high rotating speeds. In this paper, a meanline method has been established for the preliminary design and performance prediction of pumps having an inducer for cavitating or non-cavitating conditions at design or off-design points. The method was applied for the performance prediction of a fuel pump. Predicted performances by the method are shown to be in good agreement with experimental results for cavitating and non-cavitating conditions. The established meanline method can be used for the performance prediction and preliminary design of high speed pumps which have a inducer, impeller and volute.

머신러닝을 이용한 국내 수입 자동차 구매 해약 예측 모델 연구: H 수입차 딜러사 대상으로 (A Study on the Prediction Model for Imported Vehicle Purchase Cancellation Using Machine Learning: Case of H Imported Vehicle Dealers)

  • 정동균;이종화;이현규
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.105-126
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    • 2021
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to implement a optimal machine learning model about the cancellation prediction performance in car sales business. It is to apply the data set of accumulated contract, cancellation, and sales information in sales support system(SFA) which is commonly used for sales, customers and inventory management by imported car dealers, to several machine learning models and predict performance of cancellation. Design/methodology/approach This study extracts 29,073 contracts, cancellations, and sales data from 2015 to 2020 accumulated in the sales support system(SFA) for imported car dealers and uses the analysis program Python Jupiter notebook in order to perform data pre-processing, verification, and modeling that is applying and learning to Machine learning model after then the final result was predicted using new data. Findings This study confirmed that cancellation prediction is possible by applying car purchase contract information to machine learning models. It proved the possibility of developing and utilizing a generalized predictive model by using data of imported car sales system with machine learning technology. It can reduce and prevent the sales failure as caring the potential lost customer intensively and it lead to increase sales revenue by predicting the cancellation possibility of individual customers.

Deep neural network for prediction of time-history seismic response of bridges

  • An, Hyojoon;Lee, Jong-Han
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권3호
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    • pp.401-413
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    • 2022
  • The collapse of civil infrastructure due to natural disasters results in financial losses and many casualties. In particular, the recent increase in earthquake activities has highlighted on the importance of assessing the seismic performance and predicting the seismic risk of a structure. However, the nonlinear behavior of a structure and the uncertainty in ground motion complicate the accurate seismic response prediction of a structure. Artificial intelligence can overcome these limitations to reasonably predict the nonlinear behavior of structures. In this study, a deep learning-based algorithm was developed to estimate the time-history seismic response of bridge structures. The proposed deep neural network was trained using structural and ground motion parameters. The performance of the seismic response prediction algorithm showed the similar phase and magnitude to those of the time-history analysis in a single-degree-of-freedom system that exhibits nonlinear behavior as a main structural element. Then, the proposed algorithm was expanded to predict the seismic response and fragility prediction of a bridge system. The proposed deep neural network reasonably predicted the nonlinear seismic behavior of piers and bearings for approximately 93% and 87% of the test dataset, respectively. The results of the study also demonstrated that the proposed algorithm can be utilized to assess the seismic fragility of bridge components and system.

인공신경망을 활용한 고등어의 위판가격 변동 예측 -어획량 제한이 없었던 TAC제도 시행 이전의 경우- (Forecasting common mackerel auction price by artificial neural network in Busan Cooperative Fish Market before introducing TAC system in Korea)

  • 황강석;최정화;오택윤
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2012
  • Using artificial neural network (ANN) technique, auction prices for common mackerel were forecasted with the daily total sale and auction price data at the Busan Cooperative Fish Market before introducing Total Allowable Catch (TAC) system, when catch data had no limit in Korea. Virtual input data produced from actual data were used to improve the accuracy of prediction and the suitable neural network was induced for the prediction. We tested 35 networks to be retained 10, and found good performance network with regression ratio of 0.904 and determination coefficient of 0.695. There were significant variations between training and verification errors in this network. Ideally, it should require more training cases to avoid over-learning, which leads to improve performance and makes the results more reliable. And the precision of prediction was improved when environmental factors including physical and biological variables were added. This network for prediction of price and catch was considered to be applicable for other fishes.

자기 유사성 기반 소포우편 단기 물동량 예측모형 연구 (Short-Term Prediction Model of Postal Parcel Traffic based on Self-Similarity)

  • 김은혜;정훈
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.76-83
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    • 2020
  • Postal logistics organizations are characterized as having high labor intensity and short response times. These characteristics, along with rapid change in mail volume, make load scheduling a fundamental concern. Load analysis of major postal infrastructures such as post offices, sorting centers, exchange centers, and delivery stations is required for optimal postal logistics operation. In particular, the performance of mail traffic forecasting is essential for optimizing the resource operation by accurate load analysis. This paper addresses a traffic forecast problem of postal parcel that arises at delivery stations of Korea Post. The main purpose of this paper is to describe a method for predicting short-term traffic of postal parcel based on self-similarity analysis and to introduce an application of the traffic prediction model to postal logistics system. The proposed scheme develops multiple regression models by the clusters resulted from feature engineering and individual models for delivery stations to reinforce prediction accuracy. The experiment with data supplied by main postal delivery stations shows the advantage in terms of prediction performance. Comparing with other technique, experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy up to 45.8%.

고성능 마이크로프로세서에서 값 예측기의 성능평가 (Performance Evaluation of Value Predictor in High Performance Microprocessors)

  • 전병찬;김혁진;류대희
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2005
  • 고성능 마이크로프로세서에서 값 예측기는 한 명령어의 결과를 미리 예측하여 명령들 간의 데이터 종속관계를 극복하고 실행함으로써 명령어 수준 병렬성(Instruction Level Parallelism, ILP)을 향상시키는 기법이다. 본 논문에서는 ILP 프로세서 명령어 수준 병렬성의 성능향상을 위하섞 값을 미리 예측하여 병렬로 이슈하고 수행하는 값 예측기를 비교 분석하여 각 테이블 갱신 시점에 따른 예측기별 평균 성능향상과 예측률 및 예측정확도를 측정하여 평가한다 이러한 타당성을 검증하기 위해 실행구동방식 시뮬레이터를 사용하여 SPECint95 벤치마크를 시뮬레이션하여 비교한다.

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Fundamental Research for Video-Integrated Collision Prediction and Fall Detection System to Support Navigation Safety of Vessels

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Woo, Yun-Tae;Yu, Yung-Ho;Hwang, Hun-Gyu
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2021
  • Marine accidents caused by ships have brought about economic and social losses as well as human casualties. Most of these accidents are caused by small and medium-sized ships and are due to their poor conditions and insufficient equipment compared with larger vessels. Measures are quickly needed to improve the conditions. This paper discusses a video-integrated collision prediction and fall detection system to support the safe navigation of small- and medium-sized ships. The system predicts the collision of ships and detects falls by crew members using the CCTV, displays the analyzed integrated information using automatic identification system (AIS) messages, and provides alerts for the risks identified. The design consists of an object recognition algorithm, interface module, integrated display module, collision prediction and fall detection module, and an alarm management module. For the basic research, we implemented a deep learning algorithm to recognize the ship and crew from images, and an interface module to manage messages from AIS. To verify the implemented algorithm, we conducted tests using 120 images. Object recognition performance is calculated as mAP by comparing the pre-defined object with the object recognized through the algorithms. As results, the object recognition performance of the ship and the crew were approximately 50.44 mAP and 46.76 mAP each. The interface module showed that messages from the installed AIS were accurately converted according to the international standard. Therefore, we implemented an object recognition algorithm and interface module in the designed collision prediction and fall detection system and validated their usability with testing.

Realtime Air Diffusion Prediction System

  • Kim Youngtae;Kim Tae KooK;Oh Jai-Ho
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2003년도 The Fifth Asian Computational Fluid Dynamics Conference
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    • pp.88-90
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    • 2003
  • We implement Realtime Air Diffusion Prediction System which is designed for air diffusion simulations with four-dimensional data assimilation. For realtime running, we parallelize the system using MPI (Message Passing Interface) on distributed-memory parallel computers and build a cluster computer which links high-performance PCs with high-speed interconnection networks. We use 162­CPU nodes and a Myrinet network for the cluster

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다단축류압축기의 공력성능 예측용 계산격자 생성기법 연구 (Computational Grid Generation for Aero-Performance Prediction of Multi-staged Axial Compressors)

  • 정희택;김주섭
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 1998
  • Computational grids used in the numerical simulation of multi staged turbomachinery flow fields are generated. A multiblock structure simplifies the creation of structured H-grids about complex turbomachinery geometries and facilitate the creation of a grid for multi-row topologies. The numerical algorithm adopts the combination of the algebraic and elliptic method to create the internal grids efficiently and quickly. The input module is made of the results of the preliminary design, i.e., flow-path, aerodynamic conditions along the spanwise direction, and the blade profile data. The final grids generated from each module of the system are used as the preprocessor for the performance prediction of the single row cascades and the flow simulation inside the multi staegd blade passage. Application to low pressure compressor of industrial gas turbine engines was demonstrated to be very reliable and practical in support of design activities.

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