• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.227-234
• /
• 1996

The discount survival model is proposed for the application of the Cox model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates. Algorithms for the recursive estimation of the parameter vector and the retrospective estimation of the survival function are suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of the survival function of individuals of specific covariates in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of a certain time interval is suggested.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.277-288
• /
• 1997

For the analysis of survival data including covariates whose effects vary in time, the multiprocess discount survival model is proposed. The parameter vector modeling the time-varying effects of covariates is to vary between time intervals and its evolution between time intervals depends on the perturbation of the next time interval. The recursive estimation of the parameter vector can be obtained at the end of each time interval. The retrospective estimation of the survival function and the forecasting of the survival function of individuals of the specific covariates also can be obtained based on the information gathered until the end of the time interval.

• 대한조선학회논문집
• /
• 제47권5호
• /
• pp.725-731
• /
• 2010

Damages of ships and naval vessels due to accidents and attacks would arouse enormous loss of lives and properties. To prevent maritime accidents is the best, and many researches have been achieved. But maritime accidents occurs continuously and to minimize casualties is considered as the second best. This paper has focused on the method and implementation of survival time estimation system for ships(STES system). The developed STES system provides plain and easy operations to get the survival time of damaged ship and naval vessel. The officers feed damaged conditions simply and quickly, and grasp instantly the survival time for damages. It would be attained by query and retrieval of survival time DB collected in a design process. We also check an effectivity of the system by practical applications.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제25권4호
• /
• pp.567-576
• /
• 1996

The multiprocess dynamic survival model is proposed for the application of the regression model on the analysis of survival data with time-varying effects of covariates : where the survival data consists of numbers of deaths at certain time-points. The algorithm for the recursive estimation of a time-varying parameter vector is suggested. Also the algorithm of forecasting of numbers of deaths of each group in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the end of current time interval is suggested.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제20권5호
• /
• pp.933-939
• /
• 2009

The bivariate data in clinical research fields often has two types of failure times, which are mark variable for the first failure time and the final failure time. This paper showed how to generate bootstrap data to get Bayesian estimation for the joint distribution of bivariate survival times. The observed data was generated by Frank's family and the fake date is simulated with the Gamma prior of survival time. The bootstrap data was obtained by combining the mimic data with the observed data and the simulated fake data from the observed data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제14권1호
• /
• pp.111-119
• /
• 2007

In this paper, we develop a nonparametric Bayesian methodology of estimating an unknown distribution function F at the given survival time with current status data under the assumption of Dirichlet process prior on F. We compare our algorithm with the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator through application to simulated data and real data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제26권5호
• /
• pp.445-461
• /
• 2019

It is possible that data are not always fitted with sufficient precision by the existing distributions; therefore this article presents a methodology that enables the use of families of asymmetric distributions as alternative probabilistic models for survival analysis, with censorship on the right, different from those usually studied (the Exponential, Gamma, Weibull, and Lognormal distributions). We use a more flexible parametric model in terms of density behavior, assuming that data can be fit by a distribution of stable distribution families considered unconventional in the analyses of survival data that are appropriate when extreme values occur, with small probabilities that should not be ignored. In the methodology, the determination of the analytical expression of the risk function h(t) of the $L{\acute{e}}vy$ distribution is included, as it is not usually reported in the literature. A simulation was conducted to evaluate the performance of the candidate distribution when modeling survival times, including the estimation of parameters via the maximum likelihood method, survival function ${\hat{S}}$(t) and Kaplan-Meier estimator. The obtained estimates did not exhibit significant changes for different sample sizes and censorship fractions in the sample. To illustrate the usefulness of the proposed methodology, an application with real data, regarding the survival times of patients with colon cancer, was considered.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제7권1호
• /
• pp.327-336
• /
• 2000

We are mainly interested in hazard rate changes which are usually occur in survival times of manufactured products or patients. We may expect early failures with one hazard rate and next another hazard rate. For this type of data we apply a hazard rate change-point model and estimate the unkown time point to improve the model adequacy. We introduce change-point logistic model to the discrete time hazard rates. The MLEs are obtained routinely and we also explain the suggested model through a dataset of survival times.

• 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국디지털정책학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
• /
• pp.327-336
• /
• 2006

The odds ratio is used for assessing the disease-exposure association, because epidemiological data for case-control of cohort studies are often summarized into 2 ${\times}$ 2 tables. In this paper we define the odds ratio function(ORF) that extends odds ratio used on discrete survival event data to continuous survival time data and propose estimation procedures with censored data. The first one is a nonparametric estimator based on the Nelson-Aalen estimator of comulative hazard function, and the others are obtained using the concept of empirical odds ratio. Asymptotic properties such as consistency and weak convergence results are also provided. The ORF provides a simple interpretation and is comparable to survival function or comulative hazard function in comparing two groups. The mean square errors are investigated via Monte Carlo simulation. The result are finally illustrated using the Melanoma data.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국경영과학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
• /
• pp.40-43
• /
• 2000

In this paper, we investigate how the average survival time of listed companies in the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) are affected by changes in macro-economic environment and covariate vectors which show peculiar financial characteristics of each company. We also apply the survival analysis approach to the dichotomous firm failure prediction and the results show a similar pattern of forecasting performance using the existing dichotomous prediction techniques. These findings suggest that, when we consider a bankruptcy model under a certain economic event, the survival approach can be a useful alternative to the existing dichotomous prediction methods since the approach provides estimation of average survival time as well as simple binary prediction.