• 제목/요약/키워드: Survival and hazard analysis

검색결과 441건 처리시간 0.029초

Pre-treatment Nutritional Risk Assessment by NRS-2002 Predicts Prognosis in Patients With Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer: A Single Center Retrospective Study

  • Se Eung Oh;Juong Soon Park;Hei-Cheul Jeung
    • Clinical Nutrition Research
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2022
  • We investigated the predictors of survival in patients with advanced BTC according to their baseline nutritional status estimated by the Nutritional Risk Screening (NRS)-2002. From September 2006 to July 2017, we reviewed the data of 601 inpatients with BTC. Data on demographic and clinical parameters was collected from electronic medical records, and overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the stepwise Cox regression analysis. Patients with an NRS-2002 score of ≤ 2, 3, and ≥ 4 were respectively classified as "no risk," "moderate risk," "high risk." Following initial NRS-2002 score, 333 patients (55%) were classified as "no-risk," 109 patients (18%) as "moderate-risk," and 159 patients (27%) as "high-risk." Survival analysis demonstrated significant differences in the median OS: "no-risk": 12.6 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.5-13.7); "moderate-risk": 6.1 months (95% CI, 4.3-8.0); and "high-risk": 3.9 months (95% CI, 3.2-4.6) (p < 0.001). NRS-2002 score was an independent factor for OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.616 for "moderate-risk", 95% CI, 1.288-2.027, p < 0.001; HR, 2.121 for "high-risk", 95% CI, 1.722-2.612, p < 0.001), along with liver metastasis, peritoneal seeding, white blood cell count, platelet count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, cholesterol, carcinoembryonic antigen, and carbohydrate antigen 19-9. In conclusion, baseline NRS-2002 is an appropriate method for discriminating those who are already malnourished and who have poor prognosis in advanced BTC patient. Significance of these results merit further validation to be integrated in the routine practice to improve quality of care in BTC patients.

The Impact of Preoperative Low Body Mass Index on Postoperative Complications and Long-term Survival Outcomes in Gastric Cancer Patients

  • Kim, Chang Hyun;Park, Seung-Man;Kim, Jin-Jo
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.274-286
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of preoperative low body mass index (BMI) on both the short- and long-term outcomes in patients with gastric cancer. Materials and Methods: A total of 510 patients with gastric cancer were divided into the following 3 groups: low BMI group (${\leq}18.5kg/m^2$, n=51), normal BMI group ($18.6-24.9kg/m^2$, n=308), and high BMI group (${\geq}25.0kg/m^2$, n=151). Results: There were significantly more stage III/IV patients in the low BMI group than in the other groups (P=0.001). Severe postoperative complications were more frequent (P=0.010) and the survival was worse (P<0.001) in the low BMI group. The subgroup analysis indicated that survival was worse in the low BMI group of the stage I/II subgroup (P=0.008). The severe postoperative complication rate was higher in the low BMI group of the stage III/IV subgroup (P=0.001), although the recurrence rate and survival did not differ in the stage III/IV subgroup among all the BMI groups. Low BMI was an independent poor prognostic factor in the stage I/II subgroup (disease-free survival: hazard ratio [HR], 13.521; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.186-154.197; P=0.036 and overall survival: HR, 5.130; 95% CI, 1.644-16.010; P=0.005), whereas low BMI was an independent risk factor for severe postoperative complications in the stage III/IV subgroup (HR, 17.158; 95% CI, 1.383-212.940; P=0.027). Conclusions: Preoperative low BMI in patients with gastric cancer adversely affects survival among those with stage I/II disease and increases the severe postoperative complication rate among those with stage III/IV disease.

Depression and Survival in Chinese Patients with Gastric Cancer: A Prospective Study

  • Yu, Hui;Wang, Yaoxian;Ge, Xin;Wu, Xiaoke;Mao, Xiaoqin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.391-394
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    • 2012
  • Aim: Depression is thought to be a predictor of poor survival among cancer patients. In our study, we aimed to investigate the association between depression and survival in patients with gastric cancer. Methods: The subjects were a total of 300 patients aged 20-75 years who had histological confirmed diagnosis of gastric cancer from January 2004 to May 2006. Three months after patients diagnosis, depression was scored using by the Depression Status Inventory (DSI) designed by Willian WK Zung. The follow-up period consisted of a total of 13,643 person-months. A Cox's regression analysis was used to assess the association between depression and survival. Results: The percentage of subjects with depression according to the DSI depression criteria was 31%. Tumor stage and treatment methods were significantly associated with depression of patients. Age (60 years or older), annual income, tumor stage, lymph nodes metastasis and treatment were significantly associated with increased hazard ratio (HR) for gastric cancer survival. The adjusted HR for mortality risk in gastric cancer patients with depression tended to be high (HR=3.34, 95% CI=1.23-5.49) and a significant trend was found (P<0.05). Conclusion: The data obtained in this prospective study in Chinese support the hypothesis that depression is associated with poor survival among gastric cancer patients. Further studies with a large sample and longer term follow-up period are needed.

Expression Profiles of Loneliness-associated Genes for Survival Prediction in Cancer Patients

  • You, Liang-Fu;Yeh, Jia-Rong;Su, Mu-Chun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2014
  • Influence of loneliness on human survival has been established epidemiologically, but genomic research remains undeveloped. We identified 34 loneliness-associated genes which were statistically significant for high-lonely and low-lonely individuals. With the univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model, we obtained corresponding regression coefficients for loneliness-associated genes fo individual cancer patients. Furthermore, risk scores could be generated with the combination of gene expression level multiplied by corresponding regression coefficients of loneliness-associated genes. We verified that high-risk score cancer patients had shorter mean survival time than their low-risk score counterparts. Then we validated the loneliness-associated gene signature in three independent brain cancer cohorts with Kaplan-Meier survival curves (n=77, 85 and 191), significantly separable by log-rank test with hazard ratios (HR) >1 and p-values <0.0001 (HR=2.94, 3.82, and 1.78). Moreover, we validated the loneliness-associated gene signature in bone cancer (HR=5.10, p-value=4.69e-3), lung cancer (HR=2.86, p-value=4.71e-5), ovarian cancer (HR=1.97, p-value=3.11e-5), and leukemia (HR=2.06, p-value=1.79e-4) cohorts. The last lymphoma cohort proved to have an HR=3.50, p-value=1.15e-7. Loneliness-associated genes had good survival prediction for cancer patients, especially bone cancer patients. Our study provided the first indication that expression of loneliness-associated genes are related to survival time of cancer patients.

MicroRNA-155 Expression has Prognostic Value in Patients with Non-small Cell Lung Cancer and Digestive System Carcinomas

  • Xu, Tong-Peng;Zhu, Can-Hong;Zhang, Jian;Xia, Rui;Wu, Feng-Lei;Han, Liang;Shen, Hua;Liu, Ling-Xiang;Shu, Yong-Qian
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권12호
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    • pp.7085-7090
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    • 2013
  • Objective: Published data have shown that microRNAs (miRNAs) could play a potential role as diagnostic and prognostic indicators in cancers. Data for the predictive value of microRNA-155 are inconclusive. The aim of the present analysis was therefore to evaluate the role of miR-155 in prognosis for patients with a variety of carcinomas. Methods: Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and EMBASE. Data were extracted from studies comparing overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) or cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with carcinoma with higher miR-155 expression and those with lower levels. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of miR-155 for clinical outcome were calculated. Results: A total of 15 studies were included. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) for OS of higher miR-155 expression in cancerous tissue was 1.89 (95% CI: 1.20-2.99, P=0.006), which could markedly predict poorer survival in general cancer. For RFS/CSS, elevated miR-155 was also associated with poor prognosis of cancer (HR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.10-2.05, P=0.01). On subgroup analysis, the pooled HR for OS in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was 2.09 (95% CI: 0.68-6.41, P > 0.05), but for RFS/CSS was 1.28 (95% CI: 1.05-1.55, P=0.015), with statistical significance; the pooled HRs for OS and RFS/CSS in digestive system neoplasms were 3.04 (95% CI: 1.48-6.24, P=0.003) and 2.61 (95% CI: 1.98-3.42, P<0.05), respectively. Conclusions: The results indicated that the miR-155 expression level plays a prognostic role in patients with cancer, especially NSCLCs and digestive system carcinomas.

생존분석에서의 기계학습 (Machine learning in survival analysis)

  • 백재욱
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 중도중단 데이터가 포함된 생존데이터의 경우 적용할 수 있는 기계학습 방법에 대해 살펴보았다. 우선 탐색적인 자료분석으로 각 특성에 대한 분포, 여러 특성들 간의 관계 및 중요도 순위를 파악할 수 있었다. 다음으로 독립변수에 해당하는 여러 특성들과 종속변수에 해당하는 특성(사망여부) 간의 관계를 분류문제로 보고 logistic regression, K nearest neighbor 등의 기계학습 방법들을 적용해본 결과 적은 수의 데이터이지만 통상적인 기계학습 결과에서와 같이 logistic regression보다는 random forest가 성능이 더 좋게 나왔다. 하지만 근래에 성능이 좋다고 하는 artificial neural network나 gradient boost와 같은 기계학습 방법은 성능이 월등히 좋게 나오지 않았는데, 그 이유는 주어진 데이터가 빅데이터가 아니기 때문인 것으로 판명된다. 마지막으로 Kaplan-Meier나 Cox의 비례위험모델과 같은 통상적인 생존분석 방법을 적용하여 어떤 독립변수가 종속변수 (ti, δi)에 결정적인 영향을 미치는지 살펴볼 수 있었으며, 기계학습 방법에 속하는 random forest를 중도중단 데이터가 포함된 생존데이터에도 적용하여 성능을 평가할 수 있었다.

Bayesian Variable Selection in the Proportional Hazard Model with Application to DNA Microarray Data

  • Lee, Kyeon-Eun;Mallick, Bani K.
    • 한국생물정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국생물정보시스템생물학회 2005년도 BIOINFO 2005
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    • pp.357-360
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we consider the well-known semiparametric proportional hazards (PH) models for survival analysis. These models are usually used with few covariates and many observations (subjects). But, for a typical setting of gene expression data from DNA microarray, we need to consider the case where the number of covariates p exceeds the number of samples n. For a given vector of response values which are times to event (death or censored times) and p gene expressions (covariates), we address the issue of how to reduce the dimension by selecting the significant genes. This approach enable us to estimate the survival curve when n < < p. In our approach, rather than fixing the number of selected genes, we will assign a prior distribution to this number. The approach creates additional flexibility by allowing the imposition of constraints, such as bounding the dimension via a prior, which in effect works as a penalty. To implement our methodology, we use a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. We demonstrate the use of the methodology to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) complementary DNA(cDNA) data.

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Sarcopenia and Post-Operative Morbidity and Mortality in Patients with Gastric Cancer

  • O'Brien, Stephen;Twomey, Maria;Moloney, Fiachra;Kavanagh, Richard G.;Carey, Brian W.;Power, Derek;Maher, Michael M.;O'Connor, Owen J.;O'Suilleabhain, Criostoir
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.242-252
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Surgical resection for gastric adenocarcinoma is associated with significant post-operative morbidity and mortality. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of sarcopenia in patients undergoing resection for gastric adenocarcinoma with respect to post-operative morbidity and survival. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection for gastric adenocarcinoma between 2008 and 2014. Patient demographics, radiological parameters, and pathological data were collected. OsiriX software (Pixmeo) was used to measure skeletal muscle area, which was normalized for height to calculate skeletal muscle index. Results: A total of 56 patients (41 male, 15 female; mean age, $68.4{\pm}11.9years$) met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 36% (20 of 56) of the patients were sarcopenic pre-operatively. Both sarcopenic and non-sarcopenic patient groups were equally matched with the exception of weight and body mass index (P=0.036 and 0.001, respectively). Sarcopenia was associated with a decreased overall survival (log-rank P=0.003) and was an adverse prognostic predictor of overall survival in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 10.915; P=0.001). Sarcopenia was a predictor of serious in-hospital complications in multivariate analysis (odds ratio, 3.508; P=0.042). Conclusions: In patients undergoing curative resection for gastric cancer, there was a statistically significant association between sarcopenia and both decreased overall survival and serious post-operative complications. The measurement and reporting of skeletal muscle index on pre-operative computed tomography should be considered.

Post-operative Treatment with Cisplatin and Vinorelbine in Chinese Patients with Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Clinical Prospective Analysis of 451 Patients

  • Wang, Jing;Liu, Feng;Huang, Deng-Xiao;Jiang, Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.4505-4510
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: To determine the efficacy of post-operative chemotherapy with cisplatin plus vinorelbine (NP) in Chinese patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: A total of 451 patients with NSCLCs at stages I, II, and IIIA after surgical resection were treated with cisplatin plus vinorelbine for 4 cycles or volunteers observed between January 2002 and November 2004 and were followed for five years. The therapeutic efficacy was evaluated with reference to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and adverse effects were also recorded. Potential factors affecting the lengths of OS and DFS were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Results: Most patients (86.7%) completed at least 4 cycles of treatment. Patients with chemotherapy survived significantly longer than those in the observation group (p<0.001). The absolute improvements in the 2 and 5-year OS were 3.8% [hazard ratio (HR) =0.674, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.554-0.820, P<0.0001] and 13.0% (HR=0.732, 95% CI: 0.579-0.926, P=0.009), respectively. The improvement at 4-year DFS was 2.1% (HR=0.327, 95% CI: 0.214-0.500, P<0.0001). Stratification analysis revealed that older age, histological type, pathological degree, but not the gender and smoking status, are independent factors affecting the length of survival in this population. Many patients (63.3%) had grade 1-III tolerable adverse effects, and there was no treatment-related death. Conclusions: Post-operative chemotherapy with NP regimen is effective and tolerable in Chinese patients with NSCLC.

어린이와 청소년 환자에서 일차의료의 지속성과 입원 위험도의 관련성 (Association of Higher Continuity of Primary Care with Lower Risk of Hospitalization among Children and Adolescent Patients)

  • 최용준;강성현;김용익
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.85-107
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to describe levels and distribution of the continuity of primary care among children and adolescent patients who are 2-19 years old, and analyze the effects of it on the risk of hospitalization. Study population was 2-19 year old child and adolescent patients as of 2002, who had more than three ambulatory care visits in the years of 2002-3 and whose most frequent provider was the primary care practices (189,660 persons). Association of levels of primary care with the risk of hospitalization was evaluated using multiple event survival analysis. Outcome variables were whether the patient had hospitalized or not, and whether the patient had hospitalized due to ambulatory care-sensitive conditions or not. Multiple event survival analysis revealed statistically significant association of the levels of primary care with the risk of hospitalization. Hazard ratio was 1.34 [1.27-1.41] at the medium level of continuity and 1.47 [1.39-1.55] at the lower level where outcome variable was whether the patient had been hospitalized or not. Hazard ratios were 1.35 [1.21-1.50] at the medium level of continuity and 1.60 [1.44-1.78] at the lower level, where outcome variable was whether the patient been had hospitalized due to ambulatory care-sensitive conditions or not. This study produced some evidences on the benefits of continuity of care, which will in turn support the introduction of personal doctor registration program in the future.