• Title/Summary/Keyword: Surrogate modeling

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Rapid Estimation of the Aerodynamic Coefficients of a Missile via Co-Kriging (코크리깅을 활용한 신속한 유도무기 공력계수 추정)

  • Kang, Shinseong;Lee, Kyunghoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2020
  • Surrogate models have been used for the rapid estimation of six-DOF aerodynamic coefficients in the context of the design and control of a missile. For this end, we may generate highly accurate surrogate models with a multitude of aerodynamic data obtained from wind tunnel tests (WTTs); however, this approach is time-consuming and expensive. Thus, we aim to swiftly predict aerodynamic coefficients via co-Kriging using a few WTT data along with plenty of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. To demonstrate the excellence of co-Kriging models based on both WTT and CFD data, we first generated two surrogate models: co-Kriging models with CFD data and Kriging models without the CFD data. Afterwards, we carried out numerical validation and examined predictive trends to compare the two different surrogate models. As a result, we found that the co-Kriging models produced more accurate aerodynamic coefficients than the Kriging models thanks to the assistance of CFD data.

Investigation on the nonintrusive multi-fidelity reduced-order modeling for PWR rod bundles

  • Kang, Huilun;Tian, Zhaofei;Chen, Guangliang;Li, Lei;Chu, Tianhui
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1825-1834
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    • 2022
  • Performing high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (HF-CFD) to predict the flow and heat transfer state of the coolant in the reactor core is expensive, especially in scenarios that require extensive parameter search, such as uncertainty analysis and design optimization. This work investigated the performance of utilizing a multi-fidelity reduced-order model (MF-ROM) in PWR rod bundles simulation. Firstly, basis vectors and basis vector coefficients of high-fidelity and low-fidelity CFD results are extracted separately by the proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) approach. Secondly, a surrogate model is trained to map the relationship between the extracted coefficients from different fidelity results. In the prediction stage, the coefficients of the low-fidelity data under the new operating conditions are extracted by using the obtained POD basis vectors. Then, the trained surrogate model uses the low-fidelity coefficients to regress the high-fidelity coefficients. The predicted high-fidelity data is reconstructed from the product of extracted basis vectors and the regression coefficients. The effectiveness of the MF-ROM is evaluated on a flow and heat transfer problem in PWR fuel rod bundles. Two data-driven algorithms, the Kriging and artificial neural network (ANN), are trained as surrogate models for the MF-ROM to reconstruct the complex flow and heat transfer field downstream of the mixing vanes. The results show good agreements between the data reconstructed with the trained MF-ROM and the high-fidelity CFD simulation result, while the former only requires to taken the computational burden of low-fidelity simulation. The results also show that the performance of the ANN model is slightly better than the Kriging model when using a high number of POD basis vectors for regression. Moreover, the result presented in this paper demonstrates the suitability of the proposed MF-ROM for high-fidelity fixed value initialization to accelerate complex simulation.

A random forest-regression-based inverse-modeling evolutionary algorithm using uniform reference points

  • Gholamnezhad, Pezhman;Broumandnia, Ali;Seydi, Vahid
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.805-815
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    • 2022
  • The model-based evolutionary algorithms are divided into three groups: estimation of distribution algorithms, inverse modeling, and surrogate modeling. Existing inverse modeling is mainly applied to solve multi-objective optimization problems and is not suitable for many-objective optimization problems. Some inversed-model techniques, such as the inversed-model of multi-objective evolutionary algorithm, constructed from the Pareto front (PF) to the Pareto solution on nondominated solutions using a random grouping method and Gaussian process, were introduced. However, some of the most efficient inverse models might be eliminated during this procedure. Also, there are challenges, such as the presence of many local PFs and developing poor solutions when the population has no evident regularity. This paper proposes inverse modeling using random forest regression and uniform reference points that map all nondominated solutions from the objective space to the decision space to solve many-objective optimization problems. The proposed algorithm is evaluated using the benchmark test suite for evolutionary algorithms. The results show an improvement in diversity and convergence performance (quality indicators).

Shape Optimization of LMR Fuel Assembly Using Radial Basis Neural Network Technique (신경회로망 기법을 사용한 액체금속원자로 봉다발의 형상최적화)

  • Raza, Wasim;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.663-671
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    • 2007
  • In this work, shape optimization of a wire-wrapped fuel assembly in a liquid metal reactor has been carried out by combining a three-dimensional Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes analysis with the radial basis neural network method, a well known surrogate modeling technique for optimization. Sequential Quadratic Programming is used to search the optimal point from the constructed surrogate. Two geometric design variables are selected for the optimization and design space is sampled using Latin Hypercube Sampling. The optimization problem has been defined as a maximization of the objective function, which is as a linear combination of heat transfer and friction loss related terms with a weighing factor. The objective function value is more sensitive to the ratio of the wire spacer diameter to the fuel rod diameter than to the ratio of the wire wrap pitch to the fuel rod diameter. The optimal values of the design variables are obtained by varying the weighting factor.

Surrogate Model for Potential Evapotranspiration Using a difference in Maximum and Minimum Temperature within a Hargreaves Modeling Framework (온도인자를 활용한 Hargreaves 모형 기반의 잠재증발산량 대체 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Kang Wook;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.184-184
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    • 2020
  • 수자원 계획 및 관리 시 증발산량의 정량적 분석은 필수적으로 고려되는 사항 중 하나이다. 일단위 이하의 잠재증발산량 산정은 세계식량기구(FAO)가 Penman-Monteith 방법을 기반으로 개발한 FAO56 PM 방법을 주로 활용하며, 이는 다른 방법에 비하여 높은 정확성과 적용성이 뛰어나다. 그러나 FAO56 PM 방법의 입력 매개변수는 다양한 기상자료이며, 장기간의 신뢰성 높은 자료를 구축하는 것은 어려운 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 증발산량 공식인 Hargreaves 공식을 활용하여 FAO56 PM 방법으로 산정된 잠재증발산량과 기온차 사이의 시계열 관계를 재구성한 회귀분석 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형에 유역면적을 적용하여 유역면적별 잠재증발산량을 산정하였으며, 이를 기존의 잠재증발산량과의 비교를 통해 모형의 적합성을 평가하였다. 결과적으로, 복잡한 잠재증발산량식을 단순한 대체모형(surrogate model)으로 제시함으로써 효율적인 증발산량 정량적 평가와 제한적인 기상자료 조건에 보편적 활용이 가능하다. 향후 연구에서는 회귀분석방법에 Bayesian 추론기법을 활용하여 구성함으로 잠재증발산량의 불확실성을 정량적으로 표현하고자 한다.

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Evolutionary computational approaches for data-driven modeling of multi-dimensional memory-dependent systems

  • Bolourchi, Ali;Masri, Sami F.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.897-911
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a novel approach based on advancements in Evolutionary Computation for data-driven modeling of complex multi-dimensional memory-dependent systems. The investigated example is a benchmark coupled three-dimensional system that incorporates 6 Bouc-Wen elements, and is subjected to external excitations at three points. The proposed technique of this research adapts Genetic Programming for discovering the optimum structure of the differential equation of an auxiliary variable associated with every specific degree-of-freedom of this system that integrates the imposed effect of vibrations at all other degrees-of-freedom. After the termination of the first phase of the optimization process, a system of differential equations is formed that represent the multi-dimensional hysteretic system. Then, the parameters of this system of differential equations are optimized in the second phase using Genetic Algorithms to yield accurate response estimates globally, because the separately obtained differential equations are coupled essentially, and their true performance can be assessed only when the entire system of coupled differential equations is solved. The resultant model after the second phase of optimization is a low-order low-complexity surrogate computational model that represents the investigated three-dimensional memory-dependent system. Hence, this research presents a promising data-driven modeling technique for obtaining optimized representative models for multi-dimensional hysteretic systems that yield reasonably accurate results, and can be generalized to many problems, in various fields, ranging from engineering to economics as well as biology.

Optimization of a Gate Valve using Design of Experiments and the Kriging Based Approximation Model (실험계획법과 크리깅 근사모델에 의한 게이트밸브 최적화)

  • Kang, Jung-Ho;Kang, Jin;Park, Young-Chul
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is an optimization of gate valve made by forging method instead of welding method. In this study, we propose an optimal shape design to improve the mechanical efficiency of gate valve. In order to optimize more efficiently and reliably, the meta-modeling technique has been developed to solve such a complex problems combined with the DACE (Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments). The DACE modeling, known as the one of Kriging interpolation, is introduced to obtain the surrogate approximation model of the function. Also, we prove reliability of the DACE model's application to gate valve by computer simulations using FEM(Finite Element Method).

Neural Organoids, a Versatile Model for Neuroscience

  • Lee, Ju-Hyun;Sun, Woong
    • Molecules and Cells
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2022
  • Three-dimensional cultures of human neural tissue/organlike structures in vitro can be achieved by mimicking the developmental processes occurring in vivo. Rapid progress in the field of neural organoids has fueled the hope (and hype) for improved understanding of brain development and functions, modeling of neural diseases, discovery of new drugs, and supply of surrogate sources of transplantation. In this short review, we summarize the state-of-the-art applications of this fascinating tool in various research fields and discuss the reality of the technique hoping that the current limitations will soon be overcome by the efforts of ingenious researchers.

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) Surrogate Models for Chemical Process Design and Analysis (화학 공정 설계 및 분석을 위한 설명 가능한 인공지능 대안 모델)

  • Yuna Ko;Jonggeol Na
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.542-549
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    • 2023
  • Since the growing interest in surrogate modeling, there has been continuous research aimed at simulating nonlinear chemical processes using data-driven machine learning. However, the opaque nature of machine learning models, which limits their interpretability, poses a challenge for their practical application in industry. Therefore, this study aims to analyze chemical processes using Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), a concept that improves interpretability while ensuring model accuracy. While conventional sensitivity analysis of chemical processes has been limited to calculating and ranking the sensitivity indices of variables, we propose a methodology that utilizes XAI to not only perform global and local sensitivity analysis, but also examine the interactions among variables to gain physical insights from the data. For the ammonia synthesis process, which is the target process of the case study, we set the temperature of the preheater leading to the first reactor and the split ratio of the cold shot to the three reactors as process variables. By integrating Matlab and Aspen Plus, we obtained data on ammonia production and the maximum temperatures of the three reactors while systematically varying the process variables. We then trained tree-based models and performed sensitivity analysis using the SHAP technique, one of the XAI methods, on the most accurate model. The global sensitivity analysis showed that the preheater temperature had the greatest effect, and the local sensitivity analysis provided insights for defining the ranges of process variables to improve productivity and prevent overheating. By constructing alternative models for chemical processes and using XAI for sensitivity analysis, this work contributes to providing both quantitative and qualitative feedback for process optimization.

Stochastic identification of masonry parameters in 2D finite elements continuum models

  • Giada Bartolini;Anna De Falco;Filippo Landi
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.429-444
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    • 2023
  • The comprehension and structural modeling of masonry constructions is fundamental to safeguard the integrity of built cultural assets and intervene through adequate actions, especially in earthquake-prone regions. Despite the availability of several modeling strategies and modern computing power, modeling masonry remains a great challenge because of still demanding computational efforts, constraints in performing destructive or semi-destructive in-situ tests, and material uncertainties. This paper investigates the shear behavior of masonry walls by applying a plane-stress FE continuum model with the Modified Masonry-like Material (MMLM). Epistemic uncertainty affecting input parameters of the MMLM is considered in a probabilistic framework. After appointing a suitable probability density function to input quantities according to prior engineering knowledge, uncertainties are propagated to outputs relying on gPCE-based surrogate models to considerably speed up the forward problem-solving. The sensitivity of the response to input parameters is evaluated through the computation of Sobol' indices pointing out the parameters more worthy to be further investigated, when dealing with the seismic assessment of masonry buildings. Finally, masonry mechanical properties are calibrated in a probabilistic setting with the Bayesian approach to the inverse problem based on the available measurements obtained from the experimental load-displacement curves provided by shear compression in-situ tests.