• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.61-80
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• 2021

As the business environment becomes more rapid and unpredictable change, greater diversity, increased complexity, and intensified competitive pressures, supply chain risk management has been growing attention over the past several decades. However, little of known about how absorptive capacity can mitigate supply chain risk for improving operational performance despite its important role in responding to supply chain risk. Therefore, we aim to examine the role of organizational-level absorptive capacity on operational performance, and further identify how the interplay of individual-level and organizational-level absorptive capacity results in operational performance. Our results represent not only direct but also indirect effects of supply chain risk on operational performance, mediated by organizational-level absorptive capacity. Furthermore, this study reveals that individual-level absorptive capacity enhances the effect of organizational-level absorptive capacity on operational performance.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.38-49
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• 2016

This paper proposes a mathematical model-based solution for sourcing decisions with an objective of minimizing the manufacturer's total cost in the two-echelon supply chain with supply capacity risk. The risk impact is represented by uniform, beta, and triangular distributions. For the mathematical model, the probability vector of normal, risk, and recovery statuses are developed by using the status transition probability matrix and the equations for estimating the supply capacity under risk and recovery statuses are derived for each of the three probability distributions. Those formulas derived are validated using the sampling method. The results of the simulation study on the test problem show that the sourcing decisions using the proposed solution reduce the total cost by 1.6~3.7%, compared with the ones without a consideration of supply capacity risk. The total cost reduction increases approximately in a linear fashion as the probability of risk occurrence or reduction rate of supply capacity due to risk events is increased.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권6호
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• pp.39-44
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• 2012

Water supply capacity and operational capability in agricultural reservoirs are expressed differently in the limited storage due to seasonal and local variation of precipitation. Since agricultural water supply and demand basically assumes the uncertainty of hydrological phenomena, it is necessary to improve probabilistic approach for potential risk assessment of water supply capacity in reservoir for enhanced operational storage management. Here, it was introduced the irrigation vulnerability characteristic curves to represent the water supply capacity corresponding to probability distribution of the water demand from the paddy field and water supply in agricultural reservoir. Irrigation vulnerability probability was formulated using reliability analysis method based on water supply and demand probability distribution. The lower duration of irrigation vulnerability probability defined as the time period requiring intensive water management, and it will be considered to assessment tools as a risk mitigated water supply planning in decision making with a limited reservoir storage.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제55권8호
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• pp.589-601
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• 2022

가뭄은 자연적 현상이지만, 지역의 물리적 및 사회적 요소와 결합되어 피해가 발생한다. 특히, 각종 용수 공급 및 수요과 연관되어 사회 경제적으로 큰 피해를 야기시킨다. 비슷한 심도의 기상학적 가뭄에도 지역의 특성과 용수공급체계에 따라 실제로 발생하는 가뭄 피해는 다르다. 본 연구에서는 지역의 사회·경제적 인자와 용수공급체계를 고려하여 가뭄 위험도를 평가하였다. 노출성은 용수공급 과부족량을 나타내는 결합가뭄관리지수(JDMI)를 등급화하여 평가하였다. 취약성은 가뭄에 영향을 받는 10개의 사회·경제적 인자에 엔트로피, PCA 및 GMM를 적용하여 가중평균하여 평가하였다. 대응능력은 지역의 용수능력을 나타내는 인자들을 베이지안 네트워크에 적용하여 평가하였다. 위험도는 노출성, 취약성 및 대응능력을 통합하여 결정하였다. 용수공급 실패 사상의 발생 가능성을 의미하는 가뭄 노출성을 평가한 결과, 괴산군이 0.81로 가장 높게 나타났다. 가뭄 취약성의 경우, 대전광역시가 0.61로 매우 취약한 것으로 나타났다. 지역의 용수공급체계가 고려된 가뭄 대응능력을 평가한 결과, 세종시가 가뭄 대응능력이 가장 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로 위험도를 평가한 결과, 청주시가 가장 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과를 통해 가뭄에 대한 위험 및 취약 원인을 파악하였으며, 향후 지역의 특성을 고려한 가뭄 피해 저감 정책 마련이 가능하다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제29권11호
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• pp.1099-1108
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• 2020

In this study, the capacity of supplying agricultural water to 13 districts was analyzed by calculating the necessary water supply for the arable land of Gunwi-gun and examining the capacity of supplying water to reservoirs, streams, pumping stations, collection sites, and groundwater wells in Gunwi-gun. As a result, among the 13 districts the second district was found to be short of water by 1.2×10⁶ tons/year. In general, local governments establish drought measures by selecting drought disaster risk zones. While selecting drought-risk areas, some water-poor areas that do not have water sources should be selected, even if the entire area has a sufficient water supply. The water-supply evaluation at the regional level was insufficient for locating areas without water sources, but most areas with water sources, such as streams, reservoirs, and pumping stations, were found to have no shortage of water. To locate water shortage areas without water sources, GIS analysis conducted a field survey of areas with a distance of 4 or less than that of water sources analyzed by GIS analysis. Sixty-nine sites in 13 districts were selected for the on-site survey and six areas of water shortage were identified in areas other than the second district.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.1789-1794
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• 2014

This paper suggests an application method for a superconducting fault current limiter (SFCL) using an evaluation index to estimate the risk regarding the short-circuit capacity of the circuit breaker (CB). Recently, power distribution systems have become more complex to ensure that supply continuously keeps pace with the growth of demand. However, the mesh or loop network power systems suffer from a problem in which the fault current exceeds the short-circuit capacity of the CBs when a fault occurs. Most case studies on the application of the SFCL have focused on its development and performance in limiting fault current. In this study, an analysis of the application method of an SFCL considering the risk of the CB's short-circuit capacitor was carried out in situations when a fault occurs in a loop network power system, where each line connected with the fault point carries a different current that is above or below the short-circuit capacitor of the CB. A loop network power system using PSCAD/EMTDC was modeled to investigate the risk ratio of the CB and the effect of the SFCL on the reduction of fault current through various case studies. Through the risk evaluations of the simulation results, the estimation of the risk ratio is adequate to apply the SFCL and demonstrate the fault current limiting effect.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.406-408
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• 2000

Recently, Korea's electric industry is in the midst of a period of profound changes in the structure and function, including the introduction of market competition in the generation sector. Therefore, it is difficult to promote long-term capacity planning and new generating capacity construction which have been driven by KEPCO so far, after the introduction of market competition, so new generating capacity construction and security of reserve margin is needed through self·regulation plan of private generation producers by market mechanism. According to the competition in the generation sector, a new paradigm is necessary to the long-term capacity planning driven by the Government. This paper analyzes the plan and the incentive level able to guide the new generation capacity construction considering the uncertainty risk in a period of introduction of competition. In addition, this paper analyzes the plan able to guide the new capacity construction by market function at the stage which market become established and Government's role to solve the anxiety about the capacity supply and demand.

• Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.237-258
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• 2021

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the risks of an over-concentration of supply chains in one country. It has motivated stakeholders to pursue diversification strategies. However, a paradox exists. Stakeholders have shied away from a complete decoupling and preferring to selectively enhance economic ties with China. This article explores this paradox by examining supply chain concentration in China as a form of asymmetric interdependence and the countermeasures from the U.S., Japan, Australia, and India to minimize vulnerabilities. It argues that while the COVID-19 disruptions have brought to light the risk of supply chain overconcentration in China, countermeasures are also driven by coercive diplomacy and the deepening U.S.-China rivalry. The paper also examines the feasibility of diversification efforts by focusing on the capacity and capabilities of alternative supply chain hubs. It finds that while states are actively seeking ways to prevent China from using asymmetric interdependence of supply chains and trade to gain political leverage, there are structural limits to the degree of diversification in the short to mid-term.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.82-83
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• 2017

The samll-medium sized cities do not have enough infrastructure for the construction work, especially in terms of concrete supply. This research surveyed the capacity of remicon companies in Gunsan related with production and delivery. Their production capacity is bigger than the daily quantity required, however the delivery capacity is not enough to supply the daily quantity required and it is inevitable to use the several remicon using different admixture. It might cause the harm to the structure. This research studied the way to remove the quality risk when using different admixture at the same time.

• 자원리싸이클링
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.3-12
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• 2013

수요확대가 전망되고 공급구조가 경직된 금속자원은 각국의 산업구조 및 자원확보 역량에 따라 리스크 관리가 필요하다. 이를 위해 금속자원의 위기성 평가가 다양화되고 있는데, 주로 희토류 등 희유금속이 위기물질 혹은 중요물질(Critical materials, Critical metal, Critical raw materials)로 선정되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기술변화 및 수급불균형 등을 고려한 위기물질 선정체제 및 관리현황에 대해 살펴보고자 한다. 유럽, 미국 등은 신재생에너지 보급 확대에 따른 원재료 리스크를 평가하고 있으며, 일본은 자국 내 성장동력산업을 중심으로 핵심 원재료를 파악하고 있다. 영국은 자원채굴에 따른 환경부하를 고려하여 광종별 위기성을 평가하였다. 그리고 이러한 위기물질들의 가격시그널의 미약성, 비탄력적 공급구조, 기술변화에 민감한 수요변동성 등의 특징을 분석하였다.