• Title/Summary/Keyword: Summer Rainfall

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Summer Precipitation Forecast Using Satellite Data and Numerical Weather Forecast Model Data (광역 위성 영상과 수치예보자료를 이용한 여름철 강수량 예측)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Cho, So-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.7
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    • pp.631-641
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    • 2012
  • In this study, satellite data (MTSAT-1R), a numerical weather prediction model, RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) output, ground weather station data, and artificial neural networks were used to improve the accuracy of summer rainfall forecasts. The developed model was applied to the Seoul station to forecast the rainfall at 3, 6, 9, and 12-hour lead times. Also to reflect the different weather conditions during the summer season which is related to the frontal precipitation and the cyclonic precipitation such as Jangma and Typhoon, the neural network models were formed for two different periods of June-July and August-September respectively. The rainfall forecast model was trained during the summer season of 2006 and 2008 and was verified for that of 2009 based on the data availability. The results demonstrated that the model allows us to get the improved rainfall forecasts until lead time of 6 hour, but there is still a large room to improve the rainfall forecast skill.

Rainfall Characteristics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation from TRMM Precipitation Radar: Convective and Stratiform Rain (TRMM 자료로 분석한 매든-줄리안 진동의 대류성 및 층운형 강수 특징)

  • Son, Jun-Hyeok;Seo, Kyong-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.333-341
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    • 2010
  • The stratiform rain fraction is investigated in the tropical boreal winter Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and summer intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Precipitation Rader data for the 11-yr period from 1998 to 2008. Composite analysis shows that the MJO/ISO produces larger stratiform rain rate than convective rain rate for nearly all phases following the propagating MJO/ISO deep clouds, with the greatest stratiform rainfall amount when the MJO/ISO center is located over the central-eastern Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The fraction of the intraseasonally filtered stratiform rainfall compared to total rainfall (i.e., convective plus stratiform rainfall) amounts to 53~56%, which is 13~16% larger than the stratiform rain fraction estimated for the same data on seasonal-to-annual time scales by Schumacher and Houze. This indicates that the MJO/ISO exhibits the organized rainfall process which is characterized by the shallow convection/heating at the incipient phase and the subsequent flare-up of strong deep convection, followed by the development of stratiform clouds at the upper troposphere.

Evaluation of Phosphorus and Nitrogen Delivery Characteristics of Chogang Stream Sediments (초강천의 퇴적물 분석을 이용한 총인 및 질소의 유달 특성 평가)

  • Kang, Seon-Hong;Seo, Dong-il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 1997
  • To estimate the nutrients delivery characteristics of Chogang stream to Keum River, sediment and soil characteristics were analyzed in the stream and in the stream bank. Along the stream, soil samples from river sediment were collected and tested monthly for phosphorus and nitrogen concentrations. Nitrogen concentration in the sediment is much lower than that of soil in the river bank especially in summer presumably due to the high desorption characteristics of nitrogen by the increasing rainfall energy during summer. Instead, the concentrations of phosphorus were similar for the sediment and the soil in the river bank due to the strong adsorption characteristics of phosphorus. Batch tests were performed to evaluate the desorption potential of the sediments. Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) was applied to quantify soil erosion in each watershed due to rainfall. It was estimated that approximately 25% of total phosphorus by mass basis could be released from the sediment if the water was disturbed vigorously. The mass load of nitrogen and phosphorus into the Chogang Stream from the watershed were evaluated from the USLE and release ratio of phosphorus.

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Threshold Modelling of Spatial Extremes - Summer Rainfall of Korea (공간 극단값의 분계점 모형 사례 연구 - 한국 여름철 강수량)

  • Hwang, Seungyong;Choi, Hyemi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2014
  • An adequate understanding and response to natural hazards such as heat wave, heavy rainfall and severe drought is required. We apply extreme value theory to analyze these abnormal weather phenomena. It is common for extremes in climatic data to be nonstationary in space and time. In this paper, we analyze summer rainfall data in South Korea using exceedance values over thresholds estimated by quantile regression with location information and time as covariates. We group weather stations in South Korea into 5 clusters and t extreme value models to threshold exceedances for each cluster under the assumption of independence in space and time as well as estimates of uncertainty for spatial dependence as proposed in Northrop and Jonathan (2011).

The Effect of Rainfall on the Water Quality of a Small Reservoir (Lake Wangkung, Korea)

  • Hwang, Gil-Son;Kim, Jae-Ok;Kim, Jai-Ku;Kim, Young-Chul;Kim, Bom-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.38 no.spc
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    • pp.39-43
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    • 2005
  • The dynamics of water quality with the storm events were analyzed in a small reservoir for irrigation, Lake Wangkung. Water quality of the inflowing stream fluctuated seasonally with the variation of flow rate. Thermal stratification was consistent from April to October below 2 m depths and anoxic layer was developed below 2 m depth in summer. The unique feature of temperature showed that thermal stratification was disrupted by a heavy rain event during monsoon, but hypolimnetic hypoxia were reestablished after a few days. Phosphorus and nitrogen increased immediately following storm events. The marked increase may be due to the input of P-rich storm runoff from the watershed. Internal phosphorus loading can be one of the explanations for TP increases in summer. When there was a storm, total populations of phytoplankton and zooplankton was reduced immediately following the storm, indicating possible flushing of algae and zooplankton. After a lag period of low-density the plankton population bloomed to a peak again within five days after the storm. Turbid water in lake became clear again which coincided with the time of the phytoplankton buildup. The results demonstrate that water quality is regulated greatly by rainfall intensity in Lake Wangkung.

On the Relation Between Cloud-to-Ground Lightning and Rainfall During 2006 and 2007 Summer Cases (2006-2007년 여름 사례로 본 구름-지면 낙뢰와 강우의 관계)

  • Oh, Seok-Geun;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Lee, Yun-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.31 no.7
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    • pp.749-761
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    • 2010
  • A relationship between cloud-to-ground lightning and rainfall was investigated by using the two-years (2006-2007) summer lightning data and the automatic weather stations (AWSs) data of the Korea Meteorological Administration. The negative lightning occurred at the core of highly concentrated convection, which is often accompanied with heavy rains. Whereas most positive lightning occurred at the anvil cloud with low density and light rains. The rainfall intensity is strongest when the negative and positive lightning occurred concurrently, and one with lightning is much stronger than that without lightning. A portion of the positive lightning of the total lightning was less than 10% during summer seasons, and the lightning without rains was about 34%. The rain rate was strongly correlated with the negative flash rate, and the correlation coefficients varied between 0.87 and 0.94 according to the co-location radius (5-15 km) of AWSs. Most of the lightning occurred 10 minutes before and/or concurrently occurred with rains. A portion of the convective rainfalls of the total rainfalls was at least 20% when we define the rainfalls with lightning as convective. The convective rainfall was greater during August than in June and July. In general, the portion of convective rainfalls showed a maximum diurnal variation during late afternoon as in the rains and lightning.

Rainfall and Runoff Characteristics on a Deciduous Forest Watershed in Mt. Ungsek, Sancheong (산청 웅석봉군립공원 내 활엽수림유역의 강수와 유출특성)

  • Kim, Ki-Dae;Choi, Hyung-Tae;Lim, Hong-Geun;Park, Jae-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.1
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to investigate orographic precipitation and green dam (water conservation function) characteristics in a deciduous forest watershed in the region of Mt. Ungseok, Sancheong, Gyeongnam, South Korea. The rainfall and runoff of the watershed were monitored for six years (2011~2016) at the weather station and at the weir of the watershed, respectively. During the study period, the rainfall in the watershed (mountainous area) was larger than that of the meteorological station (flat area) nearest to the watershed. Besides, compared to the normal year (1981~2010), the rainfall has increased and the seasonal distribution of rainfall of the mountainous area has changed. These changes might have been caused by climate change. The runoff ratio was highest in spring, followed by winter, summer and fall, whilst the runoff was highest in summer, followed by spring, fall and winter. This difference seems to be due to the melting of snow in dry spring and intensive rainfall in summer. The total runoff in the watershed was calculated as $10,143.8ton{\cdot}ha{\cdot}yr^{-1}$.

Evaluation of the Application of Radar Data for Local Landslide Warning (국지적 산사태 발생 예보를 위한 레이더 자료의 활용성 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Choi, Cheon Kyu;Kim, Kyung Tak;Kim, Joo Hun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2013
  • Landslide in Korea occurs generally in summer, and rainfall is a major factor to trigger landslides. This study evaluates the applicability of radar rainfall to estimate landslide occurs locally in mountainous area. Temporal changes in spatial distribution of rainfall is analyzed using radar data, and the characteristics of rainfall in landslide area during the landslide occurred in Inje, July 2006. This study shows radar rainfall field can estimate local landslides more precisely than the rainfall data from ground gauges.

Impact of Urban Canopy and High Horizontal Resolution on Summer Convective Rainfall in Urban Area: A case Study of Rainfall Events on 16 August 2015 (도시 캐노피와 수평 고해상도가 여름철 대류성 도시 강수에 미치는 영향: 2015년 8월 16일 서울 강수 사례 분석)

  • Lee, Young-Hee;Min, Ki-Hong
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.141-158
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to examine the impact of urban canopy and the horizontal resolution on simulated meteorological variables such as 10-m wind speed, 2-m temperature and precipitation using WRF model for a local, convective rainfall case. We performed four sensitivity tests by varying the use of urban canopy model (UCM) and the horizontal resolution, then compared the model results with observations of AWS network. The focus of our study is over the Seoul metropolitan area for a convective rainfall that occurred on 16 August 16 2015. The analysis shows that mean diurnal variation of temperature is better simulated by the model runs with UCM before the convective rainfall. However, after rainfall, model shows significant difference in air temperature among sensitivity tests depending on the simulated rainfall amount. The rainfall amount is significantly underestimated in 0.5 km resolution model run compared to 1.5 km resolution, particularly over the urban areas. This is due to earlier occurrence of light rainfall in 0.5 km resolution model. Earlier light rainfall in the afternoon eliminates convective instability significantly, which prevents occurrence of rainfall later in the evening. The use of UCM results in a higher maximum rainfall in the domain, which is due to higher temperature in model runs with urban canopy. Earlier occurrence of rainfall in 0.5 km resolution model is related to rapid growth of PBL. Enhanced mixing and higher temperature result in rapid growth of PBL, which provides more favorable conditions for convection in the 0.5 km resolution run with urban canopy. All sensitivity tests show dry bias, which also contributes to the occurrence of light precipitation throughout the simulation period.