• 제목/요약/키워드: Structural modeling uncertainties

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.024초

강우-유출 모델링의 불확실성 고려한 다중 평가지수에 의한 확장형 모형평가 방법 (An Extended Model Evaluation Method using Multiple Assessment Indices (MAIs) under Uncertainty in Rainfall-Runoff Modeling)

  • 이기하;정관수;타치카와 야수토
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.591-595
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    • 2010
  • Conventional methods of model evaluation usually rely only on model performance based on a comparison of simulated variables to corresponding observations. However, this type of model evaluation has been criticized because of its insufficient consideration of the various uncertainty sources involved in modeling processes. This study aims to propose an extended model evaluation method using multiple assesment indices (MAIs) that consider not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in rainfall-runoff modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250m, 500m, and 1km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three MAIs for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. In addition, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. Numerous parameter sets could lead to indistinguishable hydrographs. This result supports that while making a model complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty. The proposed model evaluation process can provide an effective guideline for identifying a reliable hydrologic model.

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Structural Performance of Reinforced Concrete Flat Plate Buildings Subjected to Fire

  • George, Sara J.;Tian, Ying
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2012
  • The research presented in this paper analytically examines the fire performance of flat plate buildings. The modeling parameters for the mechanical and thermal properties of materials are calibrated from relevant test data to minimize the uncertainties involved in analysis. The calibrated models are then adopted to perform a nonlinear finite element simulation on a flat plate building subjected to fire. The analysis examines the characteristics of slab deflection, in-plane deformation, membrane force, bending moment redistribution, and slab rotational deformation near the supporting columns. The numerical simulation enables the understanding of structural performance of flat plate under elevated temperature and, more importantly, identifies the high risk of punching failure at slab-column connections that may trigger large-scale failure in flat plate structures.

A homogenization approach for uncertainty quantification of deflection in reinforced concrete beams considering microstructural variability

  • Kim, Jung J.;Fan, Tai;Reda Taha, Mahmoud M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.503-516
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    • 2011
  • Uncertainty in concrete properties, including concrete modulus of elasticity and modulus of rupture, are predicted by developing a microstructural homogenization model. The homogenization model is developed by analyzing a concrete representative volume element (RVE) using the finite element (FE) method. The concrete RVE considers concrete as a three phase composite material including: cement paste, aggregate and interfacial transition zone (ITZ). The homogenization model allows for considering two sources of variability in concrete, randomly dispersed aggregates in the concrete matrix and uncertain mechanical properties of composite phases of concrete. Using the proposed homogenization technique, the uncertainty in concrete modulus of elasticity and modulus of rupture (described by numerical cumulative probability density function) are determined. Deflection uncertainty of reinforced concrete (RC) beams, propagated from uncertainties in concrete properties, is quantified using Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. Cracked plane frame analysis is used to account for tension stiffening in concrete. Concrete homogenization enables a unique opportunity to bridge the gap between concrete materials and structural modeling, which is necessary for realistic serviceability prediction.

ISM기법을 이용한 도시재생사업 리스크 요인의 상관성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Correlation Analysis of Risk Factors for Urban Regeneration Using ISM method)

  • 박범석;김윤식;한상원;현창택
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.192-193
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    • 2013
  • In recent years, risks associated with mixed used development in urban regeneration projects which have actively been implemented have been on the rise due to uncertainties and complexities of those projects. Thus, risk management is needed to effectively manage those risks that may occur during the process of a project. Many studies have contributed to deal with risk management of those projects. These studies, however, have focused main on identification stage and deriving the main risk factors and have limitations on presenting the relationship among those risk factors. Since many risks are interdependent and have multiple effects, the purpose of this study is to present a way(ISM method) to provide a hierarchical structural framework of risks in Urban Regeneration. The structural of risks can helps decision makers to trace the actual source of these risks.

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A two-stage damage detection approach based on subset selection and genetic algorithms

  • Yun, Gun Jin;Ogorzalek, Kenneth A.;Dyke, Shirley J.;Song, Wei
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2009
  • A two-stage damage detection method is proposed and demonstrated for structural health monitoring. In the first stage, the subset selection method is applied for the identification of the multiple damage locations. In the second stage, the damage severities of the identified damaged elements are determined applying SSGA to solve the optimization problem. In this method, the sensitivities of residual force vectors with respect to damage parameters are employed for the subset selection process. This approach is particularly efficient in detecting multiple damage locations. The SEREP is applied as needed to expand the identified mode shapes while using a limited number of sensors. Uncertainties in the stiffness of the elements are also considered as a source of modeling errors to investigate their effects on the performance of the proposed method in detecting damage in real-life structures. Through a series of illustrative examples, the proposed two-stage damage detection method is demonstrated to be a reliable tool for identifying and quantifying multiple damage locations within diverse structural systems.

Robustness analysis of vibration control in structures with uncertain parameters using interval method

  • Chen, Su Huan;Song, Min;Chen, Yu Dong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.185-204
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    • 2005
  • Variations in system parameters due to uncertainties may result in system performance deterioration. Uncertainties in modeling of structures are often considered to ensure that control system is robust with respect to response errors. Hence, the uncertain concept plays an important role in vibration control of the engineering structures. The paper discusses the robustness of the stability of vibration control systems with uncertain parameters. The vibration control problem of an uncertain system is approximated by a deterministic one. The uncertain parameters are described by interval variables. The uncertain state matrix is constructed directly using system physical parameters and avoided to use bounds in Euclidean norm. The feedback gain matrix is determined based on the deterministic systems, and then it is applied to the actual uncertain systems. A method to calculate the upper and lower bounds of eigenvalues of the close-loop system with uncertain parameters is presented. The lower bounds of eigenvalues can be used to estimate the robustness of the stability the controlled system with uncertain parameters. Two numerical examples are given to illustrate the applications of the present approach.

Wind-induced tall building response: a time-domain approach

  • Simiu, Emil;Gabbai, Rene D.;Fritz, William P.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.427-440
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    • 2008
  • Estimates of wind-induced wind effects on tall buildings are based largely on 1980s technology. Such estimates can vary significantly depending upon the wind engineering laboratory producing them. We describe an efficient database-assisted design (DAD) procedure allowing the realistic estimation of wind-induced internal forces with any mean recurrence interval in any individual member. The procedure makes use of (a) time series of directional aerodynamic pressures recorded simultaneously at typically hundreds of ports on the building surface, (b) directional wind climatological data, (c) micrometeorological modeling of ratios between wind speeds in open exposure and mean wind speeds at the top of the building, (d) a physically and probabilistically realistic aerodynamic/climatological interfacing model, and (e) modern computational resources for calculating internal forces and demand-to-capacity ratios for each member being designed. The procedure is applicable to tall buildings not susceptible to aeroelastic effects, and with sufficiently large dimensions to allow placement of the requisite pressure measurement tubes. The paper then addresses the issue of accounting explicitly for uncertainties in the factors that determine wind effects. Unlike for routine structures, for which simplifications inherent in standard provisions are acceptable, for tall buildings these uncertainties need to be considered with care, since over-simplified reliability estimates could defeat the purpose of ad-hoc wind tunnel tests.

A total strain-based hysteretic material model for reinforced concrete structures: theory and verifications

  • Yun, Gun-Jin;Harmon, Thomas G.;Dyke, Shirley J.;So, Migeum
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.217-241
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a total strain-based hysteretic material model based on MCFT is proposed for non-linear finite element analysis of reinforced concrete structures. Although many concrete models have been proposed for simulating behavior of structures under cyclic loading conditions, accurate simulations remain challenging due to uncertainties in materials, pitfalls of crude assumptions of existing models, and limited understanding of failure mechanisms. The proposed model is equipped with a fully generalized hysteresis rule and is formulated for 2D plane stress non-linear finite element analysis. The proposed model has been formulated in a tangent stiffness-based finite element scheme so that it can be used for most general finite element analysis packages. Moreover, it eliminates the need to check that tensile stresses can be transmitted across a crack. The tension stiffening model is a function of the bar orientation and any orientation can be accommodated. The proposed model has been verified with a series of experimental results of 2D RC planar panels. This study also demonstrates how parameters of the proposed model associated with cyclic damage modeling influences the pinched cyclic shear behavior.

Connection stiffness reduction analysis in steel bridge via deep CNN and modal experimental data

  • Dang, Hung V.;Raza, Mohsin;Tran-Ngoc, H.;Bui-Tien, T.;Nguyen, Huan X.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제77권4호
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2021
  • This study devises a novel approach, namely quadruple 1D convolutional neural network, for detecting connection stiffness reduction in steel truss bridge structure using experimental and numerical modal data. The method is developed based on expertise in two domains: firstly, in Structural Health Monitoring, the mode shapes and its high-order derivatives, including second, third, and fourth derivatives, are accurate indicators in assessing damages. Secondly, in the Machine Learning literature, the deep convolutional neural networks are able to extract relevant features from input data, then perform classification tasks with high accuracy and reduced time complexity. The efficacy and effectiveness of the present method are supported through an extensive case study with the railway Nam O bridge. It delivers highly accurate results in assessing damage localization and damage severity for single as well as multiple damage scenarios. In addition, the robustness of this method is tested with the presence of white noise reflecting unavoidable uncertainties in signal processing and modeling in reality. The proposed approach is able to provide stable results with data corrupted by noise up to 10%.

신뢰가 RFID 기술수용에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Effect of Trust to RFID Technology Acceptance)

  • 이미숙
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.47-79
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    • 2008
  • RFID(Radio Frequency Identification) technologies enjoy an enormous interest in all throughout the world, not only from the research but also from corporate practice. Although bar code is gradually substituted with RFID technology, the use of RFID technology in the companies is at the early stages and it's potential value isn't fully realized yet. RFID-related-trust is needed to solve these problems because these phenomena are related to uncertainties or risks disturbing RFID diffusion. This paper focuses on trust in the adoption of RFID and analyzes the effect to RFID technology acceptance of trust. This paper proposes 5 second constructs of trust; institutional trust, trust between companies, trust within company, technology trust, and service provider trust. In order to analyze some relationships between trust variable and 4 variables in TAM, structural equation modeling(SEM) is developed and SPSS 12.0 and AMOS 7.0 are used for analyses.

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