• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock and flow diagram

Search Result 24, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

Causal Loop Analysis and Policy Simulation on the fluctuation of Korean Cattle Price (한우 가격 파동의 인과순환적 구조분석과 정책 시뮬레이션)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.135-163
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aims to analyze the feedback loops and policy simulation of price fluctuation of Korean Cattle. The Korean Cattle market shows the 'Cycle of Beef' since 1970. In general, the market for agricultural commodities exhibit repeated cycles of prices and production. Why Beef products market in Korea shows the fluctuation of cattle and beef price repeatedly for forty years? To find an answer, this paper explores the feedback structure of the dynamics of the beef market by the systems thinking and build a stock-flow diagram model for the simulation of future behavior of the market sector of the Cattle. The dynamic simulation model was developed to identify and analyze the cyclical behavior among many variables, which is the number of cattle (calves, cow, etc.), the price of cattle, the demand for beef, the desirable number of cattle, slaughter, etc. The results of this study demonstrate that dominant feedback loops between the number of cattle and livestock prices. The demand for Beef and slaughter with time delay, also the results of the simulation to explain the persistence of future price fluctuations and actions meat market until 2025.

  • PDF

An Analysis of Nutrients Dynamics with the Planting of Endangered Species: Focusing on the effects of eutrophication control for Menyanthes trifoliata (멸종위기 식물 적용에 따른 영양염류 동태성 분석: 조름나물의 부영양화 제어 효과를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Yun Eui;Ham, Eun Kyung;Kim, Min;Chon, Jinhyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-51
    • /
    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze nutrients dynamics depending on biomass of Menyanthes trifoliata L., the endangered species, in a small closed-type wetland. In order to understand dynamics between Menyanthes trifoliata L. and eutrophication, causal loops and stock-flow diagram were constructed. The result of the model simulation was matched well with monitoring data (Menyanthes trifoliata L. biomass, TN, TP, DO). The model was simulated with 3 scenarios. In case of scenario 1, the initial value of biomass was 0mg/L, and the eutrophic state period was 77 days. In case of scenario 2, the initial value of biomass was 35.8 mg/L, and the eutrophic state lasted for 13 days. In case of scenario 3, the initial value of biomass was 71.6 mg/L, and the eutrophic state was nonexistent. The scenario 3 was selected as planting plan of Menyanthes trifoliata L. Through this study, planting design with an endangered plant was developed to control eutrophication in small closed-type wetland.

A Study on Forecasting Model of the Apartment Price Behavior in Seoul (서울시 아파트 가격 행태 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hee-Chul;Yoo, Jung-Sang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.175-182
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, the simulation model of house price is presented on the basis of pricing mechanism between the demand and the supply of apartments in seoul. The algorithm of house price simulation model for calculating the rate of price over time includes feedback control theory. The feedback control theory consists of stock variable, flow variable, auxiliary variable and constant variable. We suggest that the future price of apartment is simulated using mutual interaction variables which are demand, supply, price and parameters among them. In this paper we considers three items which include the behavior of apartment price index, the size of demand and supply, and the forecasting of the apartment price in the future economic scenarios. The proposed price simulation model could be used in public needs for developing a house price regulation policy using financial and non-financial aids. And the quantitative simulation model is to be applied in practice with more specific real data and Powersim Software modeling tool.

A System Dynamic for Investigating to Use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) for Hanok Construction (시스템 다이내믹스 기반 한옥건축의 BIM 접목 활성화 방안 연구)

  • Seo, Seung-Ha;Bang, Yei-Dam;Hyen, Ju-Hwan;Yu, Chaeyeon;Lee, Donghoon;Kim, Sungjin
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.24 no.5
    • /
    • pp.3-11
    • /
    • 2023
  • Building information modeling (BIM) can help to visualize and manage the building-related information at the object-based level, and it is possible to help link the tasks in the network of Hanok construction. While many studies have significant interest in using BIM for modern construction, there is only few studies to observe the use of BIM for traditional construction, commonly called Hanok construction in South Korea. Hence, the main goal of this study is to develop a system dynamic model for investigating how the BIM can be widely used for Hanok construction. To this end, this study identified the factors influencing the BIM uses for the Hanok construction, developed a causal loop diagram (CLD) to investigate the interrelationships among the factors, and provided a final model based on the mathematical definitions. Based on the scenario analysis, it is demonstrated that the support to building Hanok and education cost for BIM positively influence activating and using the BIM for the Hanok construction. Based on the dynamics of the factors identified in this study, it is important to consider expanding support for Hanok construction and education cost for BIM to successfully integrate and utilize BIM in the construction industry.