• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stock Application

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System Dynamics Approach for the Forecasting KOSPI (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 종합 주가지수 예측 모델 연구)

  • Cho, Kang-Rae;Jeong, Kwan-Yong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.175-190
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    • 2007
  • Stock market volatility largely depends on firms' value and growth opportunities. However, with the globalization of world economy, the effect of the synchronization in major countries is gaining its importance. Also, domestically, the business cycle and cash market of the country are additional factors needed to be considered. The main purpose of this research is to attest the application and usefulness of System Dynamics as a general stock market forecasting tool. Throughout this research, System Dynamics suggests a conceptual model for forecasting a KOSPI(Korea Composite Stock Price Index), taking the factors of the composite stock price indexes in traditional researches. In conclusion of this research, System Dynamics was proved to bean appropriate model for forecasting the volatility and direction of a stock market as a whole. With its timely adaptability, System Dynamic overcomes the limit of traditional statistic models.

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Neural Network Forecasting Using Data Mining Classifiers Based on Structural Change: Application to Stock Price Index

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo;Han, Ingoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.543-556
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    • 2001
  • This study suggests integrated neural network modes for he stock price index forecasting using change-point detection. The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain significant intervals occurred by change points, identify them as change-point groups, and reflect them in stock price index forecasting. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in stock price index dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with various data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the stock price index with backpropagation neural networks. The proposed model is applied to the stock price index forecasting. This study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models and compares the performance of data mining classifiers.

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Stock and News Application of Intelligent Agent System

  • Kim, Dae-Su
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.239-243
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    • 2003
  • Recently, there has been active research conducted on the intelligent agent in various fields. The results have been widely applied to intelligent user-friendly interfaces. In this system, we modeled, designed, and implemented an intelligent agent system that can be applied to stock and news. Some procedures such as login sequence to the web site, process to get stock information, setting stock in concern, intelligent news system module, news analysis module, and news learning module are modeled in detail and described in block diagram level. In our experiment on stock system, it showed quite a useful alarming screen avatar result and also on news system. it successfully rearranged the order of the news according to the user's preferences.

The Study Trends of Capital Gain Tax for Stock and Their Effects on Stock Trading (주식양도소득세 변천과 주식거래에 대한 영향)

  • Park, Young-Kyu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study seeks to summarize the tax changes in stock trading and analyze K-OTC stock trading data in 2017 and 2018 to infer the effects of the application of capital gains taxes by individual investors. Design/methodology/approach - This study analyzes the case of the expansion of the 2018 capital gains tax exemption in the K-OTC market, which exempts capital gains tax on the proceeds from the sale of individual investors of certain stocks under the temporary special law. Findings - In the K-OTC market, the amount of transactions has expanded since the capital gains tax exemption in 2018, but the volume of transactions and transaction turnover have decreased. In particular, the result of lower transaction turnover after the expansion is contrary to expectations. To control the macroscopic effects of the stock market, further analyses the transactions of capital gains tax-exempt stocks and non-exempt stocks. The turnover rate of exemption stocks is higher than that of the non-exempt stocks. In the case of transaction turnover, the two results are not consistent. However, the latter result is more meaningful because the comparison of exempt and non-exempt reduces distortion by macro effects. Research implications or Originality - To mitigate the impact of capital gains taxes on stock market, government authorities need to consider the gradual expansion of the scope of taxation, the application of separate taxation in the introduction of capital gains, the reduction tax rate on transfer income of listed shares, and the reduction tax rate on long-term holdings.

A study on the function and application of the glasses for rolling stock (철도차량용 유리의 기능 및 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Dae-Sung;Lee, Heung-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1097-1108
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, the area which some glasses of railway vehicle are applied to and the function & requirements of each glass would be studied, a sort of glass & up to date glasses and design propriety of railway vehicle's glasses were also researched. And then the feasible application of up to date glasses for next developing rolling stock was studied.

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Trading Using Trend Reversal Pattern Recognition in the Korea Stock Market (추세 반전형 패턴 인식을 이용한 주식 거래)

  • Kwon, Soonchang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.43-58
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    • 2013
  • Although analysis of charts, which used in stock trading by distinguishing standardized patterns in the movements of stock prices, is simple and easy to use, there can be problems stemming from specific patterns being distinguished as a result of the subjective perspectives of analysts. In accordance with such problems, through the method of template pattern matching, 4 trend reversal patterns were designed and the fitness of the patterns were quantitatively measured. In cases when a stock is purchased when the template pattern fitness value is within a certain range and held for at least 20-days, the average return ratio was analyzed to be higher-with the difference being statistically significant-than the average return ratio attained from trading a stock according to the same method per the Efficient Market Hypothesis. From the results of stock trades of 2 domestic corporations to which the values of the 4 patterns had been applied based on the 4 strategies, it was possible to ascertain differences in the strategy- and pattern-dependent return ratios. Through this study, along with presenting the exceptions for the Efficient Market Hypothesis in stock trading, the fitness level of quantitative chart patterns was measured and the theoretical basis for application of such fitness level was proposed.

An Application of the Smart Beta Portfolio Model: An Empirical Study in Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • WASPADA, Ika Putera;SALIM, Dwi Fitrizal;FARISKA, Putri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2021
  • Stock price fluctuations affect investor returns, particularly, in this pandemic situation that has triggered stock market shocks. As a result of this situation, investors prefer to move their money into a safer portfolio. Therefore, in this study, we approach an efficient portfolio model using smart beta and combining others to obtain a fast method to predict investment stock returns. Smart beta is a method to selects stocks that will enter a portfolio quickly and concisely by considering the level of return and risk that has been set according to the ability of investors. A smart beta portfolio is efficient because it tracks with an underlying index and is optimized using the same techniques that active portfolio managers utilize. Using the logistic regression method and the data of 100 low volatility stocks listed on the Indonesia stock exchange from 2009-2019, an efficient portfolio model was made. It can be concluded that an efficient portfolio is formed by a group of stocks that are aggressive and actively traded to produce optimal returns at a certain level of risk in the long-term period. And also, the portfolio selection model generated using the smart beta, beta, alpha, and stock variants is a simple and fast model in predicting the rate of return with an adjusted risk level so that investors can anticipate risks and minimize errors in stock selection.

Design of Information Application of Decreasing Safety Stock in the Logistics (물류업 안전재고 감축을 위한 정보시스템 설계)

  • Kim, Min-Jun;Park, In-Sul;Yun, Jun-Sub;Hong, Sang-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.194-198
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    • 2005
  • Inventory information system is providing the benefits of smoother demand, lower inventories(work in process, safety stock) and reduced costs. This study focused on improvement of safety level inventory efficiency by inventory information system. The results indicated that inventory information system allowed the company to serve its customers more surely and efficiently.

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Life Cycle Assessment(LCA) of Rolling Stock (철도차량시스템의 전과정평가(LCA))

  • Kim Yong-Ki;Yoon Hee-Taek;Jung Woo-Sung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2004
  • Rolling Stock life cycle can not provide weakness of environment due to the absence DB on about environment information for contaminant, expense analysis on each step which consists of raw material-design-manufacture-running-waste step. In order to estimate environmental impacts on LCA for rolling stock system, scientifically and internationally fair standards of assessment method for pursuing environmental friendly in environment regulation policy, application of LCA system is proposed and introduced in the present paper.

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The Analysis of Tail Dependence Between stock Markets Using Extreme Value Theory and Copula Function (극단치 분포와 Copula함수를 이용한 주식시장간 극단적 의존관계 분석)

  • Kim, Yong Hyun;Bae, Suk Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.410-418
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    • 2007
  • This article suggests the methods to investigate adverse movement across global stock markets arising from insolvency of subprime mortgage in U.S. Our application deals with asymptotic tail dependence of daily stock index returns (KOSPI, DJIA, Shanghai Composite) of three countries; Korea, U.S., and China, over specific period via extreme value theory and copula functions. Daily stock index returns among three countries show higher extremal dependence during the period exposed to systematic shock. We confirm that extreme value theory and copula functions have potential to well describe the extreme dependence between three countries' daily stock index returns.