• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model

검색결과 4건 처리시간 0.019초

The Potential and Efficiency of Aquatic Product Trade between China and South Korea

  • Le Cao
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper assesses the trade potential and efficiency of Korea and China in the aquatic products trade. Trade efficiency and potential are the main factors that affect the growth of a country's trade. In this study, a time-varying stochastic frontier trade gravity model was constructed to analyze the trade potential and efficiency between Korea and China. By integrating the results of trade theory and empirical analysis, measures and suggestions were proposed to encourage the release of trade potential of fish exports between Korea and China. Design/methodology - In this paper, GDP per capita instead of economic size was chosen as an explanatory variable, and population size and relative distance were selected as explanatory variables to measure trade potential. For trade non-efficiency terms, regional organizations, political factors, and economic factors were mainly considered, and variables such as free trade agreements, political stability, regulatory quality, government efficiency, currency freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom, and trade freedom were selected. Panel data for South Korea and 14 aquatic products trading partners (including China) from 2002 to 2020 were used in the empirical analysis. Findings - In the past 19 years, South Korea's export trade potential of aquatic products to China has never been lower than 70%. It was above 90% from 2006 to 2018, and has been at a high level for a long time. This shows that China's aquatic product market has large potential for development. Originality/value - This study examines the effectiveness and potential of South Korea's exports of aquatic items to China in a methodical and comprehensive empirical manner. The evaluation of the export trade potential of South Korea's aquatic goods to China is more precise when the effects of regional organization, political, and economic variables are taken into account in the trade non-efficiency term of the stochastic frontier gravity model. At the same time, we propose to increase the scale of South Korea's aquatic products trade from the perspective of China's demand. This issue of trade studies is underexplored both empirically and in theory, although the issue has long been important to Korean and world trade.

A Stochastic Frontier Analysis of Trade Efficiency for the Sino-Korea Trade

  • Gong, Wen-Chao;Li, Kan-Yong;Wang, Wen-Xia
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.20-32
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper intends to make theoretical analysis and empirical test on the factors influencing China's export to South Korea, and draw conclusions about China's export efficiency and trade potential. Based on the conclusions, the reasons for China's trade deficit with South Korea are found, and a solution is put forward for solving the problem of China's trade deficit with South Korea. Design/methodology - Based on the data of 2004-2017 years in China, this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to analyze the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, as well as the export efficiency of each province and the export potential that can be explored. Findings - First, in terms of the factors affecting China's export trade to South Korea, the GDP of the provinces and cities in China, the FDI of South Korea to the provinces and cities in China, the GDP of South Korea, the population and education level of provinces and cities in China can significantly promote the export scale of Chinese provinces and cities to South Korea. The distance between Chinese provincial capitals and the South Korean capital significantly hinders Chinese exports to South Korea; Second, in terms of export trade efficiency, the trade exchange rate of the economically developed cities along the eastern coast of China and several provinces that are close to South Korea is higher than that of the cities in the central and western regions; Third, economic globalization makes trade more convenient, the average export trade efficiency of China's exports to South Korea showed an upward trend. However, under the influence of the 2008 global financial crisis, the export trade efficiency declined from 2008 to 2009, indicating that the impact of the financial crisis on the trade efficiency cannot be ignored. Originality/value - This paper finds out the influencing factors of China's export to South Korea, analyzes the export efficiency of different provinces and cities, excavates the export potential, and puts forward some suggestions for the balanced development of China and South Korea trade in the next step.

A Comparative Study on the Export Potential of the Digital Service Trade between China and Korea: Based on RCEP Country Data

  • Wen-Si Cheng
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.61-76
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The digital service trade has become an important driver of the global service trade. The main purpose of this study is to explore the influencing factors of digital service exports from China and Korea to RCEP sample countries respectively, and to comprehensively study the export potential of China and Korea to RCEP countries, so as to provide theoretical guidance and a decision-making reference to promote digital service trade exports and digital economy development in China and Korea. Design/methodology - First, the stochastic frontier gravity model was improved by introducing nonefficiency factors affecting digital services trade, extending the gravity model of traditional services trade exports to digital services trade exports. Secondly, the panel data of China and Korea for the eight sample countries of RCEP from 2011 to 2021 were adopted for the empirical analysis of digital service export potential by a stochastic frontier model. Findings - China's economic growth plays a role in increasing China's digital service trade exports, while Korea's economic growth does not play a significant role in increasing Korea's digital service trade exports. However, the economic growth of trading partner countries can play a significant role in boosting the digital service trade in both China and Korea, and comparison shows that Korea has higher resilience in the digital services trade than China. In addition, the market size of target countries plays a positive role in promoting the digital service trade exports of both China and Korea, and the increase in the value-added share of services in target countries will lead to a decrease in the digital service trade exports of both China and Korea. Originality/value - This study is innovative in terms of research perspective and method. Academic research on the export potential of international trade has been extensive, but most studies are based on the perspective of the goods trade, fewer studies are based on the perspective of the service trade, and there are almost no studies based on the perspective of digital service trade. There is a gap based on the comparative analysis of the export potential of the digital service trade between China and Korea. This study extends the gravitational model of traditional service trade exports to digital service trade exports to comparatively analyze the export potential of China and Korea to RCEP countries. This study addresses this limitation by analyzing a comparative analysis of the digital service trade export potential of China and Korea.

한중 문화상품무역 국제경쟁력 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the International Competitiveness of Korea-China Cultural Products Trade)

  • 정응영;배기형;이나
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제22권9호
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2022
  • 최근 글로벌 경제의 다원화에 따라 문화상품무역은 국가 간 종합적 실력경쟁에 영향을 미치는 중요한 요인이 되었다. 한국은 중국의 인접국으로 문화발전 환경이 중국과 비슷하다. 문화상품무역은 한국경제의 중요한 부분으로서 그 발전경험은 중국에 참고적 의미가 있다. 본 연구는 문헌연구법, 비교분석법과 실증분석법을 통해 연구를 실시하고자 한다. 본 연구는 문화상품 수출입 규모로부터 시작하여 전반적인 중국과 한국의 수출수준을 분석하여 양국 문화상품 수출입의 차이점을 찾고자 한다. 그런 후 중국 문화상품무역구조의 단점과 한국 문화상품무역구조의 장점을 비교·분석한다. 마지막으로 본 연구는 확률적 변경모형을 이용한 실증분석으로, 한중 문화상품무역 잠재력에 관한 결론을 도출한다. 그 연구결과로는 첫째, 중국과 한국의 문화상품무역의 국제경쟁력은 높은 편이지만 중국 문화상품의 경쟁력 발전 속도는 느린 편이다. 둘째, 한국과 비교할 때 중국 문화상품 수출은 무역비효율요인의 영향이 큰 편이다. 셋째, 정부효율의 제고는 중국이 무역비효율항을 줄이는데 매우 큰 역할을 한다.