• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic Approach

검색결과 578건 처리시간 0.023초

확률적 선형계획문제의 상한과 하한한계 분석 (Analysis on Upper and Lower Bounds of Stochastic LP Problems)

  • 이상진
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2002
  • Business managers are often required to use LP problems to deal with uncertainty inherent in decision making due to rapid changes in today's business environments. Uncertain parameters can be easily formulated in the two-stage stochastic LP problems. However, since solution methods are complex and time-consuming, a common approach has been to use modified formulations to provide upper and lower bounds on the two-stage stochastic LP problem. One approach is to use an expected value problem, which provides upper and lower bounds. Another approach is to use “walt-and-see” problem to provide upper and lower bounds. The objective of this paper is to propose a modified approach of “wait-and-see” problem to provide an upper bound and to compare the relative error of optimal value with various upper and lower bounds. A computing experiment is implemented to show the relative error of optimal value with various upper and lower bounds and computing times.

Stochastic control approach to reliability of elasto-plastic structures

  • Au, Siu-Kui
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2009
  • An importance sampling method is presented for computing the first passage probability of elasto-plastic structures under stochastic excitations. The importance sampling distribution corresponds to shifting the mean of the excitation to an 'adapted' stochastic process whose future is determined based on information only up to the present. A stochastic control approach is adopted for designing the adapted process. The optimal control law is determined by a control potential, which satisfies the Bellman's equation, a nonlinear partial differential equation on the response state-space. Numerical results for a single-degree-of freedom elasto-plastic structure shows that the proposed method leads to significant improvement in variance reduction over importance sampling using design points reported recently.

Stochastic analysis of fluid-structure interaction systems by Lagrangian approach

  • Bayraktar, Alemdar;Hancer, Ebru
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.389-403
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    • 2005
  • In the present paper it is aimed to perform the stochastic dynamic analysis of fluid and fluidstructure systems by using the Lagrangian approach. For that reason, variable-number-nodes twodimensional isoparametric fluid finite elements are programmed in Fortran language by the authors and incorporated into a general-purpose computer program for stochastic dynamic analysis of structure systems, STOCAL. Formulation of the fluid elements includes the effects of compressible wave propagation and surface sloshing motion. For numerical example a rigid fluid tank and a dam-reservoir interaction system are selected and modeled by finite element method. Results obtained from the modal analysis are compared with the results of the analytical and numerical solutions. The Pacoima Dam record S16E component recorded during the San Fernando Earthquake in 1971 is used as a ground motion. The mean of maximum values of displacements and hydrodynamic pressures are compared with the deterministic analysis results.

1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구 (Optimizing Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return)

  • 류춘호
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first degree stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. An algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

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1차 확률적 지배를 하는 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구 (An Algorithm to Optimize Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance)

  • 류춘호
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2003
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach Is to form a portfolio that first-degree stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio, e.g. KOSPI. Analytically defining the first derivative of the objective function, an optimal algorithm of nonlinear programming was developed to search a set of optimal weights systematically and tested with promising results against veal data sets from Korean stock market.

Asymptotic computation of Greeks under a stochastic volatility model

  • Park, Sang-Hyeon;Lee, Kiseop
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2016
  • We study asymptotic expansion formulae for numerical computation of Greeks (i.e. sensitivity) in finance. Our approach is based on the integration-by-parts formula of the Malliavin calculus. We propose asymptotic expansion of Greeks for a stochastic volatility model using the Greeks formula of the Black-Scholes model. A singular perturbation method is applied to derive asymptotic Greeks formulae. We also provide numerical simulation of our method and compare it to the Monte Carlo finite difference approach.

COMPARISON OF STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS: EMPIRICAL STUDY ON KOSPI 200 INDEX OPTIONS

  • Moon, Kyoung-Sook;Seon, Jung-Yon;Wee, In-Suk;Yoon, Choong-Seok
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.209-227
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    • 2009
  • We examine a unified approach of calculating the closed form solutions of option price under stochastic volatility models using stochastic calculus and the Fourier inversion formula. In particular, we review and derive the option pricing formulas under Heston and correlated Stein-Stein models using a systematic and comprehensive approach which were derived individually earlier. We compare the empirical performances of the two stochastic volatility models and the Black-Scholes model in pricing KOSPI 200 index options.

A novel story on rock slope reliability, by an initiative model that incorporated the harmony of damage, probability and fuzziness

  • Wang, Yajun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.269-294
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to realize the creation of fuzzy stochastic damage to describe reliability more essentially with the analysis of harmony of damage conception, probability and fuzzy degree of membership in interval [0,1]. Two kinds of fuzzy behaviors of damage development were deduced. Fuzzy stochastic damage models were established based on the fuzzy memberships functional and equivalent normalization theory. Fuzzy stochastic damage finite element method was developed as the approach to reliability simulation. The three-dimensional fuzzy stochastic damage mechanical behaviors of Jianshan mine slope were analyzed and examined based on this approach. The comprehensive results, including the displacement, stress, damage and their stochastic characteristics, indicate consistently that the failure foci of Jianshan mine slope are the slope-cutting areas where, with the maximal failure probability 40%, the hazardous Domino effects will motivate the neighboring rock bodies' sliding activities.

Alternating the Non-Alternate: A Probabilistic Approach to Dative Alternation

  • Choi Hye-Won
    • 한국언어정보학회지:언어와정보
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes an informational approach to the dative alternation in English following up on the Stochastic Optimality- Theoretic (OT) model by Bresnan and Nikitina (2003). While Bresnan and Nikitina's stochastic OT model resolves the crucial problem of 'gradience' unavoidably implicated in variation phenomena by applying the notion of probability to linguistic problems, it fails to account for the details of the unusually alternating examples, which normally would not alternate. More importantly, it fails to capture the focus effect involved in the alternation. This paper has worked out all the problematic examples by modifying the Bresnan and Nikitina model. This new account captures not only the unusual behavior of the less-alternating verbs and idioms but also the special focus effect of the common alternating verbs.

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Derivation of response spectrum compatible non-stationary stochastic processes relying on Monte Carlo-based peak factor estimation

  • Giaralis, Agathoklis;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제3권5호
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    • pp.719-747
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a novel approach is proposed to address the problem of deriving non-stationary stochastic processes which are compatible in the mean sense with a given (target) response (uniform hazard) spectrum (UHS) as commonly desired in the aseismic structural design regulated by contemporary codes of practice. The appealing feature of the approach is that it is non-iterative and "one-step". This is accomplished by solving a standard over-determined minimization problem in conjunction with appropriate median peak factors. These factors are determined by a plethora of reported new Monte Carlo studies which on their own possess considerable stochastic dynamics merit. In the proposed approach, generation and treatment of samples of the processes individually on a deterministic basis is not required as is the case with the various "two-step" approaches found in the literature addressing the herein considered task. The applicability and usefulness of the approach is demonstrated by furnishing extensive numerical data associated with the elastic design UHS of the current European (EC8) and the Chinese (GB 50011) aseismic code provisions. Purposely, simple and thus attractive from a practical viewpoint, uniformly modulated processes assuming either the Kanai-Tajimi (K-T) or the Clough-Penzien (C-P) spectral form are employed. The Monte Carlo studies yield damping and duration dependent median peak factor spectra, given in a polynomial form, associated with the first passage problem for UHS compatible K-T and C-P uniformly modulated stochastic processes. Hopefully, the herein derived stochastic processes and median peak factor spectra can be used to facilitate the aseismic design of structures regulated by contemporary code provisions in a Monte Carlo simulation-based or stochastic dynamics-based context of analysis.