• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistics Korea

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Climate Prediction by a Hybrid Method with Emphasizing Future Precipitation Change of East Asia

  • Lim, Yae-Ji;Jo, Seong-Il;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1143-1152
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    • 2009
  • A canonical correlation analysis(CCA)-based method is proposed for prediction of future climate change which combines information from ensembles of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models(AOGCMs) and observed climate values. This paper focuses on predictions of future climate on a regional scale which are of potential economic values. The proposed method is obtained by coupling the classical CCA with empirical orthogonal functions(EOF) for dimension reduction. Furthermore, we generate a distribution of climate responses, so that extreme events as well as a general feature such as long tails and unimodality can be revealed through the distribution. Results from real data examples demonstrate the promising empirical properties of the proposed approaches.

An Exploration of the Reform Direction of Teaching Statistics (통계교육의 개선방향 탐색)

  • 우정호
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2000
  • In the past half century little effort has been made for the improvement of teaching and learning statistics compared with other parts of school mathematics. But recently data analysis has begun to play a prominant role in the national reform efforts of mathematics curricula in the United States of America and the United Kingdom. In this paper we overview modern statistical thinking differed from mathematical thinking and examine the problems of current old-style teaching of statistics. And, we discuss the current data handling(or data analysis) emphasis in the national curriculum of mathematics in the countries mentioned above. We explore the reform direction of statistics teaching; changing the philosophy of teaching statistics, teaching real data analysis, emphasis of using computer, and teaching statistical inference not as mathematics but as intuitive data-centered approach.

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Nonparametric Test Procedures for Change Point Problems in Scale Parameter

  • Cho, Wan-Hyun;Lee, Jae-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.128-138
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    • 1990
  • In this paper we study the properties of nonparametric tests for testing the null hypothesis of no changes against one sided and two sideds alternatives in scale parameter at unknown point. We first propose two types of nonparametric tests based on linear rank statistics and rank-like statistics, respectively. For these statistics, we drive the asymptotic distributions under the null and contiguous alternatives. The main theoreticla tools used for derivation are the stochastic process representation of the test staistic and the Brownian bridge approximation. We evaluate the Pitman efficiencies of the test for the contiguous alternatives, and also compute empirical power by Monte Carlo simulation.

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Threats Analysis and Mobile Key Recovery for Internet of Things (IoT 환경에서의 보안위협 분석과 모바일 키 복구)

  • Lee, Yunjung;Park, Yongjoon;Kim, Chul Soo;Lee, Bongkyu
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.918-923
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    • 2016
  • IoT should be considered security risk environments such as various platforms and services including smart devices that can be mounted on household electric appliances, healthcare, car, and heterogeneous networks that are connected to the Internet, cloud services and mobile Apps.. In this paper, we provide analysis of new security threats, caused by open-platform of IoT and sensors via the Internet. Also, we present the key recovery mechanism that is applied to IoT. It results to have compatibility with given research, reduces network overhead, and performs key recovery without depending on key escrow agencies or authorized party.

A Study on the Tourism Combining Demand Forecasting Models for the Tourism in Korea (관광 수요를 위한 결합 예측 모형에 대한 연구)

  • Son, H.G.;Ha, M.H.;Kim, S.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2012
  • This paper applies forecasting models such as ARIMA, Holt-Winters and AR-GARCH models to analyze daily tourism data in Korea. To evaluate the performance of the models, we need single and double seasonal models that compare the RMSE and SE for a better accuracy of the forecasting models based on Armstrong (2001).

Underwater Transient Signal Detection Using Higher-order Statistics and Wavelet Analysis (고차통계 기법과 웨이브렛을 이용한 수중 천이신호 탐지)

  • 조환래;오선택;오택환;나정열
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.670-679
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    • 2003
  • This paper deals with application of wavelet transform, which is known to be good for time-frequency analysis, in order to detect the underwater transient signals embedded in ambient noise. A new detector of acoustic transient signals is presented. It combines two detection tools: wavelet analysis and higher-order statistics. Using both techniques, the detection of the transient signal is possible in low signal to noise ratio condition. The proposed algorithm uses the wavelet transform of a partition of the signal on frequency domain, and then higher-order statistics tests the Gaussian nature of the segments.

A Study for Obtaining Weights in Pairwise Comparison Matrix in AHP

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Lee, Jong-Chan;Jhun, Myoung-Shic
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.531-541
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we consider various methods to estimate the weights of a pairwise comparison matrix in the Analytic Hierarchy Process widely applied in various decision-making fields. This paper uses a data dependent simulation to evaluate the statistical accuracy, minimum violation and minimum norm of the obtaining weight methods from a reciprocal symmetric matrix. No method dominates others in all criteria. Least squares methods perform best in point of mean squared errors; however, the eigenvectors method has an advantage in the minimum norm.

A Study on the Development for Automobile Registration Statistics System for After Service (자동차의 사후관리를 위한 등록통계 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 강지호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.17 no.32
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    • pp.267-279
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    • 1994
  • The Ministry of Transportation forecasts that the total number of automobiles in use in 1997 will be increased to about 10 million units. Until now, with the increase of domestic demand for automobiles, the customers' complaints have been raised frequently in relation with insufficient supply of auto parts for the repair and maintenance. At the same time, the industry came to face with new problems such as customers' requests of auto makers' quality services. Until now there were not any statistics on the registration of car age for each car type. So, for the auto makers' efficient aftersales management a system for collecting registration statistics was developed, and it has attributed remarkably to the improvement of the aftersales services, through easy anticipation of the requirements of parts being used for not only the small-produced but the massproduced car types. And a systematic instrument useful for auto industry, transportation and policy on environment is provided by timely supply of various statistics to the industry.

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Fast Ambient Occlusion Volume Rendering using Local Statistics (지역적 통계량을 이용한 고속 환경-광 가림 볼륨 가시화)

  • Nam, Jinhyun;Kye, Heewon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.158-167
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a new method to improve the speed of high quality volume rendering. We improve the speed of ambient occlusion which is one of the global illumination techniques used in traditional volume visualization. Calculating ambient occlusion takes much time because it determines an illumination value of a sample by integrating opacities of nearby samples. This study proposes an improved method for this by using local statistics such as averages and standard deviations. We calculate local statistics for each volume block, a set of nearby samples, in pre-processing time. In the rendering process, we efficiently determine the illumination value by assuming the density distribution as a normal distribution. As the results, we can generate high quality images that combine ambient occlusion illumination with local illumination in real time.

A study on the corrosion evaluation and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipeline in residential buildings

  • Jeong, Jin-A;Jin, Chung-Kuk;Lee, Jin Uk
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.8
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    • pp.828-832
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    • 2015
  • This study is conducted for the evaluation of corrosion and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipelines in residential buildings. The fire extinguishing pipeline is made of carbon steel. Twenty-four samples were selected among all the fire extinguishing pipelines in a building; the selection was based on specimenspositions, pipeline diameters, and pipeline thickness. Analysis was conducted by using the results of visual inspection, electrochemical potentiodynamic anodic polarization test, pitting depth measurements, and extreme value statistics with the Gumbel distribution. The maximum pitting depth and remaining life were statistically predicted using extreme value statistics. During visual inspection, pitting corrosion was observed in several samples. In addition, extreme value statistics demonstrated that there were several pipelines that were very sensitive to pitting corrosion. However, the pitting corrosion was not critical in all the pipelines; thus, it was necessary to change only those pipelines that were severely corroded.