• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical methodology

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Probability-based prediction of residual displacement for SDOF using nonlinear static analysis

  • Feng, Zhibin;Gong, Jinxin
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.571-584
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    • 2022
  • The residual displacement ratio (RDRs) response spectra have been generally used as an important means to evaluate the post-earthquake repairability, and the ratios of residual to maximum inelastic displacement are considered to be more appropriate for development of the spectra. This methodology, however, assumes that the expected residual displacement can be computed as the product of the RDRs and maximum inelastic displacement, without considering the correlation between these two variables, which inevitably introduces potential systematic error. For providing an adequately accurate estimate of residual displacement, while accounting for the collapse resistance performance prior to the repairability evaluation, a probability-based procedure to estimate the residual displacement demands using the nonlinear static analysis (NSA) is developed for single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems. To this end, the energy-based equivalent damping ratio used for NSA is revised to obtain the maximum displacement coincident with the nonlinear time history analysis (NTHA) results in the mean sense. Then, the possible systematic error resulted from RDRs spectra methodology is examined based on the NTHA results of SDOF systems. Finally, the statistical relation between the residual displacement and the NSA-based maximum displacement is established. The results indicate that the energy-based equivalent damping ratio will underestimate the damping for short period ranges, and overestimate the damping for longer period ranges. The RDRs spectra methodology generally leads to the results being non-conservative, depending on post-yield stiffness. The proposed approach emphasizes that the repairability evaluation should be based on the premise of no collapse, which matches with the current performance-based seismic assessment procedure.

Applying Response Surface Methodology to Predict the Homogenization Efficiency of Milk (우유 균질 조건 예측을 위한 반응표면방법론의 활용)

  • Sungsue Rheem;Sejong Oh
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2023
  • Response surface methodology (RSM) is a statistical approach widely used in food processing to optimize the formulation, processing conditions, and quality of food products. The homogenization process is achieved by subjecting milk to high pressure, which breaks down fat globules and disperses fat more evenly throughout milk. This study focuses on an application of RSM including the logit transformation to predict the efficiency of milk homogenization, which can be maximized by minimizing the relative difference in fat percentage between the top part and the remainder of milk. To avoid a negative predicted value of the minimum of this proportion, the logit transformation is used to turn the proportion into the logit, whose possible values are real numbers. Then, the logit values are modeled and optimized. Subsequently, the logistic transformation is used to turn the predicted logit into the predicted proportion. From our model, the optimum condition for the maximized efficiency of milk homogenization was predicted as the combination of a homogenizer pressure of 30 MPa, a storage temperature of 10℃, and a storage period of 10 days. Additionally, with a combination of a homogenizer pressure of 30 MPa, a storage temperature of 10℃, and a storage period of 50 days, the level of milk homogenization was predicted to be acceptable, even with the problem of extrapolation taken into account.

Methodology of Mapping Quantitative Trait Loci for Binary Traits in a Half-sib Design Using Maximum Likelihood

  • Yin, Zongjun;Zhang, Qin;Zhang, Jigang;Ding, Xiangdong;Wang, Chunkao
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.1669-1674
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    • 2005
  • Maximum likelihood methodology was applied to analyze the efficiency and statistical power of interval mapping by using a threshold model. The factors that affect QTL detection efficiency (e.g. QTL effect, heritability and incidence of categories) were simulated in our study. Daughter design with multiple families was applied, and the size of segregating population is 500. The results showed that the threshold model has a great advantage in parameters estimation and power of QTL mapping, and has nice efficiency and accuracy for discrete traits. In addition, the accuracy and power of QTL mapping depended on the effect of putative quantitative trait loci, the value of heritability and incidence directly. With the increase of QTL effect, heritability and incidence of categories, the accuracy and power of QTL mapping improved correspondingly.

Using Different Method for petroleum Consumption Forecasting, Case Study: Tehran

  • Varahrami, Vida
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.17-21
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Forecasting of petroleum consumption is useful in planning and management of petroleum production and control of air pollution. Research Design, Data and Methodology: ARMA models, sometimes called Box-Jenkins models after the iterative Box-Jenkins methodology usually used to estimate them, are typically applied to auto correlated time series data. Results: Petroleum consumption modeling plays a role key in big urban air pollution planning and management. In this study three models as, MLFF, MLFF with GARCH (1,1) and ARMA(1,1), have been investigated to model the petroleum consumption forecasts. Certain standard statistical parameters were used to evaluate the performance of the models developed in this study. Based upon the results obtained in this study and the consequent comparative analysis, it has been found that the MLFF with GARCH (1,1) have better forecasting results.. Conclusions: Survey of data reveals that deposit of government policies in recent yeas, petroleum consumption rises in Tehran and unfortunately more petroleum use causes to air pollution and bad environmental problems.

Statistical models for mechanical properties of UHPC using response surface methodology

  • Mosaberpanah, Mohammad A.;Eren, Ozgur
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2017
  • One of the main disadvantages of Ultra High Performance Concrete exists in the large suggested value of UHPC ingredients. The purpose of this study was to find the models mechanical properties which included a 7, 14 and 28-day compressive strength test, a 28-day splitting tensile and modulus of rupture test for Ultra High Performance Concrete, as well as, a study on the interaction and correlation of five variables that includes silica fume amount (SF), cement 42.5 amount, steel fiber amount, superplasticizer amount (SP), and w/c mechanical properties of UHPC. The response surface methodology was analyzed between the variables and responses. The relationships and mathematical models in terms of coded variables were established by ANOVA. The validity of models were checked by experimental values. The offered models are valid for mixes with the fraction proportion of fine aggregate as; 0.70-1.30 cement amount, 0.15-0.30 silica fume, 0.04-0.08 superplasticizer, 0.10-0.20 steel fiber, and 0.18-0.32 water binder ratio.

Optimization Using 33 Full-Factorial Design for Crude Biosurfactant Activity from Bacillus pumilus IJ-1 in Submerged Fermentation

  • Kim, Byung Soo;Kim, Ji Yeon
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to optimize the culture conditions to improve the crude biosurfactant activity of Bacillus pumilus IJ-1, using a 33 full-factorial design of response surface methodology (RSM). It was found that submerged fermentation of B. pumilus improved the activity of the crude biosurfactant. The factors selected for optimization were NaCl concentration, temperature, and tryptone concentration. Response surface analysis revealed that the fitted quadratic model was statistically significant and produced an adequate R2 value (0.9898) and a low probability value (<0.0001). The optimum level for each factor was found to be 0.567% (w/v) NaCl, 21.851℃ and 0.765% (w/v) tryptone, respectively. Crude biosurfactant activity was found to be most affected by tryptone concentration; then temperature, and finally NaCl concentration. Our results may potentially facilitate large-scale biosurfactant production from B. pumilus IJ-1.

A Methodology on Treating Uncertainty of LCI Data using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 LCI data 불활실성 처리 방법론)

  • Park Ji-Hyung;Seo Kwang-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2004
  • Life cycle assessment (LCA) usually involves some uncertainty. These uncertainties are generally divided in two categories such lack of data and data inaccuracy in life cycle inventory (LCI). This paper explo.es a methodology on dealing with uncertainty due to lack of data in LCI. In order to treat uncertainty of LCI data, a model for data uncertainty is proposed. The model works with probabilistic curves as inputs and with Monte Carlo Simulation techniques to propagate uncertainty. The probabilistic curves were derived from the results of survey in expert network and Monte Carlo Simulation was performed using the derived probabilistic curves. The results of Monte Carlo Simulation were verified by statistical test. The proposed approach should serve as a guide to improve data quality and deal with uncertainty of LCI data in LCA projects.

Regulatory Aspect of Risk Assessment and Management

  • Lee, Hyomin;EunkyungYoon;Jeeyeun Han
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.17
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2001
  • Risk assessment is useful tool making good decisions on the risks of certain hazardous com-pound and suggests safe margin through scientific process using toxicological data, statistical tool, exposure value and relevant variants. The goal of risk management is to protect the public health from hazardous compound based on result of risk assessment having reality. For the suggestion of exact man-aging information, risk assessment must be designed to represent a "plausible estimate" of the exposure to the individuals and to minimize uncertainty. Risk assessment methodology and knowledge are expected to change more rapidly than before and up-to-date methodology should be applied in regulatory aspects through the Agency. For the useful application of risk assessment, the communication between the risk assessor and the risk manager is needed before the initiation of the risk assessment and upon its completion. Generally, the risk assessment itself as a practical tool in the regulatory decision making process would be regarded with social economic impact.ic impact.

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Optimization of Extracellular Production of Recombinant Human Bone Morphogenetic Protein-7 (rhBMP-7) with Bacillus subtilis

  • Kim, Chun-Kwang;Rhee, Jong Il
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.188-196
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    • 2014
  • Extracellular production of recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-7 (rhBMP-7) was carried out through the fermentation of Bacillus subtilis. Three significant fermentation conditions and medium components were selected and optimized to enhance the rhBMP-7 production by using the response surface methodology (RSM). The optimum values of the three variables for the maximum extracellular production of rhBMP-7 were found to be 2.93 g/l starch, 5.18 g/l lactose, and a fermentation time of 34.57 h. The statistical optimization model was validated with a few fermentations of B. subtilis in shake flasks under optimized and unoptimized conditions. A 3-L jar fermenter using the shake-flask optimized conditions resulted in a higher production (413 pg/ml of culture medium) of rhBMP-7 than in a shake flask (289.1 pg/ml), which could be attributed to the pH being controlled at 6.0 and constant agitation of 400 rpm with aeration of 1 vvm.

Seismic damage estimation of reinforced concrete framed structures affected by chloride-induced corrosion

  • Anoop, M.B.;Rao, K. Balaji
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.851-873
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    • 2015
  • A methodology for estimation of statistical properties (viz. mean and standard deviation) of the expected seismic damage to reinforced concrete framed structures subject to corrosion of reinforcement, over a specified reference time (typically the service life of the structure) is proposed in this paper. The damage to the structure under the earthquake loading is characterised by the damage index, determined using the modified Park and Ang damage model. The reduction in area, yield strength and strain at ultimate of steel reinforcement, and the reduction in compressive strength of cover concrete due to corrosion are taken into account in the estimation of damage. The proposed methodology is illustrated through an example problem. From the results obtained, it is noted that there is an increase of about 70% in the mean value of expected seismic damage to the reinforced concrete frame considered over a reference time of 30 years when effect of corrosion is taken into consideration. This indicates that there is a need to consider the effect of corrosion of reinforcement on the estimation of expected seismic damage.