• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stated Preference Model

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Analysis on the business strategy and policy for the alternative fuel vehicle : Using stated preference data (대체연료 자동차에 대한 소비자 선호 분석을 통한 산업전략과 기술정책에 관한 연구)

  • 김연배;정기철;안지운;이정동
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2006.02a
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    • pp.264-297
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we attempt to analyze consumer preference for the alternative-fuel vehicles based on data from a stated preference using the conjoint analysis. Five possible fuel types (gasoline, diesel, CNG, LPG, Hybrid (electricity+gasoline)) are covered in conjoint cards. To estimate and analyze consumer preference, discrete choice model is used. Specifically, Bayesian mixed logit model is used. Based on estimating results, we discuss the business strategy and policy for the alternative fuel vehicle.

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Effect of Attitudinal Factors on Stated Preference of Low-carbon Transportation Services (개인성향 요인이 탄소저감형 교통서비스 잠재선호에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Yoonhee Lee;Gyeongjae Lee;Sangho Choo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.49-65
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    • 2023
  • In response to the growing global concern for the environment, the international community has recently committed to achieving 'carbon neutrality.' As a result, numerous studies have been conducted on mode choice models that include carbon emissions as a variable. However, few studies have established a correlation between individual preferences and carbon emissions. In this study, a new mode of transportation named sustainable public transit (SPT), incorporating carbon-reducing transport options like electric scooters, is proposed. Analyzing the individual preferences of commuters on carbon emissions through factor analysis, a stated preference (SP) survey was conducted. A mode choice model for SPT was constructed using multinomial logit models. The results of the analysis showed that gender, income, and specific preferences, such as a passion for exploring new routes, a preference for intermodal transfers, knowledge of carbon reduction, and carbon reduction practices, significantly influence latent preferences for SPT. Therefore, this study is significant as it considers carbon emissions as an attribute variable during the construction of mode choice models and reflects the individual preference variables associated with carbon reduction.

Estimating Price Elasticities of Domestic Air Transport Demand by Stated Preference Technique (Staled Preference 방법론에 의한 국내선 항공수요의 가격탄력성 추정)

  • 이성원;이영혁;박지형
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2000
  • This study analyzes the price elasticities of airline Passenger demand through the 'Stated Preference' technique which uses survey data. Because the domestic airfare has been regulated by the government. it is not easy to derive Price elasticity through the usual regression analysis with aggregate data and thus a special methodology is required for elasticity estimation. Therefore, in this study we estimated the Price elasticities of domestic air passenger demand and the modal share change rates to the alternative modes with logit model and sample enumeration method, by analyzing the survey data on air Passengers' demand behavior about the mode choice between air-rail. air-bus, and air-car. As the results, the estimated price elasticities are in the range of -0.6~-0.9, and rail is mainly chosen as an alternative mode. bus is chosen Partly, and car is barely used.

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Estimating Container Traffic of New Incheon Outer-South Port Using Stated Preference Methodology (명시선호(Stated Preference) 방법에 의한 인천남외항 컨테이너 물동량 추정)

  • Jeon, Il-Su;Kim, Hye-Jin;Kim, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.151-167
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    • 2004
  • Traditional traffic forecast has employed regression analysis or time-series analysis based on past trends of explanatory variables. However, not existing but planned port facilities do not have historical data for traffic estimation. Consequently, arbitrary traffic allocation has been subject to researcher's intuition. In this paper, container throughput at New Incheon Outer-South Port will be estimated using stated preference(SP) and sample enumeration methodology on the basis of survey data about the choice behaviors of port users in a theoretical situation. In the SP survey, shippers, freight forwarders and carriers were required to answer a choice between two alternative ports: Busan and Incheon. Although total 27 scenarios of questionnaires were constructed with 3 levels of 3 explanatory variables, each interviewee was asked to answer for just 9 scenarios chosen at random. A binary choice logit model was applied to the survey data. The elasticity of travel time is estimated to be very high, implying that building New Incheon Outer-South Port could be effective in relieving the congestion of the Kyungin corridor. The analysis result shows that increasing service level at Incheon Port would bring in the substantial diversion of container cargo in the Capital region to Incheon Port from Busan Port.

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The Characteristics of Mode Choice Model by Stated Preference Data (선호의식데이타에 의한 교통수단선택 모델의 특성)

  • 이진우
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 1995
  • In recent year, especially in the mode choice analysis, it has been perceived that the importance of individual performance data using stated preference(SP) experiments as well as revealed preference data . Since SP experiments present respondent with various hypothetical alternatives, which are produced by a combination of a number of different attribute levels, and ask them to indicate a preference, it is possible to analyze travel behavior under a situation of potential environment change such as proposed alternative mode of transportation. The basic problems, however, remains that SP are not consistent with the actual travel behaviors and the research reports for stability of mode choice model using SP data has not been sufficient. Under this background, this study is to examine the characteristics of mode choice model using the SP data by the following items. $\circled1$ Analysis of factors affecting the mode choice behavior by the variance analysis of orthogonal-arrays-table $\circled2$ The reliability of SP data by transfer intention data $\circled3$ The stability of SP responses obtained from repetitive question by the comparison of model coefficient specified by each repetitive data. $\circled4$ The stability of ranking data in mode choice model For the analysis, we assumed subway operations in the Gwang-Ju , and set up a choice-set of hypothetical options based on Experimental Design Method.

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A Study on the Behavioral Analysis of Travel Mode Choice using Disaggregate Behavioral Approach (개별행태 접근방법에 의한 교통수단선택 행태분석에 관한 연구 -대구광역시 사례를 중심으로-)

  • 배영석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 1995
  • The main purpose of this study is identifying the factors which affect the mode choice behavior of work trips. Disaggregate behavioral approach is used for the analysis . The data were collected using the questionnaire survey method in Taegu. Two models were developed in this study which are multinomial logit model(MODEL-1) for auto, taxi and bus and multinomial logit model (MODEL-2) for auto, taxi, bus and subway. The stated preference (SP) data were used for the analysis of the subway mode choice behavior. MODEL-1 provide reasonable results for the future application. A multinomial model (MODEL-2) developed using the stated preference(SP) data was tested for the use of future transportation mode. It is four that the those models provides reasonable results in terms of behavioral and statistical consideration.

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Analyzing the Difference between the Stated Preference and the Revealed Preference before/after the High-speed Rail Service in Korea

  • Lee, Jang-Ho
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.24-33
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    • 2014
  • The Korean high-speed rail (HSR) began its commercial service in 2004. This service has been created significant changes in the system of intercity passenger travels of Korea. However, the actual ridership was approximately half of the estimated one in the planning stage. In this background, this paper presents the difference between the stated preference (SP) before the HSR service and the revealed preference (RP) after it using the intercity travel mode choice models. Several meaningful differences are found in terms of the factors affecting the travel mode choice, the estimation results of model, the monetary values of time, and elasticities. While the access/egress travel time of high-speed rail is less important than in-vehicle travel time in the SP sample, they have same weight in the RP sample. Also the RP models show that the probability of choosing HSR can be decreased by the increase of the number of vehicles in household contrary to the results from the SP models. The monetary values of travel time are relatively high and the direct and cross elasticities in response to changes in level-of-service of HSR are relatively low in the RP sample. This Korean case is expected to offer referable material for preparing high-speed rail services in other countries by showing the difference between the SP and RP before/after the actual service, identifying the importance of access/egress travel time and lower direct elasticities of HSR demand.

Valuation of Public Data Using Stated Preference Method: The Case of Agriculture Soil Database (진술선호방법을 이용한 공공 데이터의 가치 평가: 농업토양정보 데이터베이스 사례)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Ha, Sung-Ho;Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.149-165
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    • 2018
  • Purpose As Korean economy has been sluggish in recent years, firms' interest in publicly financed projects has increased due to the relatively increasing proportion in the economy. Since 1999, publicly financed projects in Korea need to undergo preliminary feasibility study to evaluate economic efficiency and policy quality if they are larger than a certain scale. The benefits of public projects are one of the most important factors in the preliminary feasibility study but are difficult to estimate due to their nature. Design/methodology/approach This study estimates the benefits of the agricultural soil information database, a public database in Korea. The method used in the study is the stated preference method which is formally used in Korea's preliminary feasibility study. Data are collected through surveys and a logit model is constructed to be estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation method. Findings As the first study evaluating a public database, this study can be used as a baseline in all public database projects developed in the future. In addition, this study can contribute to improving the understanding of both private companies and public organizations who are interested in the cost-benefit analysis and estimation procedure for the publicly financed projects.

A Study of Mode Choice Analysis of Blind Spot Areas for Public Transportation in Four Metropolitan Cities (대도시권 대중교통 사각지대 통행자들의 수단선택 모형 개발 - 급행버스 노선 도입에 따른 선호의식 조사를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hwang Bae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.6D
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    • pp.565-569
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    • 2012
  • This study selected blind spot areas for public transportation in four metropolitan cities including Busan, Daegue, Gwangju, and Daejeon. Then this study developed a nested logit model and analyzed the changes of mode choice behaviors after adopting rapid transit system using stated preference(SP) survey. As the study results, blind spot areas have more potential public transportation demand and tendency to shift to public transportation from autos than built-up areas. This study results can be utilized to evaluate demand changes for new rapid transit system in a circular expressway and an arterial highway connecting CBD and surrounding areas. The study results also can be utilized to analyze the potential public transportation demand in the surrounding areas.